Daniel Collins
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With every broken bone, I swear I lived
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Post by Daniel Collins on Oct 6, 2015 7:12:36 GMT -5
Mediabase 10/06/15
1. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 176.524 (+ 0.856)
2. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 159.224 (- 0.072)
3. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 149.275 (- 1.143)
4. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 134.754 (+ 4.339)
5. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 128.653 (- 0.779)
6. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 126.444 (+ 2.866)
7. SELENA GOMEZ - Good For You f/A$AP Rocky: 111.419 (- 3.113)
8. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 99.122 (- 1.599)
9. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 91.700 (+ 2.486) ▲
10. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 91.328 (+ 1.101) ▼
11. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 87.843 (+ 3.060) ▲
12. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 87.409 (- 0.589) ▼
13. DEMI LOVATO - Cool For The Summer: 80.406 (- 3.602)
14. OMI - Cheerleader: 74.054 (- 1.514)
15. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 70.298 (+ 1.465) ▲
16. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 69.934 (- 0.333) ▲
17. KENNY CHESNEY - Save It For A Rainy Day: 69.576 (- 0.752) ▼
18. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 69.372 (+ 0.940) ▲
19. FALL OUT BOY - Uma Thurman: 69.313 (- 2.916) ▼
20. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 68.318 (- 0.312) ▼
BRETT ELDREDGE - Lose My Mind: 66.711 (+ 0.290)
LUKE BRYAN - Strip It Down: 62.381 (+ 0.312)
MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS - Downtown: 60.287 (- 0.061)
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Anything Goes: 54.632 (+ 0.780)
ONE DIRECTION - Drag Me Down: 54.365 (+ 0.596)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Smoke Break: 50.114 (+ 0.488)
BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 43.092 (+ 0.751)
ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 40.337 (+ 1.238)
MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 40.320 (+ 0.385)
CALVIN HARRIS + DISCIPLES - How Deep Is Your Love: 38.658 (+ 0.752)
NICK JONAS - Levels: 36.998 (+ 0.174)
MAJOR LAZER - Powerful f/Ellie Goulding: 24.956 (+ 0.694)
LIL WAYNE & CHARLIE PUTH - Nothing But Trouble: 22.892 (+ 0.169)
SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 21.939 (+ 0.492)
MAROON 5 - Feelings: 16.888 (+ 0.441)
RUDIMENTAL - Lay It All On Me f/Ed Sheeran: 12.252 (+ 0.604)
RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 9.326 (+ 0.256)
THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 7.595 (+ 0.445)
DEMI LOVATO - Confident: 6.275 (+ 0.486)
CHRIS BROWN - Zero: 5.490 (+ 0.380)
NAUGHTY BOY - Runnin (Lose It All) f/Beyonce: 3.616 (+ 0.095)
SIA - Alive: 2.991 (+ 0.124)
SAM SMITH - Writing's On The Wall: 1.929 (+ 0.083)
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Wave.
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Post by Wave. on Oct 6, 2015 10:35:16 GMT -5
Top 3 staying the same? WD moving up two spots?
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Ravi
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Posts: 420
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Post by Ravi on Oct 6, 2015 11:42:30 GMT -5
My Predictions:
Rank Song Sales Airplay Streams Points
1 The Hills - 100-150-18.0 = 43,300
2 Hotline Bling - 125-90-16.0 = 37,200
3 What Do You Mean - 85-120-15.0 = 35,700
4 Can't Feel My Face - 50-115-12.0 = 29,000
5 679 - 55-60-16.0 = 28,400
6 Wildest Dreams - 85-125-7.0 = 27,400
7/8 Stitches - 75-90-10.0 = 26,400
7/8 Locked Away - 65-130-7.0 = 26,200
Hotline Bling should be #2 this week.
Wildest Dreams might crack Top-5 depending on streaming this week. It will definitely get there next week surpassing CFMF or 679 or both.
Locked Away has lost its chances of reaching Top-5.
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 6, 2015 19:04:32 GMT -5
If Wildest Dreams does its 0.69 discount thingy, being put on more lives, has spotify services, gets a remix version and a lyrics video plus a fan made viral for both...Then ding! The fourth chart-topper of 1989! Now the worst streaming ever almost makes me wanna cry!
