HITS 08/04: #1 Travis 400K; #2 Post 110K

[iHype.]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=336980&title=NEW-RELEASES:-TRAVIS-POST-BRING-SOME-TEXAS-HEAT

With 100m+ U.S. first-day streams, Travis Scott’s Utopia (Cactus Jack/Epic) is tracking to a full week total of 350m streams or more. This puts Utopia’s SEA total in the range of 245-275k. We currently have no sales info for Utopia. Industry innuendo suggests Scott’s D2C orders have exceeded 200k. Can Utopia top Scott's previous blockbuster,, ASTROWORLD, which opened with 538k in 2018?

Post Malone’s fifth album, Austin (Mercury/Republic), is trending to a total first week north of 100k.

[Mayman]

Would be cool to see if he can outdo the Astroworld first week sales numbers. The new album is great!

[wavey.]

Nice numbers for Travis, hope they trend upwards. Solid numbers for Posty without a big hit.

[musiclife]

I guess when you don't care if your fans are dying during your concert you'll sell more records.

[Deleted]

That's pretty amazing for Post

[divasummer]

Jul 29, 2023 14:08:11 GMT -5 musiclife said:

I guess when you don't care if your fans are dying during your concert you'll sell more records.

Honestly take that somewhere else?
If you care write to Congress and not on the Pulse Board.

[wavey.]

Jul 29, 2023 14:08:11 GMT -5 musiclife said:

I guess when you don't care if your fans are dying during your concert you'll sell more records.

Enough. You can discuss it in Travis' album thread please.

[Mayman]

I expect way more pure sales by the end of the week tbh.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

YOUR BLISSFUL TOP 20

Wednesday, August 2, 202

Travis Scott’s UTOPIA (Cactus Jack/Epic) is headed for a #1 bow on this week’s HITS Top 50 with a first-week total at or near 400k. U.S. on-demand audio streams are projecting in the vicinity of 350m. Meanwhile, Mercury/Republic’s Post Malone will open at #2 with his fifth album, Austin.

Now if you’ll excuse us, we've got to finish gluing 10,000 sequins for our Taylor Swift Eras Tour outfit.

[areyoureadytojump]

SPS overload with BB200 and HITS preview out at the same time.

[suburbandreams]

Aug 2, 2023 15:13:06 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

YOUR BLISSFUL TOP 20

Wednesday, August 2, 202

Travis Scott’s UTOPIA (Cactus Jack/Epic) is headed for a #1 bow on this week’s HITS Top 50 with a first-week total at or near 400k. U.S. on-demand audio streams are projecting in the vicinity of 350m. Meanwhile, Mercury/Republic’s Post Malone will open at #2 with his fifth album, Austin.

Now if you’ll excuse us, we've got to finish gluing 10,000 sequins for our Taylor Swift Eras Tour outfit.

Another typo. SOS should be projected at 9 and Lover at 10 instead of 12 and 9 respectively.

[After Minutes]

Do we think Drake's album will outperform Utopia?

[wavey.]

Yes. Easily.

[slw84]

Aug 2, 2023 16:30:53 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Do we think Drake's album will outperform Utopia?

Of course. His base is built in whether he puts out quality or garbage (points to that dance album he put out last year..and Views )

[musiclife]

Aug 2, 2023 16:30:53 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Do we think Drake's album will outperform Utopia?

Lmfao easily.

[atg]

Even if Travis is the main story, Post still doing over 100k especially during his massive decline is still nice to see at least.

[iHype.]

Aug 2, 2023 16:30:53 GMT -5 After Minutes said:

Do we think Drake's album will outperform Utopia?

Many factors with Drake. Depends on the material (Honestly Nevermind showed he will have lower numbers with non-Rap), depends on the rollout and collaborations, also tracklist length and if there’s any standout hits.

All in all, he just did over 400K in 2021 and 2022. He has so many big openings at this point. It speaks an enormous amount to his power that the only other rapper able to do this range needed a 5 year break, notable sales configurations, and has only done these numbers once in their career prior.

