gikem
3x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2020
Posts: 3,813
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Post by gikem on Dec 2, 2021 14:00:15 GMT -5
The 34+35 Doja Cat and Megan Thee Stallion featured credit seems questionable as well for the opposite reason. Agreed. Thankfully, neither of them are credited for that song on the Wikipedia article for the 2021 YE that is now available to view. I always use those to determine which versions of each song to use for my worst/best lists, never the ones on Billboard's terrible website like the original Savage that somehow got credited last year.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 2, 2021 22:04:23 GMT -5
^Year-end charts are based on actual weekly points while all-time ones are based on inverse position points combined with weighing for different chart eras.
In the case of Heat Waves, it is one of very few songs that managed to have more than 40 weeks on the Hot 100 so longevity helped it a lot, regardless of top 10 weeks. It actually managed to chart one less week than Forever After All which had no weeks in the top 10 during the period covered by the period, but only managed to be two positions above it in the year-end.
Easy on Me, while #1 during the four weeks that counted toward the year-end. Those weeks weren't even close as massive in points to what Hello managed in its three weeks at #1.
In the cases of both songs you mentioned, the predictors had tracked the weekly points and mostly corrected predicted where and if they would make the year-end Hot 100.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 3, 2021 12:00:18 GMT -5
Thanks to oldbloke @ UKMix, we not only got the Billboard 200 Year-End but his estimated numbers:
BILLBOARD 200 YEAR-END
Rank Estimated EAS TITLE Artist
1 2,841,000 DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM Morgan Wallen 2 2,063,000 SOUR Olivia Rodrigo 3 1,759,000 SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON Pop Smoke 4 1,618,000 EVERMORE Taylor Swift 5 1,583,000 CERTIFIED LOVER BOY Drake 6 1,537,000 F*CK LOVE Kid Laroi 7 1,459,000 WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET Luke Combs 8 1,431,000 POSITIONS Ariana Grande 9 1,371,000 FUTURE NOSTALGIA Dua Lipa 10 1,303,000 MY TURN Lil Baby 11 1,260,000 LEGENDS NEVER DIE Juice WRLD 12 1,185,000 FOLKLORE Taylor Swift 13 1,147,000 HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING Post Malone 14 1,147,000 AFTER HOURS The Weeknd 15 1,139,000 JUSTICE Justin Bieber 16 1,076,000 FINE LINE Harry Styles 17 1,055,000 EL ULTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO Bad Bunny 18 1,049,000 GOOD NEWS Megan Thee Stallion 19 1,031,000 THE VOICE Lil Durk 20 1,031,000 PLANET HER Doja Cat 21 1,004,000 SOULFLY Rod Wave 22 995,000 GOODBYE AND GOOD RIDDANCE Juice WRLD 23 995,000 GREATEST HITS Queen 24 929,000 TICKETS TO MY DOWNFALL Machine Gun Kelly 25 929,000 HAMILTON: AN AMERICAN MUSICAL Original Cast 26 908,000 A GANGSTA'S PAIN Moneybagg Yo 27 880,000 WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP WHERE DO WE GO Billie Eilish 28 875,000 THE OFF-SEASON J Cole 29 875,000 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Luke Combs 30 871,000 THE GOAT Polo G 31 865,000 THE HIGHLIGHTS The Weeknd 32 849,000 STARTING OVER Chris Stapleton 33 811,000 FEARLESS (TAYLOR'S VERSION) Taylor Swift 34 804,000 RUMOURS Fleetwood Mac 35 804,000 YHLQMDLG Bad Bunny 36 803,000 IF I KNOW ME Morgan Wallen 37 803,000 SHIESTY SEASON Pooh Shiesty 38 795,000 THE VOICE OF THE HEROES Lil Baby & Lil