Rεvôlvεr†
2x Platinum Member
Joined: August 2009
Posts: 2,281
|
Post by Rεvôlvεr† on Oct 7, 2009 21:10:57 GMT -5
If not, a #2 debut is awesome.
|
|
|
Post by cube84 on Oct 7, 2009 21:14:33 GMT -5
Britney breaks records also here 96 pages of " 3 " 's thread since 23 september ;) lol ha shes breaking records everywhere..her first number 1 in spain ..and more lol...i think shes the female michael jackson of our generation..seriously!! madonna is blah i agree ok womanizer that was her cameback single but 3 worldwide is doing amazin....and i repeat NO promotion, no single leaked and only few days of airplay. Nowadays only britney has this ( fast ) results.
|
|
hecger
New Member
Joined: November 2008
Posts: 160
|
Post by hecger on Oct 7, 2009 21:14:53 GMT -5
If not, a #2 debut is awesome. Amazing for Britney, although i'm liking how a top 10 single is not enough for Britney fans...oh do I miss the days where she was lucky to get a top 20 single.
|
|
friend
Platinum Member
Joined: July 2004
Posts: 1,547
|
Post by friend on Oct 7, 2009 21:58:56 GMT -5
I'm thinking a debut at number 3.
This would need a solid 250k to get to number 1, and I don't see that happening. Again, I'll stick with 215k.
|
|
Monroe
Diamond Member
Can't you see what I see?
Joined: October 2007
Posts: 10,520
|
Post by Monroe on Oct 7, 2009 22:08:44 GMT -5
^ No it wouldn't. She has nearly 20 million audience impressions even if by some freak accident that she doesn't gain anymore this week and just keeps her 16 million she would only need 220k or so to be #1.
It takes 240 chart points to get a #1.
16+224 = 240 -> which is enough for a #1 on the Hot 100.
|
|
Hefty Hanna
Diamond Member
a prettier jesus
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 20,350
|
Post by Hefty Hanna on Oct 7, 2009 22:12:35 GMT -5
Number-one debuts * Michael Jackson — "You Are Not Alone" (September 2, 1995) * Mariah Carey — "Fantasy" (September 30, 1995) * Whitney Houston — "Exhale (Shoop Shoop)" (November 25, 1995) * Mariah Carey and Boyz II Men — "One Sweet Day" (December 2, 1995) * Puff Daddy and Faith Evans featuring 112 — "I'll Be Missing You" (June 14, 1997) * Mariah Carey — "Honey" (September 13, 1997) * Elton John — "Candle in the Wind 1997" / "Something About the Way You Look Tonight" (October 11, 1997) * Céline Dion — "My Heart Will Go On" (February 28, 1998) * Aerosmith — "I Don't Want to Miss a Thing" (September 5, 1998) * Lauryn Hill — "Doo Wop (That Thing)" (November 14, 1998) * Céline Dion and R. Kelly — "I'm Your Angel" (December 5, 1998) ----- * Clay Aiken — "This Is the Night" (June 28, 2003) * Fantasia — "I Believe" (July 10, 2004) * Carrie Underwood — "Inside Your Heaven" (July 2, 2005) * Taylor Hicks — "Do I Make You Proud" (July 1, 2006) CRAZINESS! If Britney debuts at #1 this week, she will be the first non-Idol to do it in 11 years! Please, Brit. PLEASE debut at #1! Oh, and Britney will need sales of about 220K - 230K to get #1. You have to include rising airplay from the current Top 5 or so.
|
|
Monroe
Diamond Member
Can't you see what I see?
Joined: October 2007
Posts: 10,520
|
Post by Monroe on Oct 7, 2009 22:16:59 GMT -5
^ You have to take into account that Britney's airplay is also rising as well. Her airplay isn't just going to stay static, she will gain just like the others. Especially considering she was the 3rd biggest gainer this past week.
|
|
Hefty Hanna
Diamond Member
a prettier jesus
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 20,350
|
Post by Hefty Hanna on Oct 7, 2009 22:19:36 GMT -5
^ You have to take into account that Britney's airplay is also rising as well. Her airplay isn't just going to stay static, she will gain just like the others. I am, but airplay is unpredictable. Britney may have crap updates all week, and one of her "threats" may see an unexpected jump. You just don't know. That's why I left leeway in my prediction, and I don't see Britney having trouble matching that or even surpassing that. Not hating! I am first and foremost a Brit stfan. By the way, I'm still not sold on '3', but I am sold simply because of the brilliant pre-chorus and bridge. Everything else is still hideous IMO.
|
|
Marooned@Midnight
6x Platinum Member
It’s me…HI!…I’m the problem, it’s me
Joined: September 2007
Posts: 6,632
|
Post by Marooned@Midnight on Oct 7, 2009 22:29:09 GMT -5
I'm not ready to call hot 100#1 yet either. I think it is VERY possible, but really it just depends on how sales shake out. The pop bars have been misleading in the past. Right now I would say her chances of a #1 debut are 75%. Pretty good odds, but not certain.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Oct 7, 2009 22:33:52 GMT -5
The wait until next week is gonna kill me.
|
|
Monroe
Diamond Member
Can't you see what I see?
Joined: October 2007
Posts: 10,520
|
Post by Monroe on Oct 7, 2009 22:35:21 GMT -5
I would say the only thing that stands in the way of "3" debuting at #1 would be Britney's own sales. Jay Sean and Miley are both decreasing in sales which will level out there airplay gains in the end and Britney will eventually start gaining numbers in airplay again so it just depends on if Britney can deliver on the sales end. I would say that is the only thing stopping her at this point.