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Oct 6, 2015 19:15:03 GMT -5
CHR/Pop Radio Adds this week
Bold = went for adds
47 DEMI LOVATO Confident
46 SELENA GOMEZ Same Old Love
42 RUDIMENTAL Lay It All On Me f/Ed Sheeran
28 DRAKE Hotline Bling
27 CONRAD SEWELL Hold Me Up
27 ELLIE GOULDING On My Mind
22 DNCE Cake By The Ocean
19 SIA Alive
18 ALESSIA CARA Here
14 AUDIEN Something Better f/Lady Antebellum
13 HALSEY New Americana
13 MAJOR LAZER Powerful f/Ellie Goulding
12 CALVIN HARRIS + DISCIPLES How Deep Is Your Love
12 MEGHAN TRAINOR Like I'm Gonna Lose You
12 YEARS & YEARS Desire
11 FETTY WAP 679 f/Remy Boyz
11 THE VAMPS Wake Up
11 X AMBASSADORS Renegades
10 DAYA Hide Away
10 ELLE KING Ex's and Oh's
8 BECKY G Break A Sweat
8 OMI Hula Hoop
8 SHAGGY Only Love f/Pitbull
7 THE CHAINSMOKERS Roses f/Rozes
6 MANIKA F/TYGA I Might Go Lesbian
6 NAUGHTY BOY Runnin (Lose It All) f/Beyonce & Arrow Benjamin
5 EMPIRE CAST No Doubt About It
5 FLO RIDA My House
5 IHEARTMEMPHIS Hit The Quan
5 MAX Gibberish f/Hoodie Allen
4 JESS GLYNNE Hold My Hand
4 MAROON 5 Feelings
4 NICK JONAS Levels
3 ECHOSMITH Let's Love
3 IYAZ Alive f/Nash Of Hot Chelle Rae
3 NICO & VINZ That's How You Know f/Bebe Rexha & Kid Ink
3 PENTATONIX Can't Sleep Love
2 ANDY GRAMMER Good To Be Alive (Hallelujah)
2 HAILEE STEINFELD Love Myself
2 KALIN & MYLES Brokenhearted
2 RACHEL PLATTEN Stand By You
2 ROBERT DELONG Long Way Down
2 SKRILLEX & DIPLO To U f/AlunaGeorge
2 THE WEEKND The Hills
2 ZARA LARSSON Lush Life
1 ALEX ANGELO See Through My Eyes
1 ANDREW MCMAHON IN WILDERNESS Cecilia And The Satellite
1 AVICII For A Better Day
1 CARLY RAE JEPSEN Run Away With Me
1 CHRIS BROWN Zero
1 CHRIS PORTER The Water Dance f/Pitbull
1 GEORGE EZRA Blame It On Me
1 JAAFAR Sixteen
1 LOS 5 Manana
1 MAGIC! Sunday Funday
1 NICKY JAM/ENRIQUE IGLESIAS El Perdon (Forgiveness)
1 ONE DIRECTION Infinity
1 PHARRELL WILLIAMS Freedom
1 RICH HOMIE QUAN Flex (Ooh Ooh Ooh)
1 SAM SMITH Writing's On The Wall
1 SHAWN MENDES Stitches
1 SKYLAR STECKER Crazy Beautiful
1 TOVE LO Moments
1 ULTIMATE Drop f/Flo-Rida
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 7, 2015 1:52:39 GMT -5
If "Are You Ready To Jump" is a song title, then it's surely gonna be a beautiful sight! Haha! Are you ready to jump! Jump! Jump! Now watch me jump! Now watch me fall back down! Are you ready? Are you ready? Are you ready? |
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 7, 2015 1:54:53 GMT -5
My Predictions: Rank Song Sales Airplay Streams Points 1 The Hills - 100-150-18.0 = 43,300 2 Hotline Bling - 125-90-16.0 = 37,200 3 What Do You Mean - 85-120-15.0 = 35,700 4 Can't Feel My Face - 50-115-12.0 = 29,000 5 679 - 55-60-16.0 = 28,400 6 Wildest Dreams - 85-125-7.0 = 27,400 7/8 Stitches - 75-90-10.0 = 26,400 7/8 Locked Away - 65-130-7.0 = 26,200 Hotline Bling should be #2 this week. Wildest Dreams might crack Top-5 depending on streaming this week. It will definitely get there next week surpassing CFMF or 679 or both. Locked Away has lost its chances of reaching Top-5 You know, if Billboard does not include streaming in its formula like pre-2012 era, then "Wildest Dreams" will be a locked no.2 this week. |
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Future Captain
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hi, i'm the visual representation of untreated mental illnesses
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Post by Future Captain on Oct 7, 2015 6:18:33 GMT -5
If "Are You Ready To Jump" is a song title, then it's surely gonna be a beautiful sight! Haha! Are you ready to jump! Jump! Jump! Now watch me jump! Now watch me fall back down! Are you ready? Are you ready? Are you ready? Dude, just... don't. I got a warning once for making fun of his username  |
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velaxti
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Posts: 1,994
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Post by velaxti on Oct 7, 2015 7:31:13 GMT -5
6 MANIKA F/TYGA I Might Go Lesbian
Haha YESSSS!!!! Come on Manika!
