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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 9, 2022 21:49:28 GMT -5
Guys, we need to prepare for the possibility that You Right could be the first song in bb history to repeat at the same spot. Crazy that Justin Bieber missed on doing this twice ("What Do You Mean?" in 2015/2016, "Let Me Love You" in 2016/2027 Though the Canada YE already did this three times ("What Do You Mean?" in 2015/2016, "Dusk Till Dawn" in 2017/2018, "Be Like That" in 2020/2021 |
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scrohr424
Gold Member
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 756 
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Post by scrohr424 on Oct 10, 2022 17:58:14 GMT -5
So with Unholy already scoring big and having a good chance at #1 next week, how much chance do we give it to sneak its way onto this year's list? I'd picture it'd have to stay in the Top 5 for the entirety of these last few weeks to make it. If it does, ho boy, some people will have a shoe-in for their worst lists.
edit: Now that I think about it, I think it has a pretty good chance, because I think back to Sorry and 24K Magic and how they both came up just short of the Year-End lists when they first dropped in 2015 and 2016 respectively, and this will have had more time than either of those two did so I'd think its chances are better than those were then.
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kingvavis
Gold Member
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 847
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Post by kingvavis on Oct 11, 2022 7:02:33 GMT -5
So with Unholy already scoring big and having a good chance at #1 next week, how much chance do we give it to sneak its way onto this year's list? I'd picture it'd have to stay in the Top 5 for the entirety of these last few weeks to make it. If it does, ho boy, some people will have a shoe-in for their worst lists. edit: Now that I think about it, I think it has a pretty good chance, because I think back to Sorry and 24K Magic and how they both came up just short of the Year-End lists when they first dropped in 2015 and 2016 respectively, and this will have had more time than either of those two did so I'd think its chances are better than those were then. If it averages 20k points per week for the last 5 weeks of the year, it will have around 120k points (all six weeks it charted) on the year end which wouldn't be enough. It only has a chance if this is a 53 week year end. |
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Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,638
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Post by Abbaschand on Oct 11, 2022 8:20:50 GMT -5
Just 4 more weeks. We're on the home stretch, and now it's time for my Year-End projection!
1 Heat Waves
2 Stay
3 As It Was
4 Ghost (+1)
5 Shivers (+1)
6 Big Energy (-2)
7 Super Gremlin
8 Cold Heart
9 First Class
10 About Damn Time
11 Bad Habits
12 Easy On Me
13 Wait For U
14 That's What I Want
15 Enemy
16 Me Porto Bonito
17 Wasted on You
18 Woman
19 ABCDEFU
20 Industry Baby
21 Need to Know
22 Titi Me Pregunto (+2)
23 I Like You
24 Running Up That Hill (-2)
25 Late Night Talking
26 Sunroof
27 We Don't Talk About Bruno
28 You Proof
29 Bad Habit
30 One Right Now
31 Numb Little Bug
32 The Kind of Love We Make (+4)
33 Moscow Mule
34 Good 4 U
35 Break My Soul (-3)
36 Jimmy Cooks (-1)
37 I Ain't Worried (+1)
38 Save Your Tears (+1)
39 Til You Can't (+1)
40 Something In the Orange (+3)
41 Fancy Like
42 Levitating
43 Glimpse of Us (+1)
44 She Had Me at Heads Carolina (+1)
45 Vegas (+1)
46 You Right (+1)
47 In a Minute (-10)
48 Boyfriend
49 Smokin' Out the Window
50 Pushin' P
51 I Hate U
52 Buy Dirt
53 Fall in Love
54 Hrs and Hrs
55 Surface Pressure
56 Super Freaky Girl
57 Mamiii
58 Love Nwantiti
59 5 Foot 9
60 Sweetest Pie
61 Sand In My Boots
62 Rock and a Hard Place
63 Provenza
64 AA
65 Bam Bam
66 Efecto (+1)
67 Knife Talk (-1)
68 Essence
69 Get Into It
70 Fingers Crossed
71 Doin' This
72 Party
73 Oh My God
74 Left and Right
75 Meet Me At Our Spot
76 Better Days
77 Like I Love Country Music
78 Despues de La Playa
79 Take My Name
80 Broadway Girls
81 What Happened to Virgil
82 You Should Probably Leave
83 Son of a Sinner
84 Ojitos Lindos
85 Betty
86 Never Say Never
87 Last Night Lonely
88 Damn Strait
89 Trouble with a Heartbreak
90 She's All I Wanna Be
91 All I Want for Christmas Is You
92 Puffin' on Zootiez
93 Unstoppable (+5)
94 Sleazy Flow (-1)
95 The Family Madrigal (-1)
96 Kiss Me More
97 Staying Alive
98 Light Switch (+1)
99 One Mississippi (+1)
100 Beers On Me (RE)
Numb dropped out of the Weekly Top 50, and its chances are getting slim, while Unstoppable chances are getting bigger.
