HITS 11/13: Ariana #1 68k, The Kid Laroi #3 45k, NAV #5 37k

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

HERE'S YOUR GRANDE, SMOKY TOP 20, KID

Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Ariana Grande pulls ahead of Pop Smoke to secure a second week at #1. A rebound in her streaming can be credited for the boost. The Kid LAROI will re-enter at #3 thanks to a deluxe version. NAV remains a contender for the Top 5, with Juice WRLD a possible spoiler.

TITLES IN GOLD = DEBUTS

In political news, we're still doomscrolling. You?

[HolidayGuy]

Yikes- wonder what will be No. 1 in album sales. Maybe Kylie Minogue's album? Question is, how low the total will be.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^Agreed. It might be the first #1 in Top Album Sales with less than 10k in pure sales.

[Wave.]

middle finger to my thumb and then I snap it

We love to see a 2nd week at #1.

[Nick]

Kylie has never been huge in the U.S. I think an easy 2nd week for Ari.

[Caviar]

I thought Ariana’s career peaked???

She’s not lifting her foot off the #1 spot.

[Eloqueen™]

Nov 10, 2020 20:15:46 GMT -5 Caviar said:

I thought Ariana’s career peaked???

Lol I wouldn't argue against this fact. Even with the 2nd week at #1.

[HolidayGuy]

Minogue's album has been high on the iTunes chart since its release (back at No. 1)- though that doesn't mean big sales these days.

[jodakyellow]

Nov 10, 2020 19:03:00 GMT -5 Nick said:

Kylie has never been huge in the U.S. I think an easy 2nd week for Ari.

Kylie won’t need “huge” to top the sales chart, though. I don’t think upwards of 7k pure sales is impossible

[dovahduck]

Damn, Nav really out here making the #5 spot, the new #1 spot. The Brown Boy really stays winning no matter what... 🤒

[Deleted]

The numbers are just straight up not good. The second week at no. 1 isn't due to good numbers, just due to lack of competition. I can see her tumbling out of the top ten by the end of November if these numbers are an indication of things to come.

[HolidayGuy]

If the second-week projection holds, that would be a ~63% drop for positions. Isn't that a better hold than some second-week declines/ Still not amazing numbers, though the drop wouldn't be as bleak as all that.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

To keep things in perspective, positions would have more than a 84% drop in sales (pure + TEAs) and 47% in SEAs, 61% in overall SPS. I don't get a good feeling about its longevity in the Billboard 200 prospects.

[Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ]

Billboard 200 is basically a streaming chart now. One big single can carry the whole album..and with positions and POTENTIALLY pov, she’ll be fine.

[jenglisbe]

Nov 11, 2020 8:46:11 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

If the second-week projection holds, that would be a ~63% drop for positions. Isn't that a better hold than some second-week declines/ Still not amazing numbers, though the drop wouldn't be as bleak as all that.

It could be, but some of those huge drops had bundles that inflated opening sales more. It would need to be an even comparison.

[Deleted]

Nov 11, 2020 9:14:31 GMT -5 Ｓｏｕｎｄｃｌ🕤ｃｋ said:

Billboard 200 is basically a streaming chart now. One big single can carry the whole album..and with positions and POTENTIALLY pov, she’ll be fine.

True. POV has the greatest shot of being a hit out of any song on the album, but if her team doesn't prioritise it over 34+35 its impact might be reduced.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Kodak Black released an album. It is currently #1 in Apple Music.

[kimberly]

Nov 11, 2020 8:46:11 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

If the second-week projection holds, that would be a ~63% drop for positions. Isn't that a better hold than some second-week declines/ Still not amazing numbers, though the drop wouldn't be as bleak as all that.

I said this in the album thread for Ariana (after chartdata tweeted their 70k projection):

If the 70k figure holds up, it'll be one of the softest Week 2 drops among recent #1 pop albums.

Positions - 59.77% drop
Rare - 66.07% drop
After Hours - 68.92% drop
Changes - 71.43% drop
Chromatica - 76.64% drop
Map of the Soul: 7 - 80.09% drop
Fine Line - 81.38% drop
Folklore - 84.04% drop

[HolidayGuy]

For some reason, I had a higher number in mind when thinking about the first week- hence the 63% I posted. The debut numbers trended downward from the projections,m so we'll see where the week-two-figure ends up. Nonetheless, percentage-wise, it won't be so bad, comparatively.

[Night Senses]

Harry top 15 with 6k PURE after 11 months, never charting below #22 in its entire chart run. A real blockbuster album. Love to see it.

[andrebra]

^^ yeah it really is so impressive! I don’t think anyone was expecting it still charting in the top 20 11 months after its release.

[Choco]

Ariana's softer drop is also due to it not really starting that high to begin with. Two week total would still be well below her previous album's first week (and on par with sweetener's debut week if I recall correctly).

[kimberly]

Nov 12, 2020 13:44:30 GMT -5 Choco said:

Ariana's softer drop is also due to it not really starting that high to begin with. Two week total would still be well below her previous album's first week (and on par with sweetener's debut week if I recall correctly).

