christianlarson9
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Post by christianlarson9 on Aug 1, 2022 20:24:35 GMT -5
New submissions via Billboard Country report!
Jake Owen: Single & Music Video ("Best Things Since Backroads") Carrie Underwood: Entertainer/Female (Herself), Album ("Denim & Rhinestones"), Single/Song/Musical Event ("If I Didn't Love You"), Music Video ("Ghost Story") Ernest: New Artist (Himself), Album ("Flower Shops: The Album"), Musical Event/Music Video ("Flower Shops ft. Morgan Wallen") Walker Hayes: New Artist/Male (Himself), Album ("Country Stuff The Album"), Single/Song/Music Video ("Fancy Like"), Musical Event ("Fancy Like remix ft. Kesha)
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christianlarson9
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Post by christianlarson9 on Aug 1, 2022 21:46:25 GMT -5
In aircheck they have Morgan Wallen submitted to Song (“Wasted On You”) and Single (“Sand In My Boots”), so this leads me to believe he was deemed ineligible for Entertainer/Male Vocalist.
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Aug 2, 2022 7:57:06 GMT -5
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Aug 2, 2022 11:41:59 GMT -5
Correction…it is live now! You can see who made the first cut and is on the second round ballot
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 2, 2022 11:54:47 GMT -5
In aircheck they have Morgan Wallen submitted to Song (“Wasted On You”) and Single (“Sand In My Boots”), so this leads me to believe he was deemed ineligible for Entertainer/Male Vocalist. He is in second ballot for Entertainer and Male Vocalist.
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 2, 2022 11:56:36 GMT -5
Sorry for double post, but American Heartbreak being in second ballot for Album of the Year and Flatland Cavalry for Vocal Group of the Year are nice.
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bigfan101
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Post by bigfan101 on Aug 2, 2022 12:43:43 GMT -5
Okay - now time to make some predictions based on what we know are the finalists:
Entertainer: Luke Combs, Chris Stapleton, Kenny Chesney, Carrie Underwood, Luke Bryan Male: Kane Brown, Eric Church, Luke Combs, Chris Stapleton, Jimmie Allen Female: Kelsea Ballerini, Maren Morris, Miranda Lambert, Carly Pearce, Lainey Wilson Group: Lady A, LBT, Midland, Old Dominion, Parmalee Duo: Brothers O, Dan & Shay, Maddie & Tae, LoCash, Brooks & Dunn? (IDK honestly here - this category has like three relevant artists) Album: Demin & Rhinestones (Carrie), Growin' Up (Luke), Palomino (Miranda), Tulip Drive (Jimmie), Humble Quest (Maren) Single: Heart on Fire (Eric), If I Didn't Love You (Carrie & Jason), Never Wanted To Be That Girl (Carly & Ashley), Sand in my Boots (Morgan), You Probably Should Leave (Chris) Song: Doin' This (Luke), Never Wanted To Be That Girl (Carly & Ashley), Sand in my Boots (Morgan), Til' You Cant (Cody), You Probably Should Leave (Chris) Event: Beers on Me, Half of Me, If I Didn't Love You, Never Wanted To Be That Girl, Thinking Bout You Video: Fancy Like, If I Didn't Love You, Like I Love Country Music, Never Wanted To Be That Girl, Til You Cant New: Jordan Davis, Hardy, Walker Hayes, Cody Johnson, Lainey Wilson
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Post by countrymancarriefan on Aug 2, 2022 12:52:51 GMT -5
On my first glance at the showcase I’m a little shocked not to see Miranda in Song for IIWAC AND no 29: written in stone in Album.
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jab820
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Post by jab820 on Aug 2, 2022 13:01:09 GMT -5
New Artist is certainly competitive.