Songs that won't make the cut:
101 Numb
102 Unholy
103 To the Moon!
104 Sticky
105 Thousand Miles
106 Thinking 'Bout You
107 Flower Shops
108 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree
109 23
110 All Too Well
111 To Be Loved by You
112 Circles Around This Town
113 Heart On Fire
114 Hold Me Closer
115 Wishful Drinking
116 Cooped Up
117 F.N.F.
118 Tarot
119 Last Last
120 I'm Good
121 Victoria's Secret
122 Who Want Smoke??
123 Free Mind
124 Whiskey On You
125 Jingle Bell Rock
126 Way 2 Sexy
127 If I Was a Cowboy
128 Happier Than Ever
129 A Holly Jolly Christmas
130 She Likes It
131 What Else Can I Do?
132 When You're Gone
133 Dos Oruguitas
134 Bones
135 Me or Sum
136 2step
137 So Good
138 Do We Have a Problem?
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Oct 11, 2022 18:45:01 GMT -5
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Oct 12, 2022 1:08:02 GMT -5
Crazy how Last Night Lonely might literally be the only song to enter top 100 after this week. I do think Left And Right will average the 5.5k per week it needs to get there too & probably wind up taking the spot of LNL. Unholy, Betty & Son Of A Sinner all look like longshots
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Post by puwrpler04 on Oct 12, 2022 9:47:12 GMT -5
Crazy how Last Night Lonely might literally be the only song to enter top 100 after this week. I do think Left And Right will average the 5.5k per week it needs to get there too & probably wind up taking the spot of LNL. Unholy, Betty & Son Of A Sinner all look like longshots I think it still has a chance. Itโs pretty easily gonna stay in the top 50 this week because of his album even tho it didnโt sell well. I think it depends on if stays in the top 50 two more times then I think itโll make it |
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lukulele
Charting
Joined: October 2018
Posts: 91
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Post by lukulele on Oct 12, 2022 11:39:38 GMT -5
Well this is a historic moment on the charts. Poland by lil yachty is gonna be the first song to come out in October and make the year end chart of this year. I think itโll be due to it spending 42 weeks at number 1 with 10x more points then OTR did in 2019 when it was peaking the highest. Poland by lil yachty will truly be the biggest song of all time when itโs done with it 14 year chart life.
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Post by puwrpler04 on Oct 12, 2022 22:15:33 GMT -5
Best case scenario is She Likes It Drops off next week so it canโt clinch so Last Night Lonley And Left And Right or Thinking About You Can Clinch
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M5AGTS
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2022
Posts: 3,011
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Post by M5AGTS on Oct 12, 2022 22:21:32 GMT -5
Best case scenario is She Likes It Drops off next week so it canโt clinch so Last Night Lonley And Left And Right or Thinking About You Can Clinch I swear to God, if She Likes it is the reason Thinking Bout You misses it, I'm gonna be so mad. |
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Post by reputainbow on Oct 12, 2022 23:16:13 GMT -5
{Week 48}1 Heat Waves (Glass Animals) 12003
2 Stay (Kid Laroi/Justin Bieber) 10527
3 As It Was (Harry Styles) 9912
4 Big Energy (Latto) 7571.8
5 Shivers (Ed Sheeran) 7561
6 Easy on Me (Adele) 7547
7 Ghost (Justin Bieber) 7330
8 Super Gremlin (Kodak Black) 7265.4
9 First Class (Jack Harlow) 6987
10 About Damn Time (Lizzo) 6584
11 Cold Heart (Elton John/Dua Lipa) 6405
12 Bad Habits (Ed Sheeran) 6226
13 Wait For U (Future/Drake/Tems) 5971
14 Enemy (Imagine Dragons/JID) 5400.8
15 That's What I Want (Lil Nas X) 5314
16 abcdefu (GAYLE) 5135.2
17 We Don't Talk About Bruno (Carolina Gaitan/Mauro Castillo/Adassa/Rhenzy Feliz/Diane Guerrero/Stephanie Beatriz/Encanto Cast) 5121.2
18 Woman (Doja Cat) 4814.2
19 Industry Baby (Lil Nas X/Jack Harlow) 4803
20 Running Up That Hill (A Deal With God) (Kate Bush) 4677
21 Need to Know (Doja Cat) 4546
22 Me Porto Bonito (Bad Bunny/Chencho Corleone) 4423
23 Wasted on You (Morgan Wallen) 4106
24 Late Night Talking (Harry Styles) 3803
25 Titi Me Pregunto (Bad Bunny) 3785
