2023 Predictors Cup - This week: 4X POINTS FINAL WEEK

[jasper0102]

1. #1 (this might just be the copium speaking here lmao)
2. #1
3. #7
4. #8
5. #17
6. #7

[1^∞]

1. #1
2. #1
3. #7
4. #8
5. #14
6. #19

[kindofbiased]

1. #2 (please be wrong)
2. #1
3. #7
4. #8
5. #17
6. #15

[atg]

1. #2 (there’s sadly just too much competition for #1. Now that Creepin will have a remix which will be yet another challenger for the top spot, i think this song’s chances are done. I hope i am wrong though).

2. #1 (this one at least has room to grow thanks to radio).

3. #7

4. #9

5. #15

6. #13

[khan]

1. #2 (Funniest option, I want it to top the Year-End chart with this peak.)

2. #3 (But it'll stay in the area for a while.)

3. #10 (I'm oddly optimistic about how much radio will hang onto this one.)

4. #5 (I won't doubt the power of another Big Energy.)

5. #22 (Sadly, I think OTAAT will make this the peak, though radio will keep it around for some time, a la Numb Little Bug.)

6. #6 (Pop radio just loves this suddenly, it's nuts.)

[rainie]

kill bill: #2 (hope i'm wrong tho)
boys a liar: #1
calm down: #9
players: #6
escapism: #22 (i could see it climbing a couple more spots but i kinda think it might have reached an early peak)
sure thing: #8

[enwhy]

1. #1 (Kill Bill) - I still think in a couple weeks, once Flowers streams have returned to normal and it starts dropping on radio, there will be a few week window for Kill Bill to hit #1.
2. #2 (Boy's a Liar) - This one will hang around forever, but radio is really dragging its feet on it. The timing won't ever work out and it'll fall short. Granted, it may have a chance of being the year-end #1 will how stable the streaming has been.
3. #5 (Calm Down) - This one is solid on streaming with lots of room to grow on radio. Wouldn't be surprised to see a label effort to give this a boost when it peaks.
4. #9 (Players) - The streaming is nothing crazy, but radio seems to like it. With how low the top 10 threshold continues to be, this should make it in.
5. #20 (Escapism) - This one has just about peaked. I'm hoping it can scratch the top 20 before radio drops it.
6. #12 (Sure Thing) - Radio is gonna take this far. I could even see this going much higher, if things line up right.

[renfield75]

1. #2 (I would happily lose the points to be wrong about this)
2. #1 (Still a ton of growth potential on this one)
3. #6
4. #3 (I could see radio hopping on this in a bigger way, like "Big Energy", not to mention the guest feature remix possibilities)
5. #19
6. #16 (Again I'd LOVE to be wrong and see this go top ten)

[mms82]

kill bill: #1
boy’s a liar: #1
calm down: #6
players: #4
escapism: #22
sure thing: #9

[annoymous1]

1.Kill Bill - #2
2.Boy's A Liar - #2
3.Calm Down - #6
4.Players - #3 (a remix shall push it there)
5.Escapism - #17
6.Sure Thing -  #5 (being a bit delusional about this one)

[fengyu]

1: "Kill Bill" - SZA - #2

2: "Boy's a Liar" - PinkPantheress & Ice Spice - #2

3: "Calm Down" - Rema & Selena Gomez - #9

4: "Players" - Coi Leray - #5

5: "Escapism" - RAYE & 070 Shake - #18

6: "Sure Thing" - Miguel - #15

[rainie]

Mar 12, 2023 21:54:58 GMT -5 rainie said:

kill bill: #2 (hope i'm wrong tho)
boys a liar: #1
calm down: #9
players: #6
escapism: #22 (i could see it climbing a couple more spots but i kinda think it might have reached an early peak)
sure thing: #8

actually wait after look at this week's hot 100, where escapism didn't lose as much as i thought it would, i'd like to change my peak prediction for it to #17 if that's ok !

