Adam (UTR)
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Post by Adam (UTR) on Aug 8, 2015 12:38:57 GMT -5
Based on early reads, here are our initial forecasts for next week's chart. Luke Bryan’s Kill the Lights (Capitol Nashville): 325-340k albums; 340-355k SPS Dr. Dre’s Compton, A Soundtrack (Aftermath/Interscope): 260-275k albums; 290-305k SPS (30-50m streams) That’s how things are trending now, but Compton is a different animal altogether, with a monumental feel in some quarters. Dre owns ESPN radio and TV as well as Twitter. Traditional and nontraditional word of mouth could keep it stronger than the usual trends. That’s something we should know on Monday after seeing the weekend sales. Will the TV ad blitz for the movie give him a stronger late-week finishing kick? Bryan’s release is being boosted by his genre-transcending popularity, Heartland support and physical retail visibility. And he’s playing Fallon Monday night. Stay tuned for updated numbers on these titles, as well as Now 55 (NOW), the latest from the ever-popular Various Artists, which is looking 60-70k-ish at the moment. ( HDD) 8/10 UPDATE:Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville) 315-325k albums, 335-340k SPS Dr. Dre (Aftermath/Interscope) 290-300k, 320-330k |
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BlueSwan
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Post by BlueSwan on Aug 8, 2015 12:42:07 GMT -5
Damn, looks like Dre really will miss out on #1 for the third time. Well, I guess each of his solo albums peaking at #2 despite being classics is a story in itself.
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Glove Slap
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Post by Glove Slap on Aug 8, 2015 12:50:43 GMT -5
The Chronic peaked at #3.
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Aug 8, 2015 12:59:55 GMT -5
This could easily hit #1 on the 17th after the premier of the movie. It's not a big deal...it's a soundtrack.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 8, 2015 13:01:44 GMT -5
I expected much higher sales for Dre's album. It's a soundtrack but it also doubles as a solo album... and one that's been highly anticipated for 16 years.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Aug 8, 2015 15:04:37 GMT -5
Since Apple is really pushing hard to get ppl to turn on its much-flawed Apple Music, could "Compton" exclusive lead to more ppl to turn the service on so they can listen to it? I'm curious if the streaming numbers may end up a lot higher than anticipated because of that wild card. At the very least, I expect that Apple will be pushing for more of these 'exclusives' in a variety of genres to get users to turn it on. I do think the album will hold well and probably hit #1 next week after the movie opens - if the movie is a hit.
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BlueSwan
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Post by BlueSwan on Aug 8, 2015 15:38:19 GMT -5
The Chronic peaked at #3. You are right! For years I have thought that it reached #2. Crazy for that album to only reach #3 given that it has sold close to 6 million copies in the US alone. |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 9, 2015 4:17:53 GMT -5
Which reminds me... Matchbox twenty's Yourself or Someone Like You peaked at #5 and sold over 10 million.. Those days were different
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Future Captain
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Post by Future Captain on Aug 9, 2015 10:45:24 GMT -5
Imagine 21 released in 2000 and sold enough to still top the chart for 24 weeks in the climate then where the #10 album sold 80k. Adele will probably surpass Metallica.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 10, 2015 12:44:54 GMT -5
hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=297204LUKE VS. DRE: UPDATEThe Plot Thickens in the Compton vs. Country Showdown The Luke-Dre battle is tightening up. The latest numbers have Luke Bryan's Kill the Lights retaining its lead, but Dr. Dre's Compton gaining—particularly, you will not be surprised to hear, in the streaming arena. We are now projecting total Dre streams of 25m. Here's how it looks right now: 1. Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville) 315-325k albums, 335-340k SPS2. Dr. Dre (Aftermath/Interscope) 290-300k, 320-330kThough Lights is still the sales favorite, Compton is a different breed of cat, with a monumental scale in the sociocultural sense. Dre owns ESPN radio and TV as well as Twitter. Traditional and nontraditional word of mouth could keep it stronger than the usual trends.Will the TV ad blitz for the movie give Dre a strong late-week finishing kick? Bryan’s release is being boosted by his genre-transcending popularity, Heartland support and terrestrialretail visibility. And he’s playing Fallon tonight. What's more, Kill the Lights is out in physical form, while Compton will be digital only for the first two weeks of release—and that disadvantage will be hard to overcome, despite the fact that Dre skews digital and Bryan's fan base favors the CD. Stay tuned for updated numbers on these titles, as well as Now 55 (NOW), the latest from the ever-popular Various Artists, which is looking 60-70k-ish at the moment.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 10, 2015 13:22:50 GMT -5
Oh exciting!
