Billboard Hot 100: 12/04/2021

[radio2009]

Nov 23, 2021 22:18:22 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Cold Heart has just been discounted, so it will likely make the Top 10 this tracking week.

Why discount it now? It was was already heading into the Top 10 anyway due to high Spotify streams, sales and airplay.

[fridayteenage]

Nov 23, 2021 22:21:49 GMT -5 mms82 said:

When was the last time a song was number one in airplay, sales, and streams the same week? Easy on Me looks like it’ll get it this week, I can’t think of a song that did that since Despacito and Closer

Won't Complete My Album be an issue. It's what made Hello drop off the top sales spot for a week before coming back.

[mms82]

Nov 23, 2021 23:49:05 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Nov 23, 2021 22:21:49 GMT -5 mms82 said:

When was the last time a song was number one in airplay, sales, and streams the same week? Easy on Me looks like it’ll get it this week, I can’t think of a song that did that since Despacito and Closer

Won't Complete My Album be an issue. It's what made Hello drop off the top sales spot for a week before coming back.

This isn’t 2015 anymore CMA isn’t really a thing anymore

[Groovy]

The only song I see possibly going recurrent next week is Montero but with the Christmas freeze coming soon, expect Levitating, Save Your Tears and Chasing After You to go too.

[fridayteenage]

Nov 24, 2021 8:11:56 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Nov 23, 2021 23:49:05 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Won't Complete My Album be an issue. It's what made Hello drop off the top sales spot for a week before coming back.

This isn’t 2015 anymore CMA isn’t really a thing anymore

The week ed's album dropped, Bad Habits moved up to #4 on the Hot 100; while it went from #9 to dropping out of the digital top 50 altogether.

Since according to you CMA isn't a thing, I guess this is just a great mystery.

[Au$tin]

Nov 24, 2021 8:11:56 GMT -5 mms82 said:

Nov 23, 2021 23:49:05 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Won't Complete My Album be an issue. It's what made Hello drop off the top sales spot for a week before coming back.

This isn’t 2015 anymore CMA isn’t really a thing anymore

When specifically talking about the digital sales chart, it absolutely is. It doesn't impact the Hot 100, but it very much still affects the digital sales chart.

[jenglisbe]

Nov 23, 2021 17:50:28 GMT -5 Abbaschand said:

Why are we ignoring the fact that Dr. Luke is nominated for SOTY? Why are they allowing him to get nominated?

Has he technically been convicted of anything? (I'm not defending him in general, but in terms of "allowing" him to get nominated I'd think he'd need to at least be convicted.)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

US Spotify - 11/23/21

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 1,785,493 (-91,020)
2(=) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 1,573,159 (+85,655)
3(=) Adele - Oh My God 1,302,634 (-88,684)
4(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 1,107,169 (+70,415)
5(+1) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 1,050,615 (+55,454)
6(+3) The Kid LAROI - STAY 974,216 (+55,572)
7(+3) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 902,291 (+55,873)
8(-3) Adele - Can I Get It 887,925 (-107,379)
9(-2) Adele - I Drink Wine 837,836 (-127,588)
10(-2) Adele - My Little Love 823,053 (-138,492)

Adele - 30
13(-1) Cry Your Heart Out 688,669 (-135,142)
14(-1) To Be Loved 680,675 (-115,066)
17(-6) Stranger By Nature 674,402 (-165,870)
24(-9) All Night Parking 614,143 (-114,199)
26(-10) Woman Like Me 594,259 (-116,331)
29(-12) Hold On 577,087 (-110,680)
35(-13) Love is a Game 527,124 (-95,213)
Total Streams: 9,993,300

Taylor Swift - Red (Taylor's Version)
32(+1) I Bet You Think About Me 537,526 (+6,693)
36(-4) Nothing New 526,202 (-10,249)
38(-1) Red 500,632 (-3,510)
42(-3) All Too Well 477,399 (-1,166)
73(-3) State of Grace 359,086 (+1,421)
74(-3) The Very First Night 357,222 (+1,869)
79(-4) I Knew You Were Trouble 342,081 (+613)
81(-4) Message in a Bottle 340,690 (+3,351)
93(-9) Better Man 317,922 (+2,550)
Total Streams: 8,205,492

