Billboard Hot 100: 11/21/2020

[Deleted]

Nov 9, 2020 9:22:44 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Nov 9, 2020 7:51:28 GMT -5 iamsorare said:

How many videos can YouTube handle this friday? Billie eilish? Lil nas x? Shawn/Justin?

Don't forget in albums, we're getting Aesop Rock, Chris Stapleton, and BENEE (y'all better be streaming her if you don't want her to be a OHW). This Friday is gonna be nuts!

If we don't end up streaming her, I could see something like this.
Todd in 2032: Welcome back to One Hit Wonderland, where we talk about bands and artists known for only one song, and today we're going back to the era of TikTok and Coronavirus, 2020. Now, what song from that God-forsaken year have I got in store?
I know I f**ked up, I'm just a loser...

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Nov 9, 2020 12:21:19 GMT -5 @gabingston said:

Nov 9, 2020 9:22:44 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Don't forget in albums, we're getting Aesop Rock, Chris Stapleton, and BENEE (y'all better be streaming her if you don't want her to be a OHW). This Friday is gonna be nuts!

If we don't end up streaming her, I could see something like this.
Todd in 2032: Welcome back to One Hit Wonderland, where we talk about bands and artists known for only one song, and today we're going back to the era of TikTok and Coronavirus, 2020. Now, what song from that God-forsaken year have I got in store?
I know I f**ked up, I'm just a loser...

Can't wait for Zoomers to request either Carly Rae Jepsen or Lorde - unaware they both had second hits - now that EMOTION and Melodrama are two of the most critically acclaimed pop albums of the 2010s.

[m450n]

Nov 9, 2020 12:29:19 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Nov 9, 2020 12:21:19 GMT -5 @gabingston said:

If we don't end up streaming her, I could see something like this.
Todd in 2032: Welcome back to One Hit Wonderland, where we talk about bands and artists known for only one song, and today we're going back to the era of TikTok and Coronavirus, 2020. Now, what song from that God-forsaken year have I got in store?
I know I f**ked up, I'm just a loser...

Can't wait for Zoomers to request either Carly Rae Jepsen or Lorde - unaware they both had second hits - now that EMOTION and Melodrama are two of the most critically acclaimed pop albums of the 2010s.

I don't think Zoomers would ever come for queen Lorde creator of Ribs. But i've def seen some disrespect towards Carly.

[andrebra]

Billies single will be released Thursday and it’s titled “Therefore I Am”

[kindofbiased]

Nov 9, 2020 11:50:49 GMT -5 kindofbiased said:

wait ok I would love new Billie Eilish music but where are people saying she’s gonna drop on Friday???

well lmao

[lazer]

With Lil Nas X and Billie Eilish coming back, it feels like summer 2019 all over again.

Which one will be a bigger hit for Lil Nas? Holiday or Call Me By Your Name?

[thegreatdivine]

Nov 9, 2020 11:50:49 GMT -5 kindofbiased said:

wait ok I would love new Billie Eilish music but where are people saying she’s gonna drop on Friday???

[alexandria2001]

It's good to see those who dominated Spring and Summer 2019 both release songs on the same day. I hope both songs become hits. With Ariana back as well, this is pretty much a general follow up to April - July/August 2019 popular music. New Justin Bieber and Shawn Mendes in the same month would boost this reminiscence of Spring - Summer 2019. I'm excited for this.

[atg]

Nov 9, 2020 13:15:06 GMT -5 lazer said:

With Lil Nas X and Billie Eilish coming back, it feels like summer 2019 all over again.

Which one will be a bigger hit for Lil Nas? Holiday or Call Me By Your Name?

Holiday obviously sounds like a seasonal name but we’ll see how it does. It could possibly have nothing to do with the holidays at all

[lazer]

Nov 9, 2020 14:52:25 GMT -5 atg said:

Nov 9, 2020 13:15:06 GMT -5 lazer said:

With Lil Nas X and Billie Eilish coming back, it feels like summer 2019 all over again.

Which one will be a bigger hit for Lil Nas? Holiday or Call Me By Your Name?

Holiday obviously sounds like a seasonal name but we’ll see how it does. It could possibly have nothing to do with the holidays at all

When I first heard the snippet of Call Me By Your Name, I feel like it has more hit potential.

[Limited Edition]

Nov 9, 2020 14:32:20 GMT -5 alexandria2001 said:

It's good to see those who dominated Spring and Summer 2019 both release songs on the same day. I hope both songs become hits. With Ariana back as well, this is pretty much a general follow up to April - July/August 2019 popular music. New Justin Bieber and Shawn Mendes in the same month would boost this reminiscence of Spring - Summer 2019. I'm excited for this.

I'm not hoping anything until I hear the songs

[jayhawk1117]

Well Mariah is already at 52 on Spotify. She's coming.

[strongerq]

Many artists can't relate.

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Nov 9, 2020 18:27:17 GMT -5 strongerq said:

Many artists can't relate.