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Active Aggressive
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Post by Active Aggressive on Aug 10, 2015 13:34:28 GMT -5
No surprise at all that Luke beat Dre. Never underestimate a country star, especially one as big as Luke. Looking forward to buying Luke today and Dre, when the physical is released on the 21st.
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Aug 10, 2015 16:06:53 GMT -5
I can't believe ''Now 55'' is still selling that much. Wow.
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Post by Daryl the Beryl on Aug 10, 2015 18:30:42 GMT -5
come on Dr. Dre!
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kml567
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Post by kml567 on Aug 10, 2015 18:37:16 GMT -5
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Aug 10, 2015 18:41:44 GMT -5
Billboard's is always more accurate.
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YourFaveIsAFlop
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Post by YourFaveIsAFlop on Aug 10, 2015 22:20:42 GMT -5
I can't believe ''Now 55'' is still selling that much. Wow. The bigger surprise to me is that Kidz Bop albums move sizable amounts of units |
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Aug 10, 2015 22:27:28 GMT -5
Lol how many times does Billboard change their final tallies?
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 11, 2015 20:48:54 GMT -5
hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=297228Tuesday, August 11, 2015 YOUR TOP 15: LUKE LIGHTS UP THE BOARDLuke Bryan will win the battle for #1 this week, but we’re already looking ahead to next week, when Dr. Dre may well benefit from the opening of Straight Outta Compton this Friday. While it’s still too soon to know what the impact of the film will be, it may give Dre the edge in his rematch with Bryan next week. Here’s how it looks right now: *Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville) 315-330k sales, 325-340k SPS *Dr. Dre (Aftermath/Interscope) 270-280k, 300-310k *Now 55 (NOW/Legacy) 70-75k *tobyMac (Forefront) 30-35k, 35-40k Descendants (Walt Disney) 20-23k, 28-32k Taylor Swift (Big Machine/BMLG) 19-22k, 30-35k Jill Scott (Blues Babe) 15-18k, 16-19k Future (A1/Freedbandz/Epic) 14-17k, 28-32k Sam Hunt (MCA Nashville) 14-17k, 25-28k Twenty One Pilots (Fueled By Ramen) 12-14k, 18-21k Ed Sheeran (Asylum UK) 12-14k, 27-30k *Michael Ray (Warner Bros. Nashville) 11-13k, 12-14k Tyrese (Voltron) 12-14k, 13-15k Zac Brown Band (Southern Ground/Varvatos/BMLG/Republic) 10-12k *Never Say Never (Loveway/Warner Bros.) 10-12k
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fearlessarrow
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Post by fearlessarrow on Aug 11, 2015 22:30:14 GMT -5
Are there any big releases coming out this Friday? If not, Luke could get #1 and Dr.Dre would be #1 the week after (I think the movie effect should be enough to push this to #1 if there aren't any big releases) and everyone will be happy.
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kanimal
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Post by kanimal on Aug 11, 2015 22:45:27 GMT -5
hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=297228Tuesday, August 11, 2015 YOUR TOP 15: LUKE LIGHTS UP THE BOARDLuke Bryan will win the battle for #1 this week, but we’re already looking ahead to next week, when Dr. Dre may well benefit from the opening of Straight Outta Compton this Friday. While it’s still too soon to know what the impact of the film will be, it may give Dre the edge in his rematch with Bryan next week. Here’s how it looks right now: *Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville) 315-330k sales, 325-340k SPS *Dr. Dre (Aftermath/Interscope) 270-280k, 300-310k *Now 55 (NOW/Legacy) 70-75k *tobyMac (Forefront) 30-35k, 35-40k Descendants (Walt Disney) 20-23k, 28-32k Taylor Swift (Big Machine/BMLG) 19-22k, 30-35k Jill Scott (Blues Babe) 15-18k, 16-19k Future (A1/Freedbandz/Epic) 14-17k, 28-32k Sam Hunt (MCA Nashville) 14-17k, 25-28k Twenty One Pilots (Fueled By Ramen) 12-14k, 18-21k Ed Sheeran (Asylum UK) 12-14k, 27-30k *Michael Ray (Warner Bros. Nashville) 11-13k, 12-14k Tyrese (Voltron) 12-14k, 13-15k Zac Brown Band (Southern Ground/Varvatos/BMLG/Republic) 10-12k *Never Say Never (Loveway/Warner Bros.) 10-12k That last one is supposed to be Never Shout Never, I presume... |
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BlueSwan
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Post by BlueSwan on Aug 11, 2015 23:59:48 GMT -5
While I hope Dre can get #1 next week, I doubt it. Despite the movie opening, hip-hop albums are usually very frontloaded.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 12, 2015 1:43:17 GMT -5
Awesome 2nd week for Descendants.. could it be a long runner?