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imbondz
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Posts: 2,586
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Post by imbondz on Oct 7, 2015 15:53:23 GMT -5
Skrillex To You...incredible song. Been listening to it for months, will be very surprised if it's a hit tho hoping it becomes one.
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Oct 7, 2015 20:16:20 GMT -5
If "Are You Ready To Jump" is a song title, then it's surely gonna be a beautiful sight! Haha! Are you ready to jump! Jump! Jump! Now watch me jump! Now watch me fall back down! Are you ready? Are you ready? Are you ready? Dude, just... don't. I got a warning once for making fun of his username  It also adds nothing to the conversation and derails the thread (which is against the rules). That's what Random Thoughts is for. |
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 8, 2015 1:49:01 GMT -5
Dude, just... don't. I got a warning once for making fun of his username It also adds nothing to the conversation and derails the thread (which is against the rules). That's what Random Thoughts is for. Hi, rigid Mr. Cute Selfie! |
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velaxti
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Posts: 1,994
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Post by velaxti on Oct 8, 2015 7:47:25 GMT -5
Skrillex To You...incredible song. Been listening to it for months, will be very surprised if it's a hit tho hoping it becomes one. I think it'll do somewhat well at least. Following Where Are U Now and You Know You Like It should help. I want them to re-release Take U There with Kiesza and Missy Elliott. It's quite a commercial song with great crossover potential. |
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Oct 8, 2015 17:49:40 GMT -5
I love how Demi and Selena have been neck and neck this year. Good For You vs Cool For The Summer and now, Same Old Love vs Confident
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onebuffalo
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Posts: 26,586
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Post by onebuffalo on Oct 8, 2015 18:26:37 GMT -5
Just looked at the chart topping hits of Billboard 2015 (since December, 2014). There have been eight songs to top the chart so far. An amazing low number if you were to ask me.
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Future Captain
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hi, i'm the visual representation of untreated mental illnesses
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Post by Future Captain on Oct 8, 2015 18:29:47 GMT -5
I love how Demi and Selena have been neck and neck this year. Good For You vs Cool For The Summer and now, Same Old Love vs Confident Even though Selena is arguably more successful so far. |
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Kworb
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Post by Kworb on Oct 9, 2015 10:17:18 GMT -5
Sales estimates 1. Hotline Bling 119,000 2. The Hills 97,000 3. Stitches 84,000 4. Wildest Dreams 84,000 5. What Do You Mean? 81,000 6. Downtown 70,000 7. Locked Away 66,000 8. Ex's & Oh's 64,000 9. 679 62,000 10. Can't Feel My Face 50,000 11. Like I'm Gonna Lose You 45,000 12. Watch Me 45,000 13. On My Mind 44,000 14. Die A Happy Man 39,000 15. Strip It Down 38,000 16. Drag Me Down 38,000 17. Love Myself 37,000 18. Good For You 37,000 19. Photograph 37,000 20. Renegades 37,000 21. Same Old Love 36,000 22. Jumpman 36,000 23. Levels 36,000 24. Marvin Gaye 36,000 kworb.net/cc |
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wjr15
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Post by wjr15 on Oct 9, 2015 13:29:05 GMT -5
If you count songs that hit #1 in 2015, Bad Blood is the only song by a female artist to go to the top of the chart this year. And it was only there for one week. If you count Blank Space, then it's 2, but still Taylor is the only female to go #1 this year.
Only chance I see of another female artist hitting #1 before the end of the year is Adele.
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Post by Mikel Echarri on Oct 9, 2015 13:45:51 GMT -5
If you count songs that hit #1 in 2015, Bad Blood is the only song by a female artist to go to the top of the chart this year. And it was only there for one week. If you count Blank Space, then it's 2, but still Taylor is the only female to go #1 this year. Only chance I see of another female artist hitting #1 before the end of the year is Adele. Focus by Ariana Grande comes at the end of the month and it will surely debut at #1 |
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rimetm
2x Platinum Member
Just a Good Ol' Chart Shmuck
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Post by rimetm on Oct 9, 2015 16:20:24 GMT -5
I'm losing faith in that happening. Remember that Bieber had hype building for more than a month, while there's been nary a peep about Ariana's track since early September. Also, it had the benefit of a popular lyric video, a quick start at radio, and a music video launched all within the same week; at least one of those things I don't see happening for Ariana.
