HITS 9/17: Drake #1 233k, Kacey #3 73k, Baby Keem #4 54k

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=328230&title=KACEY%252C-KEEM-LEAD-NEW-RELEASES

KACEY, KEEM LEAD NEW RELEASES

Kacey Musgraves’ star-crossed (Interscope/MCA Nashville) is headed for the week’s biggest debut—the album broke the record for single-day streams for a female country artist at Spotify. star-crossed is on pace for a Top 3 bow, as blockbusters from Drake and Kanye West hold court at the front of the chart.

Musgraves’ start could be as much as 40% greater than her previous album, the Grammy-winning Golden Hour which opened with 49k in 2018. pgLang/Columbia’s Baby Keem is aiming for a Top 5 debut at around 55k.

Kacey Musgraves (Interscope/MCA Nashville) 60-70k total activity, 35-40k albums
Baby Keem (pgLang/Columbia) 50-55k, 2-4k


There's a lot happening this weekend. We deserve a drink.

Saturday, September 11, 2021

[The Brazilian Guy 🇧🇷]

Yay for Kacey, this far into her career, getting her best debut!

Also, her breaking that streaming record!

[Mayman]

Great start for both Kacey and Keem! I enjoyed both albums a lot. I hope both can somehow have longevity, although I'm not betting on it.

[HolidayGuy]

I guess HITS isn't counting Taylor Swift's Fearless re-recording for that record? With nearly 143 million first-week streams, I would think it had more Spotify action in its first day. Nonetheless, that is a nice debut for KM.

[85la]

Any estimate for Drake's second-week number? I'm interested in hearing about that.

[Enigma.]

If I must guess, somewhere around 200k perhaps. If the Spotify/others ratio remains the same, it'd collect around 300 million streams.

[violentdreams]

Scorpion did 335k in its second week, so CLB will end up about 100k-110k below that.

[iHype.]

In My Feelings exploded during Scorpion’s second week (rising to #1 on Hot 100) and kept it going strong the following 2-3 months so yeah. It was never gonna be on par with Scorpion’s following week numbers.

I hope Aaliyah squeezes into the top 10!

[thegreatdivine]

violentdreams
Scorpion (week 1): 732K
Scorpion (week 2): 335K
Loss = 397K.

CLB (week 1): 613K
CLB (week 2) 220K
Loss = 393K.

[fridayteenage]

39k sales is pretty good for a country female these days.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Sept 14, 2021 16:31:26 GMT -5 iHype. said:

In My Feelings exploded during Scorpion’s second week (rising to #1 on Hot 100) and kept it going strong the following 2-3 months so yeah. It was never gonna be on par with Scorpion’s following week numbers.

I hope Aaliyah squeezes into the top 10!

I agree on the latter point. I wouldn't mind Metallica managing to get in there as well.

[Wavey✨️]

Good sales all around!

[violentdreams]

Sept 14, 2021 16:34:46 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

violentdreams
Scorpion (week 1): 732K
Scorpion (week 2): 335K
Loss = 397K.

CLB (week 1): 613K
CLB (week 2) 220K
Loss = 393K.

I wasn't really taking the size of Scorpion's drop into account since it had such a robust pure sales opening compared to CLB and lost basically 90% of those sales in its second week. SEA wise, it's more like a 260k drop vs. a 350k drop, which is definitely a lot more. What iHype said does contextualize that more though, as Way 2 Sexy is way less of an social phenomenon than In My Feelings and therefore isn't doing as much heavy lifting for the album as that song was.

Without any truly overwhelming smash hits, I would say in the long term this looks to be a More Life sized album, which isn't an insult, that album had plenty of solid hits with good longevity. That's what I was curious about, if it would end up on that level or another juggernaut on the same level as Views or Scorpion. My curiosity still stands, since I have no clue where it's gonna stabilize or if it has any sleeper hits that will keep it performing well in the months to come (Race My Mind is one I don't think we've seen the last of but that's up to the people to decide).

[recordyear]

Sept 14, 2021 17:11:56 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

39k sales is pretty good for a country female artist these days.

Because I believe only Morgan Wallen, Carrie Underwood, Taylor Swift and Eric Church from this year have higher pure sales numbers than this.

[Enigma.]

Kacey's numbers are great! She is probably one of the acts that benefitted from the VMA performance.