[85la]

I don't think it's anywhere guaranteed that Drake will beat Travis, with Honestly Nevermind only opening with 204k and Her Loss opening with 404k (chalking those up to what you will of being just a dance side-project and a collab album, he's still on a downward trajectory). It might do closer to Her Loss, but could very well fall short of 400k.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Utopia possibly ending up with less than half the first week pure sales of Astroworld makes more sense than the prior prediction given that the latter had album merch bundles.

[atg]

Aug 2, 2023 20:36:28 GMT -5 85la said:

I don't think it's anywhere guaranteed that Drake will beat Travis, with Honestly Nevermind only opening with 204k and Her Loss opening with 404k (chalking those up to what you will of being just a dance side-project and a collab album, he's still on a downward trajectory). It might do closer to Her Loss, but could very well fall short of 400k.

If a flop in his standards, and a somewhat praised collab project can still do those types of numbers respectfully, then i think an actual studio album from him can do better than them. All of his projects labeled as such does well (Views 1.04M, Scorpion 732k, CLB 613k).

Although you can see the downward trajectory with the numbers I still think that if For All The Dogs (or whatever name is final for it), is a studio album then it can do probably 500k at least if its received well. I get Honestly Nevermind is technically a studio album but its better off really labeled a mixtape or “playlist” like More Life and it wasn’t Drake’s normal sound. Guess that’s also a factor going into this praying its familiar territory for his fans and the GP.

[fridayteenage]

This would be the #2 post-bundles solo-male sales week.
After the inspiration for "Style."

Though they did recently start re-allowing some bundles. I see 10+ options on his site, though IIRC Billboard will only allow two pre-approved options?

[thegreatdivine]

Whatever Drake's forthcoming album ends up doing, he's still by far the biggest name in rap music today and the fact that he doesn't need to take 5-year breaks to drop albums that put up massive numbers, makes his success all that more impressive. He has dropped 4 projects so far this decade but they've all scored notable debuts, especially when compared to how the rest of the rap world performs commercially.

These are the biggest hip-hop debuts ever (using only SEA units):
591k - Scorpion
562k - Certified Lover Boy
392k - Her Loss
339k - Tha Carter V
287k - Legends Never Die
283k - Astroworld
279k - More Life
278k - Eternal Atake
272k - Donda
258k - Mr. Morale & the Big Steppers
250k - DAMN
243k - The Off Season
229k - KOD
214k - I Never Liked You
210k - It’s Only Me
204k - Dark Lane Demo Tapes
191k - Honestly, Nevermind
187k - My Turn
187k - Championships

Of the 19 albums listed, 11 of them were released this decade and of those 11, 4 of them are Drake releases. 

If For All the Dogs ends up being a mostly rap effort, it'll have a massive debut, especially if it has at least 20 songs like the last 3 Drake solo rap studio albums have had.

It's worth noting that Honestly, Nevermind was marketed primarily as a dance album and Dark Lane Demo Tapes was marketed as a throwaway compilation of leaks/vault tracks to tide fans over before Certified Lover Boy arrived. Both projects also had 14 songs each and were released within 6 hours of being announced.

[divasummer]

Out of curiosity did Drakes “Honestly Nevermind”’get any hits?
I forgot about the project until this thread.
I liked a decent amount of it.
Especially “Texts Go Green”.

[goldrush]

Aug 3, 2023 12:18:56 GMT -5 divasummer said:

Out of curiosity did Drakes “Honestly Nevermind”’get any hits?
I forgot about the project until this thread.
I liked a decent amount of it.
Especially “Texts Go Green”.

Yeah "Jimmy Cooks" went #1 and was #33 on the Year-End Hot 100 chart last year. But to be honest, that song did not belong on the album: it was the last track and the only non-dance trap song. Would've fit better on Her Loss in my opinion.

[KeepDeanWeird]

Post's 'The Diamond Collection' may finally chart. It was quietly reissued as a Deluxe with 18 tracks and priced at only $5.99! It's in Top 40 of iTunes. Might be enough to outsell the other projects and snag the streams from the parent albums? Obviously, 'Chemical' streams will go to 'Austin.' We saw that happen multiple times with The Weeknd's "The Highlights' continually bouncing up and down the chart.