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The Upper Hand
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Post by The Upper Hand on Oct 9, 2015 16:52:34 GMT -5
If you count songs that hit #1 in 2015, Bad Blood is the only song by a female artist to go to the top of the chart this year. And it was only there for one week. If you count Blank Space, then it's 2, but still Taylor is the only female to go #1 this year. Only chance I see of another female artist hitting #1 before the end of the year is Adele. Focus by Ariana Grande comes at the end of the month and it will surely debut at #1 I wouldn't say surely, but possibly. |
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Anticonformity
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Post by Anticonformity on Oct 10, 2015 3:09:41 GMT -5
If you count songs that hit #1 in 2015, Bad Blood is the only song by a female artist to go to the top of the chart this year. And it was only there for one week. If you count Blank Space, then it's 2, but still Taylor is the only female to go #1 this year. Only chance I see of another female artist hitting #1 before the end of the year is Adele. The sad part is, it took a GUY to get her there... #WhereAreMyGirls |
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weaver
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Post by weaver on Oct 10, 2015 7:05:55 GMT -5
What happened to our airplay updates? There hasn't been one in 4 days...
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jebsib
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Post by jebsib on Oct 10, 2015 13:36:54 GMT -5
Why is Ariana Grande assured a number one debut?
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Oct 10, 2015 16:56:15 GMT -5
Why is Ariana Grande assured a number one debut? The chances are high, but it's definitely not assured. She has proven to have hype back up her first week digital sales as seen with "Problem," and that should be higher now given that her last album secured her many more fans. Airplay should have a nice kick behind it too for that same reason. Do we know the video's release? If it's same day, she'll probably get number one fairly easily. If not, it's going to be tough given "Hotline Bling," "The Hills," and "What Do You Mean?" killing it in all three formats of the chart. We're also not 100% certain on just how well airplay will be for her first week. It'll be big, I'm sure, but it certainly won't be Taylor Swift/Katy Perry big. It might be more in line with how Ellie Goulding's latest did on its first week, and if so, that'll make it a little tough to get that number one debut. |
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85la
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Post by 85la on Oct 10, 2015 18:19:41 GMT -5
Why is Ariana Grande assured a number one debut? The chances are high, but it's definitely not assured. She has proven to have hype back up her first week digital sales as seen with "Problem," and that should be higher now given that her last album secured her many more fans. Airplay should have a nice kick behind it too for that same reason. Do we know the video's release? If it's same day, she'll probably get number one fairly easily. If not, it's going to be tough given "Hotline Bling," "The Hills," and "What Do You Mean?" killing it in all three formats of the chart. We're also not 100% certain on just how well airplay will be for her first week. It'll be big, I'm sure, but it certainly won't be Taylor Swift/Katy Perry big. It might be more in line with how Ellie Goulding's latest did on its first week, and if so, that'll make it a little tough to get that number one debut. On the other hand, none of the songs you mentioned are very high on any of the three metrics, so the points are overall fairly low, giving Ariana a prime opportunity to debut at #1 if ever there was a chance. |
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Oct 10, 2015 18:36:55 GMT -5
Saying a song nobody's heard yet is guaranteed to debut at #1 is kinda crazy. I think some people on here said the same about Britney's "Pretty Girls" and we all know how that turned out.
If Ariana's song is good it definitely stands a chance, given how well "Problem" did in its first week, but even if it amasses enough points to hit #1 it may do it in its second week if it debuts early due to airplay. Or the song could be a dud and do relatively poorly. Or it could be good and just miss the top. Or Harlem Shake 2.0 could appear and block everything else. Who knows.
Separately -- is it definitive that Adele is releasing new music before the end of the year?
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House Lannister
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Post by House Lannister on Oct 10, 2015 20:06:33 GMT -5
Why is Ariana Grande assured a number one debut? Don't quite know about assured, but it's quite possible. +: Last few hits: Problem, Break Free, Bang Bang (she's got some momentum) Growing fan club (from Nickelodeon and her music) Desire for new music at the top -: Impact of the doughnut incident (if there's any lasting one) The lack of buzz on Focus (in contrast, What Do You Mean was being felt for several weeks before debuting) I agree that it comes down to timing. If she can get Focus up at the start of the week, she should get some airplay based on her recent hits. If Focus has a good video or the song showcases her voice enough, that could help streaming. And if the song appeals enough, there goes sales. If Grande gets the timing down and gets all three elements working for her, she could conceivably debut at the top. If she misses one, perhaps a debut more like Drag Me Down is possible. But if the impact of the doughnuts is greater than we thought, who knows? |
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 10, 2015 20:49:12 GMT -5
I think people have completely forgotten/stop caring about the doughnut thing. People are just using it as an excuse to dislike her at this point.
If she has decent promo/appearances planned for the week, the video out on the Friday/Monday (or at least a lyric video) and radio jumps on it quick (which I can see happening, 5 top 6s in one era, two #1), I think it is easily possible. Drag Me Down didn't really have much hype around it either
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Oct 11, 2015 5:47:56 GMT -5
Ariana is not that big of a star and also she didn't really have a break at all from making music. This new song comes too soon to be really THAT anticipated.
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