[joshtheking]

1. #1 (PLEASE)
2. #3 (#1 PLEASE)
3. #6
4. #8
5. #17
6. #13

[85la]

1. Kill Bill - #1 (more hope rather than a logical prediction)
2. Boy's A Liar - #1
3. Calm Down - #7 (didn't realize how long this was charting, and while radio is lurching up now, streaming being past its prime will keep it from a higher peak)
4. Players - #5
5. Escapism - #20
6. Sure Thing - #15 (didn't realize this already had a pretty substantial run of 23 weeks in 2011, must have been almost entirely driven by R&B airplay. Though pop jumping onto it now might be new, I'm thinking it still being too familiar will keep it from the top 10, plus its overall position gain seems to be stalling the last few weeks, even before Morgan.)

[ephelia]

1: Kill Bill
#2

2: Boy's A Liar
#3

3: Calm Down
#6

4: Players
#8

5: Escapism
#18

6: Sure Thing
#20

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

1: "Kill Bill" - SZA (#2 Peak so far)
#! (I'll be bold and predict it does manage to get in there)

2: "Boy's a Liar" - PinkPantheress & Ice Spice (#3 Peak so far)
#3

3: "Calm Down" - Rema & Selena Gomez (#15 Peak so far)
#8

4: "Players" - Coi Leray (#16 Peak so far)
#4

5: "Escapism" - RAYE & 070 Shake (#22 Peak so far)
GAH, I wish I could say this will end up going top 10 or higher but it's not looking super likely, is it? Not without some big event to give it a random push and she's not a big enough name for that yet.
#20

6: "Sure Thing" - Miguel (#28 Peak so far)
#14

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

1. #1 (I do feel it has an opening within the next two weeks)
2. #3 (It would really need to pick up quickly on radio airplay to reach a higher peak)
3. #7 (I am actually surprised by the amount streaming it seems to be getting)
4. #6 (I am surprised it isn't getting more streaming at this point, but it seems to be doing fairly well at radio)
5. #18 (Would have loved this song doing much better, but it seems to be near its peak at radio)
6. #19 (It already has done pretty well in its second run getting a new peak)

[Deleted]

1. 1
2. 2
3. 7
4. 5
5. 15
6. 13

[enwhy]

Let’s start this week with a scoreboard update!

Feb 16: a) Will P!nk debut any new songs on the Hot 100 next week?
P!nk’s new single “Trustfall” landed at #94 on its debut week, so P!nk barely eeks out another charting song off this album. A total of 12 of 20, or 60% got this one right. Congrats to atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking JukeboxJacob kindofbiased mms82 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 17 points!

Mar 02: Will Morgan Wallen chart a song at #1 next week?
Wallen’s “Last Night” hit #1 on its second week, becoming his first-ever #1! A total of 16 of 22, or 73% got this one right. Congrats to atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan ephelia 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking JukeboxJacob khan kindofbiased M5AGTS mms82 Music Fan rainie renfield75 rnb for guessing correctly. Each wins 14 points!

Mar 02: Will Morgan Wallen earn the biggest Hot 100 album-bomb of all time, by charting 26+ songs?
Not only did Wallen beat Drake’s “Scorpion” record, he obliterated it. Wallen charted a total of 36 songs on the 3/18 chart. A total of 21 of 22, or 95% got this one right. Congrats to 85la annoymous1 atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia fengyu 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking JukeboxJacob khan kindofbiased M5AGTS mms82 Music Fan rainie renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 10 points!

Mar 02: Will “Painting Pictures” earn a Top 10 Hot 100 peak?
This one is over, barring a miraculous second peak. “Painting Pictures” managed a #25 peak a few weeks ago. However with the streaming collapsing and no real radio play, it's predicted to be out of the top 50 this week. A total of 20 of 22, or 91% got this one right. Congrats to 1^∞ 85la annoymous1 atg Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy fengyu 𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿 @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking JukeboxJacob khan kindofbiased mms82 Music Fan rainie renfield75 rnb Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 11 points!

