Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 2, 2009 22:14:15 GMT -5
Eligible to go recurrent THIS week (11/08):
Cobra Starship ft. Leighton Meester
Taylor Swift
Eligible to go recurrent NEXT week (11/15):
Drake
Kings Of Leon
Eligible to go recurrent in TWO weeks (11/22):
Nothing
Eligible to go recurrent in THREE weeks (11/29):
Boys Like Girls
Eligible to go recurrent in FOUR weeks (12/6):
Pitbull
Eligible to go recurrent in FIVE weeks (12/13):
Beyonce
Jay Sean
Justin Bieber
Eligible to go recurrent in SIX weeks (12/20):
Mariah Carey ("Obsessed")
Eligible to go recurrent in SEVEN weeks (12/27):
Michael Franti & Spearhead
Miley Cyrus
Eligible to go recurrent in EIGHT weeks (01/03/2010):
Jason Derulo
Eligible to go recurrent in NINE weeks (01/10/2010):
3OH!3 ft. Katy Perry
Flo Rida
Eligible to go recurrent in TEN weeks (01/17/2010):
Colbie Caillat
Jay-Z, Rihanna & Kanye
Kelly Clarkson
Lady GaGa ("Paparazzi")
Going recurrent when they fall below #20 (Weeks in Top 40):
Black Eyed Peas ("I Gotta Feeling") (22)
Cobra Starship ft. Leighton Meester (20)
Taylor Swift (20)
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 2, 2009 22:17:58 GMT -5
1. Lady GaGa - Paparazzi (10900)
2. Miley Cyrus - Party In The USA
3. Jay Sean - Down
4. Jason Derulo - Whatcha Say
5. Beyonce - Sweet Dreams
6. Britney Spears - 3
7. Kelly Clarkson - Already Gone
8. Owl City - Fireflies
9. Kings Of Leon - Use Somebody
10. Black Eyed Peas - Meet Me Halfway
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 2, 2009 22:21:39 GMT -5
Other predicts from the other thread (plus one PM)
Dan G.::
1. Paparazzi (11,083 Spins)
2. Down
3. Party In The U.S.A.
4. Whatcha Say
5. Sweet Dreams
6. 3
7. Already Gone
8. Fireflies
9. Use Somebody
10. You Belong With Me
Flashing Lights:
1) Lady GaGa - Paparazzi (10,950)
2) Jay Sean feat. Lil Wayne - Down
3) Miley Cyrus - Party In The USA
4) Jason DeRulo - Whatcha Say
5) Beyonce - Sweet Dreams
6) Britney Spears - 3
7) Kelly Clarkson - Already Gone
8) Owl City - Fireflies
9) Kings Of Leon - Use Somebody
10) Taylor Swift - You Belong With Me
Halfway.. On the Equinox:
1. Paparazzi (10900)
2. Down
3. Whatcha Say
4. Party in the USA
5. Sweet Dreams
6. 3
7. Already Gone
8. Use Somebody
9. Fireflies
10. Meet Me Halfway
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Post by when the pawn... on Nov 2, 2009 22:23:53 GMT -5
1 Paparazzi, Lady Gaga (10966)
2 Down, Jay Sean & Lil' Wayne
3 Whatcha Say, Jason Derulo
4 Sweet Dreams, Beyonce
5 Party in the USA, Miley Cyrus
6 3, Britney Spears
7 Already Gone, Kelly Clarkson
8 Fireflies, Owl City
9 Meet Me Halfway, Black Eyed Peas
10 Replay, Iyaz
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someguy
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Joined: October 2003
Posts: 16,027 
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Post by someguy on Nov 2, 2009 22:29:53 GMT -5
1. Paparazzi (10,777)
2. Party In The USA
3. Down
4. Whatcha Say
5. Sweet Dreams
6. 3
7. Already Gone
8. Fireflies
9. Meet Me Halfway
10. Use Somebody
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Au$tin
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Posts: 54,543
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Post by Au$tin on Nov 2, 2009 22:32:48 GMT -5
1. Lady GaGa - Paparazzi 11026
2. Jay Sean - Down 10187
3. Miley Cyrus - Party in the U.S.A. 10019
4. Jason DeRülo - Whatcha Say 9777
5. Beyoncé - Sweet Dreams 9463
6. Britney Spears - 3 6953
7. Kelly Clarkson - Already Gone 6657
8. Owl City - Fireflies 6212
9. Kings of Leon - Use Somebody 6212
10. The Black Eyed Peas - Meet Me Halfway 5997
The Black Eyed Peas will just barely make it into the top ten as Taylor slips to number 11 with only a few spin difference between it and "Halfway..." Another close call will be "Fireflies" and "Use Somebody," as you can see my spin predictions came out the same for both, but I think "Fireflies" will edge out "Use Somebody" either by AI or a very small spin lead. The rest was pretty easy. GaGa's spin numbers were a bit difficult. I didn't know if "Bad Romance" would hurt "Paparazzi" or not, so I didn't really know what to do there.