Predictions: Lainey Wilson (ACM New Female) Morgan Wade Parker McCollum (ACM New Male) HARDY (nominated in 2021) Priscilla Block
Potential wild cards include Walker Hayes and Cody Johnson. Both are so *not* new to the Nashville scene, but I know that's not a huge deal to most, just maybe to enough people that they wouldn't make the nomination.
I predict it's a battle between Lainey and Parker, but Lainey will win. There is no clear obvious winner here like in some most recent years. We know from history that the ACM new male and female are often nominated in this category, even though they don't always win (see 2018 ACM winners Brett Young & Lauren Alaina both losing out to Luke Combs) However, there are times where they're not even nominated at all (see 2019 ACM winners Riley Green & Tenille Townes both not even being nominated for CMA New Artist in 2019).
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mnvikings
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Post by mnvikings on Aug 2, 2022 13:57:00 GMT -5
Seems odd with the small number of duos that Thompson Square didn’t make the second round.
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Post by big2000 on Aug 2, 2022 14:47:00 GMT -5
The Musical Event category has some very out there nominees. I mean, who here has listen to the R3HAB remix of “Soul” by Lee Brice with Blanco Brown? (yes, that’s real, I guess we couldn’t end it with Just the Way)
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stanches2318
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Post by stanches2318 on Aug 2, 2022 17:05:29 GMT -5
Here's My Predictions: Entertainer: Carrie Underwood, Eric Church, Kenny Chesney, Luke Combs, Morgan Wallen
Female Carly Pearce, Carrie Underwood, Kelsea Ballerini, Maren Morris, Miranda Lambert
Male Luke Bryan, Luke Combs, Kane Brown, Morgan Wallen, Walker Hayes
Group Lady A, Midland, Old Dominion, Parmalee, Zac Brown Band
Duo Brooks & Dunn, Brothers Osborne, Dan & Shay, Florida Georgia Line, Maddie & Tae
New Cody Johnson, Jordan Davis, Lainey Wilson, Morgan Wade, Walker Hayes
Album Country Stuff (Walker Hayes), Denim & Rhinestones (Carrie Underwood), Growing Up (Luke Combs), Humble Quest (Maren Morris), Palomino (Miranda Lambert)
Single Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan), Fancy Like (Walker Hayes), If I Didn’t Love You (Jason Aldean, Carrie Underwood), Sand In My Boots (Morgan Wallen), Thinkin Bout You (Dustin Lynch, MacKenzie Porter)
Song: Buy Dirt (Jordan Davis, Luke Bryan), If I Didn't Love You (Jason Aldean, Carrie Underwood), Never Wanted To Be That Girl (Carly Pearce, Ashley McBryde) Til You Can't (Cody Johnson), Wasted On You (Morgan Wallen)
Vocal Event: Beers On Me (Dierks Bentley, Breland, Hardy), If I Didn’t Love You (Jason Aldean, Carrie Underwood), Never Sat Never (Cole Swindell, Lainey Wilson) Never Wanted To Be That Girl (Carly Pearce, Ashley McBryde), Thinkin Bout You (Dustin Lynch, MacKenzie Porter)
Video: Fancy Like (Walker Hayes, Kesha), If I Didn’t Love You (Jason Aldean, Carrie Underwood), Never Say Never (Cole Swindell, Lainey Wilson), Never Wanted To Be That Girl (Carly Pearce, Ashley McBryde), Til You Can't (Cody Johnson)
Its the best i can do. lol. this is hard.
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rsandcm1
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Post by rsandcm1 on Aug 2, 2022 21:05:35 GMT -5
On my first glance at the showcase I’m a little shocked not to see Miranda in Song for IIWAC AND no 29: written in stone in Album. I mean, how did Rodney Atkins make it to the 2nd round in "Album" and not Carly?
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 2, 2022 21:09:38 GMT -5
I mean, how did Rodney Atkins make it to the 2nd round in "Album" and not Carly? Carly may be ineligible because the criteria is 'At least 75% of the recordings on the album must have achieved peak national prominence during the eligibility period". I interpret this as at least 75% of songs in an album is newly released in eligibility period. Only 8 out of 15 songs in Carly's album are new.
