Billboard Hot 100: 03/04/2017

[MTSChart21]

Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadio

Songs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect

[kcdawg13]

We will have some lofty gains next week for several songs. When it comes to the Grammy's, Shape Of You will get the biggest push. It's predicted to sell over 120k next week and should hang at #1 for another week. The second biggest gainer is Chained To The Rhythm, which is predicted to sell over 100k next week and combined with streaming should be able to debut in the Top 5.

I Feel It Coming, That's What I Like, and The Fighter will also have big gains, the former song predicted to hit the Top 10 while the latter two tracks predicted to be somewhere in the Top 20.

Hello, 7 Years, and My Church are definitely re-entering next week. Stressed Out is still a maybe. Hello will have the highest push out of the songs, and with Adele's big win, other tracks from 25 will gain. Water Under The Bridge should push up while Send My Love may or may not re-enter.

Now for Fifty Shades Darker: Of course I Don't Wanna Live Forever will have the biggest gain, the song is predicted to sell over 100k next week and should move up to #2. The second biggest gainer is Bom Bidi Bom, which is predicted to debut in the Top 30. Other tracks from Sia and Halsey should also gain.

Extraneous songs: Body Like A Back Road is gaining a lot and should be in the Top 20 next week, 24K Magic and Closer will gain, the latter will most likely push back into the Top 5. We are looking at two more lofty debuts courtesy of Maroon 5 and DJ Khaled, who's new songs Cold and Shining will gain big next week. Their chart placement is currently unknown and will most likely shift in the oncoming week. Million Reasons is still selling a lot and is gaining on airplay. It will drop next week, but not by much. If it catches up on airplay it could become a real hit. Bounce Back is predicted to drop.

[forg]

Nice to see Say You Won't Let Go finally picking up in airplay, it has potential to stay long in the airplay chart

Go That's What I Like, I hope this song fares better in airplay than 24K Magic

[forg]

Katy Perry has an amazing Spotify deal
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-10/spotify-befriends-katy-perry-in-quest-to-win-artists-favor?curator=MediaREDEF

We'll see if this works out in the long run

[areyoureadytojump]

KATY PERRY - Chained To The Rhythm: 63.205 (+ 8.533)

MAROON 5 - Cold f/Future: 14.897

[jenglisbe]

Out of the top 22 songs on the latest radio update, only 5 gained impressions. Crazy.

[chartfreak]

Feb 14, 2017 20:21:05 GMT -5 kcdawg13 said:

We will have some lofty gains next week for several songs. When it comes to the Grammy's, Shape Of You will get the biggest push. It's predicted to sell over 120k next week and should hang at #1 for another week. The second biggest gainer is Chained To The Rhythm, which is predicted to sell over 100k next week and combined with streaming should be able to debut in the Top 5.

I Feel It Coming, That's What I Like, and The Fighter will also have big gains, the former song predicted to hit the Top 10 while the latter two tracks predicted to be somewhere in the Top 20.

Hello, 7 Years, and My Church are definitely re-entering next week. Stressed Out is still a maybe. Hello will have the highest push out of the songs, and with Adele's big win, other tracks from 25 will gain. Water Under The Bridge should push up while Send My Love may or may not re-enter.

Now for Fifty Shades Darker: Of course I Don't Wanna Live Forever will have the biggest gain, the song is predicted to sell over 100k next week and should move up to #2. The second biggest gainer is Bom Bidi Bom, which is predicted to debut in the Top 30. Other tracks from Sia and Halsey should also gain.

Extraneous songs: Body Like A Back Road is gaining a lot and should be in the Top 20 next week, 24K Magic and Closer will gain, the latter will most likely push back into the Top 5. We are looking at two more lofty debuts courtesy of Maroon 5 and DJ Khaled, who's new songs Cold and Shining will gain big next week. Their chart placement is currently unknown and will most likely shift in the oncoming week. Million Reasons is still selling a lot and is gaining on airplay. It will drop next week, but not by much. If it catches up on airplay it could become a real hit. Bounce Back is predicted to drop.

