Billboard Hot 100: 02/22/2020

[Enigma.]

US Spotify, week ending 2/13/2020

1 The Box by Roddy Ricch 18,883,695
2 Life Is Good (feat. Drake) by Future 11,725,270
3 Intentions by Justin Bieber 9,044,309
4 ROXANNE by Arizona Zervas 7,884,837
5 High Fashion (feat. Mustard) by Roddy Ricch 7,616,758
6 Blinding Lights by The Weeknd 7,451,597
7 Godzilla (feat. Juice WRLD) by Eminem 7,235,132
8 Falling by Trevor Daniel 7,079,662
9 Don't Start Now by Dua Lipa 6,911,464
10 Circles by Post Malone 6,696,187

Dua Lipa's first week in top ten with DSN (up 4 spots)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Feb 14, 2020 12:50:25 GMT -5 chanman said:

Feb 14, 2020 10:27:05 GMT -5 lazer said:

I don't know if this new Migos song will have enough staying power. They are clearly passed their peak. Billie Eilish probably will debut high. Expect some album bombs from A Boogie and that mediocre Justin Bieber album.

Please tell me that there is a standout song on the "Changes" album. I have not bothered to listen to the full album because the beat and lyrical styles of the few I heard are repetitive in each song. They all sound like sampled versions of Yummy.  

All Around Me, the opener, was the only good song on the album and it's also one of the shortest. I'd also say maybe E.T.A. but only because the instrumental feels very Daniel Caesar.

[rimetm]

Dance Club Songs - February 22, 2020
55 BO 00 Physical, Dua Lipa
54 BO 00 I'm Alive, Gaurika feat. Sean Kingston
53 BO 00 Impulse, The Perry Twins feat. Jania
52 BO 00 Happy Together, Sir Ivan
51 BO 00 Deep Inside of Me, Vintage Culture & Adam K. feat. MKLA
50 47 18 Good as Hell, Lizzo, 01
49 45 18 Trampoline, SHAED, 01
48 52 01 Feels Like Love, Raquela, 48
47 35 10 Better Day, Young Bombs feat. Aloe Blacc, 26
46 42 07 Stars About You, 5WEST, 27
45 40 07 Everything I Wanted, Billie Eilish, 40
44 37 17 Lose Control, Meduza, Becky Hill, & GOODBOYS, 01
43 48 02 Money, Klass, 43
42 53 01 Don't Leave Me Lonely, Mark Ronson feat. YEBBA, 42
41 33 07 Pieces, Avery Raquel, 30
40 41 05 One Night, MK & Sonny Fodera feat. Raphaella, 40
39 44 02 I Want it All, Julio Mena, 39
38 51 01 [guess it'll be here for a while]-1, Love Regenerator, 38
37 43 02 Good Man, Hilary Roberts, 37
36 23 15 Turn Me On, Riton & Oliver Heldens feat. Vula, 01
35 12 13 I Feel Love, Sam Smith, 01
34 46 02 Personal Jesus, Michelle Kash, 34
33 32 07 I Hate Me Too, Eda Green 26
32 38 03 American Beauty, Alya, 32
31 29 10 Dance Monkey, Tones & I, 24
30 24 15 Ritmo, The Black Eyed Peas & J. Balvin, 02
29 34 04 Anthem, Connor BVRNS & Bonn, 29
28 36 02 Forever Yours (Tribute), Kygo, Avicii, & Sandro Cavazza, 28
27 30 05 Get Back to Love, Kris James, 27
26 21 09 Kickback, NIK:11 feat. Ouiwey Collins, 19
25 28 06 Just the Same, AP3, 25
24 31 04 Turn Your World Around, Bimbo Jones & Thelma Houston, 24
23 27 06 Alive, Joey Suarez, 23
22 26 05 Girls' Night Out, Debbie Gibson, 22
21 15 11 Moving On Up, Heather Small feat. Dirty Disco & Matt Consola, 05
20 17 11 Just a Lie, Kristine W., 11
19 19 07 On My Mind, Diplo & SIDEPIECE, 19
18 16 11 Energy, Glidesonic, 16
17 20 06 Living for the Music, Brett Oosterhaus & Debby Holiday, 17
16 14 13 Don't Start Now, Dua Lipa, 01 (2 wks)
15 25 03 Love Hangover (2020), Diana Ross, 15
14 22 03 Therapy, Duke Dumont, 14
13 13 13 South of the Border, Ed Sheeran feat. Camila Cabello & Cardi B., 03
12 18 05 Used to Love, Martin Garrix & Dean Lewis, 12
11 10 13 Graveyard, Halsey, 01
10 01 12 In the Dark, Vintage Culture & Fancy Inc., 01
09 07 11 Rabbit Hole, CamelPhat & Jem Cookie, 01
08 11 09 Break the Wheel, Kendra Erika, 08
07 08 09 Anything for You, Rosabel feat. Tamara Wallace, 07
06 05 09 Raising Hell, Kesha feat. Big Freedia, 05
05 09 08 Sad, Chico Rose feat. Afrojack, 05
04 06 08 (I'm Gonna) Love Me Again, Elton John & Taron Egerton, 04
03 03 10 All Night Long, Jonas Blue & RetroVision, 03
02 04 07 Baila Conmigo, Jennifer Lopez, 02
01 02 10 I Don't Search, I Find, Madonna, 01