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rsandcm1
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Post by rsandcm1 on Aug 2, 2022 21:17:43 GMT -5
I mean, how did Rodney Atkins make it to the 2nd round in "Album" and not Carly? Carly may be ineligible because the criteria is 'At least 75% of the recordings on the album must have achieved peak national prominence during the eligibility period". I interpret this as at least 75% of songs in an album is newly released in eligibility period. Only 8 out of 15 songs in Carly's album are new. That's depressing in this case, but I understand why that rules is in place. But on a side note, why the hell is Rodney Atkins there?
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 2, 2022 21:19:54 GMT -5
But on a side note, why the hell is Rodney Atkins there? The same Curb Records power that put Lee Brice in second ballot for Entertainer of the Year every year I guess.
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.indulgecountry
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"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on Aug 3, 2022 0:08:54 GMT -5
Wait Rodney Atkins, as in the Caught Up in the Country album that's now three years old, is being considered? Lolwut.
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 3, 2022 0:10:51 GMT -5
Wait Rodney Atkins, as in the Caught Up in the Country album that's now three years old, is being considered? Lolwut. Actually no, we're talking about Rod + Rose (EP) which was released in January 28th this year.
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.indulgecountry
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Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on Aug 3, 2022 0:18:16 GMT -5
Wait Rodney Atkins, as in the Caught Up in the Country album that's now three years old, is being considered? Lolwut. Actually no, we're talking about Rod + Rose (EP) which was released in January 28th this year. Not sure whether that's actually better or not, lol. But I didn't realize he had put out that EP. I just know he's on Curb so they only let him release a new record every like 6 years.
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Post by big2000 on Aug 3, 2022 0:27:09 GMT -5
Well it’s Curb, what do you expect? Only two of their artists have actual chart success (Lee Brice, Dylan Scott) and even then most of their singles take a year to hit #1.
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 3, 2022 0:28:47 GMT -5
{2022 CMA Second Ballot} Entertainer of the Year Jason Aldean Lee Brice Kane Brown Luke Bryan Kenny Chesney Eric Church Luke Combs Miranda Lambert Tim McGraw Thomas Rhett Chris Stapleton Carrie Underwood Keith Urban Morgan Wallen Zac Brown Band
Single of the Year 7500 OBO At The End Of A Bar Best Thing Since Backroads Buy Dirt Damn Strait Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) Fancy Like Forever After All Half of My Hometown Heart On Fire If I Didn't Love You Like I Love Country Music Memory I Don't Mess With Never Say Never Never Wanted To Be That Girl Sand In My Boots Slow Down Summer Thinking 'Bout You 'Til You Can't You Should Probably Leave
Album of the Year American Heartbreak The Comeback Country Stuff The Album Denim & Rhinestones Famous Friends Flower Shops Georgia Gold Chain Cowboy Growin' Up Human The Double Album Humble Quest Macon Palomino Remember Her Name Rod + Rose Sayin' What I'm Thinkin' Star-crossed Stereotype Time, Tequila & Therapy Tulip Drive Where We Started
Song of the Year Buy Dirt Chasing After You Damn Strait Doin' This Fancy Like Ghost Story I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault) If I Didn't Love You Knowing You My Boy Never Say Never Never Wanted To Be That Girl No Hard Feelings Sand In My Boots Slow Down Summer Things A Man Oughta Know Thinking 'Bout You 'Til You Can't Wasted on You Wild Hearts You Should Probably Leave
Female Vocalist of the Year Lauren Alaina Ingrid Andress Kelsea Ballerini Gabby Barrett Danielle Bradbery Cam Hannah Ellis Mickey Guyton Elle King Miranda Lambert Ashley McBryde Reba McEntire Maren Morris Kacey Musgraves Carly Pearce MacKenzie Porter Taylor Swift Carrie Underwood Morgan Wade Lainey Wilson
