Taylor.
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Post by Taylor. on Jul 20, 2010 18:48:47 GMT -5
So if you release an album on a Monday, that counts towards the first week sales? I thought that split the sales between the first day and the rest of the week. So her first week sales would be half of what they would otherwise be. No, the tracking week is Monday-Sunday. It's just tradition to release albums on Tuesday. Mariah's 'Touch My Body' only got to #1 because of they released it on Monday.
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elementd5
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Post by elementd5 on Jul 20, 2010 19:05:20 GMT -5
So if you release an album on a Monday, that counts towards the first week sales? I thought that split the sales between the first day and the rest of the week. So her first week sales would be half of what they would otherwise be. No, the tracking week is Monday-Sunday. It's just tradition to release albums on Tuesday. Mariah's 'Touch My Body' only got to #1 because of they released it on Monday. No, it only broke the record (at the time) because it was released on Monday. It would have hit #1 regardless. Anywho...I'm excited to hear she wrote all of the songs by herself. She's just going to stack her bread and retire, I bet.
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Kyla
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Post by Kyla on Jul 20, 2010 19:07:28 GMT -5
Did not know that. I was wondering why they would release it on a Monday if it would make her first week sales lower.
I still think it'll depend on how well the first single does. But maybe she can potentially hit a million. I at least think it'll be more than Fearless.
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CammyCan
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Post by CammyCan on Jul 20, 2010 19:20:25 GMT -5
Eeeeeeek! I'm having ridiculous teenage girl excitement right now. I CANNOT wait for this.
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Kyla
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Post by Kyla on Jul 20, 2010 19:24:58 GMT -5
Official press release from BMR: LINK
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👑 Eloquent ™
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Post by 👑 Eloquent ™ on Jul 20, 2010 20:24:32 GMT -5
Yeah, I'm extremely excited for this! Also, freaking AH-mazing that Sparks Fly is going to be on the album.
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David
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Post by David on Jul 20, 2010 20:26:40 GMT -5
Listening to some T-Swizzle right now to get ready for this moment.
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Kyla
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Post by Kyla on Jul 20, 2010 20:32:15 GMT -5
Here's the live performance of "Sparks Fly" from 3 or 4 years ago if you haven't heard it yet:
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survivorqt
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Post by survivorqt on Jul 20, 2010 20:46:51 GMT -5
Looks like they're trying to take advantage of the halloween sales week
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Jul 20, 2010 20:50:16 GMT -5
The sales tracking week goes from Monday to Sunday.
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Jul 20, 2010 20:52:39 GMT -5
Looks like they're trying to take advantage of the halloween sales week Is there such thing as an advantage from a Halloween sales week?
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Cerbius
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Post by Cerbius on Jul 20, 2010 20:52:48 GMT -5
Looks like they're trying to take advantage of the halloween sales week "Trick or CDs!"
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Jul 20, 2010 22:49:03 GMT -5
Well 450k would be a bit sad; Fearless opened with 600k & that was before having the T2 radio songs of 2009. Since Em opened with about the same and went up over 100k this time, maybe 750k?
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Honeymoon
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Post by Honeymoon on Jul 20, 2010 22:53:51 GMT -5
I think she can do a million, she has such a massive fanbase at this point... I mean you see how many people rush to buy her songs the second they are released to iTunes even without any in initial promotion or airplay. The real effort will be keeping the album selling through the campaign with such a potentially huge first week, but with her basically guaranteed airplay success and heavy promo, I think she'll do fine selling over 3 million when said and done.
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David
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Post by David on Jul 20, 2010 23:21:07 GMT -5
She'll be able to sustain herself. The holidays will be right after the album drops.
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Cerbius
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Post by Cerbius on Jul 20, 2010 23:24:53 GMT -5
I think the album will scan 3 million at worst. I expect it to sell around 4 million, maybe even 5 million if there is a re-release.
I think 2 million this holiday season is almost a given, especially since this album is going to be out earlier than "Fearless" was.
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Stephen
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Post by Stephen on Jul 20, 2010 23:29:41 GMT -5
Echoing Cammy's sentiment, I'm almost as excited for this as I was for PO and ST:TE. :shaking+crying: Oh, and this album title is my favorite title, no joke, in a long time. During a time where everyone is trying to make their album titles introspective and shit ("Other Side of Down" - bullshit; "Born This Way" - allegedly - try too hard), hers is the first to make me immediately jump to a familiar concept and go with it. Now I want to hear this song and I can imagine a vid where Taylor speaks up and stops a wedding. Maybe it's a lyric from 'Mine' since she gets married in the video...
IDK, IDK, just fucking excited.
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Typo
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Post by Typo on Jul 20, 2010 23:32:31 GMT -5
Maybe it's a lyric from 'Mine' since she gets married in the video... 'Speak Now' is a song featured on the album.
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Stephen
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Post by Stephen on Jul 20, 2010 23:35:17 GMT -5
Maybe it's a lyric from 'Mine' since she gets married in the video... 'Speak Now' is a song featured on the album. LMAO. Did you see me spam her live chat with "Would you ever work with Carrie Underwood?"
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Modern Myth
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Post by Modern Myth on Jul 20, 2010 23:35:19 GMT -5
I'm so pumped for this album! I know everyone is going to be hoping and wondering about how it'll sell, how she'll chart, and etc. I myself really just hope her performances are up to par this era! Last era she had some good ones and bad ones.