Durk 39 788,000 DONDA Kanye West 40 765,000 BE BTS 41 742,000 HAPPIER THAN EVER Billie Eilish 42 726,000 DEATH RACE FOR LOVE Juice WRLD 43 726,000 DIAMONDS Elton John 44 723,000 HOT PINK Doja Cat 45 720,000 ASTROWORLD Travis Scott 46 716,000 MUSIC TO BE MURDERED BY Eminem 47 713,000 CHRONICLE:THE 20 GREATEST HITS Creedence Clearwater Revival 48 700,000 CURTAIN CALL: THE HITS Eminem 49 692,000 PRAY 4 LOVE Rod Wave 50 687,000 BEERBONGS AND BENTLEYS Post Malone 51 687,000 THATS WHAT THEY ALL SAY Jack Harlow 52 676,000 BLAME IT ON BABY DaBaby 53 661,000 GOOD KID M.A.A.D CITY Kendrick Lamar 54 661,000 PLUTO X BABY PLUTO Future & Lil Uzi Vert 55 661,000 SCORPION Drake 56 658,000 ETERNAL ATAKE Lil Uzi Vert 57 657,000 TRAVELLER Chris Stapleton 58 657,000 HALL OF FAME Polo G 59 644,000 OVER IT Summer Walker 60 642,000 LEGEND Bob Marley & the Wailers 61 629,000 LOVER Taylor Swift 62 620,000 2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE J Cole 63 619,000 CTRL SZA 64 611,000 TOP YoungBoy Never Broke Again 65 611,000 DIVINELY UNINSPIRED TO A HELLISH EXTENT Lewis Capaldi 66 592,000 GREATEST HITS Journey 67 591,000 STONEY Post Malone 68 590,000 BACK IN BLACK AC/DC 69 582,000 PLEASE EXCUSE ME FOR BEING ANTISOCIAL Roddy Ricch 70 568,000 DONT SMILE AT ME Billie Eilish 71 560,000 รท Ed Sheeran 72 556,000 WHEN IT'S ALL SAID AND DONE...TAKE TIME Giveon 73 539,000 THRILLER Michael Jackson 74 538,000 ? XXXTentacion 75 536,000 CHILOMBO Jhene Aiko 76 527,000 GREATEST HITS Tom Petty & the Heartbreakers 77 527,000 JUST CAUSE Y'ALL WAITED 2 Lil Durk 78 526,000 TAKE CARE Drake 79 525,000 SAVAGE MODE II 21 Savage & Metro Boomin 80 525,000 LUV IS RAGE 2 Lil Uzi Vert 81 509,000 GREATEST HITS 2Pac 82 509,000 DAMN. Kendrick Lamar 83 508,000 KHALED KHALED DJ Khaled 84 508,000 1 Beatles 85 505,000 AMERICAN TEEN Khalid 86 504,000 YOUNG STONER LIFE: SLIME LANGUAGE 2 Young Thug/Various 87 503,000 DREAMLAND Glass Animals 88 503,000 1989 Taylor Swift 89 494,000 HIGH OFF LIFE Future 90 489,000 DESTINED 2 WIN Lil Tjay 91 489,000 WHOLE LOTTA RED Playboi Carti 92 489,000 THANK U NEXT Ariana Grande 93 484,000 MANIC Halsey 94 478,000 DOO-WOPS AND HOOLIGANS Bruno Mars 95 474,000 CULTURE III Migos 96 469,000 ABBEY ROAD Beatles 97 465,000 NEVERMIND Nirvana 98 462,000 GOLDMINE Gabby Barrett 99 459,000 METALLICA Metallica 100 459,000 MOANA Soundtrack 101 459,000 MEET THE WOO V.2 Pop Smoke 102 457,000 SWIMMING Mac Miller 103 456,000 VIEWS Drake 104 455,000 PLASTIC HEARTS Miley Cyrus 105 455,000 GREATEST HITS Notorious B.I.G. 106 447,000 MAN ON THE MOON: THE END OF DAY Kid Cudi 107 443,000 WELCOME TO O'BLOCK King Von 108 443,000 WUNNA Gunna 109 441,000 FREE SPIRIT Khalid 110 441,000 INVASION OF PRIVACY Cardi B 111 428,000 CALL ME IF YOU GET LOST Tyler The Creator 112 427,000 HEY WORLD Lee Brice 113 423,000 MAP OF THE SOUL: 7 BTS 114 417,000 EVOLVE Imagine Dragons 115 399,000 GREATEST HITS Guns N'Roses 116 399,000 DIE A LEGEND Polo G 117 396,000 DARK LANE DEMO TAPES Drake 118 396,000 ALL TIME GREATEST HITS Lynyrd Skynyrd 119 388,000 ANTI Rihanna 120 388,000 AM Arctic Monkeys 121 384,000 BLONDE Frank Ocean 122 377,000 GREATEST HITS SO FAR... Zac Brown Band 123 377,000 MAN ON THE MOON III: THE CHOSEN Kid Cudi 124 376,000 SINCERELY KENTRELL YoungBoy Never Broke Again 125 375,000 GREATEST HITS Bob Seger & the Silver Bullet Band 126 371,000 MONTERO Lil Nas X 127 371,000 THE ESSENTIAL Billy Joel 128 371,000 BIRDS IN THE TRAP SING MCKNIGHT Travis Scott 129 371,000 CUZ I LOVE YOU Lizzo 130 369,000 GRADUATION Kanye West 131 364,000 AI