DROPOUTS
50 13 Motivation, Normani, 09
49 13 Came for the Low, ZHU & partyofray, 13
39 13 Dreamland, Pet Shop Boys feat. Years & Years, 06

[get2nomey]

Feb 14, 2020 10:27:05 GMT -5 lazer said:

I don't know if this new Migos song will have enough staying power. They are clearly passed their peak. Billie Eilish probably will debut high. Expect some album bombs from A Boogie and that mediocre Justin Bieber album.

Migos is definitely not at their peak in popularity at the moment but if they release something that's fire it will blow up. They are still quite popular. I just think that their music has been mediocre lately. Their lyrics are banal. I'm not impressed with their beats either. If you remember when Bad and Boujee dropped that was hot, fresh, creative. They have made good songs since then but nothing great that would stand out and set them apart from similar rappers.

[GP]

Why did the Roxanne video got shockingly low views

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Feb 15, 2020 7:58:49 GMT -5 GP said:

Why did the Roxanne video got shockingly low views

Probably because they dropped it two months after the meme had died and by that point, nobody cared anymore?

[fhas]

The top three songs on radio losing 500k+. Finally.

[golfradio]

One more in the building hype for next week category

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/02/15

1(=) Post Malone - Circles 143.72(-0.55)
2(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 136.04(-1.73)

3(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 113.00(-1.39)
4(+1) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 105.30(+0.17)
5(+1) The Weeknd - Heartless 104.56(+0.26)
6(-2) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 104.51(-2.27)
7(+1) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 103.15(+0.69)
8(-1) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 102.40(-1.04)
9(=) Maren Morris - The Bones 85.91(-0.47)

10(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 79.03(-1.23)

12(=) blackbear - hot girl bummer 75.72(+1.24)

13(=) Roddy Ricch - The Box 73.50(+0.72)

14(=) Billie Eilish - everything i wanted 63.24(+0.71)

28(+1) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 47.32(+0.88)

31(+2) Kane Brown - Homesick 46.44(+0.86)

-(-) Luke Combs - Does To Me (feat. Eric Church) 16.89(+0.81)

-(-) Khalid & Disclosure - Know Your Worth 14.39(+1.31) +

-(-) Sam Smith - To Die For 8.44(-)

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Feb 15, 2020 9:15:24 GMT -5 fhas said:

The top three songs on radio losing 500k+. Finally.

That may be the case, but I can see Circles easily stay at #1 in Radio Songs for the next 4 weeks unless it really starts to lose daily audiences quickly. It isn't clear which song could replace it, but I suspect, when one does, that its weekly audience will be relatively low.

[Deleted]

Dua Lipa coming for top 5 on radio 😍

I've had the chance to hear the song three times during my car ride today, and it is one of those songs that you simply cannot get sick of.

