Billboard Hot 100: 02/29/2020

[eidde]

chartdata be like

chart data @chartdata · 5m

.@bts_twt's 'MAP OF THE SOUL: 7' is on pace to become the highest-selling album by a Korean group with seven members released in February 2020.

💬 800          🔁5K          ❤️15K

[moonlite]

BTS release week is like the Superbowl for chartdata. 

[atg]

Jheez that collapse for 10k hours

[Lukas]

Billboard Hot 100 02/29/2020 Final Predictions:

Many people knew about the music video for Roxanne, but how many people knew about the new lyric video for it? I did not until like right now. And that's why Roxanne is back at its peak in my predictions.

Rank	Song	Radio	Sales	On-Demand Streaming	Official YouTube	Passive/UGC	Total Streaming	Weighted Streaming	Total Points
1	The Box	56,200,000	10,300	38,500,000	7,800,000	8,300,000	54,600,000	46,300,000	45,100
2	Life Is Good	37,300,000	7,500	28,400,000	13,800,000	3,900,000	46,100,000	39,000,000	36,200
3	Circles	104,400,000	11,400	12,400,000	700,000	4,200,000	17,300,000	14,200,000	29,200
4	Roxanne	75,600,000	5,000	14,600,000	3,600,000	2,900,000	21,100,000	17,700,000	26,100
5	Dance Monkey	57,600,000	15,500	15,400,000	1,900,000	5,500,000	22,800,000	18,800,000	25,900
6	Don't Start Now	81,200,000	11,000	12,700,000	900,000	2,800,000	16,400,000	13,900,000	25,200
7	Memories	92,600,000	11,000	8,600,000	1,100,000	4,500,000	14,200,000	11,300,000	25,100
8	Someone You Loved	82,500,000	7,500	10,600,000	400,000	5,000,000	16,000,000	12,900,000	24,000
9	Intentions	22,300,000	14,000	21,200,000	1,700,000	2,100,000	25,000,000	22,200,000	22,600
10	10,000 Hours	62,600,000	6,300	11,300,000	900,000	3,100,000	15,300,000	13,100,000	20,800
-	Yummy	25,200,000	10,000	17,500,000	3,200,000	2,000,000	22,700,000	20,100,000	20,700
-	Blinding Lights	38,200,000	11,200	14,700,000	1,200,000	4,700,000	20,600,000	16,900,000	20,700
-	Everything I Wanted	52,500,000	10,000	12,400,000	1,600,000	2,300,000	16,200,000	13,900,000	20,500
-	No Time To Die	1,000,000	22,500	17,600,000	5,000,000	2,200,000	24,800,000	21,100,000	20,000
-	Ballin'	40,300,000	2,800	12,800,000	2,600,000	3,300,000	18,700,000	15,700,000	18,500
-	Hot Girl Bummer	58,300,000	7,800	8,800,000	700,000	3,400,000	12,900,000	10,600,000	18,500
-	BOP	42,700,000	2,000	12,100,000	3,500,000	1,900,000	17,600,000	15,000,000	18,200
-	Heartless	77,400,000	1,800	6,000,000	500,000	2,400,000	8,900,000	7,200,000	17,900
-	Lose You To Love Me	69,800,000	4,000	6,100,000	500,000	3,000,000	9,600,000	7,600,000	17,500
-	The Bones	58,300,000	5,500	8,000,000	500,000	3,200,000	11,700,000	9,000,000	16,900

[fhas]

Feb 22, 2020 19:41:51 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Billboard Hot 100 02/29/2020 Final Predictions:

Many people knew about the music video for Roxanne, but how many people knew about the new lyric video for it? I did not until like right now. And that's why Roxanne is back at its peak in my predictions.

I also have Roxanne re-peaking if that video is counted as official, but I'm not sure if it's official because the YouTube channel is listed as "7clouds".

