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Post by hot100predictions on Jun 29, 2018 23:40:23 GMT -5
1. Nonstop 2. Nice For What 3. I Like It 4. God's Plan 5. Sad! 6. Lucid Dreams 7. Emotionless 8. Don't Matter To Me 9. I'm Upset 10. In My Feelings
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Post by hot100predictions on Jun 29, 2018 23:48:34 GMT -5
Emotionless and Don't Matter To Me will get radio so they will likely takeoff, I predict Emotionless 2 weeks #1 / maybe 1 week at #1 for Don't Matter To Me. But obviously is still VERY EARLY, MTC!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 30, 2018 2:46:54 GMT -5
1. Nice For What 2. Nonstop 3. Emotionless 4. I Like It 5. Sad! 6. God's Plan 7. Don't Matter To Me 8. In My Feelings 9. Girls Like You 10. Talk Up or I'm Upset, it'll be tight with that radio boost with I'm Upset It's Scorpion week, kill me! Wouldn't SAD! drop out of the top ten since it's fueled by streaming and would drop down to the 20s on the streaming chart? I think a sale powered song (Girls Like You) or radio powered (no tears left to cry, Physco) would be more likely to stay in the top ten
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filthy
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Post by filthy on Jun 30, 2018 4:24:36 GMT -5
1. Nice For What 2. Nonstop 3. Emotionless 4. I Like It 5. Sad! 6. God's Plan 7. Don't Matter To Me 8. In My Feelings 9. Girls Like You 10. Talk Up or I'm Upset, it'll be tight with that radio boost with I'm Upset It's Scorpion week, kill me! Wouldn't SAD! drop out of the top ten since it's fueled by streaming and would drop down to the 20s on the streaming chart? I think a sale powered song (Girls Like You) or radio powered (no tears left to cry, Physco) would be more likely to stay in the top ten SAD! has been discounted on ITunes
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Post by Naos on Jun 30, 2018 4:27:53 GMT -5
Wouldn't SAD! drop out of the top ten since it's fueled by streaming and would drop down to the 20s on the streaming chart? I think a sale powered song (Girls Like You) or radio powered (no tears left to cry, Physco) would be more likely to stay in the top ten SAD! has been discounted on ITunes Still has no radio and its main category will be flooded by Drake.
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thelegends
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Post by thelegends on Jun 30, 2018 5:23:29 GMT -5
1- Nonstop 2- Don't Matter To Me 3- Nice For What 4- God's Plan 5- In My Feelings 6- Survival 7- Talk Up 8- I'm Upset 9- 8 out of 10 10- Emotionless
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owenlovesmusic
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Jun 30, 2018 8:06:40 GMT -5
A lot of SAD!’s streams are from YouTube so i think that it will drop out of the top 10 next week
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Kris
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Post by Kris on Jun 30, 2018 8:08:18 GMT -5
A moment of silence for the plethora of songs about to go recurrent.
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Jun 30, 2018 22:06:44 GMT -5
Just tried doing these predictions and i gave up halfway through for each song. These numbers are too massive to make any sense no matter how much i lowball Need the 2nd day spotify numbers
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 30, 2018 23:03:51 GMT -5
1. Nice For What 2. Nonstop 3. God's Plan 4. I Like It 5. I’m Upset 6. Don't Matter To Me 7. SAD! 8. Girls Like You 9. Lucid Dreams 10. Emotionless
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 30, 2018 23:56:53 GMT -5
no
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Jun 30, 2018 23:58:03 GMT -5
1. Nonstop 2. NFW 3. I Like It 4. Gods Plan 5. DMTM 6. GLY 7. Im Upset 8. SAD 9. Emotionless 10. IMF
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TakeMe
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Post by TakeMe on Jul 1, 2018 0:06:16 GMT -5
It’s amazing how powerful streaming is man🤦🏽♂️
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Jul 1, 2018 0:18:38 GMT -5
Scorpion on Spotify: 130WW and 80US Seeing as hes much bigger in on Apple Music in the Us, with the reported 170m, im estimating 136m coming from the US. fhas please tell me im going too high and very wrong :
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Jul 1, 2018 0:19:37 GMT -5
It’s amazing how powerful streaming is man🤦🏽♂️ Im very pro streaming but this just seems wrong
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Jul 1, 2018 8:39:13 GMT -5
Scorpion on Spotify: 130WW and 80US Seeing as hes much bigger in on Apple Music in the Us, with the reported 170m, im estimating 136m coming from the US. fhas please tell me im going too high and very wrong : These numbers mean that Spotify has 37% of the total streams. It's usually between 35-45%, but I'm conservative so I'll use 45% for my predictions, at least for now.
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Post by flextamcsignals on Jul 1, 2018 10:06:47 GMT -5
If SAD! is indeed #1 this week, it could break the record for biggest drop from the top. I believe the current record is 1-15.