Total Streams for All Too Well (Taylor's Version): 2,050,558

Others:
11(+3) Drake - Knife Talk 739,851 (+7,735)
12(+6) NEIKED - Better Days 700,326 (+21,273)
15(+6) Drake - Way 2 Sexy 680,589 (+49,050)
16(+3) Doja Cat - Need to Know 678,118 (+43,842)
18(+5) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 652,245 (+43,734)
19(+10) GAYLE - abcdefu 651,030 (+99,078)
20(+5) Baby Keem - family ties 638,886 (+54,585)
22(+2) Post Malone - One Right Now 632,050 (+40,183)
23(+4) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 616,966 (+44,454)
25(-5) Juice WRLD - Already Dead 607,363 (-25,265)
27(+1) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 592,898 (+38,342)
30(+4) Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You 552,693 (+22,824)
31(=) Polo G - Bad Man (Smooth Criminal) 544,953 (+3,938)
33(+2) Doja Cat - Woman 536,781 (+26,494)
34(+2) Taylor Swift - Enchanted 527,810 (+21,444)
37(+3) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 503,657 (+31,184)
39(-1) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 496,407 (+10,137)
40(+2) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever 483,682 (+31,458)
41(+6) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 480,384 (+43,902)
43(-2) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 476,445 (+20,113)
44(-1) Playboi Carti - Sky 474,782 (+27,860)
47(-2) Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree 464,913 (+25,635)
49(-1) Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock 454,868 (+19,708)
51(-2) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 451,054 (+17,893)
52(+2) Kanye West - Praise God 446,933 (+32,497)
53(-3) Amaarae - SAD GIRLZ LUV MONEY Remix 444,305 (+11,969)
54(+6) Drake - Fair Trade 439,747 (+50,487)
55(+1) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Leave the Door Open 438,542 (+27,135)
56(-4) Eslabon Armado, DannyLux - Jugaste y Sufrí 425,798 (-3,691)
57(+1) Doja Cat, The Weeknd - You Right 421,767 (+22,366)
60(-5) The Walters - I Love You So 409,318 (-3,600)
61(+2) Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot like Christmas 390,169 (+18,264)
62(+2) Justin Bieber - Ghost 389,763 (+21,258)
64(-5) BoyWithUke - Toxic 388,672 (-808)
65(+1) Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year 384,814 (+20,074)
66(+2) Måneskin - Beggin' 383,049 (+23,025)
67(-5) The Rare Occasions - Notion 374,754 (+1,519)
68(-1) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 373,678 (+11,986)
71(+5) Nat King Cole - The Christmas Song 364,788 (+25,909)
72(+2) Walker Hayes - Fancy Like 361,900 (+16,278)
76(+3) Wham! - Last Christmas 348,242 (+22,278)
77(-8) Travis Scott - ESCAPE PLAN 344,920 (-13,296)
82(+3) Swedish House Mafia - Moth To A Flame 339,906 (+25,019)
83(+10) Coldplay, BTS - My Universe 335,997 (+29,906)
85(+3) Oliver Tree - Life Goes On 335,195 (+25,224)
86(-3) Surf Curse - Freaks 334,993 (+18,057)
87(-5) Summer Walker - No Love 333,574 (+14,136)
90(=) Emmy Meli - I AM WOMAN 332,278 (+22,707)
92(-3) LISA - MONEY 322,269 (+12,629)
96(+6) Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me 309,648 (+16,947)
97(-1) NLE Choppa - Jumpin 308,497 (+5,151)
99(+9) ACRAZE, Cherish - Do It to It 302,346 (+24,875)

