HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,923
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 23, 2010 9:56:46 GMT -5
Top 20
(1m+ gainers in bold)
1. RIHANNA - What's My Name? f/Drake: 142.813 (+ 0.924)
2. KATY PERRY - Firework: 125.564 (+ 1.750) ▲
3. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 125.388 (+ 0.114) ▼
4. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 118.580 (+ 0.426)
5. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 106.557 (- 0.751)
6. KE$HA - We R Who We R: 95.745 (+ 0.975)
7. NELLY - Just A Dream: 92.700 (- 1.082)
8. BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 86.396 (+ 1.725)
9. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 76.422 (- 0.625)
10. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 70.477 (- 0.732)
11. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 65.713 (- 0.829)
12. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 65.612 (- 0.929)
13. NEON TREES - Animal: 59.934 (- 0.118)
14. WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands: 54.898 (+ 0.798) ▲
15. MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 54.847 (+ 0.391)
16. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 54.295 (- 0.698) ▼
17. CHRIS BROWN - Yeah 3x: 53.296 (+ 1.038) ▲
18. MARIAH CAREY - All I Want For Christmas Is...: 53.260 (+ 0.307) ▼
19. RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 52.084 (- 0.114)
20. BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 50.232 (+ 0.775) ▲
OTHERS:
NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 49.409 (- 0.121)
WIZ KHALIFA - Black & Yellow: 49.231 (+ 0.666)
EDWARD MAYA - Stereo Love: 48.963 (+ 0.452)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Tonight f/Ludacris: 47.329 (+ 0.693)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Back To December: 44.922 (+ 0.570)
REBA - Turn On The Radio: 44.901 (- 0.935)
ONEREPUBLIC - Secrets: 43.011 (+ 0.356)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Mama's Song: 41.562 (+ 0.028)
KENNY CHESNEY - Somewhere With You: 39.696 (+ 0.119)
PITBULL - Hey Baby (Drop It To The...: 38.720 (+ 0.839)
KEITH URBAN - Put You In A Song: 38.694 (+ 0.049)
FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Rocketeer f/Ryan Tedder: 31.648 (+ 0.869)
DAVID GUETTA - Memories f/Kid Cudi: 27.748 (- 0.195)
LLOYD - Lay It Down: 26.950 (- 0.119)
DIDDY-DIRTY MONEY - Coming Home: 25.839 (+ 0.369)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 24.495 (- 0.143)
PLAIN WHITE T'S - Rhythm Of Love: 23.205 (+ 0.400)
KERI HILSON - Pretty Girl Rock 22.503 (+ 0.273)
LINKIN PARK - Waiting For The End: 19.268 (+ 0.172)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 17.323 (+ 0.298)
NICKI MINAJ - Moment 4 Life f/Drake: 16.628 (+ 0.702)
TAIO CRUZ F/TRAVIE MCCOY - Higher: 14.392 (+ 0.373)
MICHAEL JACKSON - Hold My Hand (Duet With Akon): 13.500 (+ 0.636)
JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON - Don't You Wanna Stay: 12.996 (+ 0.335)
MAROON 5 - Give A Little More: 11.843 (- 0.143)
LIL WAYNE - 6 Foot 7 Foot f/Cory Gunz: 10.945 (+ 0.388)
MARIAH CAREY - Oh Santa: 9.907 (+ 0.162)
THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 9.618 (- 0.028)
DAVID GUETTA - Who's That Chick f/Rihanna: 7.939 (+ 0.067)
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colson
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Post by colson on Dec 23, 2010 10:37:40 GMT -5
I think Grenade is poised to make a big move at the beginning of the year. I'd say it'll hit #1 on the Hot 100 in a couple of weeks.
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Post by IsMimi#1yet? on Dec 23, 2010 11:14:45 GMT -5
Is Mimi #1 yet?
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leoapp
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Post by leoapp on Dec 23, 2010 11:34:30 GMT -5
Celebrate! She just scores her 2nd consecutive #1 00s  |
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NeRD
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RIHANNA NAVY
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Post by NeRD on Dec 23, 2010 11:42:45 GMT -5
Grenade may take the top spot this week if its Christmas weeks sales surge is large enough.
Then after, it just depends on how long Firework's airplay hangs on. If it remains steady it will more than likely go back to #1 after the new year.