Mar 09: Who will be #1 on the Billboard 200 next week?
Morgan Wallen is the 3/25 leader on the Billboard 200, and it wasn’t particularly close. Miley’s album actually landed at #3 overall. The top 3: 1) Wallen-259k, 2) TWICE-153k, 3) Miley-119k. A total of 16 of 20, or 80% got this one right. Congrats to 85la annoymous1 atg Au$tin Baby Yoda Hot100Fan enwhy ephelia @imhappy259 jasper0102 joshtheking khan mms82 Music Fan rainie renfield75 Rose "Payola" Nylund for guessing correctly. Each wins 13 points!

Next up, let’s do an update on the "Pick 3" artist selection game:

• Morgan Wallen might just wind up being the biggest artist of 2023. Following his album bomb, he has increased his total to an astonishing 390 points! Big points to renfield75 & rainie , who selected him back in January
• J. Cole has earned 5 points for hopping onto “On The Street” with j-hope (#60 peak).
• Lil Uzi Vert has earned 5 points for their credit on “Watch This,” which is ironically a remix of an unreleased song of theirs.
• Luke Combs has earned 5 points with “Joe”.
• Polo G has earned 5 points with “No Time Wasted”.

Here are the artist-by-artist point totals to-date:
390 - Morgan Wallen (Selected by rainie, renfield75)
25 - Rihanna (Selected by ephelia, jayhawk1117)
5 - Zach Bryan (Selected by khan, gikem)
5 - Lil Baby (Selected by khan, mms82)
5 - SZA (Selected by Rose Wintur)
5 - J. Cole (Selected by gikem, atg)
5 - Lil Uzi Vert (Selected by joshtheking, 1^∞)
5 - Luke Combs (Selected by renfield75, mms82, jasper0102, Baby Yoda Hot100Fan, ephelia)
5 - Polo G (Selected by mms82, enwhy)


Click here to see full selections & scores
renfield75 & rainie take a commanding lead over the rest of the pack, thanks to huge points from Morgan Wallen. The rest of us will spend the next 7 months trying to catch up!

Scoreboard
1 (=) renfield75 544
2 (=) rainie 529
3 (=) ephelia 185
4 (▲1) mms82 181
5 (▲1) atg 171
6 (=) imhappy259 166
7 (▲8) Baby Yoda Hot100Fan 161
7 (▲8) joshtheking 161
9 (▲8) jasper0102 160
10 (▼4) enwhy 157
11 (▼5) kindofbiased 153
11 (▼5) rnb 153
13 (▼7) khan 149
14 (▼8) 85la 135
15 (▼1) Rose Wintur 130
16 (▼10) 1^∞ 117
17 (▲1) annoymous1 115
18 (=) 💎 𝑔𝓋 💎 113
19 (▼16) jayhawk1117 96
20 (▲2) fengyu 91
21 (▼3) M5AGTS 85
22 (▲3) JukeboxJacob 82
23 (▲5) Music Fan 68
24 (▼3) Au$tin 64
25 (▼2) born 31

[enwhy]

This week's questions (Deadline Thurs, March 23)

Q1: Pick 3 (part 3)
First off, another round of our Pick 3 artist game! Anyone can participate, even if you missed the first or second round of it. This week, there’s a new twist, so pay close attention:

REQUIREMENTS
1) You need to select 3 total artists
2) The theme is “new artists”: Your artist picks must NOT have charted on the Hot 100 before 2020!
3) As before, you CANNOT select any artist who was picked in the first 2 rounds. (list is below)
Got all that? I’ve included a couple of lists at the bottom of this question to help you all out.

Your 3 picks will accumulate points throughout the year as they chart. Here's how the points will work:

• +50 Points - For every song by your artists that hits #1
• +10 Points - For every additional week at #1
• +20 Points - For every song by your artists that hits the Top 10
• +10 Points - For every song by your artists that hits the Top 40
• +5 Points - For every song by your artists that hits the Top 100
• Songs that are charting as of the 4/1 chart will not earn points
• Holiday songs which charted in 2022 are not eligible either
• This has the potential to be worth a TON of points, so choose wisely!

