Abbaschand
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2016
Posts: 1,638 
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Post by Abbaschand on Feb 6, 2022 1:52:34 GMT -5
I'm so hooked to this song rn For context, this is Japan's Blinding Lights. This song does have quite the lengthy run on the Japan Hot 100, but it's not out of the ordinary for the Japanese charts considering so many of the songs on their charts have had absurdly long chart runs. That is very true, one great example is Lemon by Yonezu Kenshi, which topped the Billboard Japan year-end charts in 2018 AND 2019. |
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fridayteenage
5x Platinum Member
Shake it Off
Joined: April 2008
Posts: 5,493
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Post by fridayteenage on Feb 6, 2022 2:24:00 GMT -5
So Do We Have A Problem (DWHAP?) is #1 on AM, #4 on Spotify, #1 on iTunes (looks to be outselling Bruno 4-to-1). Bruno is #1 on Spotify, #6 on AM, and #2 on iTunes. It depends massively on whether streams dropoff hard, but if DWHAP can hold relatively stable, it could challenge for #1. Bruno's a pretty weak #1 all things considered. If that doesn't happen though, a top 5 should be doable. What about YouTube? Plus, what are the odds "SDWHAP" holds on to its numbers? 885k day 1 US |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Feb 6, 2022 10:38:57 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates « 2022 » / « 02 » / « 06 »
1(=) Adele - Easy On Me 108.17(-0.73)
2(=) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 91.56(-0.12)
3(=) The Kid Laroi & Justin Bieber - Stay 86.60(-0.33)
4(=) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 78.02(-0.48)
5(+1) Justin Bieber - Ghost 72.91(+0.94)
6(-1) Doja Cat - Need To Know 71.35(-0.67)
7(=) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 68.53(+0.85)
8(+1) GAYLE - abcdefu 61.53(+1.27) +
9(-1) Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 60.34(+0.04)
10(=) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak & Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 58.01(-2.07)
32(+1) The Weeknd - Sacrifice 33.11(+0.76) + 37(+1) Doja Cat - Woman 29.75(+1.03) 48(+4) Charlie Puth - Light Switch 24.69(+1.23) 77(+2) Lauren Spencer-Smith - Fingers Crossed 17.14(+0.73)
99(+2) The Chainsmokers - High 13.78(+0.85) -(-) Red Hot Chili Peppers - Black Summer 5.37(+0.96)
-(-) Kem - Stuck On You 3.61(+0.78)
-(-) Luis Fonsi & Manuel Turizo - Vacaciones 2.11(+1.75) +
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Feb 6, 2022 11:16:56 GMT -5
US Spotify - 02/05/22
1(=) Carolina Gaitán - La Gaita, Mauro Castillo, Adassa, Rhenzy Feliz, Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz, Encanto Cast - We Don't Talk About Bruno 1,486,869 (+51,210)
2(+1) Gunna, Future - pushin P 1,079,622 (+26,124)
3(+2) Kodak Black - Super Gremlin 1,018,288 (+54,302)
4(+2) Glass Animals - Heat Waves 1,001,362 (+39,907)
5(-3) Juice WRLD - Cigarettes 973,535 (-187,449)
6(+1) Jessica Darrow - Surface Pressure 914,154 (+24,085)
7(-3) Nicki Minaj, Lil Baby - Do We Have A Problem? 843,260 (-171,219) (-17%)
8(=) Lil Nas X - INDUSTRY BABY 818,301 (+36,523)
9(=) The Kid LAROI - STAY 808,219 (+44,882)
10(+2) GAYLE - abcdefu 696,459 (+32,036)
Others:
11(+2) Imagine Dragons - Enemy 670,433 (+8,523)
12(+3) Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz, Encanto Cast - The Family Madrigal 658,350 (+34,421)
13(+5) Elton John, Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (PNAU Remix) 632,650 (+44,749)
14(-4) Tate McRae - she's all i wanna be 625,155 (-90,964) (-13%)
15(-4) King Von, 21 Savage - Don't Play That 625,066 (-39,761) (-5%)
16(-2) The Walters - I Love You So 618,522 (-38,533)
17(=) Doja Cat - Need to Know 609,537 (+18,501)