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musicrocks
Gold Member
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Posts: 874
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Post by musicrocks on Dec 23, 2010 12:18:16 GMT -5
Top 20(1m+ gainers in bold) 1. RIHANNA - What's My Name? f/Drake: 142.813 (+ 0.924) 2. KATY PERRY - Firework: 125.564 (+ 1.750) ▲3. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 125.388 (+ 0.114) ▼ 4. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 118.580 (+ 0.426) 5. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 106.557 (- 0.751) 6. KE$HA - We R Who We R: 95.745 (+ 0.975) 7. NELLY - Just A Dream: 92.700 (- 1.082) 8. BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 86.396 (+ 1.725)9. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 76.422 (- 0.625) 10. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 70.477 (- 0.732) 11. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 65.713 (- 0.829) 12. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 65.612 (- 0.929) 13. NEON TREES - Animal: 59.934 (- 0.118) 14. WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands: 54.898 (+ 0.798) ▲ 15. MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 54.847 (+ 0.391) 16. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 54.295 (- 0.698) ▼ 17. CHRIS BROWN - Yeah 3x: 53.296 (+ 1.038) ▲ 18. MARIAH CAREY - All I Want For Christmas Is...: 53.260 (+ 0.307) ▼ 19. RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 52.084 (- 0.114) 20. BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 50.232 (+ 0.775) ▲ Chris Brown's Yeah 3x also gained 1 mil +. Grenade for the #1 spot!! |
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Post by ListenToItTwice on Dec 23, 2010 12:40:47 GMT -5
I think Grenade is poised to make a big move at the beginning of the year. I'd say it'll hit #1 on the Hot 100 in a couple of weeks. I think it has a somewhat okay chance of hitting #1 this week. The airplay difference is 40 (and staying steady), and last week the digital difference was 30 (and growing). |
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colson
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Post by colson on Dec 23, 2010 12:43:33 GMT -5
^Yeah, but once more stations start dropping JTWYA, Grenade could explode even more. It could eventually start getting increases similar to Firework in a few weeks.
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worldwide
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Post by worldwide on Dec 23, 2010 12:44:06 GMT -5
yep. On Hot AC and Christmas songs. Baddest chick in the game for 20 years and counting... |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 23, 2010 12:57:36 GMT -5
^Mainstream AC chart, not Hot AC.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Dec 23, 2010 13:55:55 GMT -5
I predict Grenade for #1 this week.
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Post by ListenToItTwice on Dec 23, 2010 14:06:39 GMT -5
^Yeah, but once more stations start dropping JTWYA, Grenade could explode even more. It could eventually start getting increases similar to Firework in a few weeks. Oh I completely agree. What I was saying was that while Grenade will certainly hit number one "eventually," its chances of getting there this week are higher than it would seem. |
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slw84
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Post by slw84 on Dec 23, 2010 16:27:36 GMT -5
Celebrate! She just scores her 2nd consecutive #1 00s Messiah snatches wigs...too much for me to handle. I can't  |
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Mike
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Post by Mike on Dec 23, 2010 20:59:44 GMT -5
I doubt Bruno will be #1 this week. He needs to sell nearly 40,000 downloads more than Katy and their pop bars are still really close together.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Dec 23, 2010 23:30:46 GMT -5
A reminder of last year's digital sales this week:
1 1 KE$HA TIK TOK 610069 175 221493 2048354
4 2 IYAZ REPLAY 446816 245 129464 2049093
2 3 LADY GAGA BAD ROMANCE 444911 162 169886 1793466
5 4 OWL CITY FIREFLIES 440038 285 114365 2488008
3 5 JAY-Z + ALICIA KEYS EMPIRE STATE OF MIND 361776 145 147699 2307007
6 6 SEAN*JAY FEAT. LIL WAYNE DOWN 337225 254 95383 2856546
9 7 DERULO*JASON WHATCHA SAY 321230 269 87123 2532743
14 8 CYRUS*MILEY PARTY IN THE U.S.A. 284516 362 61637 2981801
13 9 SEAN*JAY FEAT. SEAN PAUL & LIL DO YOU REMEMBER 253355 295 64074 604957
7 10 BLACK EYED PEAS MEET ME HALFWAY 242376 173 88717 1460634
Every song in the top ten gained at least 145%.
If Grenade and Firework each gained 145%, they would sell:
519,400 - Grenade
470,400 - Firework
A gap of 49,000, more than enough.
But, there's no guarantee gains will be that big. If they "only" gained 100% each, they'd sell:
424,000 - Grenade
384,000 - Firework
Which would be almost exactly the airplay difference.
When you consider that Grenade was gaining sales this week will Firework was losing sales, it also stands to reason that Grenade may have a bigger gain this week than Firework.
I think a lot of factors point to Grenade hitting #1.
