Billboard Hot 100: 04/03/2021

[mgkjn11]

Why does everyone trash Bieber in here? I’m proud of his comeback and Justice is much much better than Changes. I’m hoping he can get that number one this week, he probably will. As Am I is my favorite track on that album I wish they sang the chorus a 3rd time at the end it’s very very catchy.

[phieaglesfan712]

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

Meanwhile, I'm still waiting for their official predictions for the 3/27 chart. They should focus on putting them out there first, before they start talking about the 4/3 chart.

[Enigma.]

Peaches is #1 on AM according to Kworb.

[iamsorare]

Peaches #1 ..this is huge

[thegreatdivine]

It sure did take it's time reaching #1 on AM. Just over 36 hours, but it's great that it finally did reach #1. With a deluxe version of the album dropping on Monday, it should hold on to the #1 spot for the rest of the tracking week.

[jaffery]

Mar 20, 2021 14:47:39 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

It sure did take it's time reaching #1 on AM. Just over 36 hours, but it's great that it finally did reach #1. With a deluxe version of the album dropping on Monday, it should hold on to the #1 spot for the rest of the tracking week.

Isnt it better that it did on its 2nd day than on its first day because that implies it not only stayed stable but rose in streams? I imagine that would correlate to Spotify

[thegreatdivine]

Mar 20, 2021 15:15:33 GMT -5 jaffery said:

Mar 20, 2021 14:47:39 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

It sure did take it's time reaching #1 on AM. Just over 36 hours, but it's great that it finally did reach #1. With a deluxe version of the album dropping on Monday, it should hold on to the #1 spot for the rest of the tracking week.

Isnt it better that it did on its 2nd day than on its first day because that implies it not only stayed stable but rose in streams? I imagine that would correlate to Spotify

Streams generally decline during the weekend, so not really. None of the other songs off Justin's album have seen a rise in positon so it stands to reason that Wants and Needs simply became weak enough for Peaches to surpass and with a deluxe version of Justin's album dropping on Monday, it should further boost his album so the songs make a huge recovery from the loss of streams they'll experience during the weekend.

[jdanton2]

Mar 20, 2021 14:40:11 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Peaches is #1 on AM according to Kworb.

also officially.

music.apple.com/us/browse/top-charts/songs

[thegreatdivine]

Mar 20, 2021 15:44:43 GMT -5 jdanton2 said:

Mar 20, 2021 14:40:11 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

Peaches is #1 on AM according to Kworb.

also officially.

music.apple.com/us/browse/top-charts/songs

Wow. His first #1 on Apple Music US since 2017? No wonder this is such a big deal to some people.

[iamsorare]

People wants bop-catchy songs especially in these difficult times...I prefer 'anyone' or 'hold on' more than peaches but I can understand why peaches is already more successful

[jaffery]

Mar 20, 2021 15:40:00 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Mar 20, 2021 15:15:33 GMT -5 jaffery said:

Isnt it better that it did on its 2nd day than on its first day because that implies it not only stayed stable but rose in streams? I imagine that would correlate to Spotify

Streams generally decline during the weekend, so not really. None of the other songs off Justin's album have seen a rise in positon so it stands to reason that Wants and Needs simply became weak enough for Peaches to surpass and with a deluxe version of Justin's album dropping on Monday, it should further boost his album so the songs make a huge recovery from the loss of streams they'll experience during the weekend.

So maybe not a huge drop off for Bieber because his song decreased less than drakes which allowed him to get #1. Watch it fall like 30% lmao

[atg]

If Peaches goes to #1, and Justin gets at least 4-5 top 25 debuts, then Changes would automatically be taken as a setback era.

This would be the second time JB has experienced this pattern, as Journals was a complete flop sadly (and i wished the success of Changes would switch with the Success of Journals any day of the week), and then Purpose was a complete superstar era.

Even then, Justice already has all 4 of it’s current singles hit the top 30, meaning that the rollout worked i guess. Maybe another Purpose could happen with this era, just with less power.

[thegreatdivine]

New Lana Del Rey album out in less than 3 months.

http://instagram.com/p/CMqBcHah785

[jodakyellow]

Can she chill lmao

[nak]

She will postpone it five times until 2022 don't worry

[Lukas]

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

I'm from TOTC and lemme explain:

We didn't post any full Hot 100 predictions for the next week. All we said was that Peaches was going top 10 which should be obvious based on it being top 2 on AM & #1 on Spotify and remaining stable. Leave the inaccuracy to people like Winston and HitsDD who do anything for clout.