104(+2) ROSALÍA - LA FAMA 297,214 (+17,285)
105(+4) Drake - Girls Want Girls 295,742 (+18,569)
109(+5) Young Thug - Bubbly 292,760 (+20,978)
110(+2) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 292,624 (+19,550)
114(-3) $uicideboy$ - ...And to Those I Love, Thanks for Sticking Around 285,543 (+10,971)
118(-11) Tate McRae - feel like shit 282,672 (+3,349)
119(-15) Benson Boone - GHOST TOWN 281,014 (-1,324)
120(-1) Lil Tecca - LOT OF ME 280,215 (+13,827)
122(-7) Gunna, Future - Too Easy 279,177 (+8,681)
125(-3) Beach House - Space Song 276,048 (+12,041)
127(-7) Joy Again - Looking Out for You 272,675 (+7,340)
135(-2) Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever Edit 264,221 (+9,708)
136(+10) José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad 263,690 (+16,805)
137(-9) Ivan Cornejo - Está Dañada 262,744 (+3,947)
140(debut) Rod Wave - By Your Side 261,775
143(+8) Justin Bieber - Mistletoe 261,067 (+20,101)
147(-6) Bing Crosby, Ken Darby Singers, John Scott Trotter & His Orchestra - White Christmas 256,181 (+5,290)
155(=) Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree 252,406 (+14,344)
158(-19) Siouxxie - masquerade 250,582 (-1,668)
160(=) Frank Sinatra - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 248,465 (+12,310)
161(-3) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Skate 247,993 (+11,095)
165(-12) Young Dolph - 1 Scale 246,391 (+6,240)
169(re-entry) The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride 244,846
184(+1) Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas 232,556 (+12,589)
185(re-entry) Frank Sinatra - Have Yourself A Merry Little Christmas 232,374
187(+6) Morgan Wallen - Sand In My Boots 230,353 (+15,633)
195(+1) Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! 227,309 (+14,080)

Total Streams for Happier Than Ever: 747,903

Biggest Gains (50K+): Fair Trade, good 4 u, family ties, abcdefu, Heat Waves, STAY, Smokin Out The Window, INDUSTRY BABY, All Too Well (10 Minute Version)

[phieaglesfan712]

Nov 24, 2021 9:37:52 GMT -5 Groovy said:

The only song I see possibly going recurrent next week is Montero but with the Christmas freeze coming soon, expect Levitating, Save Your Tears and Chasing After You to go too.

Don’t forget about LTDO, which has seen larger negative updates on radio post-album release.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2021 » / « 11 » / « 24 »

1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 109.45(+0.49)
2(=) The Kid LAROI & Justin Bieber - STAY 102.30(-0.45)
3(=) Lil Nas X & Jack Harlow - INDUSTRY BABY 76.79(-0.87)
4(=) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 71.67(-0.92)
5(=) Doja Cat - Need To Know 67.19(+0.72)
6(=) Måneskin - Beggin 63.16(-0.64)
7(=) Wizkid - Essence f/Tems 61.73(-0.27) +
8(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 58.22(+0.77)
9(=) Olivia Rodrigo - good 4 u 56.24(-0.86)
10(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 54.94(+0.92)

16(+1) Dustin Lynch - Thinking 'Bout You (feat. MacKenzie Porter) 43.35(+0.82)
22(+1) Blxst - Chosen f/Ty Dolla $ign & Tyga 38.50(+1.04)
27(=) Post Malone & The Weeknd - One Right Now 33.63(+0.76)
34(+1) Capella Grey - Gyalis 30.19(+0.80) +
39(+4) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 26.20(+1.86)
100(+12) Taylor Swift - Message In A Bottle (Taylor's Version) 11.25(+1.23)
-(-) Adele - Oh My God 5.00(+0.97)

[dremolus - solarpunk]

Nov 24, 2021 11:40:29 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2021 » / « 11 » / « 24 »

10(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 54.94(+0.92)

[85la]

Nov 23, 2021 22:39:42 GMT -5 radio2009 said:

Nov 23, 2021 22:18:22 GMT -5 phieaglesfan712 said:

Cold Heart has just been discounted, so it will likely make the Top 10 this tracking week.

Why discount it now? It was was already heading into the Top 10 anyway due to high Spotify streams, sales and airplay.

Assuming the discount will really help it (It's #11 this week, don't know how close in points it is to the projected #10), this would actually be the perfect week to do it, right before Black Friday week when the Christmas songs will really start to kick in. And it's showing increases on iTunes (currently #3), so it seems to be helping. There's always after Christmas, but of course that's many weeks from now and not guaranteed, so if they feel they have a shot now, why not go for it?

[slw84]

Nov 23, 2021 18:05:13 GMT -5 JukeboxJacob said:

I think Adele's hiatus was too long

that's a minor factor but i'm sure it had an impact.

[phieaglesfan712]

Nov 24, 2021 11:44:31 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

Nov 24, 2021 11:40:29 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2021 » / « 11 » / « 24 »

10(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 54.94(+0.92)

After the Fancy Like debacle, can’t you just let me have this one?