But this is the biggest wildcard week of the year so there is plenty of room for all sorts of possibilities (including some other song climbing huge in sales over both of them unexpectedly). I'd give Grenade 60% odds to Firework's 40%.
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,923
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 24, 2010 9:51:16 GMT -5
Top 20
(1m+ gainers in bold)
Two days left of holiday airplay to go- will AIWFCIY flirt with 60m?
1. RIHANNA - What's My Name? f/Drake: 143.608 (+ 0.795)
2. KATY PERRY - Firework: 127.052 (+ 1.488)
3. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 124.897 (- 0.491)
4. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 119.087 (+ 0.507)
5. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 105.723 (- 0.834)
6. KE$HA - We R Who We R: 95.458 (- 0.287)
7. NELLY - Just A Dream: 92.123 (- 0.577)
8. BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 87.902 (+ 1.506)
9. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 76.225 (- 0.197)
10. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 69.688 (- 0.789)
11. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 65.922 (+ 0.209)
12. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 64.689 (- 0.923)
13. NEON TREES - Animal: 59.869 (- 0.065)
14. WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands: 56.082 (+ 1.184)
15. MARIAH CAREY - All I Want For Christmas Is...: 55.292 (+ 2.032) ▲
16. MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 55.120 (+ 0.273) ▼
17. CHRIS BROWN - Yeah 3x: 54.090 (+ 0.794)
18. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 53.898 (- 0.397) ▼
19. RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 52.029 (- 0.055)
20. BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 51.012 (+ 0.780)
Extras
WIZ KHALIFA - Black & Yellow: 49.646 (+ 0.415)
NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 49.298 (- 0.111)
EDWARD MAYA - Stereo Love: 49.056 (+ 0.093)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Tonight f/Ludacris: 47.485 (+ 0.156)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Back To December: 45.266 (+ 0.344)
REBA - Turn On The Radio: 44.057 (- 0.844)
ONEREPUBLIC - Secrets: 42.921 (- 0.090)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Mama's Song: 41.334 (- 0.228)
KENNY CHESNEY - Somewhere With You: 39.868 (+ 0.172)
PITBULL - Hey Baby (Drop It To The...: 39.323 (+ 0.603)
KEITH URBAN - Put You In A Song: 38.881 (+ 0.187)
FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Rocketeer f/Ryan Tedder: 32.287 (+ 0.639)
DAVID GUETTA - Memories f/Kid Cudi: 27.390 (- 0.358)
LLOYD - Lay It Down: 26.896 (- 0.054)
DIDDY-DIRTY MONEY - Coming Home: 26.496 (+ 0.657)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 24.738 (+ 0.243)
PLAIN WHITE T'S - Rhythm Of Love: 23.525 (+ 0.320)
KERI HILSON - Pretty Girl Rock 22.737 (+ 0.234)
LINKIN PARK - Waiting For The End: 19.407 (+ 0.139)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 17.508 (+ 0.185)
NICKI MINAJ - Moment 4 Life f/Drake: 17.015 (+ 0.387)
TAIO CRUZ F/TRAVIE MCCOY - Higher: 14.803 (+ 0.411)
MICHAEL JACKSON - Hold My Hand (Duet With Akon): 13.550 (+ 0.050)
JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON - Don't You Wanna Stay: 13.204 (+ 0.208)
MAROON 5 - Give A Little More: 12.052 (+ 0.209)
LIL WAYNE - 6 Foot 7 Foot f/Cory Gunz: 11.317 (+ 0.372)
MARIAH CAREY - Oh Santa: 10.020 (+ 0.113)
THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 9.725 (+ 0.107)
DAVID GUETTA - Who's That Chick f/Rihanna: 8.136 (+ 0.197)
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,923
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 24, 2010 9:55:46 GMT -5
Is that Train holiday Coca-Cola theme getting any airplay? It debuted on the 1/1 Bubbling Under chart, and currently No. 71 on iTunes.
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kjw518
Charting
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Posts: 326
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Post by kjw518 on Dec 24, 2010 10:24:44 GMT -5
With Christmas being on a Saturday this year, wouldn't the digital surge more than likely be smaller than it was last year?
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 24, 2010 10:26:10 GMT -5
There will be 1-2 days affected by gift cards and such, so possibly.
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Acid Eyes
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Post by Acid Eyes on Dec 24, 2010 13:08:41 GMT -5
Just downloaded 50+ songs, did my part contributing to the Xmas week explosion  (Not from gift cards, just bored of the 250 songs I was limited to the last 5 months) |
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Dec 25, 2010 9:07:00 GMT -5
I just read that Glee does return with new episodes until Feb. 6.