26 I Like You (A Happier Song) (Post Malone/Doja Cat) 3730
27 Sunroof (Nicky Youre/Dazy) 3723.2
28 Bad Habit (Steve Lacy) 3666
29 One Right Now (Post Malone/The Weeknd) 3659
30 Break My Soul (Beyonce) 3502
31 Numb Little Bug (Em Beihold) 3485.6
32 You Proof (Morgan Wallen) 3457
33 Good 4 U (Olivia Rodrigo) 3387
34 Til You Can't (Cody Johnson) 3254.2
35 Fancy Like (Walker Hayes) 3134
36 Save Your Tears (The Weeknd) 3117
37 Levitating (Dua Lipa) 3068
38 Moscow Mule (Bad Bunny) 3061
39 Jimmy Cooks (Drake/21 Savage) 2908
40 Pushin P (Gunna/Future/Young Thug) 2875
41 Smokin Out the Window (Silk Sonic/Bruno Mars/Anderson .Paak) 2824.4
42 You Right (Doja Cat/The Weeknd) 2820
43 In a Minute (Lil Baby) 2780.8
44 Boyfriend (Dove Cameron) 2763.6
45 I Hate U (SZA) 2696
46 The Kind of Love We Make (Luke Combs) 2672
47 I Ain't Worried (OneRepublic) 2650.2
48 Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis/Luke Bryan) 2628.4
49 Surface Pressure (Jessica Darrow) 2577.2
50 Hrs and Hrs (Muni Long) 2559
51 Something In the Orange (Zach Bryan) 2527.8
52 Glimpse of Us (Joji) 2487
53 Mamiii (Becky G/Karol G) 2395.2
54 Love Nwantiti (Ah Ah Ah) (Ckay/Joeboy/Kuami Eugene) 2393.4
55 Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen) 2375.8
56 She Had Me At Heads Carolina (Cole Swindell) 2344.4
57 AA (Walker Hayes) 2340
58 Sweetest Pie (Megan Thee Stallion/Dua Lipa) 2320.8
59 Vegas (Doja Cat) 2275.6
60 Provenza (Karol G) 2271
61 Bam Bam (Camila Cabello/Ed Sheeran) 2250.2
62 Get Into It (Yuh) (Doja Cat) 2245.8
63 Fall In Love (Bailey Zimmerman) 2215.8
64 Knife Talk (Drake/21 Savage/Project Pat) 2198
65 Super Freaky Girl (Nicki Minaj) 2181
66 Efecto (Bad Bunny) 2162.6
67 Doin' This (Luke Combs) 2126.4
68 All I Want for Christmas Is You (Mariah Carey) 2124
69 Fingers Crossed (Lauren Spencer-Smith) 2037.4
70 Essence (Wizkid/Tems/Justin Bieber) 2030
71 Despues De La Playa (Bad Bunny) 1974.2
72 Party (Bad Bunny/Rauw Alejandro) 1953.8
73 Oh My God (Adele) 1947.8
74 Like I Love Country Music (Kane Brown) 1931.8
75 Take My Name (Parmalee) 1875.2
76 What Happened to Virgil (Lil Durk/Gunna) 1851.8
77 Broadway Girls (Lil Durk/Morgan Wallen) 1847.4
78 Better Days (Neiked/Mae Muller/Polo G) 1845.4
79 Puffin on Zooties (Future) 1839.2
80 5 Foot 9 (Tyler Hubbard) 1832.4
81 Rock and a Hard Place (Bailey Zimmerman) 1807.4
82 Meet Me At Our Spot (The Anxiety/Willow/Tyler Cole) 1799.4
83 You Should Probably Leave (Chris Stapleton) 1795.8
84 Never Say Never (Cole Swindell/Lainey Wilson) 1784.4
85 Ojitos Lindos (Bad Bunny/Bomba Estereo) 1774.4
86 Flower Shops (ERNEST/Morgan Wallen) 1767.2
87 Trouble With a Heartbreak (Jason Aldean) 1751.8
88 Damn Strait (Scotty McCreery) 1748.2
89 Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (Brenda Lee) 1739
90 Circles Around This Town (Maren Morris) 1724.4
91 Last Night Lonely (Jon Pardi) 1706.4
92 She's All I Wanna Be (Tate Mcrae) 1702.6
93 She Likes It (Russell Dickerson/Jake Scott) 1699.6
94 All Too Well (Taylor's Version) (Taylor Swift) 1695
95 Beers on Me (Dierks Bentley/Breland/HARDY) 1676.4
96 To the Moon (Jnr Choi) 1633.2
97 The Family Madrigal (Stephanie Beatriz/Olga Merediz/Encanto Cast) 1631.4
98 Sleazy Flow (Sleazyworld Go/Lil Baby) 1613
99 Heart on Fire (Eric Church) 1612
100 One Mississippi (Kane Brown) 1574.4 |
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 12, 2022 23:31:17 GMT -5
Bruh
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M5AGTS
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2022
Posts: 3,011
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Post by M5AGTS on Oct 12, 2022 23:39:02 GMT -5
That is a bruh moment. I thought wdtab was a lock for the #1. I do enjoy Super Gremlin tho. |
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Oct 13, 2022 1:08:02 GMT -5
This is why people who say the hot 100 needs to be more of a streaming chart are wrong MPB top 10 would be cool tho |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 13, 2022 21:11:08 GMT -5
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 13, 2022 22:55:57 GMT -5
Weโre going to have to get ready Cold Heart top 10. At this rate WFU and ADT are not going to beat it, even if theyโre going to be a lock for 12 and 11, respectively.