It also now holds the most views on YouTube, truly legendary!

[starlord]

Post promoted snippet of Sunflower, Circles first on show and even last album announcement. So fingers crossed. 

[𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿]

Nov 10, 2020 0:17:34 GMT -5 starlord said:

Post promoted snippet of Sunflower, Circles first on show and even last album announcement. So fingers crossed. 

Pushing "Circles" back to the chart I assume?

[starlord]

Nov 10, 2020 0:19:30 GMT -5 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 said:

Nov 10, 2020 0:17:34 GMT -5 starlord said:

Post promoted snippet of Sunflower, Circles first on show and even last album announcement. So fingers crossed. 

Pushing "Circles" back to the chart I assume?

I don't think so, its been 14 months since new music and even 1 single won't hurt Grammy campaign(if they are doing it). 

[kingvavis]

Is there a way to find out the total amount streams for a song on YouTube? If so how?

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

[dann]

W

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 11/09/2020

1(=) Ariana Grande - positions 1,261,012 (+111,474)
2(=) Internet Money - Lemonade 1,014,043 (-7,373)
3(=) Bad Bunny, Jhay Cortez - Dakiti 1,006,019 (+33,257)
4(+3) Ariana Grande - 34+35 845,523 (+60,472)
5(=) Pop Smoke - For the Night 820,667 (-17,011)
6(=) 24kGoldn - Mood 794,555 (-24,661)
7(-3) Cardi B - WAP 771,010 (-102,691)
8(=) Pop Smoke - What You Know Bout Love 754,085 (-7,023)
9(+2) Ariana Grande - pov 723,865 (+127,504)
10(-1) Drake - Laugh Now Cry Later 698,482 (-20,433)

Other:
11(-1) Justin Bieber - Lonely 686,422 (+60,109)
12(+1) The Kid LAROI - SO DONE 634,583 (+54,487)
13(-1) Jack Harlow - Tyler Herro 631,961 (+35,857)
14(+1) Justin Bieber - Holy 582,707 (+28,889)
15(+2) Luke Combs - Forever After All 578,627 (+24,809)
17(+4) Ariana Grande - motive 572,393 (+51,544)
18(=) Maluma, The Weeknd - Hawái Remix 551,476 (+16,048)
19(+3) Ritt Momney - Put Your Records On 549,311 (+32,688)
20(+3) Conan Gray - Heather 523,289 (+48,420)
23(-3) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 509,661 (-11,259)
24(+3) Tate McRae - you broke me first 501,894 (+42,135)
25(+4) 24kGoldn - Mood Remix 492,324 (+54,597)
26(+7) Clairo - Sofia 457,834 (+33,404)
27(+4) Dua Lipa - Levitating 451,643 (+25,615)
29(+5) Polo G - Martin & Gina 449,461 (+26,241)
33(+5) Machine Gun Kelly - my ex's best friend 433,597 (+29,003)
36(+12) Ariana Grande - off the table 422,784 (+42,871)
37(+8) Ariana Grande - just like magic 422,720 (+39,531)
38(+11) Shawn Mendes - Wonder 419,137 (+40,593)
39(=) 21 Savage - Runnin 418,939 (+19,076)
40(+2) The Kid LAROI - ALWAYS DO 415,341 (+24,437)
41(-6) King Von - Took Her to the O 407,031 (-4,344)
43(+3) 21 Savage - Mr. Right Now 399,666 (+17,354)
46(-2) DaBaby - PRACTICE 385,509 (+1,916)
47(+3) DDG - Moonwalking in the Calabasas 382,493 (+8,965)
50(+6) The Kid LAROI - TRAGIC 369,527 (+16,629)
51(+1) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas is You 368,380 (-1,420)
52(+5) Ashnikko - Daisy 364,967 (+15,887)
57(-17) King Von - The Code 354,278 (-37,767)
54(+7) The Kid LAROI - WITHOUT YOU 359,985 (+31,043)
63(-10) NAV - Young Wheezy 342,756 (-26,033)
66(-1) The Kid LAROI - F*CK YOU, GOODBYE 332,582 (+17,085)
67(+8) CORPSE and Savage Ga$p - E-GIRLS ARE RUINING MY LIFE! 329,991 (+32,219)
68(-1) Mike WiLL Made-It - What That Speed Bout!? 329,167 (+15,084)
69(+24) James Arthur - Train Wreck 328,881 (+50,659)
70(+1) Luke Combs - Better Together 325,309 (+20,484)
71(+7) Harry Styles - Golden 323,269 (+31,028)
78(-1) Miley Cyrus - Midnight Sky 308,437 (+15,613)
82(=) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree 306,906 (+21,002)
85(-15) Jawsh 465, Jason Derulo - Savage Love 299,397 (-5,728)
88(-12) Trippie Redd - Weeeeee 289,731 (-4,907)
89(+29) The Neighbourhood - Daddy Issues 285,710 (+35,088)
91(+5) Bobby Helm - Jingle Bell Rock 244,817 283,705 (+8,023)
100(+14) CJ - Whoopty 273,818 (+21,655)

