Billboard Hot 100: 01/30/2021

[bigolefreak]

Jan 15, 2021 15:17:22 GMT -5 daysintheeast said:

i just checked AM charts, had no idea the yung bleu/drake song is #11 lol. how is this song that was released in Oct still so high

Yeah it's doing really well. Re-entered #10 on AM this morning and it peaked at #9 in October. Constantly rising on Spotify UK this week too. I wrote it off on its first day but I revisited it during the Christmas period and now its my #1 on my Spotify On Repeat playlist lol. Hope there's more of this on CLB!

[Groovy]

So I just found today that Harry released Treat People with Kindness as a single last week, any odds that it will be a hit after Golden? It's not a terrible song but it's easily one of the weakest songs on Fine Line.

[kacpi]

Jan 16, 2021 9:44:08 GMT -5 Groovy said:

So I just found today that Harry released Treat People with Kindness as a single last week, any odds that it will be a hit after Golden? It's not a terrible song but it's easily one of the weakest songs on Fine Line.

I think 'TPWK' is treated as single only in the UK since the song was sent to AC radio there, I didn't find anything about it impacting the US radio. The best shot at entering the BH100 chart (it debuted on Bubbling Under when Harry released 'Fine Line') was when the music video dropped (January 1) but the track didn't even re-enter the daily Spotify Top 200 chart, so the chances are low if not non-existent.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 01/15/21

1(=) Olivia Rodrigo - drivers license 4,971,803 (-299,333)
2(debut) Ariana Grande - 34+35 Remix 1,619,016
3(-1) SZA - Good Days 1,387,122 (+76,877)
4(debut) Juice WRLD - Bad Boy 1,311,221
5(+2) CJ - Whoopty 808,479 (+59,121)
6(+2) 24kGoldn - Mood 787,831 (+44,862)
7(-1) Internet Money - Lemonade 778,511 (+25,096)
8(-4) Morgan Wallen - Wasted On You 775,023 (-4,926)
9(+1) Ariana Grande - positions 766,884 (+64,751)
10(-5) Morgan Wallen - Somebody's Problem 757,942 (-5,259)