Album predictions are based on ranges which are usually accurate. At least we include every single possible scenario depending on levels of frontloadness. smash makes those predictions and from past tweets, the final units almost always end up within the range, whether at the lower or higher bound. At least we use a huge range for units to cover 99%+ of cases and not be like a certain other predictor who said Peaches was only debuting top 40 before the first day was even over.

I really don't see how you can criticize TOTC heavily for posting a range of 40k for an album projection when some other predictors who have known to be incredibly inaccurate in their predictions decided it was a good idea to post where they thought the album would land on the Hot 100 based on one day for clout.

[lurker2]

Mar 20, 2021 17:50:33 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

New Lana Del Rey album out in less than 3 months.

http://instagr.am/p/CMqBcHah785

Queen shit

[Lukas]

Mar 20, 2021 13:49:44 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

Meanwhile, I'm still waiting for their official predictions for the 3/27 chart. They should focus on putting them out there first, before they start talking about the 4/3 chart.

The only Hot 100 prediction TOTC made was that Peaches was debuting top 10, which is insanely likely given that it is #1 on Spotify, #2 on AM, and incredibly stable on AM/iTunes for the second day. They didn't post anything else relating to the Hot 100 that week yet. Leave those tweets to people who just post for clout, like Winston.

[jaffery]

Mar 20, 2021 19:45:59 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

I'm from TOTC and lemme explain:

We didn't post any full Hot 100 predictions for the next week. All we said was that Peaches was going top 10 which should be obvious based on it being top 2 on AM & #1 on Spotify and remaining stable. Leave the inaccuracy to people like Winston and HitsDD who do anything for clout.

Album predictions are based on ranges which are usually accurate. At least we include every single possible scenario depending on levels of frontloadness. smash makes those predictions and from past tweets, the final units almost always end up within the range, whether at the lower or higher bound. At least we use a huge range for units to cover 99%+ of cases and not be like a certain other predictor who said Peaches was only debuting top 40 before the first day was even over.

I really don't see how you can criticize TOTC heavily for posting a range of 40k for an album projection when some other predictors who have known to be incredibly inaccurate in their predictions decided it was a good idea to post where they thought the album would land on the Hot 100 based on one day for clout.

You think peaches is gonna stay stable on Spotify tomorrow? It’s back down to #2 on Apple Music which concerns me

[gikem]

LTDO has returned to #1 on iTunes.

[Lukas]

Mar 20, 2021 20:12:34 GMT -5 jaffery said:

Mar 20, 2021 19:45:59 GMT -5 Lukas said:

I'm from TOTC and lemme explain:

We didn't post any full Hot 100 predictions for the next week. All we said was that Peaches was going top 10 which should be obvious based on it being top 2 on AM & #1 on Spotify and remaining stable. Leave the inaccuracy to people like Winston and HitsDD who do anything for clout.

Album predictions are based on ranges which are usually accurate. At least we include every single possible scenario depending on levels of frontloadness. smash makes those predictions and from past tweets, the final units almost always end up within the range, whether at the lower or higher bound. At least we use a huge range for units to cover 99%+ of cases and not be like a certain other predictor who said Peaches was only debuting top 40 before the first day was even over.

I really don't see how you can criticize TOTC heavily for posting a range of 40k for an album projection when some other predictors who have known to be incredibly inaccurate in their predictions decided it was a good idea to post where they thought the album would land on the Hot 100 based on one day for clout.

You think peaches is gonna stay stable on Spotify tomorrow? It’s back down to #2 on Apple Music which concerns me

I mean it was never #1 yesterday. The fact that it went #1 for some time today, which it couldn’t do yesterday, shows stability. It’s not going to be a Drivers License, but it is at least way less frontloaded than most other songs first week.

[s9983]

Mar 20, 2021 20:12:34 GMT -5 jaffery said:

Mar 20, 2021 19:45:59 GMT -5 Lukas said:

I'm from TOTC and lemme explain:

We didn't post any full Hot 100 predictions for the next week. All we said was that Peaches was going top 10 which should be obvious based on it being top 2 on AM & #1 on Spotify and remaining stable. Leave the inaccuracy to people like Winston and HitsDD who do anything for clout.

Album predictions are based on ranges which are usually accurate. At least we include every single possible scenario depending on levels of frontloadness. smash makes those predictions and from past tweets, the final units almost always end up within the range, whether at the lower or higher bound. At least we use a huge range for units to cover 99%+ of cases and not be like a certain other predictor who said Peaches was only debuting top 40 before the first day was even over.

