raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Mar 12, 2023 15:27:26 GMT -5
Enters the Mediabase Top 20 at #18 with a very strong bullet of 353 and is at #19 on Billboard after 16 weeks. Very refreshing to see a new solo female song move up the chart so effortlessly as this feels like such a safe bet to probably hit #1 on both charts. Still haven't heard this song much outside of countdown shows, but man I am so happy watching this chart run.
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3chords
New Member
Joined: July 2020
Posts: 339
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Post by 3chords on Mar 12, 2023 17:17:38 GMT -5
Enters the Mediabase Top 20 at #18 with a very strong bullet of 353 and is at #19 on Billboard after 16 weeks. Very refreshing to see a new solo female song move up the chart so effortlessly as this feels like such a safe bet to probably hit #1 on both charts. Still haven't heard this song much outside of countdown shows, but man I am so happy watching this chart run. I’m really enjoying Meg and her style/success but I think it’s so funny (not) that Sony seems incapable of pushing more than one female at radio at a time 😭
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LBTrocks
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Posts: 17,168
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Post by LBTrocks on Mar 12, 2023 18:16:55 GMT -5
Still don't care for this but "Lucky" is a certified country jam! Only song of her's I like so far but man, it is a dang good one! It needs to be a single!
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g8erboi
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Post by g8erboi on Mar 13, 2023 15:48:17 GMT -5
"Lucky" NEEDS to be a single. The old school Shania and Carrie vibes are unmatched on that one. That’s another easy #1.
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Post by wonderstruck on Mar 19, 2023 17:49:56 GMT -5
How long until this goes #1?
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Mar 19, 2023 18:01:53 GMT -5
How long until this goes #1? Probably not for 3 or so more months
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Post by wonderstruck on Mar 20, 2023 10:33:23 GMT -5
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Post by wonderstruck on Apr 1, 2023 18:25:24 GMT -5
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Post by wonderstruck on Apr 11, 2023 19:36:20 GMT -5
So excited for her album.
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Post by wonderstruck on Apr 27, 2023 19:54:54 GMT -5
"Tennessee Orange" is certified platinum by the RIAA.
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Post by gcizvolsfan on Apr 28, 2023 23:49:55 GMT -5
"Tennessee Orange" is certified platinum by the RIAA. Wow! certified platinum and hasn't reached the top 10, yet. I like this song and maybe she can break the chain of songs by males reaching #1.
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jab820
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Posts: 1,115
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Post by jab820 on Apr 29, 2023 21:28:22 GMT -5
I will be 100% unsurprised when this peaks #2 on BB behind a song from Morgan, Luke, Bailey, or a literal random male artist streaming/selling far worse than this song.
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zaclord 🌈
Diamond Member
Jesus Jamz POTY
It'll all be alright...
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 10,795
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Post by zaclord 🌈 on Apr 29, 2023 22:28:13 GMT -5
I will be 100% unsurprised when this peaks #2 on BB behind a song from Morgan, Luke, Bailey, or a literal random male artist streaming/selling far worse than this song. Honestly, all eyes will be on how long "Last Night" stays at #1 and if "One Thing At A Time" replaces it at #1 for awhile too. A rough estimate of what to expect at the top of the charts over the next month will be: 5/5 Parker will (hopefully) be #1 5/12 "Last Night" should be #1 5/19 LN 2 weeks @ #1, Tyler Hubbard peaks at #2 5/26 LN 3 weeks @ #1, Corey Kent peaks at #2 6/2 LN 4 weeks @ #1, big gap between Corey and "One Thing At A Time" so LN should easily get at least 5-6 weeks before OTAAT catches up I'm praying "You" dies out before coming close to #1 but I bet Scotty gets close (maybe a Mediabase #1 unless he gets lucky timing somehow). So depending on how strong of a grip "Last Night" has on #1 and if "One Thing At A Time" spends several weeks at the top after that would be what will be Megan's worry. But she's in a MUCH stronger position, in my opinion, than anyone in the top 10 other than Morgan himself to get to #1 after "Last Night". My worry is with how massive "Last Night" is, it spends all summer at #1 and blocks Megan because it spends 10 weeks at the top.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Apr 30, 2023 6:55:09 GMT -5
Yeah besides Morgan Wallen's songs and Tyler Hubbard's latest, this song is one of the strongest in the Top 15. Obviously there's a chance it gets stuck with a Mediabase only #1 but I do like it's odds.
Also regardless of where it peaks on radio, this songs success has speaked for itself regardless.
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.indulgecountry
Diamond Member
Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on Apr 30, 2023 15:22:05 GMT -5
This one is a littler further back from the juggernaut songs from MW so hopefully that helps in its favor at landing at #1 when the time comes. If this were in the top 5 right now, it'd probably miss out, but I'm feeling perhaps some blind optimism that this will peak at the opportune time to hit the top, and maybe if MW clears out and she doesn't have any major threats behind her, Megan could even get multiple weeks? Gabby scored a 3-week #1 a couple years ago, and "Tennessee Orange" could be the first to do it since.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Apr 30, 2023 15:31:53 GMT -5
I don't see a multi week #1 just due to Jordan Davis "Next Thing You Know" also being a huge hit that is probably gonna peak right after "Tennessee Orange" and that song is even bigger than this. But I also think it's probably too early to predict multi week #1s for either this or Jordan.
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christianlarson9
Platinum Member
Pop/Country music fan.