18(+3) Lil Nas X - THATS WHAT I WANT 604,008 (+46,939)
19(=) Drake - Knife Talk 578,713 (-5,489)
20(+2) Diane Guerrero, Stephanie Beatriz - What Else Can I Do? 577,708 (+23,618)
21(-1) Adele - Easy On Me 561,053 (-5,596)
23(+4) Doja Cat - Woman 541,277 (+31,456)
24(-8) Machine Gun Kelly - emo girl 530,163 (-93,605) (-15%)
25(+1) SZA - I Hate U 515,140 (+727)
27(-4) Frank Ocean - Lost 512,758 (-26,443)
28(+3) Ed Sheeran - Shivers 510,439 (+24,094)
29(-5) Steve Lacy - Dark Red 494,804 (-42,616)
30(-2) Lauren Spencer-Smith - Fingers Crossed 478,654 (-28,672)
31(+3) Justin Bieber - Ghost 472,907 (+23,028)
33(=) NEIKED - Better Days 465,724 (+4,103)
34(+1) $NOT, A$AP Rocky - Doja 460,616 (+13,553) (+3%)
35(+2) Stephanie Beatriz - Waiting on a Miracle 454,088 (+10,241)
37(+5) Lil Durk - Broadway Girls 437,892 (+12,871)
38(+1) Charlie Puth - Light Switch 437,733 (+1,092)
40(+9) Sebastian Yatra - Dos Oruguitas 420,305 (+7,827)
41(+11) Bruno Mars, Anderson .Paak, Silk Sonic - Smokin Out The Window 413,673 (+9,183)
42(+4) Gunna - P power 413,606 (-4,151)
44(-4) The Rare Occasions - Notion 410,218 (-23,593)
45(-9) Arctic Monkeys - 505 408,927 (-36,419)
46(+5) THE ANXIETY, WILLOW, Tyler Cole - Meet Me At Our Spot 408,577 (+1,284)
47(-9) Vundabar - Alien Blues 406,717 (-36,350)
48(+6) Post Malone - One Right Now 404,240 (+11,767)
49(-5) Playboi Carti - Sky 400,342 (-21,990)
53(-3) Em Beihold - Numb Little Bug 375,674 (-32,829)
56(+3) The Weeknd - Sacrifice 363,920 (-4,327)
57(+20) Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh) 360,655 (+26,894)
58(+13) Dua Lipa - Levitating 360,630 (+19,969)
61(+19) Latto - Big Energy 355,551 (+25,289)
62(+2) Jaymes Young - Infinity 351,113 (-1,169)
63(+5) Muni Long - Hrs and Hrs 347,182 (+4,937)
66(-13) The Neighbourhood - Softcore 343,649 (-49,599)
68(-3) Surf Curse - Freaks 336,770 (-15,203)
70(-9) Yung Lean - Ginseng Strip 2002 334,982 (-23,006)
72(+11) Nardo Wick - Who Want Smoke?? 332,540 (+5,225)
75(+16) Stephanie Beatriz, Olga Merediz, John Leguizamo, Adassa, Maluma, Encanto Cast - All of You 329,152 (+10,207)
76(-14) Labrinth - I'm Tired 326,297 (-28,940) (-8%)
79(+7) Adele - Oh My God 318,109 (-1,579)
80(+25) CKay - love nwantiti (ah ah ah) 318,107 (+20,755)
81(-36) Red Hot Chili Peppers - Black Summer 317,938 (-103,167) (-24%)
82(+15) BoyWithUke - Toxic 317,665 (+10,207)
83(+2) Gucci Mane - Rumors 313,039 (-13,265)
84(+18) Yeat - Monëy so big 309,660 (+7,407)
85(-3) Taylor Swift - All Too Well (10 Minute Version) 308,807 (-18,874)
89(-16) Beach House - Space Song 305,931 (-30,612)
92(+7) The Game, Kanye West - Eazy 302,926 (-1,433)
93(-21) YG - Scared Money 297,062 (-42,991)
94(+10) Rod Wave - By Your Side 293,955 (-7,502)
95(-1) Labrinth, Zendaya - All For Us 293,537 (-16,198)
97(-4) Tyler the Creator - NEW MAGIC WAND 286,409 (-23,556)
105(+27) ACRAZE, Cherish - Do It To It 282,861 (+20,461)
109(+3) Ruth B. - Dandelions 273,907 (-12,220)
111(+12) Nardo Wick - Me or Sum 270,752 (-3,989)
117(-74) Mitski - Stay Soft 266,974 (-157,171)
118(+1) Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan - Buy Dirt 266,071 (-11,822)
121(+36) Carlos Vives - Colombia, Mi Encanto 262,655 (+14,439)
122(-16) The Chainsmokers - High 262,220 (-34,079)
124(+50) Rauw Alejandro, Chencho Corleone - Desesperados 259,164 (+16,704)
125(+16) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears Remix 255,914 (+561)
129(+27) JID - Surround Sound 253,221 (+2,871)
137(-90) Mitski - Valentine, Texas 248,954 (-166,378)
139(-10) Labrinth - Formula 247,921 (-16,634)
141(-7) Kodak Black - Love & War 246,063 (-15,893)
147(-10) Joy Again - Looking Out For You 242,999 (-18,686)
148(-10) Vacations - Young 242,275 (-18,431)
150(+18) Emmy Meli - I AM WOMAN 241,794 (-2,342)