YOUNGBOY 2 YoungBoy Never Broke Again 132 362,000 INSIDE (THE SONGS) Bo Burnham 133 362,000 MORE LIFE Drake 134 353,000 IGOR Tyler The Creator 135 344,000 GREATEST HITS Fleetwood Mac 136 342,000 CHRISTMAS Michael Buble 137 342,000 HARRY STYLES Harry Styles 138 342,000 THE VERY BEST OF:SOUNDS OF SUMMER Beach Boys 139 341,000 BORN HERE LIVE HERE DIE HERE Luke Bryan 140 341,000 GREATEST HITS Bon Jovi 141 341,000 X 100PRE Bad Bunny 142 336,000 THE SEARCH NF 143 335,000 NOTHING WAS THE SAME Drake 144 317,000 FREE DEM BOYZ 42 Dugg 145 317,000 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN Soundtrack 146 317,000 SOUTHSIDE Sam Hunt 147 314,000 LIFE ROLLS ON Florida Georgia Line 148 314,000 GREATEST HITS Pitbull 149 314,000 PURGATORY Tyler Childers 150 310,000 TRUE 2 MYSELF Lil Tjay 151 301,000 BORN TO DIE Lana Del Rey 152 299,000 MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED FANTASY Kanye West 153 299,000 HOTEL CALIFORNIA Eagles 154 296,000 INDIGO Chris Brown 155 293,000 MY GIFT Carrie Underwood 156 291,000 FROZEN 2 Soundtrack 157 291,000 GHETTO GOSPEL Rod Wave 158 288,000 GOLD-GREATEST HITS Abba 159 284,000 THE VERY BEST OF Daryl Hall & John Oates 160 284,000 17 XXXTentacion 161 284,000 BLURRYFACE Twenty One Pilots 162 273,000 STARBOY The Weeknd 163 273,000 THE ESSENTIAL Michael Jackson 164 269,000 STILL SLEEP Sleepy Hallow 165 269,000 WONDER Shawn Mendes 166 268,000 B4 THE STORM Internet Money 167 267,000 FAITH Pop Smoke 168 267,000 KIRK DaBaby 169 266,000 TIME SERVED Moneybagg Yo 170 262,000 REPUTATION Taylor Swift 171 262,000 KG0516 Karol G 172 257,000 THE BEST OF VOLUME 1 Nickelback 173 255,000 TRIP AT KNIGHT Trippie Redd 174 253,000 POWER UP AC/DC 175 250,000 BACK OF MY MIND H.E.R. 176 249,000 COUNTRY STUFF (EP) Walker Hayes 177 249,000 THE CHRISTMAS SONG Nat King Cole 178 249,000 MERRY CHRISTMAS Mariah Carey 179 249,000 GREATEST HITS Red Hot Chili Peppers 180 246,000 JORDI Maroon 5 181 242,000 NUMBER ONE HITS Tim McGraw 182 242,000 DS2 Future 183 241,000 HOZIER Hozier 184 240,000 A CHARLIE BROWN CHRISTMAS Vince Guaraldi 185 233,000 I WILL ALWAYS LOVE YOU: THE BEST OF Whitney Houston 186 232,000 HEAVEN AND HELL Ava Max 187 227,000 THE BEST OF PENTATONIX CHRISTMAS Pentatonix 188 226,000 IN THE LONELY HOUR Sam Smith 189 221,000 VICE VERSA Rauw Alejandro 190 217,000 EXPENSIVE PAIN Meek Mill 191 214,000 LOVE GOES Sam Smith 192 214,000 BEAM ME UP SCOTTY Nicki Minaj 193 214,000 MY SAVIOR Carrie Underwood 194 210,000 SO MUCH FUN Young Thug 195 208,000 HEAUX TALES Jazmine Sullivan 196 205,000 HYBRID THEORY Linkin Park 197 204,000 THE CHAOS CHAPTER: FREEZE Tomorrow X Together 198 203,000 21 Adele 199 203,000 OK ORCHESTRA AJR 200 193,000 THE ALBUM Blackpink
Based on the Billboard 200 charts dated November 21, 2020 - November 13, 2021. Only charted EAS count.
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Post by twelvevinylrecords on Dec 3, 2021 15:13:05 GMT -5
This is easily the best year end top 10 we've had in a very long time. When the worst song in the top 10, pretty easily too, is PEACHES... thats insane I think this one is rather meh. 2004 is the gold standard for YE Top 10โs, and this one does not come close to that. Years like 2009-2012 and 2015 are better than this one. It's extremely top heavy. I think the top 25 (except 2-3 songs) is incredible imo. But like other comments have said, 3/4ths of the list is kinda crap. Although I am thrilled that HTE, We're Good, and Take my Breath made it in towards the bottom.
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