[ontopofthis]

Awful opening for Musgraves but not surprising

[Enigma.]

Troll alert

[ontopofthis]

Hopefully, you do not let her drop 80% in week two like you did with Lorde

[Enigma.]

Sept 14, 2021 13:18:21 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

If I must guess, somewhere around 200k perhaps. If the Spotify/others ratio remains the same, it'd collect around 300 million streams.

According to HITS, it got ~295 million streams so I was pretty close

[thegreatdivine]

[Enigma.]

"the first rap album to spend its first two weeks at #1 this year"

The only other that has spent two weeks in general is A Gangsta's Pain. Hasn't been very good year for rap albums so far in that sense. Last year, there were 5 rap albums that got 2 weeks or more. There's still time of course.

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
1	1	DRAKE	CERTIFIED LOVER BOY	OVO/REPUBLIC	232,950	-61%	6,379	2,415	224,156
2	2	KANYE WEST	DONDA	G.O.O.D./DEF JAM	80,528	-45%	2,244	192	78,093
--	3	KACEY MUSGRAVES	STAR-CROSSED	INTERSCOPE/MCA NASHVILLE	72,778	--	41,902	634	30,242
--	4	BABY KEEM	THE MELODIC BLUE	COLUMBIA	54,068	--	1,187	365	52,517
3	5	OLIVIA RODRIGO	SOUR	GEFFEN	53,820	-7%	14,540	1,214	38,065
5	6	DOJA CAT	PLANET HER	KEMOSABE/RCA	49,411	-2%	582	1,362	47,467
7	7	THE KID LAROI	F*CK LOVE	COLUMBIA	38,588	-4%	187	1,565	36,837
6	8	MORGAN WALLEN	DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM	BIG LOUD/REPUBLIC	38,018	-6%	1,147	626	36,245
8	9	BILLIE EILISH	HAPPIER THAN EVER	DARKROOM/INTERSCOPE	33,766	-10%	8,767	397	24,602
--	10	METALLICA	METALLICA	BLACKENED	32,095	--	25,029	1,030	6,036
10	11	ROD WAVE	SOULFLY	ALAMO/SME	29,980	-3%	79	120	29,781
--	12	AALIYAH	AALIYAH	BLACKGROUND	27,492	--	16,317	1,871	9,304
--	13	J BALVIN	JOSE	UMLE	26,935	--	1,402	700	24,832
17	14	POP SMOKE	SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON	VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC	22,130	3%	601	266	21,263
13	15	LUKE COMBS	WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	22,027	-7%	1,075	759	20,194
15	16	DUA LIPA	FUTURE NOSTALGIA	WARNER	21,126	-6%	1,737	969	18,421
16	17	LIL BABY & LIL DURK	THE VOICE OF THE HEROES	ALAMO/SME/WOLFPACK/QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN	20,413	-8%	63	238	20,111
14	18	TRIPPIE REDD	TRIP AT KNIGHT	TENTHOUSAND	19,605	-15%	369	78	19,158
27	19	GLASS ANIMALS	DREAMLAND	WOLF TONE/REPUBLIC	19,180	21%	288	533	18,359
18	20	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL	18,731	-2%	261	232	18,237
19	21	THE WEEKND	AFTER HOURS	XO/REPUBLIC	18,388	-1%	708	602	17,078
21	22	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC	17,770	-2%	287	284	17,199
24	23	POLO G	HALL OF FAME	COLUMBIA	17,406	2%	247	226	16,933
23	24	JUICE WRLD	LEGENDS NEVER DIE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	17,266	1%	554	113	16,599
25	25	J. COLE	THE OFF-SEASON	DREAMVILLE/ROC NATION/INTERSCOPE	17,141	1%	4,240	94	12,807
26	26	JUSTIN BIEBER	JUSTICE	RBMG/DEF JAM	16,925	4%	1,197	735	14,994
--	27	ATEEZ	ZERO : FEVER PART.3	KQ	16,735	--	15,415	199	1,121
22	28	QUEEN	GREATEST HITS 1	HOLLYWOOD	16,332	-6%	2,309	511	13,513
34	29	WALKER HAYES	COUNTRY STUFF	MONUMENT	16,116	13%	513	3,194	12,409
32	30	HARRY STYLES	FINE LINE	COLUMBIA	15,864	6%	2,870	240	12,754
29	31	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	15,207	-2%	778	301	14,128
4	32	IRON MAIDEN	SENJUTSU	SANCTUARY	15,139	-73%	13,939	61	1,138
43	33	MACHINE GUN KELLY	TICKETS TO MY DOWNFALL	BAD BOY/INTERSCOPE	14,612	17%	713	270	13,629
33	34	HAMILTON	ORIGINAL BROADWAY CAST	UPTOWN/ATLANTIC	14,185	-1%	1,002	104	13,078
36	35	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER	13,624	-2%	2,449	352	10,824
35	36	TAYLOR SWIFT	FOLKLORE	REPUBLIC	13,572	-4%	2,931	100	10,541
11	37	HALSEY	IF I CAN'T HAVE LOVE, I WANT POWER	CAPITOL	13,566	-48%	4,768	204	8,594
9	38	IMAGINE DRAGONS	MERCURY - ACT 1	KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE	13,374	-57%	4,349	332	8,692
42	39	EMINEM	CURTAIN CALL	SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE	13,251	5%	435	636	12,180
41	40	ARIANA GRANDE	POSITIONS	REPUBLIC	13,032	3%	1,188	120	11,723
39	41	ELTON JOHN	DIAMONDS	ISLAND	12,929	-3%	1,348	499	11,082
40	42	CREEDENCE CLEARWATER REVIVAL	CHRONICLE: THE 20 GREATEST HITS	FANTASY	12,560	-6%	2,318	366	9,876
--	43	KENDRICK LAMAR	GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY	TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE	12,166	--	1,295	108	10,763
46	44	BILLIE EILISH	WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?	DARKROOM/INTERSCOPE	12,031	0%	1,895	152	9,983
--	45	TAYLOR SWIFT	LOVER	REPUBLIC	11,441	--	1,765	104	9,572
--	46	THE WEEKND	THE HIGHLIGHTS	XO/REPUBLIC	11,396	--	699	454	8,605
49	47	CHRIS STAPLETON	TRAVELLER	MERCURY NASHVILLE	11,395	-4%	1,290	393	9,711
47	48	DAN + SHAY	GOOD THINGS	WARNER NASHVILLE	10,994	-8%	1,520	282	9,192
--	49	CHRIS STAPLETON	STARTING OVER	MERCURY NASHVILLE	10,752	--	1,688	577	8,487
--	50	AC/DC	BACK IN BLACK	COLUMBIA	10,732	--	2,083	353	8,296