Clearly. If softer drops meant anything for the longevity of an album, we'd still be streaming Rare, wouldn't we? 

[WolfSpear]

Nov 12, 2020 0:01:33 GMT -5 andrebra said:

^^ yeah it really is so impressive! I don’t think anyone was expecting it still charting in the top 20 11 months after its release.

Neither did I and I’m a fan!

Call it pop, or maybe rock... whatever it is, it’s both a homage to older rock acts (CSNY and Rolling Stones) and a fresh sounding record.

[After Minutes]

Not at the brown boi not being #1 

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=324021&title=EARLY-CHART-ACTION%3A-REPUBLIC%27S-TRIO-AND-COLUMBIA%27S-KID

EARLY CHART ACTION: REPUBLIC'S TRIO AND COLUMBIA'S KID

Ariana Grande’s lead over #2 Pop Smoke continues to increase on our Building Top 50 chart. With nearly 90% of the numbers in, we’re projecting Positions to finish with around 80k. Monte Lipman’s Republic once again has the Top 2 albums. Columbia’s The Kid LAROI vaults to #3 thanks to the deluxe (SAVAGE) version of F*CK LOVE. Republic picks up another Top 5 slot this week with NAV mixtape, Emergency Tsunami.

Elsewhere on the chart, the late King Von’s Welcome To O’Block increases from its first week to enter the Top 10. Two other King Von titles will also appear in this week’s Top 50. As always, the current numbers are building and therefore not yet final. Check back this afternoon for the final totals and chart position.

Friday, November 13, 2020

[daysintheeast]

Nov 13, 2020 15:28:00 GMT -5 strongerq said:

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=324021&title=EARLY-CHART-ACTION%3A-REPUBLIC%27S-TRIO-AND-COLUMBIA%27S-KID

EARLY CHART ACTION: REPUBLIC'S TRIO AND COLUMBIA'S KID

Ariana Grande’s lead over #2 Pop Smoke continues to increase on our Building Top 50 chart. With nearly 90% of the numbers in, we’re projecting Positions to finish with around 80k. Monte Lipman’s Republic once again has the Top 2 albums. Columbia’s The Kid LAROI vaults to #3 thanks to the deluxe (SAVAGE) version of F*CK LOVE. Republic picks up another Top 5 slot this week with NAV mixtape, Emergency Tsunami.

Elsewhere on the chart, the late King Von’s Welcome To O’Block increases from its first week to enter the Top 10. Two other King Von titles will also appear in this week’s Top 50. As always, the current numbers are building and therefore not yet final. Check back this afternoon for the final totals and chart position.

Friday, November 13, 2020

the first couple sentences sounded like the US election coverage lol

[kimberly]

Nov 11, 2020 15:38:48 GMT -5 kimberly said:

Nov 11, 2020 8:46:11 GMT -5 HolidayGuy said:

If the second-week projection holds, that would be a ~63% drop for positions. Isn't that a better hold than some second-week declines/ Still not amazing numbers, though the drop wouldn't be as bleak as all that.

I said this in the album thread for Ariana (after chartdata tweeted their 70k projection):

If the 70k figure holds up, it'll be one of the softest Week 2 drops among recent #1 pop albums.

Positions - 59.77% drop
Rare - 66.07% drop
After Hours - 68.92% drop
Changes - 71.43% drop
Chromatica - 76.64% drop
Map of the Soul: 7 - 80.09% drop
Fine Line - 81.38% drop
Folklore - 84.04% drop

Ariana's HITSDD final update says she did 81.8k SPS this week, which would make her decline even softer—in the ballpark of 55%.

[jamatthews83]

A much smaller gain this week, but it looks like Carrie will gain each week from here on out.

