botoxic
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Post by botoxic on Jan 31, 2024 19:31:26 GMT -5
With five days of data:
Hot 100 Prediction: 45 Most Likely Range: 40-48
Slight drop-off in streams from the first three days - probably will re-appear, but no longer expected to better its 43 peak. Still a chance; perhaps sales will surprise.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Jan 31, 2024 19:42:31 GMT -5
so if re-enters and then falls below #50 it's out again? And it's gonna have to keep re-entering week after week? Like 45-OUT-49-OUT-46-OUT? lol
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Jan 31, 2024 21:54:59 GMT -5
With five days of data: Hot 100 Prediction: 45 Most Likely Range: 40-48 Slight drop-off in streams from the first three days - probably will re-appear, but no longer expected to better its 43 peak. Still a chance; perhaps sales will surprise. I just completed the purchase of all 10 versions on Itunes.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jan 31, 2024 22:32:07 GMT -5
Thanks, botox.
On this week's Hot 100, a Latin track debuted at No. 94 with 5.8 million U.S. streams. "Popular" has streams outside of Spotify, but how much more that it's challenging for a top 50 placement? It's looking to end the week on U.S. Spotify with around 6 million streams. Airplay and sales will be minimal (sales, going by none of the versions charting in the top 200 on iTunes). The EP/digital maxi will account for some sales, though that too doesn't look like it has sold that much.
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botoxic
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Post by botoxic on Feb 1, 2024 3:00:07 GMT -5
Thanks to @madonnaspotify, we know that the sped up, slowed down, a cappella, and instrumental versions streamed a combined 2.9 million on Spotify in their first five days of release and are trending towards 3.9 million in their first full week. Assuming the same US/world ratio as the original adds just over 900,000 streams to the OG Popular's US Spotify total.
The five-day calcs above are based on 6.96 million weekly Spotify streams and 10.85 million total.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 1, 2024 8:55:12 GMT -5
^Thanks. Again, I had thought Spotify combined all versions for its charts. That is not the case, then?
Spotify- Jan. 31, 2024 (Cumes represent totals for time spent on the daily charts)
U.S. Spotify streams are running +666,360 over the prior week's first six days.
Global: No. 12 (=), 3,831,257 (+82,628); 534,728,762 cume USA: No. 16 (+2), 894,884 (+15,908); 92,948,851 cume
Top 40, Jan. 24-Jan. 30 THE WEEKND Popular f/Playboi C. & Madonna 293 183 110 1.152
+7 Spins +11 Bullet +0.018 Audience
KMVQ in San Francisco accounts for nearly half to the song's audience (0.529m), with 74 spins in the past week (+14 over the prior seven-day period).
At rhythmic, "Popular" has 105 spins from eight stations listed; audience of 0.157m.
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botoxic
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Post by botoxic on Feb 1, 2024 16:19:23 GMT -5
^As an example, unfiltered global Spotify streams for January 31, again thanks to @madonnaspotify:
Popular (Original) - 3,883,679 Popular (Slowed) - 224,752 Popular (Sped Up) - 140,212 Popular (A Cappella) - 68,347 Popular (Instrumental) - 61,733
Popular Total - 4,378,723
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 1, 2024 22:21:52 GMT -5
^Yeah I knew they have their own totals and such on Spotify, but wasn't sure how it worked in terms of the Spotify charts. Thanks.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 2, 2024 8:33:32 GMT -5
Here are the daily and weekly Spotify chart.Pretty nice week.
Spotify- Feb. 1, 2024 (Cumes represent totals for time spent on the daily and weekly charts)
Global: No. 12 (=), 3,814,247 (-17,010); 538,543,009 cume USA: No. 17 (-1), 870,662 (-24,222); 93,819,513 cume
Spotify- Jan. 26-Feb. 1, 2024 Global: No. 12 (+2), 26,312,521 (+3,031,703); 538,543,009 cume USA: No. 16 (+7), 6,083,902 (+744,322); 94,794,140 cume UK: No. 8 (+3), 1,880,767 (+144,512); 41,493,592 cume Canada: No. 10 (+2), 1,011,649 (+77,346); 22,713,974 cume
Mediabase- Top 40, Jan. 26-Feb. 1 THE WEEKND Popular f/Playboi C. & Madonna 294 190 104 1.192
+1 Spin -6 Bullet +0.04 Audience
At rhythmic, "Popular" has 97 spins from seven stations listed; audience of 0.135m (-.022).
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Soundcl🕤ck
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Post by Soundcl🕤ck on Feb 2, 2024 12:21:44 GMT -5
#10 in the UK
Madonna's 64th top 10; first since "Celebration" in 2009 and 40 years after her first "Holiday", it's also her 3rd collab to reach the top 10 after Britney and Timberlake.
"Popular" is The Weeknd's 16th and Playboi's first top 10
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jumpb4uthink
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Post by jumpb4uthink on Feb 3, 2024 5:55:12 GMT -5
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 3, 2024 8:34:50 GMT -5
I corrected the dates for the weekly Spotify and Mediabase charts posted yesterday.
