Billboard Hot 100: 01/25/2020

[annoymous1]

Scooter saving Yummy from falling out the top 10 was the reason they took so long to release the top 10😂.

[iHype.]

Drake speaks on tying Glee Cast.

http://instagram.com/p/B7mqptwgz8a

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 21, 2020 20:46:32 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Future's 5 highest peaking songs on Hot 100:
1. Life is Good featuring Drake (#2 peak)
2. Mask Off (#5 peak)
3. Lil Wayne - Love Me featuring Future & Drake (#9 peak)
4. Jumpman w/ Drake (#12 peak)
5. Used to this featuring Drake (#14)

Lol.

CHARITY.

[Lukas]

So I decided to calculate the accuracy of everyone who predicts in this thread (+ Simm) beginning this week because of a shift in the formula change and because there are more people predicting now than before.

Some thoughts:

-Does the YouTube chart actually include “invalidated UGC” at the moment? Personally, I’d say it does. Yummy’s and Life Is Good’s streaming numbers (from last week and this week respectively) do not add up even if you try to add the ODS, YT, and Pandora numbers. And yet in some other songs there are streams that are still missing (like “The Box”). Hmm…..

I guess this is just something that will have to be tested later. But for now, here are the scores for everyone who predicted:

Early Predictions:

Simms: -10
Lukas : -12
gs : -14
tanooki : -16
fhas : -18

Final Predictions:

Simms: -8
fhas : -9
Lukas : -10
tanooki : -14

[tanooki]

wow i suck

[spoons]

Why did Dance Monkey take a hit?

[fhas]

Jan 21, 2020 21:57:09 GMT -5 Lukas said:

So I decided to calculate the accuracy of everyone who predicts in this thread (+ Simm) beginning this week because of a shift in the formula change and because there are more people predicting now than before.

Some thoughts:

-Does the YouTube chart actually include “invalidated UGC” at the moment? Personally, I’d say it does. Yummy’s and Life Is Good’s streaming numbers (from last week and this week respectively) do not add up even if you try to add the ODS, YT, and Pandora numbers. And yet in some other songs there are streams that are still missing (like “The Box”). Hmm…..

I guess this is just something that will have to be tested later. But for now, here are the scores for everyone who predicted:

Early Predictions:

Simms: -10
Lukas : -12
gs : -14
tanooki : -16
fhas : -18

Final Predictions:

Simms: -8
fhas : -9
Lukas : -10
tanooki : -14

I've changed my formula today after posting my final predictions and the only change was Yummy at #10 (it was #11 in my final predictions).

I thought about Yummy's streams from last week, but it happened often before the rule change (having less streams than expected in its first week). However, this week's numbers for LIG are much lower than what I expected (19.4M) and I think that I'll have to cut its YouTube streams by more than half.

The Box had 3.4M "unreported" streams last week (Nielsen's numbers were higher than expected), but this week's numbers were surprisingly lower than reported. I guess it peaked on Apple Music last week, but I'll wait for the HDD's numbers.

[Lukas]

Jan 21, 2020 22:10:19 GMT -5 spoons said:

Why did Dance Monkey take a hit?

Presumably the UGC change? Back then, Dance Monkey used to have a ton of UGC whose count was almost as much as the actual official numbers. Now most, if not all, of them do not count because they are non-song UGC views. And I'm sure the YT official chart contains some non-song UGC views as well.

[nathanalbright]

Jan 21, 2020 21:19:13 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

Scooter saving Yummy from falling out the top 10 was the reason they took so long to release the top 10😂.

Are you saying we had a hostage situation there?  These sorts of things are becoming distressingly common these days.  #makechartsnotwar

[wavey.]

Yesss Biebs STILL two songs in the Top 10. Yes at Future finally getting another peak, and Drake with another Top 10, it's magic for him.

[Deleted]

Jan 21, 2020 21:08:50 GMT -5 @antigonerising said:

Jan 21, 2020 17:45:31 GMT -5 spicymapping said:

if pulse comes together in unity and we all sell feet pics we can do it. we must rise.

everyone pm snarks for rates

f**k YOU I’ve already gotten a pm over this lmfaooo #axisofevilAINTSHIT

[annoymous1]

Jan 21, 2020 23:06:13 GMT -5 nathanalbright said:

Jan 21, 2020 21:19:13 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

Scooter saving Yummy from falling out the top 10 was the reason they took so long to release the top 10😂.

Are you saying we had a hostage situation there?  These sorts of things are becoming distressingly common these days.  #makechartsnotwar

Unfortunately...Well the only chart that won't be held hostage is Rolling Stones.