104(+7) Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me 269,671 (+12,123)
106(+1) Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 267,813 (+6,982)
108(+8) NAV - Don't Need Friends 264,277 (+12,694)
111(-3) Joel Corry - Head & Heart 263,120 (+2,505)
113(=) Wham! - Last Christmas 262,984 (+6,650)
119(+1) Only The Family, King Von - Crazy Story 257,618 (+9,620)
122(+18) Fousheé - Deep End 256,604 (+18,650)
126(-4) Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot like Christmas 254,156 (+6,813)
137(+7) Jason Derulo - Take You Dancing 243,618 (+9,553)
146(-4) Maluma - Hawái 236,046 (-1,534)
181(+3) Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree 206,652 (+5,405)

Total Streams for Mood: 1,256,943
Total Streams for Hawái: 773,008

Biggest Gains (50K+): Train Wreck, Mood Remix, motive, SO DONE, Lonely, pov, 34+35, positions

FDT and Party in the U.S.A. sadly left. It looks like they might not chart

[kingvavis]

You know Fortnite is no longer the cultural behemoth it once was when Lil Nas X of all people is not even performing on there.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

I'm telling you, what Ariana needs to do is get herself into Smash Bros or Animal Crossing, collab with K.K. Slider so she can get that 6th number-one debut!

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/11/10

1(=) 24kGoldn - Mood (feat. iann dior) 132.34(+0.66) +
2(=) Gabby Barrett - I Hope (feat. Charlie Puth) 119.89(+0.10)
3(=) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 110.89(-1.47)
4(=) Lewis Capaldi - Before You Go 97.87(-0.96)
5(=) Drake - Laugh Now Cry Later (feat. Lil Durk) 97.86(-0.22)
6(=) Surf Mesa - ily (i love you baby) [feat. Emilee] 94.31(+1.17)
7(=) Jawsh 685 x Jason Derulo - Savage Love (Laxed - Siren Beat)91.14 -1.29 4 117.30 23/79 70 174 22
8(=) Chris Brown & Young Thug - Go Crazy 90.74(+0.42) +

9(=) Ava Max - Kings & Queens 90.31(+1.40)
10(=) Harry Styles - Watermelon Sugar 81.02(-1.62)

11(+1) Justin Bieber - Holy (feat. Chance the Rapper) 69.43(+1.21)

15(=) BTS - Dynamite 62.97(+0.71)

26(=) Ariana Grande - positions 44.86(+0.96)

30(+2) Dua Lipa - Levitating (feat. DaBaby) 43.03(+0.81) +

40(+1) Internet Money & Gunna - Lemonade (feat. Don Toliver & NAV) 34.44(+0.97)

74(+7) Harry Styles - Golden 19.87(+0.82)

-(-) Foo Fighters - Shame Shame 6.58(+4.68)

-(-) Sada Baby - Whole Lotta Choppas (Remix) [feat. Nicki Minaj] 6.50(+1.90) +

[lazer]

I'm really surprised on how Bad Bunny is doing on Spotify and Apple.

[phieaglesfan712]

I highly doubt positions will score 215 points this week. I think it will fall below 200, and be #5, behind BL, LNCL, and I Hope.

[iamsorare]

Shawn/Justin collab pushed back..the new plan is for AMAS week.Shawn will perform

[mikeymonster]

I really hope "Kings & Queens" can push into the top 15, at least, this week!

It's doing so well in sales & radio. Lacking heavily in streaming, but hopefully that won't prevent it from reaching top 10 in a few weeks.

It's currently #6 on iTunes and will be #7 on overall radio tomorrow!

[kierz7]

Question:

How many points would it take for a song to chart at #100 on the Hot 100? I’m seeing a lot of songs that are viral on Tik Tok suddenly climbing iTunes/AM and making big jumps.

Where would they need to place on iTunes/AM/Spotify for that to happen?

[strongerq]

Nov 10, 2020 17:32:42 GMT -5 kierz7 said:

Question:

How many points would it take for a song to chart at #100 on the Hot 100? I’m seeing a lot of songs that are viral on Tik Tok suddenly climbing iTunes/AM and making big jumps.

Where would they need to place on iTunes/AM/Spotify for that to happen?

From the TOTC prediction for last week, this is around position 100 and those that barely don't make it.

So less than 50 points are needed. First column is sales, 2nd is total streams & 3rd is radio. Since TikTok songs have no radio here are 2 suiting examples. So 1k sales and 6M audio streams should be enough. in Spicy's case out of 5.8, 5M are audio, 400K video & programed each. Ignoring video & programed 6M audio will give even more points.

So for a pop song which gets 60% of audio streams from Spotify. It would need 3.6M weekly Spotify US streams (515M daily average). And 1K sales ofc

tl;dr: 6M Audio streams & 1k sales will give you ~47 points. 0 radio/0 video