Pick 3 new artists who you predict will have a big year in 2023 (4/8 - 12/30 chart)
Here is a selected, non-exhaustive list of artists who meet the criteria (you may also select artists not on this list, so long as they meet the requirements):

SPOILER: Click to show

{CLICK FOR ELIGIBLE ARTISTS}Anderson .Paak
Baby Keem
Bailey Zimmerman
Bizarrap
Em Beihold
GAYLE
Giveon
Glass Animals
GloRilla
ITZY
Jack Harlow
Jungkook
JVKE
Kim Petras
Latto
Lisa
Nardo Wick
NewJeans
Nicky Youre
PinkPantheress
Pooh Shiesty
Rauw Alejandro
SEVENTEEN
Steve Lacy
Tate McRae
Tems
Tomorrow X Together
TWICE
Yeat

Here are the artists previously selected - these CANNOT be picked:

SPOILER: Click to show

{CLICK FOR NONELIGIBLE ARTISTS}21 Savage
Bad Bunny
Billie Eilish
Cardi B
Doja Cat
Drake
Dua Lipa
Ed Sheeran
Frank Ocean
Ice Spice
J. Cole
Lil Baby
Lil Nas X
Lil Nas X
Lil Uzi Vert
Luke Combs
Lukey
Miley Cyrus
Morgan Wallen
Olivia Rodrigo
Polo G
Raye
Rihanna
SZA
Taylor Swift
The Kid LAROI
The Weeknd
Tyler the Creator
YoungBoy NBA
Zach Bryan

Q2: New Albums
A few new albums are scheduled to come out this week which should have some impact on the Hot 100. 4 in particular have some solid charting potential.

First is Lana Del Rey’s “Did You Know That There’s a Tunnel Under Ocean Blvd”. Lana has been a hugely influential artist for over a decade now, and has been an occasional presence on the charts. Last year’s “Snow On The Beach” collab with Taylor landed her a new career peak of #4 on the Hot 100. Can she follow that up with some chart success off this album?
Lana’s last 3 projects: NFR (2019, 104k units) - Chemtrails (2022, 75k) - Blue Banisters (2022, 33k)

Second is a collab album, called “RR”, by couple Rauw Alejandro & Rosalía. Latin music is really starting to become a mainstay on the Hot 100 lately. While 2017’s Despacito may have signified the start of some big shifts, the last couple of years have solidified that from Bad Bunny to Karol G, Latin music will continue to be a force. Rauw and Rosalía have both grown massively in popularity over the past few years, and this project has the potential to make a splash.
Recent projects: Vice Versa (2021, 21k units), Saturno (2022, 19k), Motomami (2022, 17k)

Luke Combs has an album coming out as well, called “Gettin’ Old”. Combs is one of the biggest names in country music right now, in part thanks to the volume of music he’s put out since his 2017 debut album. He’s been on a roll lately with his singles, already debuting 3 new songs so far this year. Country is another genre which has been seeing a lot more chart success in the streaming era. Can Combs capitalize on this with an album bomb?
Recent projects: What You See… (2019, 172k units), The Prequel EP (2019, 48k), Growin’ Up (2022, 74k)

Finally, Fall Out Boy is releasing “So Much (for) Stardust”. Fall Out Boy have fallen off some commercially in recent years, and you have to go back to 2015 for their last solo charting song (Uma Thurman, #22 Peak). While they may be the longest shot of the 4 albums, pop punk has had a mini-revival over the past few years, and you never know.
Recent projects: AB/AP (2015, 218k units), Mania (2018, 130k)

For the 4 albums mentioned (Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, Luke Combs, Fall Out Boy):
a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart?
b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?
c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?

