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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 5, 2021 13:37:57 GMT -5
This has to be incorrect. I'd wait for Ashres5's projections before jumping to any conclusions. They're a lot more accurate.
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 13,311
My Reviews
Pronouns: (he/him/they)
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Sept 5, 2021 13:38:00 GMT -5
I'm not taking that prediction seriously lol. There's a very good reason why TOTC predicts the estimated region of debuts after 2 days of tracking, and why they dont make a graphic. This is clickbait, pure Nd simple.
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Post by thegreatdivine on Sept 5, 2021 13:41:18 GMT -5
Welp. Way 2 Sexy is going viral on TikTok. With the addition if it's music video, it's pretty much a lock for a #1 debut.
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,134
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 5, 2021 13:52:04 GMT -5
Music video hasn't done much, it has got 9 million views in 1.5 days. Of course every little bit helps though.
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iHype.
4x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on Sept 5, 2021 13:54:50 GMT -5
Music video hasn't done much, it has got 9 million views in 1.5 days. Of course every little bit helps though. Please stop lol. It’s not 2015 an English music video isn’t doing 20 million first day anymore. The view count is actually fine. Also you said the exact same thing with What’s Next and didn’t realize most of the streams on Hip-Hop music videos are US oriented…
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Enigma.
Diamond Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 14,134
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 5, 2021 13:59:15 GMT -5
Music video hasn't done much, it has got 9 million views in 1.5 days. Of course every little bit helps though. Please stop lol. It’s not 2015 an English music video isn’t doing 20 million first day anymore. The view count is actually fine. Also you said the exact same thing with What’s Next and didn’t realize most of the streams on Hip-Hop music videos are US oriented… What's Next hsa 40 million views. It's really is not a lot, no matter how you put it.
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lazer
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2018
Posts: 2,623
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Post by lazer on Sept 5, 2021 13:59:16 GMT -5
Music video hasn't done much, it has got 9 million views in 1.5 days. Of course every little bit helps though. Please stop lol. It’s not 2015 an English music video isn’t doing 20 million first day anymore. The view count is actually fine. Also you said the exact same thing with What’s Next and didn’t realize most of the streams on Hip-Hop music videos are US oriented… I really do miss those days. Felt very eventful when that happens.
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iHype.
4x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on Sept 5, 2021 14:07:00 GMT -5
Please stop lol. It’s not 2015 an English music video isn’t doing 20 million first day anymore. The view count is actually fine. Also you said the exact same thing with What’s Next and didn’t realize most of the streams on Hip-Hop music videos are US oriented… What's Next hsa 40 million views. It's really is not a lot, no matter how you put it. No, you also claimed What’s Next wasn’t doing much during the first few days. pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/203215/billboard-hot-100-03-2021?page=129.5 million in less than 2 days is impressive considering probably 4m~ come from US. That means it could do near 10m US streams from YouTube this week. This is in addition to possibly 50 million Spotify/Apple Music/Pandora streams. That would literally be the biggest streaming debut since Drivers License.
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iamsorare
Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 1,177
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Post by iamsorare on Sept 5, 2021 14:47:37 GMT -5
I'm not taking that prediction seriously lol. There's a very good reason why TOTC predicts the estimated region of debuts after 2 days of tracking, and why they dont make a graphic. This is clickbait, pure Nd simple. 2 days of tracking already passed...and of course Winston's tweet is about EARLY predictions.. everything can change.. especially now that the 2nd day drop on Spotify was big and tomorrow will be bigger.. only the top 2 is 100% right... Way 2 sexy,girls want girls
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,908
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Post by korbel16 on Sept 5, 2021 14:56:26 GMT -5
Winston is insane
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 5, 2021 14:57:15 GMT -5
This is why he doesn't have a good reputation, jumping on predictions too early to get hype, and then ending up not doing a very good job at the predictions.
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rainygirl
Gold Member
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 860
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Post by rainygirl on Sept 5, 2021 15:18:57 GMT -5
I'm not taking that prediction seriously lol. There's a very good reason why TOTC predicts the estimated region of debuts after 2 days of tracking, and why they dont make a graphic. This is clickbait, pure Nd simple. 2 days of tracking already passed...and of course Winston's tweet is about EARLY predictions.. everything can change.. especially now that the 2nd day drop on Spotify was big and tomorrow will be bigger.. only the top 2 is 100% right... Way 2 sexy,girls want girls why did TOTC disappear? I missed that . They were/are the best hands down
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iamsorare
Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 1,177
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Post by iamsorare on Sept 5, 2021 15:22:38 GMT -5
2 days of tracking already passed...and of course Winston's tweet is about EARLY predictions.. everything can change.. especially now that the 2nd day drop on Spotify was big and tomorrow will be bigger.. only the top 2 is 100% right... Way 2 sexy,girls want girls why did TOTC disappear? I missed that . They were/are the best hands down well,this is the end I guess
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fridayteenage
5x Platinum Member
Shake it Off
Joined: April 2008
Posts: 5,493
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Post by fridayteenage on Sept 5, 2021 15:27:26 GMT -5
i blame those people who screamed at bb really loudly so bb had totc's website shut down, which probably helped kill a lot of the joy they got out of chart analysis.