Male Vocalist of the Year Jason Aldean Jimmie Allen Dierks Bentley Lee Brice Kane Brown Luke Bryan Eric Church Luke Combs Walker Hayes Cody Johnson Parker McCollum Tim McGraw Jon Pardi Thomas Rhett Blake Shelton Chris Stapleton Cole Swindell Keith Urban Morgan Wallen Chris Young
Vocal Group of the Year The Cadillac Three The Chicks Eli Young Band Flatland Cavalry Home Free Lady A Little Big Town Midland The Oak Ridge Boys Old Dominion Parmalee Rascal Flatts Restless Road Runaway June Zac Brown Band
Vocal Duo of the Year American Young Brooks & Dunn Brothers Osborne Dan + Shay Florida Georgia Line Kat & Alex LoCash Maddie & Tae Muscadine Bloodline Neon Union Seaforth The War and Treaty
Musical Event of the Year At The End of A Bar Beers On Me Blessed & Free Cold Beer Calling My Name Flower Shops Freedom Was A Highway Half Of Me I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault) If I Didn't Love You In Our Blood Lonely Side of Town Longneck Way to Go Never Say Never Never Wanted To Be That Girl One Too Many She Likes It Son of the Dirty South Soul Thinking 'Bout You Where We Started You, Me & The River
Musician of the Year Jenee Fleenor Paul Franklin Brent Mason Adam Shenfeld Ilya Toshinskiy Derek Wells
Music Video of the Year At The End of a Bar Best Thing Since Backroads Damn Strait Fancy Like Flower Shops Ghost Story Heart On Fire I Bet You Think About Me (Taylor's Version) (From The Vault) If I Didn't Love You Like I Love Country Music Longneck Way To Go Never Say Never Never Wanted To Be That Girl New Truck No Hard Feelings Slow Down Summer Soul 'Til You Can't Wild Hearts Worth A Shot
New Artist of the Year Priscilla Block Breland Callista Clark Jordan Davis Jackson Dean Ernest Larry Fleet HARDY Walker Hayes Ryan Hurd Cody Johnson Parker McCollum Niko Moon Restless Road Dylan Scott Elvie Shane Conner Smith Mitchell Tenpenny Morgan Wade Lainey Wilson
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Kanenrá:ke
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Post by Kanenrá:ke on Aug 3, 2022 10:56:46 GMT -5
But on a side note, why the hell is Rodney Atkins there? The same Curb Records power that put Lee Brice in second ballot for Entertainer of the Year every year I guess. Also got Hannah Ellis to the second ballot for FVOTY, I liked her single but there were other women who at least charged haha
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rsandcm1
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Post by rsandcm1 on Aug 6, 2022 1:59:50 GMT -5
Not my predictions, but the realistic nominees that I'd love to see chosen. (*** for preferred winner too)
Entertainer Eric Church Luke Combs ***Miranda Lambert Chris Stapleton Carrie Underwood
Single Damn Strait Drunk (And I Don't Wanna Go Home) ***Forever After All Til You Can't You Should Probably Leave
Album American Heartbreak Denim & Rhinestones Gold Chain Cowboy Human: The Double Album ***Palomino
Song Damn Strait My Boy Never Wanted To Be That Girl ***Til You Can't You Should Probably Leave
Female Kelsea Ballerini Miranda Lambert ***Carly Pearce Carrie Underwood Lainey Wilson
Male Kane Brown Eric Church ***Luke Combs Cody Johnson Chris Stapleton
Group Flatland Cavalry Lady A Midland Old Dominion ***Zac Brown Band
Duo ***Brothers Osborne Dan + Shay LoCash Maddie & Tae The War and Treaty
Musical Event Beers On Me Cold Beer Calling My Name Freedom Was A Highway Longneck Way to Go ***Never Wanted To Be That Girl
Musician ***Jenee Fleenor Paul Franklin Brent Mason Adam Shenfeld Ilya Toshinskiy
Music Video Damn Strait Ghost Story Longneck Way To Go ***Never Wanted To Be That Girl Worth A Shot
New Artist Jordan Davis HARDY ***Cody Johnson Parker McCollum Lainey Wilson
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jab820
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Post by jab820 on Aug 7, 2022 0:36:52 GMT -5
This needs to be the year Kane Brown is nominated in a major category. He is absolutely eligible and competitive for Entertainer, let alone Male.