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owenlovesmusic
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Jul 1, 2018 10:11:30 GMT -5
I'm gonna be updating this a lot throughout the week, but for now, my predictions:
1. Nonstop (DEBUT) 2. Nice for What (+4) 3. I Like It (-2) 4. Emotionless (DEBUT) 5. SAD! (-3) 6. Girls Like You (-2) 7. Don't Matter to Me (DEBUT) 8. God's Plan (+2) 9. I'm Upset (+18) 10. Lucid Dreams (-7)
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Jul 1, 2018 15:10:38 GMT -5
I'm gonna be updating this a lot throughout the week, but for now, my predictions: 1. Nonstop 2. Nice for What 3. I Like It 4. Emotionless 5. Survival 6. Don't Matter to Me 7. God's Plan 8. I'm Upset 9. Elevate 10. Girls Like You Nonstop is not that great BUT I actually want it to hit #1 vs NFW returning only because I want Scorpion to be his Teenage dream era. The MJ+ autotune = weeknd song Emotionless In my feelings are possible future #1s if they play their cards right.
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owenlovesmusic
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Post by owenlovesmusic on Jul 1, 2018 15:14:38 GMT -5
I'm gonna be updating this a lot throughout the week, but for now, my predictions: 1. Nonstop 2. Nice for What 3. I Like It 4. Emotionless 5. Survival 6. Don't Matter to Me 7. God's Plan 8. I'm Upset 9. Elevate 10. Girls Like You Nonstop is not that great BUT I actually want it to hit #1 vs NFW returning only because I want Scorpion to be his Teenage dream era. The MJ+ autotune = weeknd song Emotionless In my feelings are possible future #1s if they play their cards right. I agree with you. I really hope that Drake can get a couple more #1s from the album and tie the record. 1 more and he breaks the hip hop record.
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korbel16
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Post by korbel16 on Jul 1, 2018 15:34:51 GMT -5
If SAD! is indeed #1 this week, it could break the record for biggest drop from the top. I believe the current record is 1-15. i don’t think it’ll break the record but it’ll be on that list. It’ll probably be 12-15
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Jul 1, 2018 19:04:52 GMT -5
I hate to predict on Sunday because it's not accurate enough, but this is the most exciting week in Hot 100's history (IMO), so let's have some fun!
New formula: sales/6.6 + airplay/7,700 + paid streams/1,375 + free streams/2,062.5 + programmed streams/2,750 * Adjusted to account for a -9% loss in points (average) with the new formula Billboard is supposed to use. I don't think they are changing sales and airplay divisors, only reducing free streams power on the charts. ** Tuesday update: increased streaming's power because the points were still lower when compared to the old formula.
Friday Predictions
1. Nice For What 42,500 (+5) [+41%] 2. Nonstop 42,400 (NEW) 3. I Like It 39,300 (-2) [-1%] 4. God's Plan 39,000 (+5) [+68%] 5. Girls Like You 33,400 (-1) [+4%] 6. SAD! 33,300 (-4) [-4%] 7. In My Feelings 32,200 (NEW) 8. Emotionless 30,800 (NEW) 9. I'm Upset 30,400 (+19) [+98%] 10. Don't Matter To Me 29,500 (NEW) ----------------------------------------------------------------- 11. Lucid Dreams 28,800 (-8) [-13%] 12. Mob Ties 28,700 (NEW) 13. Elevate 27,600 (NEW) 14. Psycho 27,500 (-9) [-10%] 15. Boo'd Up 25,800 (-8) [-1%] 16. No Tears Left To Cry 25,000 (-8) [+3%] 17. Can't Take A Joke 25,000 (NEW) 18. Survival 25,000 (NEW) 19. Talk Up 23,400 (NEW) 20. 8 Out Of 10 23,300 (NEW) -----------------------------------------------------------------
Nice For What 19k sales + 92.8M airplay + 44.8M streams Nonstop 19k sales + 0 airplay + 57.7M streams I Like It 47k sales + 91.5M airplay + 35.5M streams God's Plan 14k sales + 66.2M airplay + 44.9M streams
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Post by Mayman on Jul 1, 2018 19:11:46 GMT -5
I hope Don't Matter To Me can hit the top 10.
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Jul 1, 2018 19:16:25 GMT -5
I hope Don't Matter To Me can hit the top 10. I hope they release a video. That's a #1 hit!
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korbel16
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Post by korbel16 on Jul 1, 2018 22:33:51 GMT -5
The ironic thing is if Drake has 7 songs that hit top 10 he’ll tie Michael And Janet Jackson with the most top 10’s from one Album EVER.
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TakeMe
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Post by TakeMe on Jul 1, 2018 22:49:28 GMT -5
The ironic thing is if Drake has 7 songs that hit top 10 he’ll tie Michael And Janet Jackson with the most top 10’s from one Album EVER. Don’t forget Bruce Springsteen.
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annoymous1
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Post by annoymous1 on Jul 1, 2018 22:59:24 GMT -5
SAD! Needs to go away ...I hope SAD! Isn’t in the 7/14 top 10.
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kanfad
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Post by kanfad on Jul 2, 2018 2:44:36 GMT -5
This is so freaking exciting. Might have to skip lectures next week Monday so I can watch the stan twitter breakdowns in real time
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2018 3:03:10 GMT -5
I hope Don't Matter To Me can hit the top 10. I hope they release a video. That's a #1 hit! How much is YouTube worth now?
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fhas
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Post by fhas on Jul 2, 2018 4:52:16 GMT -5
I hope they release a video. That's a #1 hit! How much is YouTube worth now? 2/3 of a paid stream 10M Apple Music streams = 15M YouTube streams
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