TOP 40 CHART: 12/06/09

[Az Paynter]

Sorry this is up late; I forgot to do it earlier.

Eligible to go recurrent THIS week (12/6):
Pitbull

Eligible to go recurrent NEXT week (12/13):
Beyonce
Jay Sean ("Down")
Justin Bieber ("One Time")

Eligible to go recurrent in TWO weeks (12/20):
Mariah Carey ("Obsessed")

Eligible to go recurrent in THREE weeks (12/27):
Miley Cyrus

Eligible to go recurrent in FOUR weeks (01/03/2010):
Jason Derulo

Eligible to go recurrent in FIVE weeks (01/10/2010):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in SIX weeks (01/17/2010):
Colbie Caillat
Jay-Z, Rihanna & Kanye
Kelly Clarkson
Lady GaGa ("Paparazzi")

Eligible to go recurrent in SEVEN weeks (01/24/2010):
Cascada

Eligible to go recurrent in EIGHT weeks (01/31/2010):
Nothing

Eligible to go recurrent in NINE weeks (02/07/2010):
Black Eyed Peas ("Meet Me Halfway")
Iyaz
Owl City
Pink

Eligible to go recurrent in TEN WEEKS (02/14/2010):
David Guetta ft. Akon


Going recurrent when they fall below #20 (Weeks in Top 40):
Black Eyed Peas ("I Gotta Feeling") (26)
Kings Of Leon (23)
Pitbull (20)
Taylor Swift (24)

[Az Paynter]

1. Jason Derulo - Whatcha Say (10100)
2. Britney Spears - 3
3. Owl City - Fireflies
4. Iyaz - Replay
5. Kelly Clarkson - Already Gone
6. Lady GaGa - Paparazzi
7. Kesha - TiK Toc
8. David Guetta ft. Akon - Sexy B!tch
9. Miley Cyrus - Party In The USA
10. Beyonce - Sweet Dreams

[Choco]

Let's try this time:

1- Jason DeRulo - Whatcha Say (10210)
2- Britney Spears - 3
3- Owl City - Fireflies
4- Iyaz - Replay
5- Kelly Clarkson - Already Gone
6- Lady GaGa - Paparazzi
7- Ke$ha - Tik Tok
8- David Guetta - Sexy Bitch (f/ Akon)
9- Miley Cyrus - PITUSA
10- Beyoncé - Sweet Dreams

11- ESOM, 12- MMHW, 13- BR

[Dan G.]

1. Whatcha Say (10,351 Spins)
2. 3
3. Fireflies
4. Replay
5. Already Gone
6. Paparazzi
7. TiK ToK
8. Party In The U.S.A.
9. Sexy Chick
10. Sweet Dreams


--DanG

[JCMF3]

1) Whatcha Say (10410)
2) 3
3) Fireflies
4) Replay
5) Already Gone
6) Paparazzi
7) Tik Tok
8) Sexy Chick
9) Party in the U.S.A.
10) Sweet Dreams

[someguy]

1. Whatcha Say (10,158)
2. 3
3. Fireflies
4. Replay
5. Already Gone
6. Paparazzi
7. Tik Tok
8. Sexy Chick
9. Empire State Of Mind
10. Bad Romance

[JCMF3]

I was asked to post this for Flashing Lights.

1) Whatcha Say (10300)
2) 3
3) Fireflies
4) Replay
5) Already Gone
6) Paparazzi
7) Tik Tok
8) Sexy Chick
9) Party in the U.S.A.
10) Sweet Dreams

[when the pawn...]

1 Whatcha Say, Jason Derulo (10405)
2 3, Britney Spears
3 Fireflies, Owl City
4 Replay, Iyaz
5 Already Gone, Kelly Clarkson
6 Paparazzi, Lady Gaga
7 Tik Toc, Ke$ha
8 Sexy Chick, David Guetta & Akon
9 Empire State of Mind, Jay-Z & Alicia Keys
10 Party in the U.S.A., Miley Cyrus

[beyoncelover]

1. Whatcha Say - 10429
2. 3
3. Fireflies
4. Replay
5. Already Gone
6. Paparazzi
7. Tik Tok
8. Sexy Chick
9. Sweet Dreams
10. Party In the USA

[Mega248]

1. Watcha Say (10,345)
2. 3
3. Fireflies
4. Replay
5. Already Gone
6. Paparazzi
7. Tik Tok
8. Sexy Chick
9. Party in the USA
10. Sweet Dreams

[Deleted]

1. whatcha say(10150)
2. 3(9800)
3. fireflies(8800)
4. Replay(8700)
5. already gone(8200)
6. paparazzi(7500)
7. tik tok(7200)
8. sexy chick(6900)
9. party in the usa(6500)
10. empire state of mind(6400)

[madraybot]

1 Whatcha Say 10245
2 3
3 Fireflies
4 Replay
5 Already Gone
6 Paparazzi
7 Tik Tok
8 Sexy Chick
9 Party In The USA
10 Sweet Dreams

[Juanca]

1 1 JASON DERULO Whatcha Say 10226
2 2 BRITNEY SPEARS 3 9700
3 3 OWL CITY Fireflies 8900
6 4 IYAZ Replay 8500
5 5 KELLY CLARKSON Already Gone 8150
4 6 LADY GAGA Paparazzi 7700
11 7 KESHA Tik Tok 6900
12 8 DAVID GUETTA Sexy Chick f/Akon 6800
8 9 BEYONCE Sweet Dreams 6700
7 10 MILEY CYRUS Party In The USA 6650

[Dan G.]