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

CHART FINAL: RE-CERTIFIED

Friday, September 17, 2021

Drake’s blockbuster Certified Lover Boy (OVO/Republic) is enjoying a second week at #1 on the HITS Top 50. The 6-God’s sixth studio album earned 233k in week two, following a record-setting opening week in which CLB shattered streaming records and scored the year’s biggest debut. In just two weeks of activity, CLB has already earned north of 1 billion U.S. streams.

Kanye West’s Donda (G.O.O.D./Def Jam) remains at #2 in its third week with 80k.

The top debut belongs to Kacey Musgraves’ star-crossed (Interscope/MCA Nashville). Her new set, the follow-up to 2019 Grammy Album of the Year Golden Hour, scores the biggest opening of Musgraves' career at #3 with 73k.

Rising hip-hop star Baby Keem also lands a Top 5 bow with his debut album, The Melodic Blue (pgLang/Columbia), which bows at #4 with 54k. Geffen’s Olivia Rodrigo rounds out the Top 5 with SOUR.

Further down the chart, self-titled re-releases from Metallica (Blackened) and Aaliyah (Blackground/EMPIRE) appear at #10 and #12, respectively.

The chart’s greatest gainers are Glass Animals, who dropped a deluxe version of Dreamland (Wolf Tone/Republic), and Walker Hayes’ Country Stuff (Monument), led by the Applebee's anthem “Fancy Like,” which notched its 11th consecutive week at #1 on our Country Song Streams chart.

Streeting this week are titles from Columbia’s Lil Nas X, Big Machine’s Carly Pearce and Since '93/RCA’s Tems. Now we must return to Twitter so we can read more about swollen balls.

[Caviar]

Good showing from Aaliyah!