onebuffalo
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Post by onebuffalo on Dec 1, 2019 8:04:31 GMT -5
Yes, it is that time of year. Time to think about the past year and look ahead to the next. What have you noticed about country music over the past year? What do you see over the next year? Think about it and let us know.
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Post by ladyđfan on Dec 1, 2019 10:16:33 GMT -5
I think the most obvious trend in the past year has been the move towards a more traditional sound. Songs like âHeartache Medicationâ and âOn My Way to Youâ probably wouldnât have even charted just a few years ago.
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HeyHeyHey
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Post by HeyHeyHey on Dec 1, 2019 11:08:30 GMT -5
I think we will continue to see country do well in streaming like we did this year. Songs such as âWhiskey Glassesâ, âGodâs Countryâ and âEven Though Iâm Leavingâ all hit the Hot 100 top 20 and streaming is a big component for it. It seems as though country fans really moved to streaming in the past year or so.
I think playing more women on the radio will continue to be pushed at award shows/social media. I do think Ingrid Andress and Gabby Barrett will have big hits with their current singles and hopefully plenty of others.
As the previous comment said, we are moving in a more traditional direction in the genre right now. I think this will get pushed even further in 2020. Lead singles from artists who had more of a poppy sound before could be looking at the trends and think about doing something more traditional. There have been times this season on The Voice when even Blake Shelton and Kelly Clarkson have separately mentioned a want for going back to a more traditional sound in the genre so that tells me it isnât just a fan thing but an industry thing as well.
At the same time, it seems like we are having more country artists partnering with artists from other genres. Morgan Wallen/Diplo, Kane Brown/Marshmellow, D+S/Justin Bieber. I donât think this will stop just because the genre is moving in a slightly more traditional direction.
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Dec 1, 2019 11:25:10 GMT -5
Boring countrypolitan and adult contemporary sounds would come back as radio becomes more and more background music oriented. It would still be praised by traditionalists though because it is a catch-all kind of thing after bro-country era.
Maren Morris and Kelsea Ballerini will switch their fates on country radio. All songs Maren release will go to #1 fast while Kelsea's will struggle before it gets to there.
More artists such as Keith Urban, Jason Aldean and Florida Georgia Line will be phased out on country radio. They would still do fine on tour and thus give new meaning of "country radio is not everything".
Alan Jackson and Gary Allan would release their best albums in years. Maybe another cover project from Jamey Johnson.
ASMR-ish songs from likes of Billie Eilish would make into country music as well and most radio listeners don't like it but it will be a streaming hit.
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Post by Wackadoodle on Dec 3, 2019 3:13:19 GMT -5
We need a return to the bro-country era. It made money. We seem to be seeing the downfall of many A-listers as new artists continue to emerge. There's a lot more competition now that Sony has good management. Universal will see diminishing returns, and will lose its image as the top label in the industry. I'd like to see more independent artists and labels break out. I'm glad that we're seeing a trend of artists' music being judged on its merits, rather than name recognition.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Dec 3, 2019 5:51:35 GMT -5
We need a return to the bro-country era. It made money. We seem to be seeing the downfall of many A-listers as new artists continue to emerge. There's a lot more competition now that Sony has good management. Universal will see diminishing returns, and will lose its image as the top label in the industry. I'd like to see more independent artists and labels break out. I'm glad that we're seeing a trend of artists' music being judged on its merits, rather than name recognition. No fucking thank you.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Dec 23, 2019 11:39:51 GMT -5
Here we go, I will go label by label on the Record Labels thread. So let us start off with UMG Nashville. Today is just Sony and UMG. Within the next couple of days I will do the other labels
UMG Nashville Adam Hambrick- "Forever Ain't Long Enough" spends the whole year climbing the chart and makes the Top 40 by the end of the year. Carrie Underwood- "Drinking Alone" makes the Top 10 in June but falls short of the Top 5 ala "Cry Pretty". Slight rumblings of new music by the end of the year Caylee Hammack- "Family Tree" stalls out in the 20s while the follow-up single "Just Friends" fails to make the Top 40. Darius Rucker- Begins working on new solo music again Dierks Bentley- Lead single is a sleeper hit and has a Top 3 peak in August, new album in June with the sound being more akin to Riser. Hootie & the Blowfish- "Hold On" fails to make much of an impact, they have a successful tour but no other singles after "Hold On" Jon Pardi- After "Heartache Medication" becomes a Mediabase only #1 in January, the label releases "Don't Blame It On The Whiskey" which hits #1 in September and the third single "It Ain't Always The Cowboy" is Top 40 by the end of the year Keith Urban- Album is released this year, but Keith Urban continues to see diminishing success at country radio as his next two singles only make the Top 10. Very successful tour though. Little Big Town- "Over Drinking" fails to make the the Top 40 and the label gives up in April. Next single "Sugar Coat" becomes a big success and hits #1 by the end of the year. Luke Bryan- "What She Wants Tonight" spends a week at #1 in late March. Next single is released before the ACMs and is performed and is also a huge success and gets the album out in July and the song hits #1 in September. Mickey Guyton- Dropped by the label.
