Thanksgiving Week sales predictions

[Janhova's Witness]

A lot of big names this year but I don't see any crossing the 400,000 mark.

Rihanna - 350k
Lady GaGa - 300k

Susan Boyle - 200k
Adam Lambert - 150k
Shakira - 120k
Beyonce - 80k

plus there's the previous week's releases (these are predictions for their 2nd week)

Fall Out Boy - 50k
Kris Allen - 100k
Leona Lewis - 80k
Norah Jones - 200k
Janet - 75k
John Mayer - 100k
50 Cent - 100k
Justin Bieber - 80k
OneRepublic - 40k

And more holdovers

Bon Jovi - 50k
Britney - 50k
Taylor Swift - 80k
Michael Jackson - 80k

[nsfb17]

I don't think Carrie will do 400k that week, but I'm guessing she will be present in the top 5 (with around 200-250k).

[@Fifteen]

Shakira won't do 120,000. Maybe 20,000.

And Lady GaGa won't do 350,000. Everybody bought her album already.

[Janhova's Witness]

Nov 2, 2009 23:31:38 GMT -5 @Fifteen said:

Shakira won't do 120,000. Maybe 20,000.

And Lady GaGa won't do 350,000. Everybody bought her album already.

@ Shakira

With the eight new songs, I think people who haven't yet bought the album would pick it up. For fans who already have The Fame, depending on the pricing, it might be cheaper to buy the Fame Monster than spending 10 dollars for each new song on iTunes.

[@Fifteen]

Nov 3, 2009 0:52:44 GMT -5 Janhova's Witness said:

Nov 2, 2009 23:31:38 GMT -5 @Fifteen said:

Shakira won't do 120,000. Maybe 20,000.

And Lady GaGa won't do 350,000. Everybody bought her album already.

@ Shakira

With the eight new songs, I think people who haven't yet bought the album would pick it up. For fans who already have The Fame, depending on the pricing, it might be cheaper to buy the Fame Monster download the songs for free than spending 10 dollars for each new song on iTunes.

Fixed.

[Janhova's Witness]

Nov 3, 2009 2:41:50 GMT -5 @Fifteen said:

Nov 3, 2009 0:52:44 GMT -5 Janhova's Witness said:

@ Shakira

With the eight new songs, I think people who haven't yet bought the album would pick it up. For fans who already have The Fame, depending on the pricing, it might be cheaper to buy the Fame Monster download the songs for free than spending 10 dollars for each new song on iTunes.

.

[LC3]

I dont know, with Bey getting an ABC concert special thanksgiving night, the night before the black friday sales rush, Im expecting more from her. Also, with a rerelease that will include two new songs and the Gaga VP remix PLUS be cheaper than the previous versions, I think she'll certainly be more of a contender than you have her down for.

But, only time will tell.

[- ` Toxic™]

Adam will do 225K EASILY!!!!!!

[nsfb17]

Actually, I think Shakira may end up doing a bit more than 120k. I wouldn't be surprised to see her pull in 150-175k. Sure, 'She Wolf' wasn't exactly a smash hit, but she's still a big name and sales that week are bound to be huge all around.

[rellybois]

I seriously doubt Gaga will do 350k. I also highly doubt SuBo will pull in 250k. I also think Adam Lambert will have debut sales on par with expectations, and Kris Allen will have quite subpar sales.

[Janhova's Witness]

Nov 3, 2009 15:16:11 GMT -5 LC3 said:

I dont know, with Bey getting an ABC concert special thanksgiving night, the night before the black friday sales rush, Im expecting more from her. Also, with a rerelease that will include two new songs and the Gaga VP remix PLUS be cheaper than the previous versions, I think she'll certainly be more of a contender than you have her down for.

But, only time will tell.

I think this one is more of a case of "everyone has her album". hasn't she sold like 3 million in the US? With only 2 new songs I can see people buying them on iTunes instead. Although with the ABC promo I can see her doing 120-140 k.

And my GaGa prediction was probably too high. I would now say 275-300k. Sucks that she won't get a #1 with this album.

[barbush]

Taylor Swift couldn't sell over 150,000 with a re-release so I don't see why Lady Gaga would be able to do that. Beyonce won't do that, either. Only die-hard fans are going to re-buy an album just because it has some new songs on it.

[Janhova's Witness]

Nov 7, 2009 1:30:42 GMT -5 barbush said:

Taylor Swift couldn't sell over 150,000 with a re-release so I don't see why Lady Gaga would be able to do that. Beyonce won't do that, either. Only die-hard fans are going to re-buy an album just because it has some new songs on it.

This is Thanksgiving week. Last year the whole top ten sold over 100k each. The amount of traffic in the stores alone would push Gaga over 150.

[Love Plastic Love]

Uhm some of those estimates are crazy LOL. Gaga probably won't even do half of 350K. I am thinking around 100K.

[when the pawn...]

Rihanna - 300k
Susan Boyle - 275k
Lady Gaga - 125k
Adam Lambert - 125k
Shakira - 90k

[Hefty Hanna]

Hasn't Adam already sold a trillion on Amazon?

[Live Your Life]

Rihanna - 200-300k
Adam Lambert - 150k
Susan Boyle - 150-200k
Lady GaGa - 100-150k
Shakira - 125k

[@Fifteen]

Susan Boyle 1,039,405

She might beat Weezy.

[barbush]

This is Thanksgiving week. Last year the whole top ten sold over 100k each

Sales have gone down since then

[muziclvr1]

Rihanna - 250-300k.
Boyle - 175-200k.
Lambert - 150-160k.
Gaga - 125-150k.
Shakira - 95-105k.

I think Bey can do around, 100-125k considering she has the special and it's Black Friday.

[Air Jordin]

I'd be surprised if Shakira, Susan Boyle or Adam Lambert break 100k.

[Tanisha Thomas.]

Nov 11, 2009 22:15:56 GMT -5 Air Jordin said:

I'd be surprised if Shakira, Susan Boyle or Adam Lambert break 100k.

You're kidding right? They will break the 100k mark. Susan coming snatch all their wigs.

[Janhova's Witness]

I should have kept my 350k GaGa prediction.

www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/content_display/industry/e3ia7f0e1dcab31768446d16d058bd324b9
Likewise, Lady Gaga and her three-pronged sales attack on consumers’ purses is also much stronger than expected. Of the new “The
Fame Monster” deluxe edition, “The Fame” original version, and
“The Fame Monster” EP, also just issued, the former two combined could sell about 150,000 units while the EP is expected to top 200,000 units.


And of course I was way behind on SuBo, and overestimated Rihanna way too much.

[Rurry]

Can I just say at all the Susan Boyle predictions

[Wavey✨️]

^Yes. This woman is selling 600k+.

[Eloqueen™]

I think most were blindsided by Susan's success in America; how many of us honestly expected her to move 600-650k?