Not sure about your 3rd paragraph. The songs are already falling on the Itunes chart.

[MTSChart21]

Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadio

Songs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect



Finally doing these more often. :)

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Wow, it seems Chained to the Rhythm could be close to Top 10 Radio Songs next week, unless the second week adjustment reduces its momentum.

[85la]

I wonder what the chances are of Million Reasons staying in the top ten? I'm thinking it might stay, because it's still top 5 in iTunes and its airplay is still increasing, but I don't know about its streaming. It should at least stay in the top 20, which would be a decent hold.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Feb 16, 2017 1:10:16 GMT -5 85la said:

I wonder what the chances are of Million Reasons staying in the top ten? I'm thinking it might stay, because it's still top 5 in iTunes and its airplay is still increasing, but I don't know about its streaming. It should at least stay in the top 20, which would be a decent hold.

According to simm's early Hot 100 prediction for next week, it looks like the latter might happen.

[Enigma.]

According to Kworb, CTTR is projected to sell 99k... I believe it'll be #5/6 on Hot 100 on Monday

[Golden Bluebird]

Feb 16, 2017 7:58:19 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

According to Kworb, CTTR is projected to sell 99k... I believe it'll be #5/6 on Hot 100 on Monday

*Tuesday. Next Monday is Presidents' Day, which means the Top 10 announcement will be delayed a day later.

[Choco]

Hoping LOTB can reach top 10. It's done much better than most people expected but I'd be sad if it ends like Into You and Too Good last year (great runs, multiple top 15 weeks, but never reached top 10).

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Feb 16, 2017 9:31:56 GMT -5 Choco said:

Hoping LOTB can reach top 10. It's done much better than most people expected but I'd be sad if it ends like Into You and Too Good last year (great runs, multiple top 15 weeks, but never reached top 10).

It's unfortunate that no video has been released for it. Otherwise, I'd think it would be in the Top 10 by now. Another thing that I see for next week is the song reaching #5 in Radio Songs .

[MTSChart21]

Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadio

Songs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect

[flextamcsignals]

Will No Problem re-enter? It's currently #18 on Spotify and should get a Grammy boost, hopefully.

[Deleted]

Feb 16, 2017 13:19:47 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

Will No Problem re-enter? It's currently #18 on Spotify and should get a Grammy boost, hopefully.

Hopefully not.

[flextamcsignals]

Feb 16, 2017 13:34:33 GMT -5 @walker9 said:

Feb 16, 2017 13:19:47 GMT -5 flextamcsignals said:

Will No Problem re-enter? It's currently #18 on Spotify and should get a Grammy boost, hopefully.

Hopefully not.

:( I like that song.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Headline Planet posted this about radio support for Million Reasons:

Looking at current radio support for Lady Gaga's "Million Reasons."

In addition to performing some of her most recognizable hits, Lady Gaga played current radio single “Million Reasons” during the Super Bowl halftime show.

We’re a week-and-a-half removed from the performance and just a few days away from a Grammy Awards ceremony that did not include a “Million Reasons” performance, but the song is still in the Top 5 on the US iTunes single sales chart.

But how is the song faring at radio?

“Million Reasons” rose one spot to #19 on this past week’s Mediabase hot adult contemporary airplay chart. It was up three spots to #28 on the corresponding pop listing.

Its weekly airplay was up by 20% at Hot AC and 12% at pop (for the February 5-11 tracking week). While not massive, the gains best those enjoyed during the week leading up to the Super Bowl (16% at Hot AC, 7% at pop).

“Million Reasons” is on pace for another week of double-digit percentage gains.