[fhas]

Feb 15, 2020 10:31:22 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

Feb 15, 2020 9:15:24 GMT -5 fhas said:

The top three songs on radio losing 500k+. Finally.

That may be the case, but I can see Circles easily stay at #1 in Radio Songs for the next 4 weeks unless it really starts to lose daily audiences quickly. It isn't clear which song could replace it, but I suspect, when one does, that its weekly audience will be relatively low.

Yes, I hope the next #1 is weak in airplay (< 90M). Last year, 7 rings was #1 for two weeks with 88M and 82M audience and that's was really unique.

[tuna]

The good thing about this radio top 10 is that radio is the only thing most of these songs have anymore. Once they fall out the top 10 will quickly change into something completely different

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

One thing I would like for it to happen is to Hot Girl Bummer to reach the top 10 in Radio Songs. Assuming its updates and those for Good as Hell for the next two days remain similar, it could really happen this week.

[Deleted]

Feb 15, 2020 10:58:24 GMT -5 tuna said:

The good thing about this radio top 10 is that radio is the only thing most of these songs have anymore. Once they fall out the top 10 will quickly change into something completely different

Well, "Memories" and "10,000 Hours" were in the top 25 of the On-Demand Streaming Chart last week. I wouldn't keep my hopes too high there 😬

[lazer]

Feb 15, 2020 10:58:24 GMT -5 tuna said:

The good thing about this radio top 10 is that radio is the only thing most of these songs have anymore. Once they fall out the top 10 will quickly change into something completely different

The decline for most of these songs is for the better. It’s a good thing that 10K Hours, Someone You Loved , and Memories have declining callout scores due to their overplay. The more fresher the songs in the top ten are, the better.

[dovahduck]

Feb 15, 2020 10:23:36 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/02/15

1(=) Post Malone - Circles 143.72(-0.55)
2(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 136.04(-1.73)

3(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 113.00(-1.39)
4(+1) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 105.30(+0.17)
5(+1) The Weeknd - Heartless 104.56(+0.26)
6(-2) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 104.51(-2.27)
7(+1) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 103.15(+0.69)
8(-1) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 102.40(-1.04)
9(=) Maren Morris - The Bones 85.91(-0.47)

10(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 79.03(-1.23)

12(=) blackbear - hot girl bummer 75.72(+1.24)

13(=) Roddy Ricch - The Box 73.50(+0.72)

14(=) Billie Eilish - everything i wanted 63.24(+0.71)

28(+1) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 47.32(+0.88)

31(+2) Kane Brown - Homesick 46.44(+0.86)

-(-) Luke Combs - Does To Me (feat. Eric Church) 16.89(+0.81)

-(-) Khalid & Disclosure - Know Your Worth 14.39(+1.31) +

-(-) Sam Smith - To Die For 8.44(-)

Look at "Heartless" entering top five 😎😎😎

[brady47]

Feb 15, 2020 10:51:22 GMT -5 fhas said:

Feb 15, 2020 10:31:22 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

That may be the case, but I can see Circles easily stay at #1 in Radio Songs for the next 4 weeks unless it really starts to lose daily audiences quickly. It isn't clear which song could replace it, but I suspect, when one does, that its weekly audience will be relatively low.

Yes, I hope the next #1 is weak in airplay (< 90M). Last year, 7 rings was #1 for two weeks with 88M and 82M audience and that's was really unique.

Wow, I forgot it's audience was so low for a radio #1

It's interesting because it was her first radio #1, but was still on par with "Thank U, Next", Problem and No Tears Left to Cry in the year end charts

7 Rings - #16 (#1 peak)
Thank U, Next - #17 (#3 peak)
No Tears Left to Cry - #16 (#3 peak)
Problem - #16 (#2 peak)

[phieaglesfan712]

Feb 15, 2020 13:39:39 GMT -5 brady47 said:

Feb 15, 2020 10:51:22 GMT -5 fhas said:

Yes, I hope the next #1 is weak in airplay (< 90M). Last year, 7 rings was #1 for two weeks with 88M and 82M audience and that's was really unique.