Others:
11(-8) Ariana Grande - 34+35 756,074 (-149,596)
12(-3) The Kid LAROI - WITHOUT YOU 753,123 (+23,761)
13(-2) Justin Bieber - Anyone 744,080 (+54,617)
14(-2) Bad Bunny, Jhay Cortez - DÁKITI 725,522 (+36,185)
15(-2) Dua Lipa - Levitating 721,235 (+72,267)
16(=) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 661,724 (+67,642)
18(+9) Saweetie - Best Friend 617,565 (+96,145)
21(-4) Billie Eilish - Therefore I Am 601,765 (+10,248)
22(-4) Pop Smoke - What You Know Bout Love 583,712 (+20,520)
23(+1) Megan Thee Stallion - Body 580,019 (+39,237)
24(+2) Morgan Wallen - More Than My Hometown 576,131 (+51,939)
25(+4) Doja Cat - Streets 569,202 (+71,794)
27(-5) Morgan Wallen - Sand In My Boots 557,267 (+16,258)
28(-9) Morgan Wallen - 7 Summers 551,344 (-141)
29(-4) Taylor Swift - willow 548,786 (+12,328)
31(+1) Lil Nas X - HOLIDAY 512,919 (+21,220)
32(-4) Morgan Wallen - 865 509,819 (+857)
34(-3) Tate McRae - you broke me first 494,357 (+1,903)
36(-2) Jack Harlow - Way Out 483,491 (+4,339)
38(-1) Warning 468,227 (+2,656)
39(-1) Still Goin' Down 467,676 (+15,050)
40(debut) Joshua Bassett - Lie Lie Lie 465,523
41(+2) Megan Thee Stallion - Cry Baby 464,117 (+23,265)
43(-4) Morgan Wallen - Cover Me Up 461,103 (+8,730)
44(-8) Jack Harlow - Tyler Herro 458,745 (-8,445)
46(+4) Shawn Mendes - Monster 438,579 (+28,282)
47(-12) Morgan Wallen - Livin' the Dream 434,582 (-40,165)
48(-3) Justin Bieber - Lonely 433,625 (+15,160)
49(+4) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 432,702 (+31,466)
51(-2) Pop Smoke - Hello 431,663 (+19,940)
52(debut) Selena Gomez - De Una Vez 430,921
53(re-entry) ZAYN - Vibez 430,299
55(-14) Olivia Rodrigo - All I Want 428,386 (-21,168)
56(-5) Machine Gun Kelly - my ex's best friend 419,724 (+13,568)
58(-4) Ariana Grande - pov 413,993 (+18,591)
59(debut) DaBaby - Masterpiece 410,504
60(-14) Juice WRLD, The Kid LAROI - Reminds Me Of You 406,153 (-9,312)
63(-5) AJR - Bang! 390,255 (+7,972)
64(-8) The Kid LAROI - SO DONE 387,892 (+2,823)
67(+29) Ashnikko - Daisy 382,141 (+74,323)
72(-9) Lil Baby - On Me 371,971 (-6,945)
73(-6) Ritt Momney - Put Your Records On 369,860 (+6,055)
74(+11) DDG - Moonwalking in Calabasas Remix 369,523 (+41,341)
78(-5) Miley Cyrus - Prisoner 362,123 (+21,899)
79(debut) Travis Scott, HVME - Goosebumps 356,517
80(-9) The Neighbourhood - Daddy Issues 355,889 (+922)
81(+14) Erica Banks - Buss It 352,172 (+38,551)
84(+14) Lil Durk - Still Trappin' 345,087 (+43,988)
86(re-entry) Lana Del Rey - Chemtrails Over the Country Club 342,908
88(-12) Mother Mother - Hayloft 339,783 (+2,100)
89(-11) Brent Faiyaz - Dead Man Walking 339,014 (+2,554)
92(debut) Jeremy Zucker, Chelsea Cutler - this is how you fall in love 335,471
94(-20) DaBaby - PRACTICE 333,437 (-6,441)
98(-23) James Arthur - Train Wreck 330,974 (-7,447)

104(+38) Luke Combs - Better Together 321,003 (+62,287)
106(-4) KAROL G - BICHOTA 314,255 (+19,464)
107(-6) Justin Bieber - Holy 297,198 (+15,947)
108(-2) The Longest Johns - Wellerman 310,436 (+20,196)
117(-1) SZA, The Neptunes, Pharrell Williams, Ty Dolla $ign - Hit Different 298,373 (+14,357)
120(+3) Popp Hunna, Lil Uzi Vert - Adderall (Corvette Corvette) Remix 293,970 (+19,282)
122(+13) Lil Baby - Errbody 292,682 (+29,735)
129(-14) Ricky Montgomery - Line Without a Hook 283,856 (-536)
131(-11) Luke Combs - Forever After All 282,892 (+5,514)
137(-7) Harry Styles - Golden 277,368 (+9,726)
138(-21) CORPSE, Savage Ga$p - E-GIRLS ARE RUINING MY LIFE! 276,433 (-2,217)
142(+19) MEDUZA - Paradise 271,986 (+28,159)
147(-37) Ed Sheeran - Afterglow 267,626 (-21,410)
154(-2) Sara Kays - Remember That Night? 262,498 (+11,496)
155(+27) Yung Gravy - oops! 262,376 (+30,070)
157(-3) King Von - Took Her to the O 261,752 (+12,034)

Total Streams for 34+35: 2,375,090

Biggest Gains (50K+): Better Together, Daisy, Streets, More Than My Hometown, Best Friend, Save Your Tears, Levitating, Anyone, positions, Whoopty, Good Days

If someone can explain why the original HVME remix suddenly disappeared from the Top 200, I'd be glad to hear. At first I thought they'd combined the streams for both songs but if that were the case, then the Travis remake should've been in the Top 50. 

[suzcruz7]

Oh wow I like literally every song in the Biggest Gains section today, except for Streets which I haven't heard. Happy to see it.

Would have rather seen those gains go to 7 Summers, but I do like MTMH quite a bit.

[Lost In Musical Reverie]

At the rate it's going, do you think the remix for "34+35" might replace the original?