After the first four days of the February 12-18 tracking week, “Million Reasons” is up 20% in hot adult contemporary airplay and 14% in pop airplay. It is positioned at #18 on the building Hot AC chart (really #17 with Hailee Steinfeld & Grey’s building #11 “Starving” due to be removed as a recurrent) and #27 on the building pop chart (really #26 with Niall Horan’s building #19 “This Town” due to be removed as a recurrent).

The gains are neither explosive enough to guarantee a trip to the upper reaches of either chart nor quite befitting the song’s impressive performance on iTunes. They are still solid gains, however. They reflect continued support for the second “Joanne” single.

Checking In On Radio Support For Lady Gaga’s “Million Reasons"

[kcdawg13]

The Weeknd just released a music video for Reminder. I guess he forgot that he has a song in heavy radio rotation featuring Daft Punk that doesn't have a video yet. Hm.....

Anyways. Linkin Park just dropped a new song with Kiiara. Heavy is doing well on YouTube and streaming, and if it starts picking up sales and airplay, the song could impact the Hot 100 on March 11th.

[Harx]

The anticipation/hope for I Feel It Coming and Love On The Brain videos is just too much for me! (I lost any hope for WUTB video after Grammys). So annoying! Ok, Rihanna might be "busy with her film career", but The Weeknd released two videos while IFIC was already in the radio rotation! Why can't he just release IFIC!    This wait just drags on and on! And we might as well end up with none of these songs getting a video.

[kcdawg13]

Feb 17, 2017 0:56:03 GMT -5 Harx said:

The anticipation/hope for I Feel It Coming and Love On The Brain videos is just too much for me! (I lost any hope for WUTB video after Grammys). So annoying! Ok, Rihanna might be "busy with her film career", but The Weeknd released two videos while IFIC was already in the radio rotation! Why can't he just release IFIC!    This wait just drags on and on! And we might as well end up with none of these songs getting a video.

I'm pretty sure The Weeknd thinks he's big enough that a song can thrive without a video. But despite how successful he is, he isn't a Drake or Rihanna. He isn't big enough that a song will be able to thrive without a video, he still has a few years before that happens.

Of course IFIC is big, it's #16 and is predicted to enter the Top 10 next week. But I don't think the song will be able to stick around in the Top 10 long enough without a video. It may peak somewhere at like #7 for a week then fall out. He needs YouTube. It'd be stupid if he doesn't start filming one soon. He needs to get on it, now! The reason CFMF and The Hills were in the Top 10 for so long was because they had really good YouTube. 

[85la]

I know seriously, WTF is up with the Weeknd and IFIC? It seems that with later singles down the album, artists are releasing fewer and fewer videos these days. Sometimes songs can thrive for a while before a video is released or even without one (i.e. One Dance and Closer), but that's still the exception. Maybe it just doesn't make financial sense for labels to spend millions of dollars on a video and risk taking a loss, and that they'd rather have a slightly lower chart peak but possibly getting higher download and album revenue.

[truemusicreviews]

Every person on the Weeknd's marketing team should be fired immediately.

[Glove Slap]

Feb 18, 2017 11:37:53 GMT -5 truemusicreviews said:

Every person on the Weeknd's marketing team should be fired immediately.

[Au$tin]

Yeah, no, the focus is on album sales, and it's paying off. His team is doing things right. Like when Adele performed 75% of 25 during the first two months of release.

[Harx]

Wow I keep forgetting that Bad and Boujee spent only 3 weeks at #1! I mean it felt like an eternity.

[feoba]

Feb 18, 2017 14:10:35 GMT -5 Harx said:

Wow I keep forgetting that Bad and Boujee spent only 3 weeks at #1! I mean it felt like an eternity.

I think it's also because Black Beatles spent 7 weeks at #1 as well that made it feel like a decade.

[rimetm]

Feb 18, 2017 14:10:35 GMT -5 Harx said:

Wow I keep forgetting that Bad and Boujee spent only 3 weeks at #1! I mean it felt like an eternity.

Good news then that Shape of You will last for 5/3 of an eternity at least.