85la
3x Platinum Member
Joined: July 2007
Posts: 3,919 
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Post by 85la on Oct 19, 2023 1:50:13 GMT -5
1. No, sadly, but I wouldn’t mind being wrong 2a.D 2b.D… won’t this be the week that 1989 TV impacts? Halloween songs will likely struggle compared to recent years3.D
I thought about that too. Last year, however, when Thriller, Monster Mash, and Ghostbusters charted, it was Midnights' second week of release, when quite a few of its tracks were still in the top 50, so that, combined with there being one more day in the tracking week this year, might balance things out a bit.
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enwhy
Gold Member
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Posts: 642
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Post by enwhy on Oct 19, 2023 14:43:35 GMT -5
Tagging those who haven't responded yet - deadline is tonight! My predictions: 1. No 2a. D - renfield raises a good point, this is 1989 TV week. I'm expecting 10+ songs in the top 20 from that, so I'm going to be cautious with these Halloween ones. 2b. C - 3 songs 3. B - Probably not #1 but I think Dua can do really well with something fresh-sounding. |
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
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Posts: 1,562
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Post by joshtheking on Oct 19, 2023 15:22:31 GMT -5
1. No
2a. E
2b. E
3. B
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annoymous1
7x Platinum Member
Joined: December 2017
Posts: 7,185 
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Post by annoymous1 on Oct 19, 2023 20:11:18 GMT -5
1. No
2a. C
2b. C
3. E
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Oct 19, 2023 22:10:24 GMT -5
1. Yes
2a. C
2b. C
3. D
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ephelia
Charting
Joined: February 2022
Posts: 313
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Post by ephelia on Oct 19, 2023 22:26:58 GMT -5
Q1: Kali Uchis
No
Q2: Halloween
D - #21-40
b) How many Halloween songs will re-enter this year? (11/11 chart)
D - 2 Songs
Q3: Dua Lipa
A - #1
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rainie
8x Platinum Member
the future disappears into memory
Joined: February 2016
Posts: 8,785
Pronouns: they / them
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Post by rainie on Oct 19, 2023 22:47:56 GMT -5
bb fantasy 1. yes (hopefully  ) 2. d, d (only because of t swizzle, otherwise i'd think somebody's watching me is likely returning too) 3. d, she's never been one for high debuts (im almost tempted to take e for the longshot upside) |
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neel
Gold Member
Joined: February 2023
Posts: 570
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Post by neel on Oct 19, 2023 23:31:10 GMT -5
Q1: Nope
Q2a) D: Ain’t this the week where “1989 TV” will affect the Hot 100? Cuz if so, then “Thriller” would be lucky to reach the Top 30.
Q2b) C: Again, this probably the worst time for those Halloween tracks, especially with “1989 TV” impacting. Better luck next Halloweens, especially with Halloween itself falling closer to a full tracking week. (2024, 25, 26 & prolly 27).
Q3) C - Weird how Dua has never had a Top 10 debut.
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mms82
Platinum Member
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,283
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Post by mms82 on Oct 20, 2023 19:25:43 GMT -5
I predicted cruel summer would not even re-enter. I have never been so happy to be so wrong lol
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enwhy
Gold Member
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Posts: 642
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Post by enwhy on Oct 24, 2023 23:12:38 GMT -5
This week's questions (Deadline Thu, Oct 26)This Friday, Taylor is releasing her 21 track re-recording of her biggest album, 1989. With the Eras Tour and Movie propelling her to a new commercial peak, this album will be a blockbuster. “Blank Space”, “Style”, “Shake It Off”, “Bad Blood”, and “Wildest Dreams” are all among her most-streamed songs still today. And of course fans are dying to hear the vault tracks from her biggest pop album. Here is how her first 3 re-releases have performed on the Hot 100: Fearless TV: 1 Top 40 / 8 Top 100 / Highest: #30 Red TV: 1 Top 10 / 4 Top 40 / 26 Top 100 / Highest: #1 Speak Now TV: 1 Top 10 / 13 Top 40 / 22 Top 100 / Highest: #5 Q1: Top 10sTo date, Taylor’s re-recordings have dominated the Hot 100 outside of the Top 10, but have not had the same impact to the Top 10 as her new albums. Both Red TV and Speak Now TV charted just 1 track inside the Top 10. Will this trend change with 1989 TV? How many Top 10 songs will Taylor chart off 1989 TV? (11/11 chart)Q2: Top Re-recorded SongWhich re-recorded song (i.e. on the original 1989 album) will debut the highest? (11/11 chart)Q3: Beating the Original1989 opened with 1,287,000 units in its first week. Will the re-recording exceed this total? (11/11 chart)
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mms82
Platinum Member
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,283
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Post by mms82 on Oct 25, 2023 2:59:47 GMT -5
1. 4
2. “Slut!”