[tuna]

Feb 22, 2020 10:20:38 GMT -5 Choco said:

Feb 22, 2020 5:24:22 GMT -5 lights said:

There's a clear difference between making songs that sound like the 80s but with crisp modern production, and making something that sounds like it's a 2011 leftover

Yeah I haven't heard Gaga's entire leak but the snippet sounds like something from The Fame / 2010... which is a nice throwback but also a sound that is not on trend in 2020.

Dua (and the Weeknd) are doing 80s throwbacks, which is quite different.

On the other hand I would enjoy a revitalization of 2009-2011 pop a great deal

[atg]

Feb 22, 2020 17:30:08 GMT -5 moonlite said:

BTS release week is like the Superbowl for chartdata. 

i don’t understand bts. Why couldn’t we allow one direction or brockhampton have their level of success

[Choco]

I think you might have forgotten how inescapable One Direction (and Justin Bieber during the "Sorry" years) were. BTS is kind of a niche act compared to them.

They're very smart with how quickly they release stuff. Like 1D or BSB, all these crazes die down after a few years. Not everyone can pull a Bieber (or even a Jonas Brothers) and manage to retain an audience after their fanbase ages out of the demographic that cares about Twitter trends and the Social chart that Billboard publishes.

[Au$tin]

One Direction was far more successful than BTS.

[spicymapping]

final preds woo ft. slightly better understanding of numbers for some songs but top 100 numerically would be hella imprecise so i just used my best estimates to approximate everything.

1. The Box (=)
2. Life Is Good (=)
3. Circles (=)
4. Dance Monkey (+1)
5. Don’t Start Now (+1)
6. Roxanne (+1)
7. Memories (-3)
8. Intentions (+3)
9. Someone You Loved (-1)
10. Blinding Lights (+2)
11. Yummy (+8)
12. No Time To Die (NEW)
13. Everything I Wanted (-3)
14. 10,000 Hours (-5)
15. Heartless (+2)
16. Hot Girl Bummer (=)
17. Ballin’ (-3)
18. Bop (-3)
19. Numbers (NEW)
20. Adore You (+2)
21. The Bones (-3)
22. Lose You To Love Me (-9)
23. Forever (NEW)
24. Good As Hell (-4)
25. High Fashion (-4)
26. My Oh My (=)
27. Falling (-2)
28. You Should Be Sad (+3)
29. What a Man Gotta Do (+3)
30. Woah (-6)
31. No Guidance (-4)
32. Bad Guy (-3)
33. Kinfolks (+1)
34. Señorita (-1)
35. Godzilla (-7)
36. To Die For (NEW)
37. Give No Fxk (NEW)
38. Highest In The Room (-8)
39. One Man Band (-1)
40. Ritmo (-4)
41. Trampoline (-6)
42. Me and My Guitar (NEW)
43. I Hope (+5)
44. Sucker (-7)
45. Homesick (=)
46. Only Human (-7)
47. Blueberry Faygo (+15)
48. Might Not Give Up (NEW)
49. Sum 2 Prove (=)
50. Tusa (-8)
51. Thug Love (NEW)
52. Stain (NEW)
53. Juicy (-10)
54. Say So (+4)
55. Make Me Want To (-2)
56. Suicidal (-12)
57. Bandit (-6)
58. Go Stupid (NEW)
59. Out West (=)
60. South of The Border (-10)
61. Heart On Ice (-6)
62. Slide (-6)
63. Best On Earth (-9)
64. Heartache Medication (-12)
65. Come Around Me (NEW)
66. Nobody But You (-7)
67. Ignorantes (NEW)
68. I Wish Grandpas Never Died (+2)
69. More Hearts Than Mine (+2)
70. Toes (-7)
71. Cinderella Story (NEW)
72. What She Wants Tonight (-8)
73. Homemade (+2)
74. We Back (-5)
75. Before You Go (-4)
76. Habitual (NEW)
77. All Around Me (NEW)
78. Luv is Art (NEW)
79. Yikes (-56)
80. Dior (NEW)
81. What’s Poppin (+15)
82. Slow Dance In a Parking Lot (-6)
83. King of My City (+17)
84. Chasin’ You (-3)
85. After Hours (NEW)
86. DTB 4 Life (NEW)
87. Make No Sense (-8)
88. Heartless (-15)
89. Running Over (NEW)
90. Second Emotion (NEW)
91. I Hope You’re Happy Now (-14)
92. Get Me (NEW)
93. Available (NEW)
94. Sugar (-12)
95. P*$$y Fairy (-25)
96. I Do It (-35)
97. Rare (-10)
98. Come Thru (-9)
99. Homecoming Queen? (-13)
100. Hit Em Up (NEW)