It got a really strong debut on Spotify, and radio has already replaced it in its estimates.

I think it's too early to tell, but I'm curious to hear your predictions.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

I doubt the remix is going to replace the original.

Radio usually replaces the original while the remix is hot but they'll change it back once the hype died down. It happened with Say So, Perfect and even bad guy if I remember correctly, and given the middling response to the remix, I think it's going to happen here as well.

[kacpi]

Jan 16, 2021 12:02:16 GMT -5 Lost In Musical Reverie said:

At the rate it's going, do you think the remix for "34+35" might replace the original?

It got a really strong debut on Spotify, and radio has already replaced it in its estimates.

I think kworb listed a remix version on radio estimates because it's higher on iTunes than the original, not because it gets played more by radio stations. But if I'm wrong someone please correct me  ;)  

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^You're right on that point.

[m450n]

Doja killing it with the singles recently, we want the album sis

[gikem]

So should we expect multiple versions of the 34+35 remix later this week in an attempt to bolster sales #s or nah?

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 15, 2021 15:17:22 GMT -5 daysintheeast said:

i just checked AM charts, had no idea the yung bleu/drake song is #11 lol. how is this song that was released in Oct still so high

It recently got a music video. That sparked new interest. It's also been steadily rising on radio since it's release (#23 on Urban, #28 on Rhythmic). I just checked and it's the #3 most-shazamed song in the U.S. behind drivers license and lonely so more people are discovering the song daily. It's a nice tune. I wish it'd peaked higher when it was first released.

[thegreatdivine]

Jan 16, 2021 13:39:56 GMT -5 gikem said:

So should we expect multiple versions of the 34+35 remix later this week in an attempt to bolster sales #s or nah?

There's no guarantee that more versions will get the same engagement as the first remix got or that even if they do, it'll be enough to topple drivers license. Also, that would be overly desperate on Ariana's part. She should be happy with it peaking higher in the top 10/serving some longevity there.

[monkeydluffy]

Jan 16, 2021 13:39:56 GMT -5 gikem said:

So should we expect multiple versions of the 34+35 remix later this week in an attempt to bolster sales #s or nah?

I don't think so. I think they’ll play the waiting game. Nothing huge coming up soon and “Positions” has held up longer than we originally anticipated as well, so they might be waiting for the hype of “Driver’s License” to die down a bit before they release the add-ons in an attempt to try for the number one. But anything can happen with Scooter at the helm so

[thegreatdivine]

Completely random but Khalid wrote "Outside" off ZAYN's new album. It sounded like a Khalid song to me the first time I listened to it and I just checked the credits and confirmed that it indeed is.

[jenglisbe]

Jan 16, 2021 13:39:56 GMT -5 gikem said:

So should we expect multiple versions of the 34+35 remix later this week in an attempt to bolster sales #s or nah?

I'd think they're smart enough to realize even that wouldn't work this week. They could save that to see if "dl" dies down at all and there's a better week for it. "34+35" will be like "positions" were its radio peak is later in its run and keeps it high on the Hot 100, so that might be a better week to pull out the tricks.

[CocaNola]

Jan 16, 2021 10:30:43 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

If someone can explain why the original HVME remix suddenly disappeared from the Top 200, I'd be glad to hear. At first I thought they'd combined the streams for both songs but if that were the case, then the Travis remake should've been in the Top 50. 

The remix replaced the original on TTH, and I think that's where most of it's streams were coming from.

[fridayteenage]

Since bb200 started including streams too, female-only Digital+Streaming simultaneous #1s:
Cardigan & look what you made me do & blank space
7 rings & thank u next
Wap
All i want for christmas is you
Lose you to love me
Hello
(About 1.5 each year.)

And now Drivers license should join this illustrious company.

[atg]

DL’s run right now really feels like a mix of Hello, The Box and OTR, where its points are leagues ahead of any other song in the top 5 alone, and (soon) would best out any A lister’s song

[Groovy]

Jan 16, 2021 18:42:38 GMT -5 atg said:

DL’s run right now really feels like a mix of Hello, The Box and OTR, where its points are leagues ahead of any other song in the top 5 alone, and (soon) would best out any A lister’s song

If the streams hold up and radio gets on board the it’s game over for the competition, I see double digit weeks at 1.