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YourFaveIsAFlop
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Post by YourFaveIsAFlop on Aug 12, 2015 5:49:58 GMT -5
I'm not surprised he's iTunes exclusive. He hitched his wagon to Apple with Beats, he's not going to splinter the revenue stream even if it means lower total units sold. If people want to stream the album they will, nobody is paying for Apple Music right now so the only impediment to his fans hearing it is really that it is online only. Beyoncé, Drake, and (kind of) D'Angelo haven't had trouble with online exclusives, it's not a huge obstacle to moving big units. 300k is a big opening for a mostly unpromoted album from an artist without a super broad following. Would they have gotten better SPS if the album was on Spotify and Rdio too? Probably. But Dre has an interest in bringing his fans to a service he owns a piece of
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Post by ctquartzsongbird on Aug 12, 2015 10:08:38 GMT -5
the opening projections were just rounded down 315-330 k for Luke Bryan
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 14, 2015 17:31:46 GMT -5
hitsdailydouble.com/building_album_chartBUILDING ALBUM SALES CHARTStatus: Final-- 1 LUKE BRYAN KILL THE LIGHTS CAPITOL NASHVILLE 326,439 -- -- 2 DR. DRE COMPTON AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 278,558 -- -- 3 NOW 55 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW/LEGACY 76,396 -- -- 4 TOBYMAC THIS IS NOT A TEST FOREFRONT 39,278 -- 1 5 THE DESCENDANTS SOUNDTRACK WALT DISNEY 22,864 -27% 7 6 TAYLOR SWIFT 1989 BIG MACHINE 19,371 -5% 8 7 FUTURE DS2 EPIC 15,165 -16% 14 8 SAM HUNT MONTEVALLO MCA NASHVILLE 14,295 12% 17 9 TWENTY ONE PILOTS BLURRYFACE FUELED BY RAMEN 13,298 24% 6 10 JILL SCOTT WOMAN BLUES BABE 12,942 -43% 13 11 ED SHEERAN X ASYLUM UK 12,939 1% 22 12 ZAC BROWN BAND JEKYLL + HYDE SOUTHERN GROUND/VARVATOS/BMLG/REPUBLIC 12,014 32% 15 13 ALAN JACKSON ANGELS AND ALCOHOL CAPITOL NASHVILLE 11,415 -3% 10 14 TYRESE BLACK ROSE VOLTRON 11,148 -28% -- 15 MICHAEL RAY MICHAEL RAY WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 10,733 -- 30 16 JASON ISBELL SOMETHING MORE THAN FREE THIRTY TIGERS 10,443 45% 20 17 MEGHAN TRAINOR TITLE EPIC 9,317 -5% 16 18 KIDZ BOP KIDS KIDZ BOP 29 RAZOR & TIE 9,171 -20% -- 19 FEAR FACTORY GENEXUS NUCLEAR BLAST AMERICA 8,853 -- 26 20 ERIC CHURCH THE OUTSIDERS EMI NASHVILLE 8,789 9% 23 21 SAM SMITH IN THE LONELY HOUR CAPITOL 8,654 -3% 31 22 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY: AWESOME MIX, VOL. 1 SOUNDTRACK HOLLYWOOD 8,529 20% -- 23 N.W.A. STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON PRIORITY 8,304 -- -- 24 NEVER SHOUT NEVER BLACK CAT WARNER BROS. 7,955 -- 36 25 FALL OUT BOY AMERICAN BEAUTY/AMERICAN PSYCHO DCD2/ISLAND 7,905 18% 