[dynamac]

Not the hugest fan of Intentions, but rooting for it to go top 10 just to break up the monotony we’ve had as of late

[forg]

Feb 22, 2020 22:10:05 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

One Direction was far more successful than BTS.

Agreed, bigger sales and have non-frontloaded hits as well.

But BTS having this kind of longevity in the US is something I never thought would happen and impressive for a (predominantly) non-English speaking foreign act.

[forg]

Dua Lipa tweeting about hitting #1 on Pop Radio is cute, I hope the song reaches a high peak on the Hot 100 as well. I never expected it to be a big hit but I'm pleasantly surprised.

Someone You Loved still doing well on radio at this point shouldn't be a surprise if you're following the charts long enough. That is the type of song that lasts a lifetime on radio airplay. If #11 peaking song Say You Won't Let Go spent a year on the Hot 100 mostly thanks to radio, what more #1 single that actually has good streaming points as well.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Based on spicymapping's predictions, it looks like "I Don't Care" misses 2020 YE, but the two Jonas Brothers songs still has a chance.

[tuna]

p l e a s e let blinding lights hit the top 10 this week

[Future Captain]

Feb 22, 2020 17:30:08 GMT -5 moonlite said:

BTS release week is like the Superbowl for chartdata. 

gotta get them likes and retweets from BTS stans of course. At this point K-Pop stans is like the China of entertainment news outlet: The whole damn thing is bending over backward to accommodate them no matter the kind of shitty behavior they exhibited

[kcdawg13]

The fact that Only Human is still thriving with only a peak of #18 is incredible to me. It reached that like 4 months ago.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

I'll say this in defense of BTS stans; they're at least more tolerable than Nicki Minaj stans. At least BTS stans will listen to other K-Pop acts outside of BTS. Whereas there might be hip-hop fans who like Nicki, but there are a lot less Nicki stans who like or actively seek out hip-hop.

[gs]

Billboard Hot 100 02/29/2020 — Final Predictions

[annoymous1]

Feb 23, 2020 9:33:22 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

I'll say this in defense of BTS stans; they're at least more tolerable than Nicki Minaj stans. At least BTS stans will listen to other K-Pop acts outside of BTS. Whereas there might be hip-hop fans who like Nicki, but there are a lot less Nicki stans who like or actively seek out hip-hop.

Nicki's demographic is 90% gay people and 10% percent hip hop fans. I rarely take what some of the Barbz say and do seriously.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Feb 23, 2020 9:47:21 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

Feb 23, 2020 9:33:22 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

I'll say this in defense of BTS stans; they're at least more tolerable than Nicki Minaj stans. At least BTS stans will listen to other K-Pop acts outside of BTS. Whereas there might be hip-hop fans who like Nicki, but there are a lot less Nicki stans who like or actively seek out hip-hop.

Nicki's demographic is 90% gay people and 10% percent hip hop fans. I rarely take what some of the Barbz say and do seriously.

Yuck. As someone who's queer and who loves hip-hop, it really saddens me that the hip-hop artist many LGBT people have gravitated towards hasn't been Tyler the Creator or Kevin Abstract, but a woman who, lest we forget, was more than willing to work with a publicly known sex offender just to get a Top 5 hit.

[Deleted]

Feb 23, 2020 0:41:55 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

Based on spicymapping 's predictions, it looks like "I Don't Care" misses 2020 YE, but the two Jonas Brothers songs still has a chance.