158(+13) The Weeknd - Save Your Tears 237,898 (-5,887)
164(+12) Giveon - For Tonight 234,607 (-7,246)
165(re-entry) Morgan Wallen - Sand in My Boots 234,233
177(re-entry) Tiësto, Ava Max - The Motto 229,197
184(-70) Benny The Butcher, J. Cole - Johnny P's Caddy 224,140 (-61,807)
189(-93) Mitski - Love Me More 222,881 (-85,622)
197(-24) Baby Keem - trademark usa 220,718 (-22,254)
198(-2) The Backseat Lovers - Kilby Girl 220,621 (-11,193)
Total Streams of Save Your Tears: 493,812
Biggest Gains (50K+): Super Gremlin, We Don't Talk About Bruno
Disappointing to see the falls for the Mitski songs though not surprised and those first day numbers were still good for her.
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iHype.
4x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on Feb 6, 2022 15:41:24 GMT -5
Lol this keeps being addressed as just "Nicki's single" when a huge draw behind it, and the main reason for its streaming performance so far is most likely Lil Baby.
If you've paid attention to Apple Music's chart the last 3 years, basically every new Lil Baby single will go #1. "My Turn" was the top album of 2020, and is still top 20 in its 100th week charting.
For him to collaborate with an A-list rapper, it's basically a guaranteed top 10. There is no way Lil Baby would do a standalone single with a Nicki/Drake/Cole/Kendrick/Cardi/etc level name or something and it'd miss top 10 right now in his career.
I guess at this point he just needs to get a crossover hit in order for him to stop going over y'alls radars. Also once he drops his next studio album people will probably finally realize how big he's gotten.
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Post by After Minutes on Feb 6, 2022 16:17:19 GMT -5
Salvaging Sacrifice's run will be difficult, but One Right Now turned out to be a decent hit stateside (and Moth to a Flame globally), so Abel does have that. I think that his team should be getting ready to properly and actively push Out of Time around spring with live performances on award shows and a video, since I could see it doing perfectly fine during the summer (That would also leave Less Than Zero as a viable option for a fall/winter push). While I doubt that the After Hours songs will fade by then, Dawn FM will hopefully be engrained enough in people's heads by then that they'll catch onto the next single.
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iHype.
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Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on Feb 6, 2022 16:57:50 GMT -5
It's being marketed as Nicki's lead tho. And she's the one on the cover of RapCaviar and the like. I'm not saying Lil Baby is not helping, but let's be honest this flopping would hurt Nicki way more than LB and it's her team that had to go the extra mile to get her back on Spotify's good graces. It's for sure playing the fence of being meant as Nicki's moment while also trying to benefit largely from Lil Baby's name. There's a reason her label gave him a co-credit and he's on the song for less than 1 minute with 1 verse. It doesn't sound like it'll be a strong hit in the end tbh. She is a feature artist at this point, and tends to put out hit material when she is given a direction to follow off someone else's song. Anytime she's releasing her own new singles and creatively in charge these days it's eh. |
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degen
2x Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 2,173
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Post by degen on Feb 6, 2022 17:29:42 GMT -5
I wonder if these discussions were happening when Cardi dropped “WAP.” We’re people highlighting that it wasn’t a solo hit, or does that only happen with Nicki?