3. Yes
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rnb
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Post by rnb on Oct 25, 2023 6:21:41 GMT -5
1. 3
2. blank space
3. no
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jasper0102
2x Platinum Member
I CAN GET BY THE DAYS JUST FINE BUT THE NIGHTS
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Posts: 2,846
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Post by jasper0102 on Oct 25, 2023 6:25:35 GMT -5
1. 6
2. Style
3. No
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Post by imbuemyblue on Oct 25, 2023 6:56:23 GMT -5
1. 4
2. Blank Space
3. Yes (and I know it wasn't asked but I think it'll be over but super tight, like less than 25-50K over)
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𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
Diamond Member
Unsteady Weirdo
𝓪 𝓽𝓸𝓻𝓽𝓾𝓻𝓮𝓭 𝓹𝓸𝓮𝓽
Joined: December 2016
Posts: 10,809
My Charts
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Post by 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 on Oct 25, 2023 6:59:24 GMT -5
1. I'll say 4
2. Style (it came as the fan favorite off the OG 1989, so I won't be surprised if it remains the same at the TV)
3. No
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TheOutcast
Charting
I’m a Christian, but I’m not perfect
Joined: October 2023
Posts: 362
Pronouns: He/Him
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Post by TheOutcast on Oct 25, 2023 7:57:04 GMT -5
1. 3
2. Style
3. Yes
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Post by whaleblubber on Oct 25, 2023 10:04:40 GMT -5
1. 4
2. Blank Space
3. No (barely)
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enwhy
Gold Member
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Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Oct 25, 2023 10:26:43 GMT -5
1. 4 2. Slut! 3. Yes (and I know it wasn't asked but I think it'll be over but super tight, like less than 25-50K over) Sorry for any confusion - by top re-recorded song, I mean a song that was on the original 1989 (like Style, Blank Space). So Slut! would not be eligible for question 2 |
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jayhawk1117
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Joined: July 2013
Posts: 2,758
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Oct 25, 2023 10:34:24 GMT -5
1. 5
2. Definitely Style. Gp loves it and is a Fan fave. And got back to the Spotify top 10 when the TV was announced.
3. Definitely should. Closer to Midnights than the OG 1989 tbh
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Oct 25, 2023 14:12:44 GMT -5
Q1: Top 10s
How many Top 10 songs will Taylor chart off 1989 TV? (11/11 chart)
2
Q2: Top Re-recorded Song
Which re-recorded song (i.e. on the original 1989 album) will debut the highest? (11/11 chart)
Style
Q3: Beating the Original
1989 opened with 1,287,000 units in its first week. Will the re-recording exceed this total? (11/11 chart)
yes
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Post by imbuemyblue on Oct 25, 2023 14:45:24 GMT -5
Sorry for any confusion - by top re-recorded song, I mean a song that was on the original 1989 (like Style, Blank Space). So Slut! would not be eligible for question 2 My apologies! I didn't read carefully enough. I've fixed my answer. :) |
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renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
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Post by renfield75 on Oct 26, 2023 2:04:20 GMT -5
1.4
2.Style
3.No
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mms82
Platinum Member
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Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,283
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Post by mms82 on Oct 26, 2023 9:31:07 GMT -5
1. 4 2. Slut! 3. Yes (and I know it wasn't asked but I think it'll be over but super tight, like less than 25-50K over) Sorry for any confusion - by top re-recorded song, I mean a song that was on the original 1989 (like Style, Blank Space). So Slut! would not be eligible for question 2 Sorry, replace it with Blank Space please! |
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enwhy
Gold Member
Joined: January 2021
Posts: 642
Pronouns: he/him
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Post by enwhy on Oct 26, 2023 14:10:48 GMT -5
Predictions are due at midnight tonight - about 9 hours from now! My predictions: 1. 2 songs - The vault tracks have generally not been anything crazy so far and I'm expecting that trend to continue. This will be her strongest performance yet as far as the re-recorded tracks go, but even still, these tend to drop off pretty hard after day 1. So I'm going to predict "Style" and 1 vault track for Top 10, with many falling into the #11-20 range. 2. Style - Most streamed song off 1989, probably the more likely pick. "Blank Space" does very well though, and could easily take it. 3. No - I think she'll get right around 1 million. Something that I found when researching for this week, I couldn't find a single reputable source backing up the "700k+ preorder" figure which I'm seeing all over Twitter/Reddit...I just don't think she'll be able to sell that much without some clever chart tactics. I like that the guesses so far are close to 50/50 though...who knows, maybe I should learn not to doubt Taylor when it comes to Billboard charts lol |
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fengyu
Charting
Joined: August 2020
Posts: 290
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Post by fengyu on Oct 26, 2023 14:13:41 GMT -5
Q1: Top 10s
To date, Taylor’s re-recordings have dominated the Hot 100 outside of the Top 10, but have not had the same impact to the Top 10 as her new albums. Both Red TV and Speak Now TV charted just 1 track inside the Top 10. Will this trend change with 1989 TV?
How many Top 10 songs will Taylor chart off 1989 TV? (11/11 chart)
7
Q2: Top Re-recorded Song
Which re-recorded song (i.e. on the original 1989 album) will debut the highest? (11/11 chart)
Blank Space.
Q3: Beating the Original
1989 opened with 1,287,000 units in its first week. Will the re-recording exceed this total? (11/11 chart)
Yes.
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joshtheking
Platinum Member
Joined: April 2020
Posts: 1,562
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Post by joshtheking on Oct 26, 2023 14:49:00 GMT -5
1. 3
2. Blank Space
3. Yes
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Post by laislabonita on Oct 26, 2023 15:05:57 GMT -5
1. 5 (Blank Space, Style, Shake It Off, Bad Blood and Slvt)
2. Blank space… but style would come really close.
3. Yes. i think it’ll debut with 1.3M… but with chart tactics 🥴 taylor definitely has something planned whatever it is. no way that girl is settling for five vault tracks “Only” with her biggest album.
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Acid Eyes
Diamond Member
Joined: June 2007
Posts: 10,914
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Post by Acid Eyes on Oct 26, 2023 18:48:04 GMT -5
1. 4 from 1989 (Slut, Style, Blank Space, Shake It Off + Cruel Summer of course)
2. Style
3. Yes
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1^∞
Charting
Joined: April 2018
Posts: 297
Pronouns: it/she
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Post by 1^∞ on Oct 26, 2023 20:16:11 GMT -5
1. 10 , All in baybeee
2. Style
3. Yes
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Post by Fears in the Fire on Oct 26, 2023 20:41:26 GMT -5
1. Two
2. Style
3. Yes
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