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madraybot
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Joined: May 2006
Posts: 313
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Post by madraybot on Nov 3, 2009 1:30:05 GMT -5
1 Paparazzi 10901
2 Down
3 Party In The USA
4 Whatcha Say
5 Sweet Dreams
6 3
7 Already Gone
8 Fireflies
9 Use Somebody
10 Meet Me Halfway
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Mega248
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Posts: 12,333
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Post by Mega248 on Nov 3, 2009 1:35:54 GMT -5
1. Paparazzi (10,888)
2. Party in the USA
3. Down
4. Watcha Say
5. Sweet Dreams
6. 3
7. Already Gone
8. Fireflies
9. Use Somebody
10. Meet Me Halfway
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Juanca
Diamond Member
Enjoying work, family/personal life with partner and doggies, and music. I couldn't ask for more :)
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 11,078
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Post by Juanca on Nov 3, 2009 3:37:00 GMT -5
1 1 LADY GAGA Paparazzi 11010
3 2 JAY SEAN Down f/Lil Wayne 9900
2 3 MILEY CYRUS Party In The USA 9800
4 4 JASON DERULO Whatcha Say 9600
5 5 BEYONCE Sweet Dreams 9500
9 6 BRITNEY SPEARS 3 6900
8 7 KELLY CLARKSON Already Gone 6700
11 8 OWL CITY Fireflies 6300
12 9 BLACK EYED PEAS Meet Me Halfway 6100
6 10 KINGS OF LEON Use Somebody 5800
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2009 4:37:53 GMT -5
am i late for this one?i dont know what time tuesday update for mediabase would be,so forgive me.
1. paparazzi(10880)
2. down(9850)
3. party in the usa(9800)
4. whatcha say(9650)
5. sweet dreams(9550)
6. 3(6980)
7. already gone(6600)
8. fireflies(6500)
9. use somebody(6100)
10. you belong with me(5950)
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Az Paynter
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Posts: 110,537
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 3, 2009 4:44:30 GMT -5
You're safe by a few hours. ;)
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erzo01
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Pronouns: He/him/his
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Post by erzo01 on Nov 3, 2009 8:40:42 GMT -5
Thanks Azriel for posting my entry. :)
OnT: Are we to expect another last-minute shakedown this week?
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beyoncelover
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Joined: November 2006
Posts: 4,408
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Post by beyoncelover on Nov 3, 2009 8:50:27 GMT -5
Darn, I totally forgot to make predictions last week. :( Oh well, gonna take a few risks this week anyway.
1 Paparazzi 11059
2 Down
3 Whatcha Say
4 Party In The USA
5 Sweet Dreams
6 3
7 Already Gone
8 Fireflies
9 Meet Me Halfway
10 Use Somebody
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Dan G.
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Post by Dan G. on Nov 3, 2009 11:27:33 GMT -5
Another close call will be "Fireflies" and "Use Somebody," as you can see my spin predictions came out the same for both, but I think "Fireflies" will edge out "Use Somebody" either by AI or a very small spin lead. The tiebreaker when two songs tie in spins is bullet, not AI. Obviously, that would place Fireflies ahead of Use Somebody, though the chance they end in an exact tie this week is very low anyway. |
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Au$tin
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Posts: 54,543
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Post by Au$tin on Nov 3, 2009 18:55:20 GMT -5
Another close call will be "Fireflies" and "Use Somebody," as you can see my spin predictions came out the same for both, but I think "Fireflies" will edge out "Use Somebody" either by AI or a very small spin lead. The tiebreaker when two songs tie in spins is bullet, not AI. Obviously, that would place Fireflies ahead of Use Somebody, though the chance they end in an exact tie this week is very low anyway. Oh, really? I thought it was AI for some reason.  Yes, my math came out with the same spin count for both, but I think Fireflies will definitely have a bit of a spin lead. |
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Dan G.