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,719
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Post by Groovy on Oct 16, 2022 7:40:34 GMT -5
My YE top 10 predictions based off this week
1. Heat Waves
2. As It Was
3. Stay
4. Easy on Me
5. First Class
6. Big Energy
7. Shivers
8. Ghost
9. Super Gremlin
10. Cold Heart
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inverse
2x Platinum Member
Your mind is in disturbia...
Joined: December 2015
Posts: 2,095
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Post by inverse on Oct 16, 2022 17:26:06 GMT -5
My YE top 10 predictions based off this week 1. Heat Waves 2. As It Was 3. Stay 4. Easy on Me 5. First Class 6. Big Energy 7. Shivers 8. Ghost 9. Super Gremlin 10. Cold Heart 8 out of these 10 songs were charting during the first week of the year. The other two had already peaked in points by April. Can't remember the second half of the chart year ever feeling as irrelevant towards the top 10 as it was this year |
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Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,638
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Post by Abbaschand on Oct 18, 2022 9:35:39 GMT -5
3 more weeks. Let's check on the projection again.
1 Heat Waves
2 Stay
3 As It Was
4 Big Energy (+2)
5 Ghost (-1)
6 Shivers (-1)
7 Super Gremlin
8 Cold Heart
9 First Class
10 About Damn Time
11 Bad Habits
12 Easy On Me
13 Wait For U
14 That's What I Want
15 Enemy
16 Wasted on You (+1)
17 Me Porto Bonito (-1)
18 Woman
19 ABCDEFU
20 Industry Baby
21 Need to Know
22 Titi Me Pregunto
23 I Like You
24 Late Night Talking (+1)
25 You Proof (+3)
26 We Don't Talk About Bruno (+1)
27 Bad Habit (+2)
28 Sunroof (-2)
29 Running Up That Hill (-5)
30 One Right Now
31 Numb Little Bug
32 The Kind of Love We Make
33 Good 4 U (+1)
34 Jimmy Cooks (+2)
35 Break My Soul
36 In a Minute (+11)
37 I Ain't Worried
38 Something In the Orange (+2)
39 Save Your Tears (-1)
40 Til You Can't (-1)
41 Fancy Like
42 Moscow Mule (-9)
43 Levitating (-1)
44 Vegas (+1)
45 She Had Me at Heads Carolina (-1)
46 Glimpse of Us (-3)
47 You Right (-1)
48 Boyfriend
49 Smokin' Out the Window
50 Pushin' P
51 I Hate U
52 Buy Dirt
53 Fall in Love
54 Hrs and Hrs
55 Surface Pressure
56 Super Freaky Girl
57 Mamiii
58 Love Nwantiti
59 5 Foot 9
60 Sweetest Pie
61 Sand In My Boots
62 Rock and a Hard Place
63 Provenza
64 AA
65 Bam Bam
66 Efecto
67 Knife Talk
68 Essence
69 Get Into It
70 Fingers Crossed
71 Doin' This
72 Party
73 Oh My God
74 Left and Right
75 Meet Me At Our Spot
76 Better Days
77 Like I Love Country Music
78 Despues de La Playa
79 Take My Name
80 Broadway Girls
81 What Happened to Virgil
82 You Should Probably Leave
83 Son of a Sinner
84 Ojitos Lindos
85 Betty
86 Never Say Never
87 Last Night Lonely
88 Damn Strait
89 Trouble with a Heartbreak
90 She's All I Wanna Be
91 All I Want for Christmas Is You
92 Puffin' on Zootiez
93 Unstoppable
94 Sleazy Flow
95 The Family Madrigal
96 Kiss Me More
97 Staying Alive
98 Light Switch
99 One Mississippi
100 Beers On Me
Looks like my bottom half is almost set in stone. There are still some movements in the 20-50 range, but I think this might be my Year-End for 2022.