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
1	1	ARIANA GRANDE	POSITIONS	REPUBLIC	81,803	-55%	7,667	1,055	73,081
3	2	POP SMOKE	SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON	VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC	57,601	-3%	419	754	56,428
--	3	THE KID LAROI	F-CK LOVE	COLUMBIA	52,115	--	347	363	51,405
4	4	LUKE COMBS	WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	45,346	-10%	4,874	2,703	37,768
--	5	NAV	EMERGENCY TSUNAMI	XO/REPUBLIC	44,147	--	7,614	247	36,286
14	6	KING VON	WELCOME TO O'BLOCK	ONLY THE FAMILY/EMPIRE	41,207	68%	1,001	277	39,930
6	7	JUICE WRLD	LEGENDS NEVER DIE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	38,617	-2%	1,793	421	36,403
8	8	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL	32,986	-1%	117	216	32,653
11	9	HAMILTON	ORIGINAL BROADWAY CAST	UPTOWN/ATLANTIC	30,188	2%	2,814	289	27,085
25	10	TAYLOR SWIFT	FOLKLORE	REPUBLIC	29,989	56%	14,807	267	14,914
2	11	TRIPPIE REDD	PEGASUS	TENTHOUSAND/CAROLINE	26,493	-57%	1,279	81	25,134
15	12	MACHINE GUN KELLY	TICKETS TO MY DOWNFALL	BAD BOY/INTERSCOPE	26,237	7%	5,340	491	20,407
10	13	21 SAVAGE & METRO BOOMIN	SAVAGE MODE II	BOOMINATI/REPUBLIC/SLAUGHTER GANG/EPIC	25,581	-14%	96	178	25,307
12	14	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC	24,680	-5%	991	481	23,208
13	15	HARRY STYLES	FINE LINE	COLUMBIA	23,962	-5%	5,543	898	17,521
16	16	DABABY	BLAME IT ON BABY	SCMG/INTERSCOPE	23,050	-4%	114	366	22,570
5	17	SAM SMITH	LOVE GOES	CAPITOL	22,499	-46%	6,613	869	15,018
17	18	YOUNGBOY NEVER BROKE AGAIN	TOP	NEVER BROKE AGAIN/ATLANTIC	22,432	-5%	43	138	22,250
18	19	ROD WAVE	PRAY 4 LOVE	ALAMO/GEFFEN/INTERSCOPE	21,019	-3%	70	141	20,808
22	20	POLO G	THE GOAT	COLUMBIA	20,252	2%	70	119	20,062
--	21	TOMORROW X TOGETHER	MINISODE1 : BLUE HOUR - EP	REPUBLIC	20,237	--	18,762	48	1,427
--	22	KYLIE MINOGUE	DISCO	BMG	20,169	--	16,217	578	3,374
24	23	JUICE WRLD	GOODBYE & GOOD RIDDANCE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	19,816	1%	181	107	19,528
19	24	BAD BUNNY	YHLQMDLG	RIMAS	19,668	-4%	137	94	19,437
21	25	THE WEEKND	AFTER HOURS	XO/REPUBLIC	18,529	-8%	1,675	755	16,099
28	26	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	17,987	-1%	1,097	438	16,452
27	27	INTERNET MONEY	B4 THE STORM	INTERNET MONEY/TENTHOUSAND	17,272	-6%	14	199	17,058
26	28	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER	17,258	-8%	3,051	1,026	13,180
31	29	LIL UZI VERT	ETERNAL ATAKE	GENERATION NOW/ATLANTIC	16,048	-1%	152	35	15,861
33	30	MORGAN WALLEN	IF I KNOW ME	BIG LOUD	15,981	4%	1,075	446	14,461
48	31	LIL DURK	JUST CAUSE Y'ALL WAITED 2	ALAMO/GEFFEN/INTERSCOPE	15,973	17%	39	89	15,846
--	32	MALUMA	PAPI JUANCHO	SONY MUSIC LATIN	15,821	--	36	434	15,351
--	33	KING VON	LEVON JAMES	ONLY THE FAMILY/KING VON/EMPIRE	15,485	--	162	144	15,178
35	34	JUICE WRLD	DEATH RACE FOR LOVE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	15,293	0%	328	76	14,889
9	35	QUEEN NAIJA	MISSUNDERSTOOD	CAPITOL	15,281	-54%	825	188	14,269
32	36	BILLIE EILISH	WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?	DARKROOM/INTERSCOPE	15,186	-5%	2,604	209	12,373
47	37	CARRIE UNDERWOOD	MY GIFT	CAPITOL NASHVILLE	15,109	10%	13,238	207	1,664
34	38	MONEYBAGG YO & BLAC YOUNGSTA	CODE RED	N-LESS/INTERSCOPE	14,706	-4%	16	154	14,535
38	39	LEWIS CAPALDI	DIVINELY UNINSPIRED TO A HELLISH EXTENT	VERTIGO BERLIN/CAPITOL	14,400	-4%	505	666	13,229
46	40	QUEEN	GREATEST HITS 1	HOLLYWOOD	14,055	2%	1,847	537	11,671
40	41	POST MALONE	BEERBONGS & BENTLEYS	REPUBLIC	14,010	-2%	417	164	13,429
44	42	RODDY RICCH	PLEASE EXCUSE ME FOR BEING ANTISOCIAL	BIRD VISION/ATLANTIC	13,900	-2%	104	75	13,721
41	43	DUA LIPA	FUTURE NOSTALGIA	WARNER	13,843	-3%	512	896	12,435
43	44	GUNNA	WUNNA	YOUNG STONER LIFE	13,783	-3%	11	44	13,729
--	45	KING VON	GRANDSON, VOL. 1	ONLY THE FAMILY/EMPIRE	13,324	--	125	157	13,042
49	46	SUMMER WALKER	OVER IT	LVRN/INTERSCOPE	13,292	5%	170	68	13,054
50	47	JHENE AIKO	CHILOMBO	DEF JAM	13,228	4%	96	146	12,986
45	48	TRAVIS SCOTT	ASTROWORLD	CACTUS JACK/GRAND HUSTLE/EPIC	13,223	-4%	585	75	12,564
42	49	BLACKPINK	THE ALBUM	INTERSCOPE	13,219	-7%	5,644	274	7,301
7	50	BUSTA RHYMES	EXTINCTION LEVEL EVENT 2: THE WRATH OF GOD	CONGLOMERATE/EMPIRE	13,071	-66%	3,488	435	9,147