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Post by Dan G. on Nov 4, 2009 10:48:21 GMT -5
If the current trends from the building chart continued, Paparazzi would spend another week at #1, no songs would go recurrent, and there would be two top-40 debuts--Heaven Can Wait (#36) and Live Like We're Dying (#39)--and one top-40 re-entry--How You Love Me Now (#35).
Good Girls Go Bad is projected to edge out Evacuate The Dancefloor and Bad Romance for #20 and avoid going recurrent. I think it's somewhat more probable it gets passed by one or both of those songs and goes recurrent, though this most likely would not add another top-40 debut.
--DanG
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Az Paynter
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Posts: 110,537
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 7, 2009 9:32:35 GMT -5
Even with the panel change, Russian Roulette only had a +86. If she has an equally small increase tomorrow and Cobra Starship stays level spins-wise, they could hold onto top 20 for another week by a thread. I don't see Lady GaGa making up the almost 200 spins she'd need to edge them out in tomorrow's update.
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Az Paynter
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 9, 2009 1:00:39 GMT -5
MEDIABASE CHART PREDICTION CONTEST
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11/08/09 CHART RESULTS
1. Mr. Attention Seeker: -4
1. Dan G.: -4
1. Flashing Lights: -4
4. Au$tin: -5
4. Az (Hear No, See No, Speak No): -5
4. Halfway.. On the Equinox: -5
4. madraybot: -5
8. JuanK: -7
8. Mega248: -7
8. someguy: -7
11. beyoncelover: -8 (-3 for Tuesday Picks)
11. erfrank: -8
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2009 YEAR-TO-DATE STANDINGS (AFTER WEEK 45 OF 50)
1. Mega248: 8.0 Wins
2. erfrank: 7.5 Wins
3. Flashing Lights: 6.5 Wins
3. JCMF3: 6.5 Wins
5. beyoncelover: 6.0 Wins
5. JuanK – FanKson: 6.0 Wins
5. someguy: 6.0 Wins
8. Azriel D. (Light On The Circus): 4.5 Wins
8. madraybot: 4.5 Wins
10. blfdguy1: 3.5 Wins
11. Dan G.: 3.5 Wins
12. ryanhost: 3.0 Wins
12. Spavin Kidder: 3.0 Wins
14. E-R-Z-O: 2.5 Wins
14. onefrayedrepublic: 2.5 Wins
16. danol: 2.0 Wins
16. The Max Redecorates: 2.0 Wins
18. Acetic Acid: 1.0 Wins
18. HEAT: 1.0 Wins
18. tcatron565: 1.0 Wins
21. Amy’s Boyfriend: 0.5 Wins
21. jamrock16: 0.5 Wins
21. jink: 0.5 Wins
21. On the Wing$ of a Dream: 1.5 Wins
21. Purged With a Bullet: 0.5 Wins
21. reidlos20: 0.5 Wins
21. Stephen: 0.5 Wins
21. uion1715: 0.5 Wins
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2009 1:09:17 GMT -5
yay i win...congratulation to others too.
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Az Paynter
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Posts: 110,537
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Post by Az Paynter on Nov 9, 2009 1:11:31 GMT -5
Two Top-40 Debuts:
WE THE KINGS Heaven Can Wait (#37)
KRIS ALLEN Live Like We’re Dying (#38)
Three Top-50 Debuts:
TAYLOR SWIFT Fifteen (#41)
JAY SEAN Do You Remember (#47)
CHRIS BROWN I Can Transform Ya (#50)
Top Five Most-Increased Plays:
Lady GaGa – Bad Romance (+1142)
Britney Spears – 3 (+1074)
Owl City – Fireflies (+1021)
Iyaz – Replay (+916)
Rihanna – Russian Roulette (+857)
Top Five Most-Played Recurrents:
Cobra Starship – Good Girls Go Bad (ft. Leighton Meester) (3066)
Keri Hilson – Knock You Down (2519)
Jordin Sparks – Battlefield (2271)
Katy Perry – Waking Up In Vegas (2184)
Pitbull – I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho) (1986)
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Post by Flashing Lights on Nov 9, 2009 9:15:30 GMT -5
I can't believe I won (sort of) again.  |
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beyoncelover
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Joined: November 2006
Posts: 4,408
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Post by beyoncelover on Nov 9, 2009 10:21:48 GMT -5
Congrats to the people who won. Wow, this week was a tough one to predict. I should have been more gutsy, lol.
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