[weirdo]

FINALLY, THE WAIT IS OVER!!. Yummy will almost certainly leave top ten next week and maybe even top 20. Life is Good i expect to go down to the lower hsif of the top ten

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Jan 21, 2020 20:46:32 GMT -5 iHype. said:

Future's 5 highest peaking songs on Hot 100:
1. Life is Good featuring Drake (#2 peak)
2. Mask Off (#5 peak)
3. Lil Wayne - Love Me featuring Future & Drake (#9 peak)
4. Jumpman w/ Drake (#12 peak)
5. Used to this featuring Drake (#14)

Lol.

Surprised the "Mask Off" remix feature Kendrick Lamar, not Drake.

[thebops]

Jan 21, 2020 20:48:10 GMT -5 Leo ✔ said:

Surprised Yummy didn't fall more than that.

It "only" dropped 17 percent in steams which kind of softened its blow. I thought it would have dropped a little more in streams. Maybe the GP doesn't hate it as much as Pulse members.

[fishingfor8]

Jan 21, 2020 20:54:31 GMT -5 fhas said:

Reported numbers for Life Is Good

Spotify: 19M

YouTube: 17.9M (13.5M official video + 4.4M others)

Pandora: 2.6M

That's 39.5M streams and I'm sure it did more than 11M on Apple Music alone to beat Nielsen's 50.7M reported streams.

I guess they're not counting a lot of its streams and possibly more than just UGC.

Why would 11 mill be low for Life Is Good. Apple music is the smallest of the youtube/spotify/apple trio so it would make some sense to be the lowest

[Normi]

Yummy on Radio, songs: 38-10-17

I have no words.

[korbel16]

50M streams for Life is Good and 77M for the box? Somethings really off when life is good was predicted 70M streams and the latter predicted to have 90M .. billboard is so weird

[mako]

All of this doesn't matter if Sugar doesn't gain positions

[𝕡𝕙𝕖𝕖𝕓𝕤]

Jan 22, 2020 3:21:17 GMT -5 mako said:

All of this doesn't matter if Sugar doesn't gain positions

It will probably gain (if it doesn’t I’ll be shocked), but it it doesn’t, at least it got 16 adds at pop radio this week!

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

[Choco]

Or maybe predictions aren't really able to differentiate from content that doesn't actually count for the charts anymore, hence the lower streaming #s? Not everything has to be some dark conspiracy against [insert act].

[thegreatdivine]

Sum 2 Prove debuted higher than Good News afterall.

[phieaglesfan712]

Jan 22, 2020 2:39:00 GMT -5 thebops said:

Jan 21, 2020 20:48:10 GMT -5 Leo ✔ said:

Surprised Yummy didn't fall more than that.

It "only" dropped 17 percent in steams which kind of softened its blow. I thought it would have dropped a little more in streams. Maybe the GP doesn't hate it as much as Pulse members.

I think we will see an even bigger drop in Week 3 for Yummy.

[thegreatdivine]

No Guidance refuses to die.

[tanooki]

The charts are still not officially out? huh.