Spotify- Feb. 2, 2024 (Cumes represent totals for time spent on the daily charts)
Global: No. 13 (-1), 3,710,449 (-103,798); 542,253,458 cume USA: No. 21 (-4), 837,910 (-32,752); 94,657,423 cume
Mediabase- Top 40, Jan. 27.-Feb. 2 THE WEEKND Popular f/Playboi C. & Madonna 294 196 98 1.221
= Spins -6 Bullet +0.029 Audience
At rhythmic, "Popular" has 97 spins from seven stations listed; audience of 0.161m (+.026).
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Feb 3, 2024 20:30:44 GMT -5
Popular will not re-enter. #56 if it was allowed to chart:
/photo/3
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Feb 3, 2024 21:00:27 GMT -5
boooo, oh well. At least it got Top 10 in the UK.
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Feb 3, 2024 21:05:44 GMT -5
Edit.....wrong thread
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 3, 2024 21:08:38 GMT -5
"Popular" was/is not likely to surpass its original Hot 100 peak. More relevant than another week charted there is reaching UK top 10. However, given the release of the maxi-single/EP, that should warrant a Ht 100 re-entry as it is a form of promotion/a push.
On a related note- "Popular" re-entered the YouTube U.S. Top Songs chart at No. 95, with 1,274,871 unfiltered streams. This is its second week on the chart; it previously charted at No. 99 in its first week of release.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 4, 2024 8:15:29 GMT -5
[bSpotify- Feb. 3, 2024[/b] (Cumes represent totals for time spent on the daily charts)
Global: No. 14 (-1), 3,526,917 (-183,532); 545,780,375 cume USA: No. 23 (-2), 752,434 (-85,476); 95,409,857 cume
Mediabase- Top 40, Jan. 28.-Feb. 3 THE WEEKND Popular f/Playboi C. & Madonna 286 206 80 1.185
-8 Spins -18 Bullet -0.036 Audience
At rhythmic, "Popular" has 100 spins from seven stations listed; audience of 0.156m (-.005).
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leonagwen
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Post by leonagwen on Feb 4, 2024 10:00:21 GMT -5
Why are people still talking about this song on a Pop airplay forum? Yes this is doing great on Spotify and might re enter the Hot 100 at something like #85, but this song is done on Pop radio and it's not gonna re enter the Pop chart.
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dovahduck
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Post by dovahduck on Feb 15, 2024 12:03:12 GMT -5
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botoxic
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Post by botoxic on Feb 15, 2024 19:35:23 GMT -5
It's a real video - not animated:
Also I apologize if I got anyone's hopes up due to my erroneous prediction that this would reappear on the Hot 100.
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Safado
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Post by Safado on Feb 15, 2024 19:36:18 GMT -5
Where does she find the time. She looks amazing !!!
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Feb 15, 2024 19:43:14 GMT -5
Video is exclusive to Fortnite for three days so it should pop up on Youtube during the weekend.
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Ryan
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Post by Ryan on Feb 15, 2024 19:49:16 GMT -5
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Safado
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Post by Safado on Feb 15, 2024 19:52:58 GMT -5
So she really filmed this in August of last year per instagram posts.
And we didn’t believe them. I wonder why they sat on it for so long.
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Feb 15, 2024 20:14:45 GMT -5
It's a real video - not animated: Also I apologize if I got anyone's hopes up due to my erroneous prediction that this would reappear on the Hot 100. It's OK, it should have been allowed to reenter!
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कामसूत्र
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Post by कामसूत्र on Feb 16, 2024 4:36:58 GMT -5
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Safado
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Post by Safado on Feb 16, 2024 8:42:10 GMT -5
She looks amazing.
A little late, but I’ll take it.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Feb 16, 2024 10:19:18 GMT -5
So she really filmed this in August of last year per instagram posts. And we didn’t believe them. I wonder why they sat on it for so long. Probably Fortnite. The new Festival mode (think of it like a new version of Guitar Hero/Rock Band) only launched in December and the Weeknd is more or less the face of it's first season which ends next week - they probably paid to keep the video exclusive for the end of the season.
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botoxic
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Post by botoxic on Feb 21, 2024 19:36:49 GMT -5
Three days after the end of the Fortnite exclusivity, and no official video upload on YouTube. They're finally cracking down on unofficials, some of which were nearing 200K views.
Dare I start to believe semi-reputable sources saying there are still significant plans for "Popular?" That the video upload will be timed to coincide with something else? If I recall, Mike Dean confirmed at least one remix several weeks ago, and by now there could be more.
Incorporation of the video in the tour going forward? Inclusion in a major pop culture episode or event? Live performance? Not entirely impossible. One can dream.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 21, 2024 21:57:17 GMT -5
I also was thinking there could be a reason why it wasn't uploaded to The Weeknd's YouTube account on Monday. What else could be in store for P?
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