If the current trends from the building chart continued, Whatcha Say would spend another week at #1, one song (Hotel Room Service) would go recurrent, and there would be two top-40 debuts--Hot Mess (#38) and Telephone (#39)--and one top-40 re-entry--All The Right Moves (#40).

--DanG

[Dvorak]

It looks now like it will be Rain (Creed) and Telephone (Lady Gaga) will be the two top 40 debuts

[Dan G.]

Dec 5, 2009 13:33:58 GMT -5 Dvorak said:

It looks now like it will be Rain (Creed) and Telephone (Lady Gaga) will be the two top 40 debuts

Not necessarily... The battle for #38-41 will be extremely close. Based on the current trends from the building chart, Funhouse, All The Right Moves, Rain, and Hot Mess are all projected to end up within ten spins of each other (between 930 and 940 spins).

The only certainly is that Telephone will make its top-40 debut. Rain and Hot Mess both have a shot, but it will be very close...

--DanG

[Libra]

I suspect that two out of ATRM, Rain, and Hot Mess will get in. Pink lost a little over 60 spins on today's update, which is about what she's been doing all week. If she does that again, she'll be past the point of no return (and quite likely headed to eternity).

Hot Mess is the hardest to predict. It was doing fine until the station removal...Friday it had a small negative, but today it basically reversed that.
ATRM was -9 today...it's had small positives all week up until now.
Rain has had only positives all week...they were gradually building up till Friday, but I don't see them going negative for Sunday.

Hot Mess is (fittingly) what makes this so hard to predict. I suspect Funhouse will fall below all three, but it's uncertain whether Hot Mess will pass either of the other two. I do suspect Creed may pass OneRepublic, since the latter was negative today.

My best guess would be that Hot Mess will be the one that loses out, entry-wise. EDIT: My bad...I forgot to consider I Gotta Feeling going recurrent (which it will since it's now currently #22). If Funhouse falls below all three, then they'll all get in.

[Dan G.]

Dec 5, 2009 17:08:05 GMT -5 Libra said:

I suspect that two out of ATRM, Rain, and Hot Mess will get in. Pink lost a little over 60 spins on today's update, which is about what she's been doing all week. If she does that again, she'll be past the point of no return (and quite likely headed to eternity).

Funhouse could easily lose 60 spins but still spend another week in the top 40. All The Right Moves, Hot Mess, and Rain have barely been gaining at all (and in some cases losing) over the past few days.

It will be an interesting update tomorrow...

[Az Paynter]

MEDIABASE CHART PREDICTION CONTEST

----------

12/06/09 CHART RESULTS

1. JuanK: -4
1. beyoncelover: -4

3. .Choco: -6
3. Az (Hear No, See No, Speak No): -6
3. Dan G.: -6
3. Flashing Lights: -6
3. JCMF3: -6
3. madraybot: -6
3. Mega248: -6

10. erfrank: -8
10. Fireflies in Owl City: -8

12. someguy: -10

----------

2009 YEAR-TO-DATE STANDINGS (AFTER WEEK 49 OF 50)

1. Mega248: 8.0 Wins

2. erfrank: 7.5 Wins
2. JuanK – FanKson: 7.5 Wins

4. beyoncelover: 7.0 Wins

5. Flashing Lights: 6.5 Wins
5. JCMF3: 6.5 Wins
5. madraybot: 6.5 Wins
5. someguy: 6.5 Wins

9. Azriel D. (Light On The Circus): 5.5 Wins

10. blfdguy1: 3.5 Wins
10. Dan G.: 3.5 Wins
10. ryanhost: 3.5 Wins

13. Spavin Kidder: 3.0 Wins

14. E-R-Z-O: 2.5 Wins
14. onefrayedrepublic: 2.5 Wins
14. The Max Redecorates: 2.5 Wins

17. danol: 2.0 Wins

18. Acetic Acid: 1.0 Wins
18. HEAT: 1.0 Wins
18. tcatron565: 1.0 Wins

21. Amy’s Boyfriend: 0.5 Wins
21. jamrock16: 0.5 Wins
21. jink: 0.5 Wins
21. On the Wing$ of a Dream: 1.5 Wins
21. Purged With a Bullet: 0.5 Wins
21. reidlos20: 0.5 Wins
21. Stephen: 0.5 Wins
21. uion1715: 0.5 Wins

[Az Paynter]

Two Top-40 Debuts:
LADY GAGA Telephone (w/ Beyonce) (#37)
CREED Rain (#40)

Five Top-50 Debuts:
KINGS OF LEON Sex On Fire (#44)
PITBULL Shut It Down (w/ Akon) (#46)
SNOOP DOGG Gangsta Luv (w/ The Dream) (#47)
JOHN MAYER Heartbreak Warfare (#48)
ADAM LAMBERT Whataya Want From Me (#50)

Top Five Most-Increased Plays:
Kesha – TiK Toc (+844)
Rihanna – Hard (+796)
Taylor Swift – Fifteen (+756)
Jay Sean – Do You Remember (+732)
Lady GaGa – Bad Romance (+712)

Top Five Most-Played Recurrents:
Black Eyed Peas – I Gotta Feeling (3195)
Cobra Starship – Good Girls Go Bad (ft. Leighton Meester) (2416)
Boys Like Girls – Love Drunk (2181)
Keri Hilson – Knock You Down (1735)
Pitbull – I Know You Want Me (Calle Ocho) (1613)

[Dan G.]

So with one week to go, four people still have a shot to win the yearly title: Mega248, erfrank, JuanK – FanKson, and beyoncelover.

[Deleted]

so next year we start all over again?i cant wait...i want to be the winner.