It's so strange that TDC has never charted because of Billboard's sales requirement. This reissue might do it.

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
--	1	TRAVIS SCOTT	UTOPIA	CACTUS JACK/EPIC (SME)	400,010	--	148,208	863	250,939
--	2	POST MALONE	AUSTIN	MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	110,166	--	30,423	1,197	78,545
3	3	MORGAN WALLEN	ONE THING AT A TIME	BIG LOUD/MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	99,511	-3%	3,665	1,818	94,028
2	4	BARBIE THE ALBUM	SOUNDTRACK	ATLANTIC (WMG)	88,056	-27%	17,321	2,834	67,901
4	5	TAYLOR SWIFT	SPEAK NOW (TAYLOR'S VERSION)	REPUBLIC (UMG)	65,046	-19%	22,844	488	41,714
1	6	NEWJEANS	2ND EP GET UP	ADOR/HYBE/GEFFEN (UMG)	54,692	-61%	38,228	147	16,317
5	7	PESO PLUMA	GENESIS	DOUBLE P/PRAJIN PARLAY (THE ORCHARD)	49,797	-3%	126	185	49,486
6	8	TAYLOR SWIFT	MIDNIGHTS	REPUBLIC (UMG)	47,793	-2%	9,589	622	37,582
7	9	MORGAN WALLEN	DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM	BIG LOUD/MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	44,187	-6%	726	460	43,000
9	10	TAYLOR SWIFT	LOVER	REPUBLIC (UMG)	42,502	3%	7,885	781	33,836
10	11	SZA	SOS	TDE/RCA (SME)	41,098	2%	4,313	246	36,539
12	12	TAYLOR SWIFT	FOLKLORE	REPUBLIC (UMG)	39,013	15%	9,776	328	28,909
11	13	GUNNA	A GIFT & A CURSE	YOUNG STONER LIFE/ATLANTIC (WMG)	31,672	-13%	91	153	31,428
14	14	ZACH BRYAN	AMERICAN HEARTBREAK	WARNER (WMG)	31,432	1%	1,949	459	29,024
13	15	LUKE COMBS	GETTIN' OLD	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	28,212	-11%	1,989	1,401	24,823
15	16	NOAH KAHAN	STICK SEASON	MERCURY/REPUBLIC (UMG)	27,697	-9%	2,085	285	25,327
20	17	TAYLOR SWIFT	1989	BIG MACHINE/BMLG (UMG)	26,289	2%	1,684	337	24,268
18	18	BAD BUNNY	UN VERANO SIN TI	RIMAS (THE ORCHARD)	26,220	-5%	205	88	25,928
17	19	RYLO RODRIGUEZ	BEEN ONE	GLASS WINDOW ENTERTAINMENT (UMG)	26,078	-9%	44	49	25,985
16	20	LIL UZI VERT	PINK TAPE	GENERATION NOW/ATLANTIC (WMG)	25,082	-16%	323	91	24,669
21	21	TAYLOR SWIFT	REPUTATION	BIG MACHINE/BMLG (UMG)	23,927	4%	1,413	283	22,232
22	22	TAYLOR SWIFT	RED (TAYLOR'S VERSION)	REPUBLIC (UMG)	23,587	4%	5,071	261	18,255
19	23	BAILEY ZIMMERMAN	RELIGIOUSLY. THE ALBUM.	ELEKTRA/WARNER NASHVILLE (WMG)	23,464	-9%	533	452	22,480
24	24	THE WEEKND	THE HIGHLIGHTS	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	22,114	-1%	384	202	21,529
25	25	LIL DURK	ALMOST HEALED	ALAMO (SME)	21,320	-4%	55	356	20,909
26	26	DRAKE & 21 SAVAGE	HER LOSS	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	21,230	-1%	266	56	20,908
--	27	GRATEFUL DEAD	DAVE'S PICKS VOL. 47	GRATEFUL DEAD/RHINO (WMG)	21,209	--	21,209	--	--
23	28	METRO BOOMIN	HEROES & VILLAINS	BOOMINATI/REPUBLIC (UMG)	21,115	-6%	696	82	20,336
35	29	BEYONCE	RENAISSANCE	PARKWOOD/COLUMBIA (SME)	20,506	11%	1,379	193	18,935
34	30	TAYLOR SWIFT	EVERMORE	REPUBLIC (UMG)	20,438	11%	5,053	213	15,173