EMI Nashville Alan Jackson- Nothing, except touring Brandon Lay- "For My Money" flops outside the Top 40 and Brandon Lay's future with the label remains in jeopardy Brothers Osborne- New music in May, new album in September. First single is Top 20 by the end of the year. Eric Church- "Monsters" is a radio success hitting #1 on Mediabase and #2 Billboard peak in the early summer. Gary Allan- Album released, no singles come from it. Jon Langston- "Now You Know" marathon chart runs to a Top 15 peak in the summer with the album released in May. Followup single is Top 40 by end of the year. Kylie Morgan- Debut single in March. Typical marathon chart climb, and she is in the Top 30 at the end of the year.
MCA Nashville Clare Dunn- Dropped by the label. George Strait- Successful tour. Nothing with country radio Jordan Davis- "Slow Dance In A Parking Lot" makes the Top 5 but comes short of #1. Lead single for his sophomore album "Cool Anymore" is a huge success sales wise and is one of the biggest hits of the year Josh Turner- Nothing Kacey Musgraves- Very successful tour. But no new music Kassi Ashton- Radio tour in July with a lead single in November Kip Moore- "She's Mine" stalls out in the 20s delaying the album more. Parker McCollum- Debut single in Q1 late March. Parker is the huge breakout star of 2020 and hits #1 in August Sam Hunt- "Kinfolks" get restricted to a Mediabase only due to "The Bones" by Maren Morris Vince Gill- Nothing
Mercury Nashville Billy Currington- "Details" stalls out in the 30s. Another single in June that makes the Top 30 by the end of the year Chris Stapleton- Lead single in May. Is Top 15 at the end if the year. Lauren Alaina- "Getting Good" has a marathon chart climb as well to a Top 10 peak in September and the album is released in July. New single in October. Top 50 at the end of the year Maddie & Tae- "Die From A Broken Heart" stalls out in the Top 30. The label releases "Bathroom Floor" and that fails to make the Top 50. Shania Twain- Nothing Travis Denning- "After A Few" hits the Top 20 in January and manages a Top 15 Mediabase peak in February. Third single is Top 30 by end of the year.