43 26 KENDRICK LAMAR TO PIMP A BUTTERFLY TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 7,622 42% -- 27 CATTLE DECAPITATION THE ANTHROPOCENE EXTINCTION METAL BLADE 7,448 -- 38 28 CHASE RICE IGNITE THE NIGHT DACK JANIELS 7,173 9% 33 29 LITTLE BIG TOWN PAIN KILLER CAPITOL NASHVILLE 7,171 5% -- 30 SHAWN MENDES HANDWRITTEN ISLAND 7,032 72% 27 31 DRAKE IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE YMCMB/REPUBLIC 6,629 -15% 37 32 J. COLE 2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 6,311 -4% -- 33 21 CLASSIC HITS VARIOUS ARTISTS SONY MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT 6,295 -- -- 34 SIA 1000 FORMS OF FEAR MONKEY PUZZLE/RCA 6,284 103% -- 35 NOW NEW WAVE 80S VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW/LEGACY 6,111 -- -- 36 FRANK TURNER POSITIVE SONGS FOR NEGATIVE PEOPLE INTERSCOPE 6,022 -- -- 37 DR. DRE THE CHRONIC DEATH ROW/EONE 6,010 -- 29 38 BREAKING BENJAMIN DARK BEFORE DAWN HOLLYWOOD 5,903 -19% 41 39 JASON ALDEAN OLD BOOTS, NEW DIRT BROKEN BOW 5,788 -6% 19 40 SOUTHPAW VARIOUS ARTISTS SHADY/INTERSCOPE 5,784 -43% 39 41 FLORENCE + THE MACHINE HOW BIG HOW BLUE HOW BEAUTIFUL REPUBLIC 5,686 -12% 49 42 NOW COUNTRY 8 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW 5,672 24% 32 43 NOW 54 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW 5,390 -21% 40 44 MEEK MILL DREAMS WORTH MORE THAN MONEY MMG 5,348 -16% 2 45 LED ZEPPELIN IN THROUGH THE OUT DOOR RHINO 5,265 -78% 42 46 MUMFORD & SONS WILDER MIND GLASSNOTE 5,265 -7% -- 47 MAC DEMARCO ANOTHER ONE CAPTURED TRACKS 5,136 -- 35 48 TAME IMPALA CURRENTS MODULAR/INTERSCOPE 5,132 -24% 18 49 LAMB OF GOD VII: STURM UND DRANG EPIC 5,111 -52% 5 50 LIL DICKY PROFESSIONAL RAPPER CMSN 5,111 -78%
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 14, 2015 17:33:00 GMT -5
hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streamingSALES PLUS STREAMING CHARTStatus: Final-- 1 LUKE BRYAN KILL THE LIGHTS CAPITOL NASHVILLE 352,651 -- -- 2 DR. DRE COMPTON AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 300,904 -- -- 3 NOW 55 VARIOUS ARTISTS NOW/LEGACY 76,396 -- -- 4 TOBYMAC THIS IS NOT A TEST FOREFRONT 41,961 -- 2 5 TAYLOR SWIFT 1989 BIG MACHINE 33,001 -16% 1 6 THE DESCENDANTS SOUNDTRACK WALT DISNEY 31,363 -32% 4 7 ED SHEERAN X ASYLUM UK 30,389 1% 3 8 FUTURE DS2 EPIC 28,465 -18% 5 9 SAM HUNT MONTEVALLO MCA NASHVILLE 28,444 1% 17 10 TWENTY ONE PILOTS BLURRYFACE FUELED BY RAMEN 20,045 8% 16 11 FALL OUT BOY AMERICAN BEAUTY/AMERICAN PSYCHO DCD2/ISLAND 19,004 1% 14 12 MEGHAN TRAINOR TITLE EPIC 18,837 -9% 10 13 DRAKE IF YOU'RE READING THIS, IT'S TOO LATE YMCMB/REPUBLIC 18,147 -23% 22 14 ZAC BROWN BAND JEKYLL + HYDE SOUTHERN GROUND/VARVATOS/BMLG/REPUBLIC 17,299 7% 13 15 SAM SMITH IN THE LONELY HOUR CAPITOL 17,061 -18% 12 16 MEEK MILL DREAMS WORTH MORE THAN MONEY MMG 