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Post by christianlarson9 on Apr 30, 2023 18:58:43 GMT -5
This one is a littler further back from the juggernaut songs from MW so hopefully that helps in its favor at landing at #1 when the time comes. If this were in the top 5 right now, it'd probably miss out, but I'm feeling perhaps some blind optimism that this will peak at the opportune time to hit the top, and maybe if MW clears out and she doesn't have any major threats behind her, Megan could even get multiple weeks? Gabby scored a 3-week #1 a couple years ago, and "Tennessee Orange" could be the first to do it since. Maybe she could get multiple weeks on Billboard, but I feel like she'll need to have a decent lead in audience for that to happen. I just can't see Mediabase happening unfortunately (I don't even think Gabby got multiple weeks on Mediabase, just Billboard).
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.indulgecountry
Diamond Member
Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on May 1, 2023 9:26:04 GMT -5
I don't see a multi week #1 just due to Jordan Davis "Next Thing You Know" also being a huge hit that is probably gonna peak right after "Tennessee Orange" and that song is even bigger than this. But I also think it's probably too early to predict multi week #1s for either this or Jordan. It is. But I was just saying if any female hit recently could potentially have the power to hold at the top, it'd be this one. Everything else recently that's gone #1 or almost gone #1 by a woman has been something radio was ready to purge after it hit the top. I don't see that happening with "Tennessee Orange." It may only get a single week at the top, but I expect her song to have a slower airplay descent than we usually see for female-fronted hits at the very least.
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Post by wonderstruck on May 12, 2023 16:26:04 GMT -5
Kinda surprised it didn’t sell more.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on May 12, 2023 16:31:28 GMT -5
Kinda surprised it didn’t sell more. I'm not. She just came onto the scene within the last year and while "Tennessee Orange" connected really well, she's not quite a household name. Also album sales in general are not that strong overall.
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zdm1998
2x Platinum Member
Sometimes love slips away, and you just can't get it back, lets face it
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Post by zdm1998 on May 12, 2023 17:51:20 GMT -5
Those are actually phenomenal numbers for a new artist like Megan. That’s very close to what Kelsea just did with Subject to Change and she has a lot larger of a following than Megan.
Unless you are Wallen or Combs (or have a 30+ tracklist), country album sales just aren’t what they used to be.
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.indulgecountry
Diamond Member
Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on May 13, 2023 0:38:29 GMT -5
Yeah, that's an excellent debut figure for Megan Moroney, honestly.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 19, 2023 22:28:57 GMT -5
I have a bad feeling this is going to get blocked by Last Night. Assuming the push is in the next few weeks, it just does not seem like Morgan will be done at the top by then. Especially as the next couple weeks he still won't get #1 on both charts.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2023 1:00:16 GMT -5
I have a bad feeling this is going to get blocked by Last Night. Assuming the push is in the next few weeks, it just does not seem like Morgan will be done at the top by then. Especially as the next couple weeks he still won't get #1 on both charts. The guy in this song is also the same guy that will block it from getting #1! Lol
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.indulgecountry
Diamond Member
Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on May 23, 2023 18:24:27 GMT -5
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zdm1998
2x Platinum Member
Sometimes love slips away, and you just can't get it back, lets face it
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Post by zdm1998 on May 27, 2023 10:52:59 GMT -5
Is it safe to assume Megan’s push week is the week after Scotty? She’s not listed as a cohost after Scotty, but some randoms who aren’t anywhere close to #1 are. Really curious if this gets blocked on BB.
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
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Post by Deleted on May 27, 2023 21:53:57 GMT -5
Is it safe to assume Megan’s push week is the week after Scotty? She’s not listed as a cohost after Scotty, but some randoms who aren’t anywhere close to #1 are. Really curious if this gets blocked on BB. Yeah, I'd assume. Megan doesn't get to co-host since she is a new artist, so maybe Lainey is filling in for her and that is her push week. Or maybe no one is pushing that week lol
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Post by countryman87 on Jun 3, 2023 20:37:29 GMT -5
Is it safe to assume Megan’s push week is the week after Scotty? She’s not listed as a cohost after Scotty, but some randoms who aren’t anywhere close to #1 are. Really curious if this gets blocked on BB. I don't think she will be pushing this week. I haven't seen any ads saying she will be maxing this coming week. Lainey is co-hosting this weekend followed by Jake Owen. I believe this week could be "Last Night's" push week. Since MW isn't too far back with OTAAT, he probably didn't want to co-host twice within a month. Then on Jake's week co-hosting could be Megan's push week to give her an extra week to gain to have a better shot at #1 at least on MB.
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.indulgecountry
Diamond Member
Best Country Poster 2011, 2017, & 2018
"You left a mark on my face // And brought a dozen red flags in a vase"
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Post by .indulgecountry on Jun 3, 2023 21:29:58 GMT -5
Is it safe to assume Megan’s push week is the week after Scotty? She’s not listed as a cohost after Scotty, but some randoms who aren’t anywhere close to #1 are. Really curious if this gets blocked on BB. I don't think she will be pushing this week. I haven't seen any ads saying she will be maxing this coming week. Lainey is co-hosting this weekend followed by Jake Owen. I believe this week could be "Last Night's" push week. Since MW isn't too far back with OTAAT, he probably didn't want to co-host twice within a month. Then on Jake's week co-hosting could be Megan's push week to give her an extra week to gain to have a better shot at #1 at least on MB. The label has actually indicated that they're pushing OTAAT this week for a final peak before letting it go.
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raylatch98
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Post by raylatch98 on Jun 3, 2023 21:34:59 GMT -5
I really do hope this can get to #1 on both Billboard and Mediabase (if it misses either I will be annoyed but will accept it) but man I need "Next Thing You Know" to slow down for me to feel comfortable about this hitting #1. I do think this can make it on Mediabase, but man Billboard feels rough with "Next Thing You Know" continuing to just gain more and more momentum (2 million ahead on Billboard) and I suspect a slow fall for "Last Night".
If this doesn't hit #1 on Billboard, it is what it is, but man I hope it pulls it off.
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