Hot 100
LW TW Wks Song Artist Pk
1 1 6 The Box Roddy Ricch 1
NE 2 1 Life is Good Future ft. Drake 2
3 3 20 Circles Post Malone 1
4 4 17 Memories Maroon 5 2
10 5 13 Lose You to Love Me Selena Gomez 1
6 6 36 Someone You Loved Lewis Capaldi 1
5 7 15 10,000 Hours Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber 4
7 8 15 Dance Monkey Tones and I 7
9 9 11 ROXANNE Arizona Zervas 4
2 10 2 Yummy Justin Bieber 2
8 11 21 Good As Hell Lizzo 3
12 12 16 BOP DaBaby 11
11 13 26 Ballin Mustard ft. Roddy Ricch 11
14 14 11 Don't Start Now Dua Lipa 14
13 15 15 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM Travis Scott 1
NE 16 1 Sum 2 Prove Lil Baby 16
NE 17 1 Good News Mac Miller 17
17 18 8 Heartless The Weeknd 1
15 19 32 No Guidance Chris Brown ft. Drake 5
16 20 33 Trampoline SHAED 13
22 21 10 Woah Lil Baby 16
19 22 10 everything I wanted Billie Eilish 8
26 23 17 The Bones Maren Morris 23
18 24 30 Senorita Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello 1
29 25 18 hot girl bummer blackbear 25
24 26 6 Adore You Harry Styles 24
35 27 3 High Fashion Roddy Ricch ft. Mustard 27
23 28 30 Panini Lil Nas X 5
NE 29 1 You should be sad Halsey 29
NE 30 1 Rare Selena Gomez 30
21 31 22 Hot Young Thug ft. Gunna 11
39 32 6 Blinding Lights The Weeknd 11
20 33 37 Truth Hurts Lizzo 1
25 34 30 Only Human Jonas Brothers 18
28 35 15 Bandit Juice WRLD & YoungBoy Never Broke Again 10
27 36 21 One Man Band Old Dominion 20
31 37 20 Even Though I'm Leaving Luke Combs 11
32 38 33 I Don't Care Ed Sheeran & Justin Bieber 2
41 39 8 Suicidal YNW Melly 39
33 40 42 bad guy Billie Eilish 1
38 41 9 Falling Trevor Daniel 31
34 42 41 Sucker Jonas Brothers 1
30 43 5 Futsal Shuffle 2020 Lil Uzi Vert 5
44 44 6 My Oh My Camilla Cabello ft. DaBaby 44
48 45 12 Juicy Doja Cat & Tyga 45
37 46 23 On Chill Wale ft. Jeremih 22
51 47 16 Heartache Medication Jon Pardi 47
42 48 46 Talk Khalid 3
40 49 21 What if I Never Get Over You Lady Antebellum 40
36 50 22 Lover Taylor Swift 10
54 51 14 Kinfolks Sam Hunt 51
47 52 11 Ridin Roads Dustin Lynch 47
60 53 2 U Played MoneyBagg Yo ft. Lil Baby 53
49 54 20 Playing Games Summer Walker 16
62 55 7 TOES DaBaby ft. Lil Baby & Moneybagg Yo 28
61 56 6 South of the Border Ed Sheeran ft. Camila Cabello & Cardi B 53
53 57 16 VIBEZ DaBaby 21
43 58 18 Graveyard Halsey 34
55 59 20 Heat Chris Brown ft. Gunna 36
63 60 9 Homesick Kane Brown 60
59 61 10 Heart on Ice Rod Wave 54
56 62 9 Start Wit Me Roddy Ricch & Gunna 56
58 63 7 No Idea Don Toliver 43
65 64 3 I Hope Gabby Barrett 64
52 65 3 OUT WEST Jackboys ft. Young Thug 38
70 66 2 SUGAR Brockhampton 66
68 67 8 RITMO (Bad Boys for Life) Black Eyed Peas X J Balvin 66
69 68 6 BEST ON EARTH Russ & BIA 68
87 69 7 Tusa Karol G & Nicki Minaj 69
66 70 19 Take What You Want Post Malone ft. Ozzy Osbourne & Travis Scott 8
67 71 4 Slide H.E.R. ft. YG 67
74 72 7 We Back Jason Aldean 72
75 73 4 What She Wants Tonight Luke Bryan 73
78 74 3 Make Me Want To Jimmie Allen 74
83 75 3 I Wish Grandpas Never Died Riley Green 75
82 76 3 More Hearts Than Mine Ingrid Andress 76
95 77 2 Say So Doja Cat 77
72 78 18 Camelot NLE Choppa 37
96 79 10 Make No Sense YoungBoy Never Broke Again 57
64 80 18 Remember You Young Thomas Rhett 53
80 81 11 Easy DaniLeigh ft. Chris Brown 79
79 82 7 Tip Toe Roddy Ricch ft. A Boogie Wit Da Hoodie 73
NE 83 1 Eleven Khalid 83
99 84 4 All Dat Moneybagg Yo ft. Megan Thee Stallion 70
73 85 15 Leave Em Alone Layton Greene, Lil Baby, City Girls, PnB Rock 60
NE 86 1 Conversations in the Dark John Legend 86
93 87 2 I Hope You're Happy Now Carly Pearce & Lee Brice 87
88 88 7 Jerry Sprunger Tory Lanez & T-Pain 44
NE 89 1 Protect da Brand Moneybagg Yo ft. DaBaby 89
57 90 8 Into the Unknown Idina Menzel & AURORA 46
92 91 8 Vete Bad Bunny 33
RE 92 4 Look At Her Now Selena Gomez 27
84 93 6 homecoming queen? Kelsea Ballerini 82
81 94 8 Watermelon Sugar Harry Styles 54
77 95 14 Nice to Meet Ya Niall Horan 63
91 96 3 July Noah Cyrus ft. Leon Bridges 91
86 97 4 Peta Roddy Ricch ft. Meek Mill 72
85 98 19 223's YNW Melly & 9lokknine 34
97 99 3 Slow Dancing in a Parking Lot Jordan Davis 97
90 100 2 All I Want Olivia Rodrigo 90

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Isn't anybody else getting the sense that Someone You Loved will beat the 52 week Hot 100 rule, barring an album bomb? As long as radio doesn't drop too quickly, it will slowly drop.

[twelvevinylrecords]

I expect Good News to also do as good next week with the album bomb. It's probably my favorite song of the year so far, and I would love it if it became even a minor hit and stuck around (although I don't think it will)

[thabb]

it seems like OTR's horse has been rode till it can't no more

[tuna]

You should be sad up to spotify's top 10. Blinding Lights passed 900k for the first time since November. SUGAR steadily climbs some more, and Yummy burns at 16