That would be lovely. Mind you, I do enjoy "I Don't Care" more than your average music fan, but its period has been long gone by now, same for "Sucker", and I'd hate them to steal the Year-End spots of proper late-2019-to-2020 hits. I wouldn't mind "Only Human" making it, though, since it did peak late last year, and its momentum was unfortunately hindered by the Christmas freeze.

[phieaglesfan712]

Billboard Top 10 Flashback - Special Leap Day Edition (from 56 and 28 years ago):

February 29, 1964 - Beatlemania

01 01 I Want To Hold Your Hand - The Beatles (5th of 7 weeks at #1)
02 02 She Loves You - The Beatles
03 03 Dawn - The Four Seasons
04 05 Java - Al Hirt
05 08 California Sun - The Rivieras
06 29 Please Please Me - The Beatles
07 04 You Don't Own Me - Lesley Gore
08 10 Navy Blue - Diane Renay
09 12 Stop & Think It Over - Dale & Grace
10 06 Um Um Um Um Um Um - Major Lance

February 29, 1992

01 02 To Be With You - Mr. Big (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 01 I'm Too Sexy - Right Said Fred
03 03 I Love Your Smile - Shanice
04 05 Remember The Time - Michael Jackson
05 04 Diamonds And Pearls - Prince & The New Power Generation
06 07 Smells Like Teen Spirit - Nirvana
07 06 Don't Let The Sun Go Down On Me - George Michael & Elton John
08 15 Masterpiece - Atlantic Starr
09 08 Tell Me What You Want Me To Do - Tevin Campbell
10 09 All 4 Love - Color Me Badd

[thegreatdivine]

I hope Blinding Lights hits the top 10 on tomorrow's update, but even if it doesn't, I'm fairly certain it'll reach the top 10 the week the album drops. After Hours should reach the top 10 in next week's update. That's 3 straight top 10 hits for the Weeknd. Not bad at all.

[fhas]

Feb 23, 2020 10:58:15 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

I hope Blinding Lights hits the top 10 on tomorrow's update, but even if it doesn't, I'm fairly certain it'll reach the top 10 the week the album drops. After Hours should reach the top 10 in next week's update. That's 3 straight top 10 hits for the Weeknd. Not bad at all.

This week is 50-50 and next week is almost locked for Blinding Lights in the top 10.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/02/23

1(=) Post Malone - Circles 143.41(+0.31)
2(=) Maroon 5 - Memories 127.34(-0.54)
3(+1) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 111.39(+1.36)
4(-1) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 111.18(+0.20)
5(=) The Weeknd - Heartless 109.20(+0.48)
6(=) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 105.37(+0.07)
7(=) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 92.82(-1.99) -
8(=) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 87.64(-2.22)
9(+1) Roddy Ricch - The Box 82.03(+1.35)
10(+1) blackbear - hot girl bummer 81.30(+1.06)

14(=) Billie Eilish - everything i wanted 69.70(+1.21)

15(=) Harry Styles - Adore You 66.64(+1.67)

24(=) Future - Life Is Good (feat. Drake) 54.34(+1.00)

25(=) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 53.35(+0.99)

34(+2) Camila Cabello - My Oh My (feat. DaBaby) 43.28(+1.41)

45(+2) Russ - BEST ON EARTH (feat. BIA) [Bonus] 36.72(+0.94)

58(+2) Justin Bieber - Intentions (feat. Quavo) 31.30(+1.71)

-(-) Megan Thee Stallion - B**** 15.24(+0.75)

-(-) Pop Smoke - Dior 10.33(+0.82)

-(-) Charlie Wilson - Forever Valentine 8.70(+0.75)

[fhas]

FINAL PREDICTIONS

[thegreatdivine]

Feb 23, 2020 11:06:48 GMT -5 fhas said:

Feb 23, 2020 10:58:15 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

I hope Blinding Lights hits the top 10 on tomorrow's update, but even if it doesn't, I'm fairly certain it'll reach the top 10 the week the album drops. After Hours should reach the top 10 in next week's update. That's 3 straight top 10 hits for the Weeknd. Not bad at all.