Arista Nashville Adam Doleac- Debut single stalls out in the summer in the 20s. Brad Paisley- Nothing Brooks & Dunn- Nothing but Vegas LANCO- "What I See" makes the Top 20 in October and gets the album out just before the CMAs Matt Stell- "Everywhere But On" hits the Top 5 in August but misses out on the #1 spot Robert Counts/The Sisterhood Band- Nothing
Columbia Nashville Faith Hill- Nothing Jameson Rodgers- "Some Girls' makes the Top 40 but not the Top 30 Luke Combs- Luke Combs releases "1,2 Many", "Moon Over Mexico", and "Lovin On You" all hit #1 and spend multiple weeks at #1. Luke combs also wins a lot at the award show this year. Maren Morris- "The Bones" is a multi week #1 in February coinciding with Valentines Day. Next single "All My Favorite People" does not do as well as the last two singles only making the Top 10. Mitchell Tenpenny- "Anything She Says" fails to make the Top 40 and Mitchell Tenpenny remains a one hit wonder Tenille Townes- Successful in Canada. Nothing in the states Tim McGraw- "Way Down" fails to make the Top 40 and officially ends Tim McGraw's radio career
RCA Nashville Chris Young- "Drowning" hits #1 in July with the followup single being "This Town Ain't Big Enough" which is Top 20 by the end of the year Dolly Parton- Nothing with country radio. But tours, and hosts the CMAs again with Carrie Underwood Kane Brown- "Homesick" hits #1 in February. The label takes a risk and releases "Short Skirt Weather" and becomes a huge seller despite a peak in the 30s on country radio (aka "Vacation" part 2) Miranda Lambert- "Bluebird" hits the Top 10 on Mediabase but fails to do so on Billboard. A very successful tour for Miranda Lambert as well. Niko Moon- Huge streaming, but no way he is going to country Old Dominion- "Some People Do" is a quick rise to #1 in May and followup single is in the Top 5 at the end of the year. Pistol Annies- Nothing Rachel Wammack- Dropped by the label Ryan Hurd- "To a T" makes the Top 20 in late January before being given up. Followup single fails to make the Top 40 Seaforth- Dropped after "Anything She Says" flops to generate much interest for them.
Part 2 will come in a few days.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Jan 2, 2020 19:52:28 GMT -5
Part 2 was a bit later than expected but since pretty much nothing has happened in 2020, I am fine to continue
Warner Bros WMN Promotion 1. Blake Shelton- "Nobody But You" is released as a single in late January and the song peaks in the Top 3 in June. Blake Shelton than releases a new lead single from a full fledged album in August and is Top 10 at the end of the year 2. Brett Eldredge- Lead single in May. Top 20 at the end of the year with a new album projected in March 3. Cale Dodds- Dropped 4. Cody Johnson- New lead single in July, fails to make the Top 40 5. Cole Swindell- Lead single in February. Peaks in the Top 10 in November with the album coming in September 6. Trea Landon- Nothing
WAR Promotion:
1. Ashley McBryde- "One Night Standards" makes the Top 20 in August due to good sales and new album in June. Second single released in September is Top 50 at the end of the year 2. Charlie Worsham- Dropped by the label 3. Chris Janson- "Done" is a Mediabase only #1 in early October 4. Dan + Shay- "10,000 Hours" hits #1 in January. Followup single hits #1 in July and the album is in August after the third single is released and is Top 5 at the end of the year. 5. Gabby Barrett- "I Hope" hits #1 in late March, "The Good Ones" is released in April and is Top 15 at the end of the year 6. Tegan Marie- Nothing with radio but releases some more music 7. Tucker Beathard- New single in February. Fails to chart altogether. Dropped by end of the year
WEA Promotion: 1. Devin Dawson- Same as Tegan Marie 2. High Valley- Nothing 3. Ingrid Andress- "More Hearts Than Mine" hits #1 in March, new album the same month, "Both" is released as the sophomore single and hits #1 at the very end of the year 4. Kenny Chesney- New single in March. Fails to make Top 10. Successful tour, album in May with low fanfare 5. Michael Ray- "Her World Or Mine" peaks in the Top 20 in April. Lead single for third album in August and is Top 50 at the end of the year 6. Morgan Evans- "Diamonds" fails to make the Top 40 despite a year long climb