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Post by tim on Aug 15, 2022 1:37:28 GMT -5
Here are my predictions...
Entertainer: Luke Combs Miranda Lambert Chris Stapleton Carrie Underwood Morgan Wallen and/or Eric Church
Female Vocalist: Miranda Lambert Maren Morris Carly Pearce Carrie Underwood Lainey Wilson
Male Vocalist: Kane Brown Luke Combs Cody Johnson Chris Stapleton Morgan Wallen
Album of the Year: Country Stuff the Album - Walker Hayes Denim & Rhinestones - Carrie Underwood Growin’ Up - Luke Combs Humble Quest - Maren Morris Palomino - Miranda Lambert
Single of the Year: “Damn Strait” - Scotty McCreery “Fancy Like” - Walker Hayes “Forever After All” - Luke Combs and/or "Never Wanted to Be That Girl" - Carly Pearce w/ Ashley McBryde “If I Didn’t Love You” - Jason Aldean & Carrie Underwood “’Til You Can’t” - Cody Johnson
Song of the Year: “Damn Strait” “Doin’ This” “Never Wanted to Be that Girl” “Sand In My Boots” “Things a Man Oughta Know”
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recordyear
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Post by recordyear on Aug 15, 2022 18:26:58 GMT -5
Final nominees will be revealed at 7 a.m. CT on Sept. 7
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Post by countrymancarriefan on Aug 24, 2022 20:00:21 GMT -5
Two weeks til Final noms are out!
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Aug 29, 2022 19:17:14 GMT -5
It’s high time Maren Morris starts getting considered for EOTY. Kacey should’ve been in the second round, too. So long as she’s nominated, I think this could be the year Miranda wins it. At this point, the CMA is long overdue to recognize her, Stapleton, and Underwood in the category.
All of that to say, I could also see the entire evening being a Luke Combs and/or Morgan Wallen love fest and we’ll continue this cyclical conversation for another year.
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christianlarson9
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Post by christianlarson9 on Aug 29, 2022 19:22:38 GMT -5
It’s high time Maren Morris starts getting considered for EOTY. Kacey should’ve been in the second round, too. So long as she’s nominated, I think this could be the year Miranda wins it. At this point, the CMA is long overdue to recognize her, Stapleton, and Underwood in the category. All of that to say, I could also see the entire evening being a Luke Combs and/or Morgan Wallen love fest and we’ll continue this cyclical conversation for another year. I hope she submits next year after having a tour under her belt. I know the "Humble Quest" era has been pretty underwhelming overall, but Maren is still one of the top female artists in the genre and I think she deserves a shot at EOTY at least once in her career.
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zdm1998
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Post by zdm1998 on Aug 29, 2022 19:22:54 GMT -5
It’s high time Maren Morris starts getting considered for EOTY. Kacey should’ve been in the second round, too. So long as she’s nominated, I think this could be the year Miranda wins it. At this point, the CMA is long overdue to recognize her, Stapleton, and Underwood in the category. All of that to say, I could also see the entire evening being a Luke Combs and/or Morgan Wallen love fest and we’ll continue this cyclical conversation for another year. Agree, but if it took them 11 years to finally get Carrie in the category, with the stats she had. It’s probably going to be a while before any woman that isn’t Miranda or Carrie to enter that category.
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