Important stuff, next week will be my final projection post. I don't want to post one for the penultimate week, because it will be redundant.
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,719
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Post by Groovy on Oct 18, 2022 10:21:02 GMT -5
My YE top 10 predictions based off this week 1. Heat Waves 2. As It Was 3. Stay 4. Easy on Me 5. First Class 6. Big Energy 7. Shivers 8. Ghost 9. Super Gremlin 10. Cold Heart 8 out of these 10 songs were charting during the first week of the year. The other two had already peaked in points by April. Can't remember the second half of the chart year ever feeling as irrelevant towards the top 10 as it was this year There are as many repeats in this top 10 as there are songs released this calendar year so yeah, I agree. |
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welinson
Bubbling Under
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 9
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Post by welinson on Oct 18, 2022 17:44:26 GMT -5
Does any chances of โUntil I Found Youโ made the year-end?
This song is pretty good ๐ฅน
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Oct 18, 2022 17:51:41 GMT -5
A triple threat of updates for yโall today.. Also, would yโall like me to post the final Predictions in list form instead of as a tweet in here?
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Post by PositivityMaster48 on Oct 18, 2022 17:53:12 GMT -5
Does any chances of โUntil I Found Youโ made the year-end? This song is pretty good ๐ฅน Sadly not this YE but if it picks up more during 2023 and stays for a long time next year it has a chance. |
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Post by ๐ฒ๐ฝ'๐ผ.๐ฐ๐ฟ on Oct 18, 2022 18:18:57 GMT -5
Seeing "Thinking 'Bout You" as the lone song in the Margin of Error section of PositivityMaster48's YE prediction is getting me anxious, like I really want one of the best country songs I ever heard to clinch in!!! Also, sucks that "About Damn Time" may miss out on the Top 10 and "Running Up That Hill" out of the Top 20 and 2023 YE re-entry contention. |
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mikerivera
Platinum Member
Joined: November 2018
Posts: 1,784
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Post by mikerivera on Oct 18, 2022 19:26:38 GMT -5
A triple threat of updates for yโall today.. Also, would yโall like me to post the final Predictions in list form instead of as a tweet in here? Posting the final predictions on this thread as a table (rather than a tweet) would take the most effort, but would probably be the most accessible format for people to look at (and return to) your predictions. Thank you for all the work by the way. Two years of doing this every week is such an exhausting commitment, one that nobody else has ever stuck to. So again, I really hope you know youโre appreciated for all the effort youโve put in |
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 18, 2022 19:30:46 GMT -5
Also, sucks that "About Damn Time" may miss out on the Top 10 and "Running Up That Hill" out of the Top 20 and 2023 YE re-entry contention. RUTH is 100% missing the 2023 year-end. About Damn Time is a 50/50. |
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M5AGTS
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2022
Posts: 3,011
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Post by M5AGTS on Oct 18, 2022 19:54:15 GMT -5
Also, sucks that "About Damn Time" may miss out on the Top 10 and "Running Up That Hill" out of the Top 20 and 2023 YE re-entry contention. RUTH is 100% missing the 2023 year-end. About Damn Time is a 50/50. I think adt will pull a Kiss Me More and barely make it. |
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welinson
Bubbling Under
Joined: September 2018
Posts: 9
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Post by welinson on Oct 19, 2022 9:22:35 GMT -5
Does any chances of โUntil I Found Youโ made the year-end? This song is pretty good ๐ฅน Sadly not this YE but if it picks up more during 2023 and stays for a long time next year it has a chance. I hope that UIFY makes what โBeautifulโ did in 2018 / 2019 |
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Groovy
6x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2017
Posts: 6,719
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Post by Groovy on Oct 19, 2022 9:47:17 GMT -5
When should we make the 2023 thread?
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jasper0102
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I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
Joined: May 2022
Posts: 2,846
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 19, 2022 9:48:54 GMT -5
When should we make the 2023 thread? After the 2022 year-end list gets revealed, i guess. |
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