[Gary]

That means number one til April, I doubt it.


Songs have been debuting at #1 at a clip of one every three weeks for a while now. For that to suddenly stop means the market suddenly changed from 2020

[whales10268]

Jan 16, 2021 19:36:40 GMT -5 Gary said:

That means number one til April, I doubt it.


Songs have been debuting at #1 at a clip of one every three weeks for a while now. For that to suddenly stop means the market suddenly changed from 2020

There hasn’t been a song pulling numbers like this since 2019

[Choco]

I don't think it's that premature to think about a long run at #1. It's starting at such a huge level that it would take catastrophic percentage decreases for it to reach the level of the closest competitor.

And in reality it's relatively stable or even rising on streaming still.

We already saw this with OTR and The Box in recent years. I'm not saying 10+ weeks are in the bag but I'd be shocked if it didn't at least nab more weeks at #1 than "WAP" (which started with a huge number too but also felt way more like a meme/viral video thing).

[Gary]

When “last weeks” chart comes out that will be one week at number one.

This will be the 13th song to debut at number one in the last 41 weeks.   Basically one every three weeks

10 plus weeks at number one means the next big thing will suddenly stop coming. We will see.



Anything can happen of course. As with any ‘map the future’ discussion we will find out when we get there.

[saltnpeppa]

If I were Olivia I'd be worried if BTS, Ariana, and Taylor weren't between projects right now but since they are I don't think we will be seeing the confluence of 2020 pace #1 debuts coming all in the next couple of months at this point in the year.

Drake is yet to be accounted for though which if we believe the rumors he's coming and trust any rapper's projected timeline as bible is trouble. For now the fact that she's running laps around big 34+35 remix level songs with radio on the way means at the very least its Olivia's time at the moment and we'll see how long it lasts. Do hope she gets the double digits tho.

[iHype.]

Not "Life Is Good" going recurrent on YouTube's weekly chart while it would still be #2 this week  

The chart run for giggles:
1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-2-1-1-1-2-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-3-4-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-2-2-1-1-1-3-1-1-1-1-1-1-OFF

[fridayteenage]

TOTC estimating two 600 point weeks in a row. Based on their estimates for 2020, top weeks:
Wap 904
Dynamite 844
Box 616
Wap 604 (2nd)
Box 602 (2nd)
All I Want 590
Box 552 (3rd)
Box 545 (4th)

Box was able to bulldoze, but Wap/Dynamite had to take turns with their mutual huge #s.

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Jan 16, 2021 14:43:07 GMT -5 CocaNola said:

Jan 16, 2021 10:30:43 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

If someone can explain why the original HVME remix suddenly disappeared from the Top 200, I'd be glad to hear. At first I thought they'd combined the streams for both songs but if that were the case, then the Travis remake should've been in the Top 50. 

The remix replaced the original on TTH, and I think that's where most of it's streams were coming from.

I see. Sad tho, I think the original is much better than the remake

[Deleted]

I would not be so quick to declare that a long-running #1 indicates a market change when 2020 itself was a departure from the norm - it was the first time since 1991 that the Hot 100 had 20 or more #1s. It's definitely worth noting that The Box was the last number one we had before COVID-19 began wreaking havoc.

Looking at the last five chart years (2016-2020), you have to go back to 2016 to find a year where there wasn't an 8+ week #1 beginning its run in the first two months (and even that is a technicality; Work reached #1 on the first dated chart week for March, but in real time that means the last week of February). If Drivers License has a run that long it would actually hint at a return to normalcy.

[fridayteenage]

Biggest weekly US Spotify leads for #1 over #2:
Drivers License 258%
God’s Plan 205%
God’s Plan 200%
God’s Plan 162%
Old Town Road + Old Town Road Remix combined 158%
In My Feelings 138%
Old Town Road + Old Town Road Remix combined 126%
Rockstar 121%
Rockstar 114%
Rockstar 111%

Olivia breaking Drake's Godly trinity.