I really don't see how you can criticize TOTC heavily for posting a range of 40k for an album projection when some other predictors who have known to be incredibly inaccurate in their predictions decided it was a good idea to post where they thought the album would land on the Hot 100 based on one day for clout.

You think peaches is gonna stay stable on Spotify tomorrow? It’s back down to #2 on Apple Music which concerns me

Back to #1 now

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Mar 20, 2021 13:49:44 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

Meanwhile, I'm still waiting for their official predictions for the 3/27 chart. They should focus on putting them out there first, before they start talking about the 4/3 chart.

The tracking week for 4/3 has already started. If it hadn't, this thread wouldn't be created.

They can start their predictions for this week if they want.

[spoons]

Why is no one talking about how tasteless the MLK interludes on Biebers album are

[thegreatdivine]

Mar 20, 2021 8:17:39 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Solid start for Justin on Spotify (better than I thought he'd do) but he's already losing steam on Apple Music. Maybe he'll rise back again later in the day?

As at 10 hours ago on Apple Music:
2. Peaches (+1)
5. As I Am (+7)
6. Hold On (+3)
10. 2 Much (+3)
13. Unstable (+4)
14. Deserve You (+7)
17. Off My Face (+7)
20. Die For You (+9)
21. Anyone (+4)
22. Holy (+5)
25. Love You Different (+7)
27. Loved By You (+7)
29. Ghost (+8)
31. Somebody (+5)
35. Lonely (+8)
45. MLK Interlude (+15)

Right now on Apple Music:
2. Peaches (=)
6. As I Am (-1)
10. Hold On (-4)
14. 2 Much (-4)
15. Unstable (-2)
19. Deserve You (-5)
20. Off My Face (-3)
26. Anyone (-5)
27. Holy (-5)
28. Die For You (-8)
30. Love You Different (-5)
31. Loved By You (-4)
33. Ghost (-4)
34. Somebody (-3)
40. Lonely (-5)
61. MLK Interlude (-16)

Right now on Apple Music:
2. Peaches [peaked at #1, down to #2] (-1)
10. As I Am (-4)
14. Hold On (-4)
22. 2 Much (-8)
23. Unstable (-8)
26. Off My Face (-6)
27. Anyone (-1)
28. Deserve You (-9)
29. Holy (-2)
34. Die For You (-6)
36. Love You Different (-6)
39. Ghost (-6)
40. Loved By You (-9)
44. Somebody (-10)
50. Lonely (-10)
92. MLK Interlude (-31)

[Enigma.]

Mar 20, 2021 19:45:59 GMT -5 Lukas said:

Mar 20, 2021 8:07:28 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

LOL at TOTC making all-week predictions based on one day. When HDD do that, they always overestimate. They really should wait 2-3 days.

I'm from TOTC and lemme explain:

We didn't post any full Hot 100 predictions for the next week. All we said was that Peaches was going top 10 which should be obvious based on it being top 2 on AM & #1 on Spotify and remaining stable. Leave the inaccuracy to people like Winston and HitsDD who do anything for clout.

Album predictions are based on ranges which are usually accurate. At least we include every single possible scenario depending on levels of frontloadness. smash makes those predictions and from past tweets, the final units almost always end up within the range, whether at the lower or higher bound. At least we use a huge range for units to cover 99%+ of cases and not be like a certain other predictor who said Peaches was only debuting top 40 before the first day was even over.

I really don't see how you can criticize TOTC heavily for posting a range of 40k for an album projection when some other predictors who have known to be incredibly inaccurate in their predictions decided it was a good idea to post where they thought the album would land on the Hot 100 based on one day for clout.

Thanks for the explanation, keep up the good work!

[kingvavis]

Peaches still at 2m+ on Spotify

[iamsorare]

Great hold for peaches on usa Spotify.it didn't lose streams..bigger streams on Global Spotify on the second day!!!

[thegreatdivine]

Mar 21, 2021 6:18:26 GMT -5 kingvavis said:

Peaches still at 2m+ on Spotify

#1 debut confirmed and with the deluxe version of the album dropping on Monday, I'm expecting it to get a boost in streams. If it can maintain a 1.7-2M+ range beyond the first week, it could spend more than 1 week at #1.

I'm sure Mr. Scooterman will start an aggressive push on radio ASAP.

[thegreatdivine]