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 7, 2009 22:42:43 GMT -5
she has to get number 1!! if not then idk...how much airplay did miley have when de debuted at number 3??? and 16+224 = 240 -> which is enough for a #1 on the Hot 100. how do you get this caluatn 240 to be number one?/
|
|
Hefty Hanna
Diamond Member
a prettier jesus
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 20,350
|
Post by Hefty Hanna on Oct 7, 2009 22:46:19 GMT -5
she has to get number 1!! if not then idk...how much airplay did miley have when de debuted at number 3??? and 16+224 = 240 -> which is enough for a #1 on the Hot 100. how do you get this caluatn 240 to be number one?/ We can't use Miley's debut as a reference, being chart climates were different when she made her debut. The chart is a lot less competitive now. Also, whoever said 240 is basing that off of last week's chart, which, again, shouldn't be done because it's a new chart week and anything can happen, but it may, I guess, be used as a reference point. The #1 song last week, 'Down', had about 240,000 chart points when the airplay and digital sales were combined. Assuming things won't change and Jay/Miley remain consistent, Brit will need at least around 240,000 chart points to lock in #1.
|
|
rfucom
Diamond Member
Beerbongs fanatic
Joined: December 2008
Posts: 10,082
|
Post by rfucom on Oct 7, 2009 22:49:58 GMT -5
#1 on Z100's Countdown! :o YAY! im waiting for KIIS fm chart today. i hope she's no.1 also
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 7, 2009 23:03:50 GMT -5
when will her official numbers be in???
|
|
Monroe
Diamond Member
Can't you see what I see?
Joined: October 2007
Posts: 10,520
|
Post by Monroe on Oct 7, 2009 23:06:46 GMT -5
Wednesday.
|
|
Hefty Hanna
Diamond Member
a prettier jesus
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 20,350
|
Post by Hefty Hanna on Oct 7, 2009 23:06:57 GMT -5
when will her official numbers be in??? LOL this Wednesday, the 14th. ;) But only sales from the 6th to the 11th will count. Monday is a new chart week for digital sales.
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 7, 2009 23:13:33 GMT -5
she has it locked for sure im convinced...no down or party in the usa.. will be able gain huge amount of airplay to get number one!
|
|
c0ldasfire
Platinum Member
Joined: October 2008
Posts: 1,125
|
Post by c0ldasfire on Oct 7, 2009 23:54:51 GMT -5
#1 on KIIS- FM!!
|
|
rfucom
Diamond Member
Beerbongs fanatic
Joined: December 2008
Posts: 10,082
|
Post by rfucom on Oct 7, 2009 23:55:00 GMT -5
UPDATES - UPDATES - UPDATES - UPDATES
#1 on z100 interactive chart
#1 also on KIIS 9@9
YAY! hoping for better updates tom! YAY! :)
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 7, 2009 23:55:26 GMT -5
lol you beat my by mear seconds lol
|
|
Nicolexo
Diamond Member
Joined: February 2008
Posts: 15,053
|
Post by Nicolexo on Oct 7, 2009 23:55:49 GMT -5
UPDATES - UPDATES - UPDATES - UPDATES #1 on z100 interactive chart #1 also on KIIS 9@9 YAY! hoping for better updates tom! YAY! :) :) Great!
|
|
c0ldasfire
Platinum Member
Joined: October 2008
Posts: 1,125
|
Post by c0ldasfire on Oct 7, 2009 23:57:09 GMT -5
lol you beat my by mear seconds lol lol i found the link to the radio station and have been listening to it and got excited when it was announced she was #1 lol
|
|
Hefty Hanna
Diamond Member
a prettier jesus
Joined: August 2007
Posts: 20,350
|
Post by Hefty Hanna on Oct 7, 2009 23:57:24 GMT -5
I know that 3 is part of the singles compilation, but it's great that we're ending this era for the next studio album on a positive note.
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 7, 2009 23:58:57 GMT -5
wow 3 with 3 being a huge hit!! they will probably move up the single collection, or add things to it, or lower the price, because its more in demand!! idk
|
|
rfucom
Diamond Member
Beerbongs fanatic
Joined: December 2008
Posts: 10,082
|
Post by rfucom on Oct 8, 2009 0:00:22 GMT -5
I hope britney will add another new single on her singles collection, a mid tempo will do.
|
|
rfucom
Diamond Member
Beerbongs fanatic
Joined: December 2008
Posts: 10,082
|
Post by rfucom on Oct 8, 2009 0:01:04 GMT -5
wow 3 with 3 being a huge hit!! they will probably move up the single collection, or add things to it, or lower the price, because its more in demand!! idk sounds like you're so happy and excited :)
|
|
c0ldasfire
Platinum Member
Joined: October 2008
Posts: 1,125
|
Post by c0ldasfire on Oct 8, 2009 0:02:47 GMT -5
I hope britney will add another new single on her singles collection, a mid tempo will do. would be a good idea, if its a hot song it could be huge and really help sell the "singles collection" even more
|
|
orta17
Gold Member
Joined: July 2009
Posts: 996
|
Post by orta17 on Oct 8, 2009 0:03:10 GMT -5
wow 3 with 3 being a huge hit!! they will probably move up the single collection, or add things to it, or lower the price, because its more in demand!! idk sounds like you're so happy and excited :) hah lol yea but i dont think im going to buy the collectoin though..i have the greatest hit and that has everything on it exept blackout and ciruc..i have that from itunes..why do i need 2 copys of everything! lol hopefully they add unusual you, that song is to epic to waste
|
|
Nicolexo
Diamond Member
Joined: February 2008
Posts: 15,053
|
Post by Nicolexo on Oct 8, 2009 0:03:45 GMT -5
I hope britney will add another new single on her singles collection, a mid tempo will do. :( Yeah it sucks more that there is only 1 new song, considering 3 is doing so well, and 1 more song could have been released later.
|
|