SPOILER: Click to show

{Tag List}Please let me know if you'd like to be removed from or added to the tag list!
1^∞
85la
annoymous1
atg
Au$tin
Baby Yoda Hot100Fan
big2000
born
cowboy13
enwhy
ephelia
fengyu
𝓲𝓽'𝓼.𝓰𝓿
gikem
@imhappy259
jasper0102
jayhawk1117
joshtheking
JukeboxJacob
khan
kindofbiased
M5AGTS
mms82
Music Fan
rainie
renfield75
rnb
Rose "Payola" Nylund

[enwhy]

My 3 picks for this week's Pick 3:
1. Baby Keem - He had a big 2021 and a very quiet 2022. I think he's due to release some new music.
2. PinkPantheress - This is more of a hopeful pick. Realistically, BAL is big because of Ice Spice. But still, it would be so amazing if this gave PinkPantheress more exposure and chart success!
3. NewJeans - They are off to a pretty impressive start, and I have a hard time imagining that they don't debut 2 or 3 more tracks off their eventual EP/Album.

2a. Lana Del Rey
2b. Luke Combs
2c. Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, and Luke Combs (all except Fall Out Boy)

[renfield75]

Whoa, didn't realize I would get so many points from Morgan's album bomb! The pressure is on to keep that first place ranking...

Pick 3:
1.Bailey Zimmerman - He's done well on streaming, has radio support, and will likely be a consistent presence for the rest of the year
2.GloRilla - I could see her having a big blow-up moment, even more so than "Tomorrow 2"
3.Tems - It just feels like the time is right for Tems to fully cross over on her own, or she could at least have another "Wait 4 U" kind of feature

2a.Luke Combs - This is a toss-up with Lana but her last album saw a big drop off and the pre-release singles haven't done much damage
2b.Luke Combs
2c.Luke and Rauw/Rosalia...I think Lana will possibly be stuck on Bubbling Under

[Rose "Payola" Nylund]

For the 4 albums mentioned (Lana Del Rey, Rauw/Rosalia, Luke Combs, Fall Out Boy):
a) Which album will place the highest on the 4/8 Billboard 200 chart?
Luke Combs

b) Which album will debut a NEW single the HIGHEST on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?
Luke Combs

c) Which album(s) will result in ANY NEW singles debuting on the 4/8 Hot 100 chart?
Luke Combs, Lana Del Rey, and Rauw Alejandro & Rosalía (all but Fall Out Boy)

[jasper0102]

1. Bailey Zimmerman, GloRilla, and, errrrr, NewJeans ig
2a. Luke Combs (Lana could come close though)
2b. Luke Combs
2c. Luke Combs and Rauw Alejandro + Rosalia

[1^∞]

fyi Lil Uzi Vert uses they/them

1. Gimme more time but just in case Jack Harlow, Steve Lacy, Kim Petra’s for now but I might edit this later, shout out to Lil Dirk & Rod Wave who’d easily be here had they not just barely charted before 2020
EDIT:
I'll actually give the the ol' 1^∞ spin and choose some unconventional picks just for the gall

Kim Petras - fresh off featuring on a #1 hit last year, but her follow-ups haven't charted anywhere, but she definitely has the potential to score another hit, transgerism ftw !!!
Peso Pluma - 3 Hot 100 Hits this year definitely feel he can do more
Bizarrap - Most confident in just a hit producing monster

shoutout to Grupo Frontera & Feid too they might score some points too

2a. Luke Combs
2b. Luke Combs
2c. Luke Combs
Luke Combs

[annoymous1]

Pick 3
1.Bailey Zimmerman
2.GloRilla
3.Rawu Alejandro

New Albums
2a. Luke Combs
2b. Luke Combs
2c. Luke Combs And  Rawu Alejandro +  Rosalia

[rnb]

1. steve lacy, bailey zimmerman and glorilla
2a. luke
2b. luke
2c. luke and rauw/rosalia

[mms82]

1: Bailey Zimmerman, Tems, Omar Apollo
2: Luke Combs, Luke Combs, Luke Combs

edit: realize Rod Wave is barely ineligble – replace him with Omar Apollo!

[rnb]

Mar 22, 2023 19:44:05 GMT -5 mms82 said:

1: Bailey Zimmerman, Tems, Rod Wave
2: Luke Combs, Luke Combs, Luke Combs

pretty sure rod isn’t eligible

[85la]

1. Bailey Zimmerman, PinkPantheress, Steve Lacy
2a. Luke Combs
2b. Luke Combs
2c. (all except Fall Out Boy)