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rainygirl
Gold Member
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 860
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Post by rainygirl on Sept 5, 2021 15:29:45 GMT -5
why did TOTC disappear? I missed that . They were/are the best hands down well,this is the end I guess thank you 😊
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gikem
3x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2020
Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Sept 5, 2021 15:47:02 GMT -5
I, too, am waiting for more reliable predictors to come in later this week to prognosticate how big Drake's impact on the Hot 100 will ultimately be. However, looking ahead, if his impact is massive on an otherwise weak chart and he and Kanye fade naturally in the coming weeks, I'd be curious as to whether Billboard will consider bending their recurrent rules for a week, either to pause them for this week so that stable but fading songs like LTDO and Peaches can keep charting, or to allow certain songs that were knocked out prematurely to come back the following week of 9/25 like with post-Christmas charts. (I doubt the latter will happen to songs like Blinding Lights, Without You, etc. that are leaving this coming week due solely to Kanye.)
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Sept 5, 2021 16:07:59 GMT -5
i blame those people who screamed at bb really loudly so bb had totc's website shut down, which probably helped kill a lot of the joy they got out of chart analysis. lol, we should have just kept quiet and let AITO hold the record for the lowest sales #1.
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 5, 2021 16:15:18 GMT -5
You know people aren't going to keep quiet.
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otaviohmg
Platinum Member
Caught up in my head, hopin' you gon' say Was it worth it? Put that work in Got me nothin'
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 1,456
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Post by otaviohmg on Sept 5, 2021 16:22:55 GMT -5
Well... People without maturity
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 5, 2021 16:30:20 GMT -5
Which is most people.
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otaviohmg
Platinum Member
Caught up in my head, hopin' you gon' say Was it worth it? Put that work in Got me nothin'
Joined: September 2019
Posts: 1,456
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Post by otaviohmg on Sept 5, 2021 16:32:14 GMT -5
Exactly.
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Post by ontopofthis on Sept 5, 2021 16:32:50 GMT -5
Lol at Billboard even shutting down the Twitter account
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Post by nathanalbright on Sept 5, 2021 16:39:53 GMT -5
Some people don't know or remember about these patterns so you just have to remind them.
Edit: Welp, this was in reply to a comment about the mini-freeze that goes on during Labor Day weekend and not taking small declines in airplay in new songs too seriously as a result.
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iamsorare
Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 1,177
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Post by iamsorare on Sept 5, 2021 19:21:56 GMT -5
Oh yeah I forgot,not hot 100 reveal this Monday .holiday..
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gikem
3x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2020
Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Sept 5, 2021 19:28:28 GMT -5
Lol at Billboard even shutting down the Twitter account If you’re referring to TOTC, as far as I can tell, that decision was voluntary by the admins. Billboard themselves did not shut down their Twitter, though I’m sure their previous actions did play a part in the decision.
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mms82
Platinum Member
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,278
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Post by mms82 on Sept 5, 2021 19:29:42 GMT -5
no matter which song goes number one it’s going to be a massive rapper getting their first number one, with their previous peak being #2 on a Drake song
Future, Way 2 Sexy, Life is Good Lil Baby, Girls Want Girls, Wants and Needs
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rainygirl
Gold Member
Joined: June 2020
Posts: 860
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Post by rainygirl on Sept 5, 2021 20:54:04 GMT -5
Lol at Billboard even shutting down the Twitter account If you’re referring to TOTC, as far as I can tell, that decision was voluntary by the admins. Billboard themselves did not shut down their Twitter, though I’m sure their previous actions did play a part in the decision. I will miss them . Incredible and classy through and through
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korbel16
Platinum Member
Joined: September 2017
Posts: 1,908
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Post by korbel16 on Sept 5, 2021 21:06:15 GMT -5
Young thug’s 2nd number 1 just feels right 🤞🏽🤞🏽
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,712
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Post by Groovy on Sept 5, 2021 21:09:54 GMT -5
Young thug’s 2nd number 1 just feels right 🤞🏽🤞🏽 Third*
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TakeMe
Charting
Joined: November 2017
Posts: 350
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Post by TakeMe on Sept 5, 2021 21:10:52 GMT -5
As weak the charts been all year, dat prediction shouldn’t be hard to believe😂
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