[Future Captain]

Heat Waves will probably peak at number 3 around January and February, then hangs around in the top 10 until summer

[whales10268]

The next few weeks will be boring chart wise but I am excited for the new top 10 come the first week of january with so many recurrencies cause by the christmas music.

[whales10268]

All 30 tracks should be in the top 50 and maybe the top 40.

[kindofbiased]

The first post-Christmas week is always fun now cause it's the first time we actually get to see what the 2022 chart year might look like

[fridayteenage]

Nov 24, 2021 13:10:28 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

The next few weeks will be boring chart wise but I am excited for the new top 10 come the first week of january with so many recurrencies cause by the christmas music.

I am looking forward to Kelly getting her second post-30 top 10 hit, personally.

[kingvavis]

Nov 24, 2021 13:13:32 GMT -5 whales10268 said:

All 30 tracks should be in the top 50 and maybe the top 40.

That's such a weird sentence to read

[JukeboxJacob]

Adele's songs barely took a hit on Spotify! Oh My God already getting a radio presence. Yay!

[degen]

Is there any chance “Industry Baby” ends up higher than “Call Me By Your Name” on the year end charts? IB shaped up to be the bigger hit that spent more weeks in the top 5, but CBYN came out months earlier so I’m not sure.

[degen]

Nov 24, 2021 10:03:37 GMT -5 jenglisbe said:

Nov 23, 2021 17:50:28 GMT -5 Abbaschand said:

Why are we ignoring the fact that Dr. Luke is nominated for SOTY? Why are they allowing him to get nominated?

Has he technically been convicted of anything? (I'm not defending him in general, but in terms of "allowing" him to get nominated I'd think he'd need to at least be convicted.)

Why are we still doing this?

[HolidayGuy]

As an aside, fridayteen- Kelly Clarkson released "Underneath the Tree" at age 31, so if it cracks the top 10 this year, still in her 30s. Because of chart rules and such for holiday tracks through the years, we've seen acts' holiday classics reaching their peaks far removed from the age range the act first recorded/released the track. "Underneath the Tree" being the most successful post-"All I Want For Christmas..." holiday original definitely doesn't hurt, nor does the by-default streaming popularity of holiday classics.

[Choco]

Dr. Luke already got nominated with Say So last year. It's not a new thing and there's nothing anyone can do at this point.

Louis CK also got a nod. Morgan Wallen will eventually get one too.

[kindofbiased]

Nov 24, 2021 14:13:44 GMT -5 degen said:

Is there any chance “Industry Baby” ends up higher than “Call Me By Your Name” on the year end charts? IB shaped up to be the bigger hit that spent more weeks in the top 5, but CBYN came out months earlier so I’m not sure.

Pretty much impossible because of how late in the year Industry Baby was released, CMBYN is projected to be around #9 and Industry Baby is gonna be somewhere in the 20s 

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

I just noticed that the paywalled articles now have a "pro" icon next to the article's title.

[gikem]

Nov 24, 2021 15:05:44 GMT -5 kindofbiased said:

Nov 24, 2021 14:13:44 GMT -5 degen said:

Is there any chance “Industry Baby” ends up higher than “Call Me By Your Name” on the year end charts? IB shaped up to be the bigger hit that spent more weeks in the top 5, but CBYN came out months earlier so I’m not sure.

Pretty much impossible because of how late in the year Industry Baby was released, CMBYN is projected to be around #9 and Industry Baby is gonna be somewhere in the 20s 

I've been working on potential projections for the 2021 January-December YE, and Industry Baby is still expected to be below Montero there even if the latter makes its exit next week. IB will likely be in the top 20, though - maybe even top 15.

[Angel]

Nov 24, 2021 10:52:42 GMT -5 dremolus - solarpunk said:

US Spotify - 11/23/21

2(=) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 1,573,159 (+85,655)

I'm so impressed with All Too Well's stability so far. This song got me through the tail end of high school so it's very sentimental for me.
Seeing it celebrated like this almost a decade on brings a tear to my eye. 

[iHype.]

“All Too Well” is for sure about to enter the territory as one of the top deep cuts ever. A #1 charting, has made critics greatest lists already, etc. It was really smart how they went about pushing that song specifically with the re-recording of Red.

I imagine they will go the same route with Speak Now and do “Enchanted”, especially since the singles from that era really aren’t even memorable in terms of her singles discography. There’s really not much that would draw someone from pushing “Mean” or “Mine” new re-records.