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Post by dbt on Jul 20, 2010 23:59:03 GMT -5
I'm so happy Sparks Fly is on the album! That youtube video posted above is the only known live version which I recorded in Oroville, CA on May 30, 2007. I also noticed that you guys are using me as a source for the predicted album tracks. :)
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👑 Eloquent ™
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Post by 👑 Eloquent ™ on Jul 21, 2010 0:14:27 GMT -5
I'm not producing extremely high expectations just yet (in regard to first week sales). While it is true Fearless produced two extremely successful crossover singles and a fantastic overall figure, the steam did seem to run out near the end: bad publicity for the Grammy fiasco, baffling award losses, and singles failing to even closely match the success of previous releases on two formats (not to say said singles weren't hits or even disappointments). At this point, I'm just not completely sure where she stands in the public eye. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure she'll pull great numbers (400k+), but I'm not sure if she'll topple the opening week of her last album. I'm looking to see how good Mine is and how its received before making any firm estimation. Either way, I'm hoping for the best!
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Jul 21, 2010 1:29:01 GMT -5
Eh, the vast majority of people I know know nothing about Grammys; I do not see many people choosing whether or not to buy an album because of something 14% of the audience & just 9% of young adults (closer to Taylor’s target group) watched. Mostly the only place I saw “omg Tay suck” was this music board.
& out of the total of 3 pop singles from the album, 2 were among the only 3 country hits released 00-09 to go T5 H100, & then zomg one was not. Followed up by a non-album single that never got a video yet debuted #2 H100. Fail, right? & if you want to argue that the movie should have provided radio sustainability, it was one of the most frontloaded movies ever thanks to a poor release strategy, getting 62% of its box office in its first 6 days.
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Post by Love Plastic Love on Jul 21, 2010 2:09:21 GMT -5
I agree with Will. A lot will ride on Mine and how effective her promotion is leading up to the cd release. This will be an extremely interesting cd release. I cannot wait to see what happens.
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Joe1240
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Post by Joe1240 on Jul 21, 2010 2:38:07 GMT -5
I think the album will open big.Perhaps even more then Fearless.Taylor is a much bigger name then she was two years ago.I see it selling 700K to 900K first week.I think this first single will be big when it comes out.
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👑 Eloquent ™
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Post by 👑 Eloquent ™ on Jul 21, 2010 3:01:00 GMT -5
WARNING! ANOTHER ONE OF THOSE HUGE ESSAYS. IGNORE IF IT'S JUST TOO MUCH 4 U. Eh, the vast majority of people I know know nothing about Grammys; The vast majority of people I know also didn't know much about her Grammy performance at the time. However, just because you and I didn't have personal friends who cited the performance negatively doesn't mean there weren't plenty of other people who did. Well, first and foremost, I think you and I both understand just because one didn't view the actual performance during the initial telecast doesn't mean one couldn't hear news of it afterward (and possibly even look it up online). I am sure more than just the people who viewed the show knew about the performance (due to the publicity that blanketed it). Either way, you're right. I do not believe most individuals will see that single performance as a good reason to not purchase Speak Now. However, there will inevitably be those people who follow the trends (and base their own opinion on those of others) who will see the negativity and possibly hold out from buying this release ( this is what could be detrimental to Speak Now's opening week). The album will undoubtedly open big (as I said before), but I'm not so sure if it's going to be bigger than her last at this point. I'm just trying to gauge Taylor's standing with the public abroad at this point before making a "guesstimate". I can agree with this to an extent. I don't really understand the tone here. It's not as if I called the singles "flops" or even "disappointments" (actually, I'm typically the one arguing against those who claim they are). I simply said they didn't live up to their predecessors successes, which is a fact. Again, I don't understand why you're implying I claimed the single to be anything other than a success. However, it should be noted, just because a song debuts high doesn't mean it's a huge success. You're right about that as well too; I'm sure the movie quickly fading into oblivion (thus, ending any promotion) did hamper the song's progress. I expected Today Was A Fairytale to reach at least the top ten on Chr/Pop. It wasn't because I thought it was heavily promoted, but because it was a really catchy track (even with the horrible lyrics) that sold really well initially (I assumed the huge sales would lead to a bigger push from radio). I'm not quite sure why you're defensive, when I am well known (and was well hated) for being one of Taylor's biggest supporters. I was simply saying I'm going to wait to see just how well her new single is received before making a final judgment (in regard to her first week sales). lol
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Oɴʟуßoy®
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Post by Oɴʟуßoy® on Jul 21, 2010 3:08:18 GMT -5
I think the album will open big.Perhaps even more then Fearless.Taylor is a much bigger name then she was two years ago.I see it selling 700K to 900K first week.I think this first single will be big when it comes out. I expected nothing less from you. On a lighter note.. i hope taylor does well,. I did enjoy Fearless hopefully this album can carry on her torch as being a forced to be reckon with. Snatch those extensions Taylor!!
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Joe1240
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Post by Joe1240 on Jul 21, 2010 3:19:17 GMT -5
Yes this album will open big regardless. Heck it may end up in the top 5 of 2010 sales by the end of the year.This album will be huge.I just hope we can get some more good promotion this era.Maybe Taylor will host SNL again. :) I'm so excited for this era!!
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Oɴʟуßoy®
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Post by Oɴʟуßoy® on Jul 21, 2010 3:23:08 GMT -5
Looks like they're trying to take advantage of the halloween sales week are the albums being sold with the candy ???
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👑 Eloquent ™
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Post by 👑 Eloquent ™ on Jul 21, 2010 3:26:35 GMT -5
Swizzle's gettin they twizzlers. I think so.
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