30	31	KAROL G	MANANA SERA BONITO	UMLE (UMG)	19,853	0%	525	107	-
31	32	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	19,293	-2%	560	255	18,478
27	33	JELLY ROLL	WHITSITT CHAPEL	BROKEN BOW (BMG)	18,548	-8%	3,778	1,237	13,533
36	34	TAYLOR SWIFT	FEARLESS (TAYLOR'S VERSION)	REPUBLIC (UMG)	18,459	1%	4,811	266	13,382
33	35	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC (UMG)	18,238	-2%	816	214	17,208
32	36	MORGAN WALLEN	IF I KNOW ME	BIG LOUD (STEM)	18,030	-5%	1,068	201	16,761
40	37	DRAKE	CERTIFIED LOVER BOY	OVO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	17,583	1%	15	35	17,533
37	38	ELTON JOHN	DIAMONDS	ISLAND (UMG)	17,245	-6%	831	475	15,939
29	39	ICE SPICE	LIKE..?	10K/CAPITOL (UMG)	17,215	-14%	189	150	16,876
38	40	OLIVIA RODRIGO	SOUR	GEFFEN (UMG)	17,083	-5%	1,703	103	15,277
--	41	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN (UMG)	16,754	--	35	26	16,692
42	42	THE WEEKND	STARBOY	XO/REPUBLIC (UMG)	16,600	1%	911	66	15,623
39	43	HARRY STYLES	HARRY'S HOUSE	COLUMBIA (SME)	16,040	-9%	1,665	169	14,206
50	44	DRAKE	TAKE CARE	YMCMB/REPUBLIC (UMG)	15,979	3%	233	37	15,710
43	45	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER (WMG)	15,730	-4%	3,043	267	12,421
48	46	EMINEM	CURTAIN CALL	SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE (UMG)	15,701	1%	593	268	14,841
44	47	QUEEN	GREATEST HITS 1	HOLLYWOOD (UMG)	15,476	-3%	2,323	357	12,796
45	48	LUKE COMBS	WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE (SME)	15,418	-3%	274	238	14,906
28	49	STRAY KIDS	5-STAR	JYP/IMPERIAL/REPUBLIC (UMG)	15,335	-23%	12,421	34	2,880
49	50	CREEDENCE CLEARWATER REVIVAL	CHRONICLE: THE 20 GREATEST HITS	FANTASY (UMG)	15,137	-2%	2,116	283	12,739

[Music Fan]

110k is actually pretty good for Post!

[awkwardowl]

Aug 3, 2023 1:48:06 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Whatever Drake's forthcoming album ends up doing, he's still by far the biggest name in rap music today and the fact that he doesn't need to take 5-year breaks to drop albums that put up massive numbers, makes his success all that more impressive. He has dropped 4 projects so far this decade but they've all scored notable debuts, especially when compared to how the rest of the rap world performs commercially.

These are the biggest hip-hop debuts ever (using only SEA units):
591k - Scorpion
562k - Certified Lover Boy
392k - Her Loss
339k - Tha Carter V
...
191k - Honestly, Nevermind
...

So, why is "H,M" a hip-hop album but "B&B" is not?

[Choco]

Great hold for Barbie.

[Mayman]

Sales updated to 486.

"Cactus Jack/Epic's Travis Scott returns in a major way, with UTOPIA earning the biggest hip-hop bow of the year on the HITS Top 50. At #1, Scott's fourth studio album opens with 486k, powered by 340m+ streams, including video."