jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Apr 18, 2022 14:52:55 GMT -5
Don't Think Jesus Monday update β still more than a 2:1 lead on iTunes and #2 on Apple Music. Still #3 on Spotify. Possibility the top 3 will be 1: Harry 2: Morgan 3: Jack? How much do you think it will actually sell? It takes about 3.5k in sales to equal 1 million streams (that's an estimate because it of course depends on the type of stream). |
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Post by After Minutes on Apr 18, 2022 14:58:57 GMT -5
I could see the US Spotify record get broken like three times next month
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Post by phieaglesfan712 on Apr 18, 2022 15:00:37 GMT -5
I could see the US Spotify record get broken like three times next month Abel better release those vinyls on Friday if he wants that #1. |
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dovahduck
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Post by dovahduck on Apr 18, 2022 15:01:33 GMT -5
I could see the US Spotify record get broken like three times next month Abel better release those vinyls on Friday if he wants that #1. Yeah there's no excuses if they miss on that, especially since Taylor was able to do this before Adele dropped. |
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Post by Mayman on Apr 18, 2022 15:03:46 GMT -5
Abel did just release his Thursday mixtape vinyls early last week (they were actually supposed to ship April 29 as well) so he is capable of actually doing that.
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lugus15
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Post by lugus15 on Apr 18, 2022 15:09:25 GMT -5
That racist MAGA won't get his #1, right?
I guess his KKK brethren didn't come thru for him after all.
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Post by οΌ³ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½π€ο½ο½ on Apr 18, 2022 16:39:40 GMT -5
I'm pretty sure kim meant '40', it was a typo. I did mean top 49. oh π€ sorry for speaking on your behalf, I thought it was a typo because 9 and 0 are next to each other... also, yes at Kendrick! Finally! |
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Apr 18, 2022 17:04:07 GMT -5
Looks like the charts will get their spring cleaning done in May. Lord knows we have a ton of old hits to clear outβ¦
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enwhy
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Post by enwhy on Apr 18, 2022 17:17:31 GMT -5
Don't Think Jesus Monday update β still more than a 2:1 lead on iTunes and #2 on Apple Music. Still #3 on Spotify. Possibility the top 3 will be 1: Harry 2: Morgan 3: Jack? How much do you think it will actually sell? It takes about 3.5k in sales to equal 1 million streams (that's an estimate because it of course depends on the type of stream). I've found you can usually get a good sense by looking at how it's doing vs the more stable songs. According to kworb, it's outsold: - Shivers 9:1 (sold ~3k last week)
- Cold Heart 8:1 (sold ~5k last week)
- Big Energy 4:1 (sold ~10k last week)
So with that (also knowing that it'll continue to slow down a bit), I would think somewhere from like 20k-35k sales?
Basically, tack on an extra 50-60 chart points to whatever it gets from streaming.
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Apr 18, 2022 17:27:28 GMT -5
hopefully the charts will be looking VERY different after literally 4 weeks in a row of album bombs
more importantly than that however I cannot believe we're actually getting a new Kendrick album in less than a month
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Post by kcdawg13 on Apr 18, 2022 17:32:44 GMT -5
The Weeknd can breathe a sigh of relief once Save Your Tears is officially wiped off the charts, After Hours can officially begone
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Post by Limited Edition on Apr 18, 2022 17:42:22 GMT -5
The Weeknd can breathe a sigh of relief once Save Your Tears is officially wiped off the charts, After Hours can officially begone General public doesn't care about charts. It's not like people suddenly stop consuming the old music. They aren't thinking "hey look, SYT just dropped from Hot 100, time to start consuming his new music!" |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Apr 18, 2022 17:42:28 GMT -5
The Weeknd can breathe a sigh of relief once Save Your Tears is officially wiped off the charts, After Hours can officially begone How can he breathe any sigh of relief since there are no Dawn FM hits to replace SYT? OoT is doing OK on radio but streaming is not promising so far. I'm sure the label is very confused about what they can do right now. |
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JukeboxJacob
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Apr 18, 2022 18:06:48 GMT -5
That's true, NRO almost hit the YE and that's far better than Rumors did. wow It never even hit me that it DIDNβT make the year end. It felt big enough |
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JukeboxJacob
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Apr 18, 2022 18:10:03 GMT -5
WE'RE FINALLY GETTING GOOD MUSIC ON THE CHARTS AGAIN ππππππ *NEW music. The stuff we got now is good, just old af |
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JukeboxJacob
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Apr 18, 2022 18:11:38 GMT -5
This puts into perspective on how packed this spring is and iβm all in for this. Iβm happy for trap/hip hop fans but whereβs the big pop releases? |
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Post by οΌ³ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½π€ο½ο½ on Apr 18, 2022 18:14:50 GMT -5
This puts into perspective on how packed this spring is and iβm all in for this. Iβm happy for trap/hip hop fans but whereβs the big pop releases? so far, only Harry Styles 05/20 |
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JukeboxJacob
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Apr 18, 2022 18:20:05 GMT -5
Well Until the big artists drop, the GP just needs to start listening to new/underground artists, otherwise the charts are gonna remain dead
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gikem
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Post by gikem on Apr 18, 2022 21:37:42 GMT -5
Iβm happy for trap/hip hop fans but whereβs the big pop releases? so far, only Harry Styles 05/20 The only other big-ish one I know of is Tate McRae's debut album on 5/27. She probably won't get a full album bomb, but she appears to have built up a sizable audience that will stream her stuff when it first comes out, so we could see some album tracks from her. |
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kindofbiased
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Post by kindofbiased on Apr 18, 2022 21:44:48 GMT -5
Post Malone is also supposedly dropping in May too, this is about to be the busiest non-Christmas related few weeks the hot 100 has seen in a long time... and that's not even factoring in the June releases like BTS lmao
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Apr 18, 2022 22:59:58 GMT -5
well we can use it certainly. yesterday 4 songs at 600k, 3 of them being the last 3 weeks' big releases. How much do you think it will actually sell? It takes about 3.5k in sales to equal 1 million streams (that's an estimate because it of course depends on the type of stream). I've found you can usually get a good sense by looking at how it's doing vs the more stable songs. According to kworb, it's outsold: - Shivers 9:1 (sold ~3k last week)
- Cold Heart 8:1 (sold ~5k last week)
- Big Energy 4:1 (sold ~10k last week)
So with that (also knowing that it'll continue to slow down a bit), I would think somewhere from like 20k-35k sales?