It was a smart move for Nicki to enlist Lil Baby, because this felt like a relaunch for her and she played it correctly. Nobody is denying that Lil Baby didn’t help her with streams. But it’s a set up to get her the momentum she had been missing for a moment. Everybody wins here.
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iHype.
4x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 4,714
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Post by iHype. on Feb 6, 2022 17:41:12 GMT -5
I wonder if these discussions were happening when Cardi dropped “WAP.” We’re people highlighting that it wasn’t a solo hit, or do people only do that with Nicki? Well that wasn't a song with two lead artists so. Also the point made was not to discredit Nicki, but to give Lil Baby credit since he unanimously wasn't acknowledged. Everyone was acknowledging Megan's verse/contribution to WAP when it dropped and was being discussed. |
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degen
2x Platinum Member
Banned
Joined: August 2019
Posts: 2,173
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Post by degen on Feb 6, 2022 17:47:17 GMT -5
I think Abel should salvage what he can with One Right Now and let the Dawn FM era just run its course. Then, take a year or two break. With the first 2 singles (TMB and Sacrifice) underperforming, it's highly unlikely that Abel will score a major hit with Dawn FM. I think they should push “Out of Time” next. It seems like it can be the surprise hit on the album that can get massive airplay along with solid streaming. Then after that I’d stop with the singles. |
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JukeboxJacob
2x Platinum Member
Banned
another day another moment of cringe
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 2,472
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Feb 6, 2022 18:16:19 GMT -5
Best Friends
Best Friends
Best Friends
Imma keep saying it, that's the best song on Dawn FM & the most compatible with radio. Not like my comments on here are gonna reach Abel and his team or anything, realistically they're probably gonna go for Out Of Time, which is fine
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Post by After Minutes on Feb 6, 2022 19:41:37 GMT -5
I think Abel should salvage what he can with One Right Now and let the Dawn FM era just run its course. Then, take a year or two break. With the first 2 singles (TMB and Sacrifice) underperforming, it's highly unlikely that Abel will score a major hit with Dawn FM. I think they should push “Out of Time” next. It seems like it can be the surprise hit on the album that can get massive airplay along with solid streaming. Then after that I’d stop with the singles. They are already setting up Out Of Time so I think that we can fully expect that. It is one of the two fan favourite songs that could blow up massively imo so I think it is the safest pick actually, since it also sounds nothing like his AH singles. They should put most of the promo budget behind a push for this when One Right Now ends it's run (so probably mid-to-late-March). I don't agree that they should necessary give up on singles after that though. Best Friends Best Friends Best Friends Imma keep saying it, that's the best song on Dawn FM & the most compatible with radio. Not like my comments on here are gonna reach Abel and his team or anything, realistically they're probably gonna go for Out Of Time, which is fine I'll say this - if I were Abel's team I'd send this to urban radio about half way through Out Of Time's push and give it some playlisting and see if it does anything. If people do gravitate towards it then it could be the single after Out Of Time, if not, Less Than Zero is the safer choice with more potential for going viral so they should go for that instead and push it during the late August-mid-October window. If Best Friends does pick up then they could push Less Than Zero in 2023 as the final single, if not, they could probably make Don't Break My Heart or something the final single |
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
𝙁𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙋𝙖𝙡𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙋𝙝𝙞𝙡𝙞𝙥𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙚𝙨, 𝙎𝙩𝙤𝙥 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙐.𝙎. 𝙒𝙖𝙧 𝙈𝙖𝙘
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Feb 6, 2022 22:59:02 GMT -5
if there's any songs that deserve a pushes from Dawn FM, it's Out of Time, Starry Eyes, and Less Than Zero. Even Gasoline has a really good hook.
no offense, Best Friends is easily the worst song on Dawn FM
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