Now for Big Machine Big Machine 1. Carly Pearce- "I Hope You're Happy Now" spends multiple weeks at #1 on Billboard in mid April, followup single "It Won't Always Be Like This" will be Top 10 at the end of the year. Also she is nominated for female vocalist at the CMAs. 2. Midland- "Cheating Songs" makes the Top 20 but fails to make the Top 10 for Midland 3. Noah Schnacky- "I'll Be The One" fails to chart altogether and a new single is released in December this yeat 4. Payton Smith- Debut single in April and gets OTV in June and is Top 10 end of the year 5. Rascal Flatts- Successful tour but nothing with radio 6. Sugarland- New single in June, fails to make Top 30 unfortunately 7. The Cadillac Three- Album released nothing else
Valory 1. Avenue Beat- Debut single in May. Fails to chart altogether as country radio is not interested 2. Brantley Gilbert- "Fire't Up" fails to make the Top 30. Ending his current album era 3. Conner Smith- Debut single in September, just charting at the end of the year. 4. Eli Young Band- "Break It In" misses Top 30. 5. Justin Moore- "Why We Drink" makes the Top 5 in August but comes up short of #1 6. Sheryl Crow- Nothing 7. Thomas Rhett- "Beer Can't Fix" hits #1 in July. "Center Point Road" is released in August and is Top 10 at the end of December. 8. Tyler Rich- New music in May and barely charts during the year
BMLG Records: 1. Brett Young- "Catch" is a Mediabase Top 3. Third single from the album fails to make the Top 10 2. Danielle Bradbery- Nothing 3. Florida Georgia Line- "Blessings" fails to make the Top 10 and peaks in May. No new music til the new year 4. Lady Antebellum- "What If I Never Get Over You" hits #1 in January followup single "Ocean" is a huge seller but struggles to a Top 10 peak in July. Third single is "Pictures" which is Top 30 at the end of the year 5. Riley Green- "I wish Grandpas Never Died" is a Mediabase only #1 in April. Fourth single is in the Top 20 by end of the year
Other Artists/Notable Highlights Jason Aldean fails to make the Top 5. But will win ACM Entertainer of the Year Broken Bow fails to re-launch Tyler Farr or launch Lainey Wilson Dustin Lynch flops with the followup to "Ridin Roads" Lindsay Ell "I Don't Love You" is a surprise sleeper hit to a #1 in September Granger Smith, LoCash, and Runaway June all make the Top 20 but not the Top 10 with their current singles Dylan Scott, Filmore, Rodney Atkins, and Jackson Michelson all fail to hit the Top 30 this year. Morgan Wallen squeaks a MB only #1 "Chasin You" in June new lead single in July that is a huge seller and nearing the Top 5 by end of the year Jake Owen unexpectedly stalls out in the Top 10 with "Homemade" Kelsea Ballerini misses the Top 10 with "Homecoming Queen", "Club" is released next and makes Top 20 by the end of the year. Gone West and Scotty McCreery settle for Top 20 peaks with their current singles, while Russell Dickerson scores a Top 5 with a new lead single in February
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CoJoFan
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Post by CoJoFan on Jan 6, 2020 11:13:02 GMT -5
I'm gonna make 10 predictions for 2020
1. Luke Combs will win CMA Entertainer Of The Year for the first of many times.
2. Blake Shelton will hit #1 for the 27th time and pass Alan Jackson for 10th place on the all time #1 list with a lead single from a new album. The album will also feature a cover song of his idol Earl Thomas Conley's hit "Once In A Blue Moon".
3. Keith Urban will finally release his next album with the top 5 lead single "We Were" and it will have a deluxe edition with the duet version with Eric Church. The second single will not only become Keith's 41st top 10 but also his 22nd #1 which will put him in 16th place on the all time list just behind Sonny James & Willie Nelson.
4. Dan + Shay will go pop like Taylor Swift and leave the country music scene. (I really don't want to see this happen but I definitely could see it.)
5. Chris Stapleton will drop a surprise album and the lead single will only peak in the top 20.
6. Thomas Rhett will become the new host of the CMA Awards with Reba returning as his co-host.
7. Ashley McBryde will finally hit the top 10.
8. Lady Antebellum will release "Ocean" as the second single from the album of the same name.
9. Little Big Town's Nightfall album will win CMA Album of the Year with no single ever reaching the top 10.
10. Runaway June and Gone West will both hit #1. Making Runaway June the first all female group since Dixie Chicks to top the charts.
And I leave you with one final bold prediction
George Strait will hit #1 for the 45th time.
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Post by cousingerard on Jan 6, 2020 13:37:20 GMT -5
And I leave you with one final bold prediction George Strait will hit #1 for the 45th time. Wow. That is bold!
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