Basically, tack on an extra 50-60 chart points to whatever it gets from streaming.
2:1 big energy given all the versions. Or more precisely, 1.92:1. |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Apr 18, 2022 23:19:08 GMT -5
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firefox
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Post by firefox on Apr 18, 2022 23:36:21 GMT -5
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alexandria2001
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Post by alexandria2001 on Apr 19, 2022 0:00:24 GMT -5
I'm ready! New Kendrick!
I hope the rumours about Post Malone dropping that month are true too to add to the chart shakeup.
As for this week though... at least we're getting somewhere with As It Was and First Class being big hits.
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dremolus - solarpunk
Diamond Member
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Apr 19, 2022 0:23:38 GMT -5
WE'RE FINALLY GETTING GOOD MUSIC ON THE CHARTS AGAIN ππππππ *NEW music. The stuff we got now is good, just old af No, I mean good music, even the stuff that's old is not that good; though it really doesn't help that the best songs on the charts are more than 6 months old. And yeah, I know charts are never the barometer for quality but this time last year: it was easier to make a best hits list with the mid-year predictions and actually hard to make a worst hits. As of right now, I barely have new hits for the best songs list This puts into perspective on how packed this spring is and iβm all in for this. Iβm happy for trap/hip hop fans but whereβs the big pop releases? I mean considering how popular rap is, these ARE your pop releases: these are the releases that will shake-up the charts |
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JukeboxJacob
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Post by JukeboxJacob on Apr 19, 2022 0:28:19 GMT -5
How are we gonna get new stars if the GP refuses to listen to anything outside of big names?
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Apr 19, 2022 0:30:07 GMT -5
How are we gonna get new stars if the GP refuses to listen to anything outside of big names? That's a convo that is for a different time because when one of the big names is Kendrick Lamar, like EVERYONE drops their sh it to listen |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Apr 19, 2022 1:15:03 GMT -5
Pusha T opened with 77k last time around, not sure if he is able to really shake things up on Hot 100.
Obviously the album can be great and that's why Complex brought it up.
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atg
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Post by atg on Apr 19, 2022 1:30:10 GMT -5
Post Malone is also supposedly dropping in May too, this is about to be the busiest non-Christmas related few weeks the hot 100 has seen in a long time... and that's not even factoring in the June releases like BTS lmao I think Post should drop either in between the time frame of Harry and BTS or just drop it on the Pusha or Future week and get it over with. If Post drops alongside Jack Harlow, it could work but maybe also end up being a similar situation like Gunna and Abel earlier this year, so i wouldnβt recommend that just to be safe. Heβs obviously going to get absolutely annihilated if he drops on the Kendrick week so thatβs a huge red flag to consider. Thatβs why the time frames i suggested above works a lot more to Postβs advantage. Pusha T opened with 77k last time around, not sure if he is able to really shake things up on Hot 100. Obviously the album can be great and that's why Complex brought it up. I remember Daytona having a minor impact on the Hot 100 and this was slightly before the whole beef thing with (you know who), so he could βpushβ through with minor chart impacts. |
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Post by After Minutes on Apr 19, 2022 2:24:03 GMT -5
If Post wants to play it smart and safe he should just release the album this month, if it is ready, since I assume that he should beat Future quite easily.
Future is probably the most overrated rapper (commercially, in the sense that the rap bubble thinks he's much bigger than he is in reality) alongside Thugger. Their influence on the modern scene is huge and they have a lot, and I mean a lot of connections in the industry, but they don't rarely do damage outside the hip-hop bubble.
Future will do something around 100k like he always does, while Post, who I doubt will do anything near 500k like last time, could potentially double Future's numbers. Even if he does just a quarter of what he did last time, it should be enough to debut at #1, especially since he already has a decent hit off the album.
Delaying the album more is a bigger risk than pushing it out now (if it is ready for release).
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