16,636 -20% 26 17 SHAWN MENDES HANDWRITTEN ISLAND 16,375 13% 21 18 MAJOR LAZER PEACE IS THE MISSION MAD DECENT 15,254 -7% -- 19 MICHAEL RAY MICHAEL RAY WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 14,609 -- 45 20 JASON DERULO EVERYTHING IS 4 WARNER BROS. 14,437 55% 27 21 ERIC CHURCH THE OUTSIDERS EMI NASHVILLE 14,318 0% 11 22 JILL SCOTT WOMAN BLUES BABE 13,641 -41% 24 23 J. COLE 2014 FOREST HILLS DRIVE ROC NATION/COLUMBIA 13,270 -10% 20 24 MAROON 5 V 222/INTERSCOPE 12,464 -25% 18 25 TYRESE BLACK ROSE VOLTRON 12,366 -28% 31 26 ALAN JACKSON ANGELS AND ALCOHOL CAPITOL NASHVILLE 12,061 -5% 40 27 KENDRICK LAMAR TO PIMP A BUTTERFLY TDE/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 11,783 12% -- 28 N.W.A. STRAIGHT OUTTA COMPTON PRIORITY 11,769 -- 29 29 LITTLE BIG TOWN PAIN KILLER CAPITOL NASHVILLE 11,688 -10% -- 30 JASON ISBELL SOMETHING MORE THAN FREE THIRTY TIGERS 11,519 45% -- 31 SIA 1000 FORMS OF FEAR MONKEY PUZZLE/RCA 11,483 270% 38 32 ANDY GRAMMER MAGAZINES OR NOVELS S-CURVE 11,013 -1% 28 33 NICKI MINAJ PINKPRINT YMCMB/REPUBLIC 10,929 -23% 34 34 KIDZ BOP KIDS KIDZ BOP 29 RAZOR & TIE 9,782 -19% 50 35 LUKE BRYAN CRASH MY PARTY EMI NASHVILLE 9,458 10% 39 36 SKRILLEX & DIPLO SKRILLEX & DIPLO PRESENT JACK U ATLANTIC 9,228 -17% 44 37 FLORIDA GEORGIA LINE ANYTHING GOES REPUBLIC NASHVILLE/BMLG 9,198 -4% 46 38 CHASE RICE IGNITE THE NIGHT DACK JANIELS 9,169 0% -- 39 FEAR FACTORY GENEXUS NUCLEAR BLAST AMERICA 9,124 -- 41 40 JASON ALDEAN OLD BOOTS, NEW DIRT BROKEN BOW 9,054 -14% 23 41 SOUTHPAW VARIOUS ARTISTS SHADY/INTERSCOPE 8,890 -40% -- 42 TORI KELLY UNBREAKABLE SMILE CAPITOL 8,853 11% 35 43 WALK THE MOON TALKING IS HARD RCA 8,756 -27% -- 44 X AMBASSADORS VHS KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 8,534 0% -- 45 GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY: AWESOME MIX, VOL. 1 SOUNDTRACK HOLLYWOOD 8,529 20% 43 46 FURIOUS 7 SOUNDTRACK ATLANTIC 8,345 -13% -- 47 NEVER SHOUT NEVER BLACK CAT WARNER BROS. 8,274 -- -- 48 PITBULL GLOBALIZATON POLO GROUNDS/RCA 8,144 -1% -- 49 IMAGINE DRAGONS SMOKE + MIRRORS KIDINAKORNER/INTERSCOPE 7,975 28% -- 50 DR. DRE 2001 AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE 7,894 --
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anafan
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Post by anafan on Aug 15, 2015 6:01:31 GMT -5
Congrats Luke
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 15, 2015 6:28:46 GMT -5
Glad that Dre did reach 300k after all.. 250k would've been seen as a disappointment given the opening Drake had earlier this year.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 15, 2015 7:55:18 GMT -5
HITS is on the ball, getting the final charts done quicker than it did when it was Monday-Sunday tracking period.
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