January-February 2024 Chart Predictions

[sportytheartist]

I wanted to see what everyone’s early chart predictions for the first hits (for me, it’s top 20!) of 2024! 

I’ll start:
Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me
Tyla - Water
Dua Lipa - Houdini
Taylor Swift - Is It Over Now? 
Tate McRae - greedy
Paul Russell - Lil Boo Thang

Potentially:
I think that at least 1-2 of the “Pink Friday 2” tracks will go top 10.
Kenya Grace - Strangers (it could make a new peak by January if radio picks it up more)

[jasper0102]

Lovin On Me - This will get 2 weeks at #1 before Mariah takes over and then when she's gone it'll go back there. I could see it peforming close to First Class.
Water - I feel this is gonna peak this week because of the remix releases and Christmas coming literally right after, but i can also see it sticking around for long after, though idk if it'd be in the top 10.
Houdini - I can see this performingly similarly to Dance The Night tbh.
Is It Over Now? - I don't think this will retake the top but considering how well it's atreaming + good radio this can last for a good long while.
Greedy - With the way it's gaining i won't be surprised if by January the #1 will be a battle between this and Jack, though i feel he might block it.
Lil Boo Thang - Considering where it is on Pop Radio i won't be surprised if it peaks in January-February and then gets dropped very quickly, i.e a Made You Look or Golden Hour.

Potential
Save Me - If country radio keeps this around long enough and pop radio gets onboard this might go top 10 (or it could end up barely missing like Need A Favor)
White Horse - ^except with better streaming and no chance for pop crossover (The streaming needs to stay consistent post-album. And combine that with a well-timed country radio push it can get there)
Stick Season - Idk if radio would like this more than Dial Drunk but it already has more consistent streaming than that one ever had so.
Lose Control - With solid streaming and the radio still not onboard, once they do and give this a slow climb upwards this could easily be a big sleeper hit with monstrous longevity,
Truck Bed - Given it hasn't even made top 20 on country radio i feel this could dodge recurrency for quite a bit.

[sportytheartist]

Nov 21, 2023 6:49:23 GMT -5 jasper0102 said:

Lose Control - With solid streaming and the radio still not onboard, once they do and give this a slow climb upwards this could easily be a big sleeper hit with monstrous longevity,

I’m glad Lose Control is gaining up in the charts, I’ve been obsessed with that song since last week! Hope this will become a sleeper hit in the long run.

[jessutation]

I could be wrong but I have a feeling “Houdini” by Dua Lipa will be huge by January-February next year.