This week is 50-50 and next week is almost locked for Blinding Lights in the top 10.

It'll definitely be interesting to see if he manages to score two top 10 hits next week.

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 60, 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:

February 22, 1960 (For the week ending February 27)

01 06 Theme From A Summer Place - Percy Faith & His Orchestra (1st of 9 weeks at #1)
02 01 Teen Angel - Mark Dinning
03 03 Handy Man - Jimmy Jones
04 04 He'll Have To Go - Jim Reeves
05 07 What In The World's Come Over You - Jack Scott
06 02 Running Bear - Johnny Preston
07 09 Let It Be Me - The Everly Brothers
08 11 La Mer (Beyond The Sea) - Bobby Darin
09 08 Lonely Blue Boy - Conway Twitty
10 05 Where Or When - Dion & The Belmonts


February 27, 1965

01 01 This Diamond Ring - Gary Lewis & The Playboys (2nd and final week at #1)
02 02 You've Lost That Lovin' Feeling - The Righteous Brothers
03 04 My Girl - The Temptations
04 03 Downtown - Petula Clark
05 06 The Jolly Green Giant - The Kingsmen
06 11 Tell Her No - The Zombies
07 08 Shake - Sam Cooke
08 10 The Boy From New York City - The Ad-Libs
09 09 I Go To Pieces - Peter & Gordon
10 17 King Of The Road - Roger Miller

19 53 Eight Days a Week - The Beatles
23 44 Goldfinger - Shirley Bassey


February 28, 1970

01 03 Bridge Over Troubled Water - Simon & Garfunkel (1st of 6 weeks at #1)
02 01 Thank You (Falettinme Be Mice Elf Again) - Sly & The Family Stone
03 05 Travelin' Band / Who'll Stop The Rain - Creedence Clearwater Revival
04 02 Hey There Lonely Girl - Eddie Holman
05 06 No Time - The Guess Who
06 14 Ma Belle Amie - Tee Set
07 08 Psychedelic Shack - The Temptations
08 07 Raindrops Keep Fallin' On My Head - B.J. Thomas
09 10 Rainy Night In Georgia - Brook Benton
10 09 Venus - Shocking Blue


March 1, 1975

01 02 Best Of My Love - The Eagles (1st and only week at #1)
02 05 Have You Never Been Mellow - Olivia Newton-John
03 04 Black Water - The Doobie Brothers
04 07 My Eyes Adored You - Frankie Valli
05 03 Some Kind Of Wonderful - Grand Funk
06 06 Lonely People - America
07 01 Pick Up The Pieces - Average White Band
08 17 Lady Marmalade - LaBelle
09 10 Nightingale - Carole King
10 14 Lady - Styx


March 1, 1980

01 01 Crazy Little Thing Called Love - Queen (2nd of 4 weeks at #1)
02 03 Yes I'm Ready - Teri DeSario & K.C.
03 02 Do That To Me One More Time - The Captain & Tennille
04 06 Longer - Dan Fogelberg
05 08 Desire - Andy Gibb
06 07 On The Radio - Donna Summer
07 04 Cruisin' - Smokey Robinson
08 05 Rock With You - Michael Jackson
09 13 Working My Way Back To You / Forgive Me, Girl - The Spinners
10 15 Another Brick In The Wall - Pink Floyd

[spicymapping]

Feb 23, 2020 9:47:21 GMT -5 annoymous1 said:

Feb 23, 2020 9:33:22 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

I'll say this in defense of BTS stans; they're at least more tolerable than Nicki Minaj stans. At least BTS stans will listen to other K-Pop acts outside of BTS. Whereas there might be hip-hop fans who like Nicki, but there are a lot less Nicki stans who like or actively seek out hip-hop.

Nicki's demographic is 90% gay people and 10% percent hip hop fans. I rarely take what some of the Barbz say and do seriously.

i think it's more like

10% luck
20% skill
15% concentrated power of will
5% pleasure
50% pain