Wow, I forgot it's audience was so low for a radio #1

It's interesting because it was her first radio #1, but was still on par with "Thank U, Next", Problem and No Tears Left to Cry in the year end charts

7 Rings - #16 (#1 peak)
Thank U, Next - #17 (#3 peak)
No Tears Left to Cry - #16 (#3 peak)
Problem - #16 (#2 peak)

That 82M week was a perfect storm. The radio tracking period happened to end on the very day that 7 Rings and Sucker converged. If I remember correctly, Sucker was #1 the following week with 89M. I think we will see the 88/89M figure breached every now and then, but that 82M record is an outlier, which is probably going to stand for a while, unless we get that perfect storm (a weak period when two songs reach a convergence point on the last day of a tracking period). 

[tuna]

Solid debuts for everyone on Spotify. Beeb Bomb is pretty scattered but overall higher than A Boogie who only has Numbers.

Billie is the closest anyone has come to surpassing The Box.

[candypaint]

I feel like Billie's Bond theme could have easily had a #2 debut had she released on a Friday. I'm sure it'll go Top 10 though.

[strongerq]

^It was released 4 pm PST Thursday = 7pm EST Thursday. Standard release time is 0am EST Friday. So "No Time To Die" was released 5 hours earlier than usual, that won't have a big impact on the song performance.

[fhas]

Feb 15, 2020 14:13:25 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Feb 15, 2020 13:39:39 GMT -5 brady47 said:

Wow, I forgot it's audience was so low for a radio #1

It's interesting because it was her first radio #1, but was still on par with "Thank U, Next", Problem and No Tears Left to Cry in the year end charts

7 Rings - #16 (#1 peak)
Thank U, Next - #17 (#3 peak)
No Tears Left to Cry - #16 (#3 peak)
Problem - #16 (#2 peak)

That 82M week was a perfect storm. The radio tracking period happened to end on the very day that 7 Rings and Sucker converged. If I remember correctly, Sucker was #1 the following week with 89M. I think we will see the 88/89M figure breached every now and then, but that 82M record is an outlier, which is probably going to stand for a while, unless we get that perfect storm (a weak period when two songs reach a convergence point on the last day of a tracking period). 

According to Billboard's articles, 7 rings was #1 with 82M and Without Me was #3 with 81.5M meaning that Sucker was #2 with almost the same airplay numbers of 7 rings.

brady47 - 7 rings peaked with 91.8M audience impressions (official data by BB/Nielsen Hot 100 article) - three weeks before reaching #1.

Thank U Next peaked with 100.8M (according to my estimated numbers)

NTLTC peaked with 97.1M (according to my estimated numbers) and it was #1 on Kworb's Radio Estimates for one or two days during that tracking week, but fell to #3 during the weekend.

[Lukas]

Final Predictions:

Rank	Song	Radio	Sales	On-Demand Streaming	Official YouTube	Passive/UGC	Total Streaming	Weighted Streaming	Total Points
1	The Box	52,100,000	12,000	43,400,000	8,000,000	8,600,000	60,000,000	50,700,000	48,000
2	Life Is Good	36,700,000	8,000	26,400,000	13,700,000	3,800,000	43,900,000	35,900,000	33,900
3	Circles	103,000,000	12,000	13,100,000	700,000	4,200,000	17,900,000	14,800,000	29,500
4	Memories	97,200,000	11,000	9,000,000	1,100,000	4,500,000	14,600,000	11,600,000	26,000
5	Dance Monkey	55,400,000	16,000	15,500,000	1,900,000	5,400,000	22,800,000	18,700,000	25,600
6	Roxanne	75,300,000	6,000	15,000,000	800,000	4,900,000	20,700,000	17,000,000	25,600
7	Don't Start Now	74,900,000	10,000	14,200,000	900,000	2,800,000	17,800,000	15,300,000	25,100
8	Someone You Loved	82,100,000	10,000	10,800,000	500,000	6,000,000	17,200,000	13,500,000	24,900
9	10,000 Hours	72,000,000	8,000	10,700,000	1,000,000	4,000,000	15,700,000	12,900,000	22,500
10	Intentions	12,200,000	15,000	19,900,000	5,000,000	1,500,000	26,400,000	22,900,000	21,700
-	Everything I Wanted	48,100,000	10,000	13,200,000	1,200,000	3,900,000	18,300,000	15,200,000	20,700
-	BOP	43,500,000	2,000	13,700,000	4,000,000	1,900,000	19,600,000	16,500,000	19,500
-	Lose You To Love Me	72,800,000	5,000	7,700,000	700,000	3,200,000	11,600,000	9,400,000	19,400
-	Blinding Lights	35,300,000	12,000	14,000,000	800,000	3,100,000	17,900,000	15,200,000	19,100
-	Ballin'	39,100,000	3,000	13,200,000	2,700,000	3,900,000	19,800,000	16,300,000	18,800
-	Hot Girl Bummer	55,400,000	8,000	8,600,000	800,000	3,500,000	12,900,000	10,400,000	18,000
-	Heartless	75,600,000	2,000	5,900,000	600,000	2,300,000	8,700,000	7,000,000	17,600
-	The Bones	63,400,000	8,000	7,000,000	500,000	3,100,000	10,600,000	8,000,000	17,500
-	High Fashion	1,100,000	1,000	20,900,000	3,500,000	700,000	25,000,000	22,600,000	17,100
-	Yummy	28,800,000	7,000	10,300,000	2,600,000	3,000,000	15,900,000	13,000,000	15,500

[Enigma.]

I think Circles beating the record of most weeks in top ten is practically given. It hasn't even really decreased in points since it was #1.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/02/16

1(=) Post Malone - Circles 143.58(-0.14)
2(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 134.37(-1.68)
3(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 112.44(-0.56)
4(=) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 105.40(+0.11)
5(=) The Weeknd - Heartless 105.17(+0.61)
6(+1) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 103.99(+0.83)
7(-1) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 101.42(-3.09)
8(=) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 99.49(-2.90) -
9(=) Maren Morris - The Bones 85.83(-0.08)
10(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 78.16(-0.86)

11(+1) blackbear - hot girl bummer 76.71(+0.99)

13(=) Roddy Ricch - The Box 74.50(+1.01)

23(=) Sam Hunt - Kinfolks 55.67(+0.74)

26(=) Future - Life Is Good (feat. Drake) 49.36(+0.74)

27(+1) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 48.18(+0.86)

82(+11) Justin Bieber - Intentions (feat. Quavo) 20.70(+2.63)

95(+7) Luke Combs - Does To Me (feat. Eric Church) 17.86(+0.96)

-(-) Taylor Swift - The Man 16.29(+0.70)

-(-) Selena Gomez - Rare 16.05(+1.04)

-(-) Maluma - Que Pena f/J Balvin 15.52(+0.91)

-(-) Khalid & Disclosure - Know Your Worth 15.27(+0.88)

-(-) Sam Smith - To Die For 10.49(+2.06) +

[Deleted]

Ooo, a nice good drop for both "10,000 Hours" (finally) and "Lose You To Love Me (that's late 2019 news by now), allowing the disco pop masterpiece of "Don't Start Now" to rise at #6. Only positive news all around 😊

(Still, are we really going to make that whiny "hot girl bummer" song a top 10 radio hit?)

[annoymous1]

Obviously Hot Girl Bummer won the battle for outlasting Hot Girl Summer with it possibly going top 10 on radio tommorow.

[narp]

Don’t Start Now at number one is the only thing that can redeem 2020 at this point.

Hot Girl Bummer is 10 times better musically than Hot Girl Summer. Even if you don’t like it, you have to admit it. It may be whiny but at least it isn’t thotty like HGS.

[Deleted]

Feb 16, 2020 12:01:14 GMT -5 narp said:

Don’t Start Now at number one is the only thing that can redeem 2020 at this point

Either "Don't Start Now" or "Blinding Lights", but I'm rooting more for the former because The Weeknd is already dominating nearly the entirety of Europe + Australia, and a #1 single would really push Dua further into the American mainstream pop industry, as she rightfully deserves.