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,923
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 25, 2010 10:29:44 GMT -5
Top 20
(1m+ gainers in bold)
1. RIHANNA - What's My Name? f/Drake: 143.260 (- 0.348)
2. KATY PERRY - Firework: 127.745 (+ 0.693)
3. RIHANNA - Only Girl (In The World): 124.789 (- 0.108)
4. PINK - Raise Your Glass: 118.392 (- 0.695)
5. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 105.245 (- 0.478)
6. KE$HA - We R Who We R: 95.117 (- 0.341)
7. NELLY - Just A Dream: 91.734 (- 0.389)
8. BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 89.018 (+ 1.116)
9. USHER F/PITBULL - DJ Got Us Fallin’ In Love: 75.657 (- 0.568)
10. TREY SONGZ - Bottoms Up f/Nick Minaj: 69.006 (- 0..682)
11. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Like A G6 f/Cataracs & Dev: 65.533 (- 0.389)
12. TAIO CRUZ - Dynamite: 63.521 (- 1.168)
13. NEON TREES - Animal: 59.220 (- 0.649)
14. MARIAH CAREY - All I Want For Christmas Is...: 58.291 (+ 2.999) ▲
15. WAKA FLOCKA FLAME - No Hands: 56.617 (+ 0.535) ▼
16. MIKE POSNER - Please Don't Go: 55.242 (+ 0.122)
17. CHRIS BROWN - Yeah 3x: 55.089 (+ 0.999)
18. KATY PERRY - Teenage Dream: 52.847 (- 1.051)
19. RICK ROSS - Aston Martin Music f/Drake: 52.429 (+ 0.400)
20. BLACK EYED PEAS - The Time (The Dirty Bit): 51.090 (+ 0.078)
OTHERS:
WIZ KHALIFA - Black & Yellow: 50.338 (+ 0.692)
NICKI MINAJ - Right Thru Me: 49.201 (- 0.097)
EDWARD MAYA - Stereo Love: 48.845 (- 0.211)
ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Tonight f/Ludacris: 47.395 (- 0.090)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Back To December: 43.712 (- 1.554)
ONEREPUBLIC - Secrets: 42.531 (- 0.390)
PITBULL - Hey Baby (Drop It To The...: 39.914 (+ 0.591)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Mama's Song: 38.664 (- 2.670)
KENNY CHESNEY - Somewhere With You: 37.026 (- 2.842)
KEITH URBAN - Put You In A Song: 36.197 (- 2.684)
FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Rocketeer f/Ryan Tedder: 32.515 (+ 0.228)
DAVID GUETTA - Memories f/Kid Cudi: 27.141 (- 0.249)
LLOYD - Lay It Down: 26.835 (- 0.061)
DIDDY-DIRTY MONEY - Coming Home: 26.621 (+ 0.125)
PLAIN WHITE T'S - Rhythm Of Love: 23.341 (- 0.184)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 23.009 (- 1.729)
KERI HILSON - Pretty Girl Rock 22.702 (- 0.035)
LINKIN PARK - Waiting For The End: 19.441 (+ 0.034)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 17.529 (+ 0.021)
NICKI MINAJ - Moment 4 Life f/Drake: 17.414 (+ 0.399)
TAIO CRUZ F/TRAVIE MCCOY - Higher: 15.092 (+ 0.289)
MICHAEL JACKSON - Hold My Hand (Duet With Akon): 13.157 (- 0.393)
JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON - Don't You Wanna Stay: 12.402 (- 0.802)
MAROON 5 - Give A Little More: 12.060 (+ 0.008)
LIL WAYNE - 6 Foot 7 Foot f/Cory Gunz: 11.424 (+ 0.107)
MARIAH CAREY - Oh Santa: 10.696 (+ 0.676)
THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 9.695 (- 0.030)
DAVID GUETTA - Who's That Chick f/Rihanna: 7.988 (- 0.148)
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#LisaRinna
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#LiteralLegender
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Post by #LisaRinna on Dec 25, 2010 10:46:55 GMT -5
14. MARIAH CAREY - All I Want For Christmas Is...: 58.291 (+ 2.999) ▲MARIAH CAREY - Oh Santa: 10.696 (+ 0.676) All Hail The Queen! :'( |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 25, 2010 10:57:53 GMT -5
AIWFCIY performed as well as ever, but OS just limped this holiday season. Ah, well- when you have one holiday classic, can't expect too much for a newbie, especially if the act is 40+ when it's released. OS' audience would have been higher, too, if it garnered more play at its primary format, AC- but, the bulk of AC play goes to the older holiday tracks (they get played loads and loads of times at their peak).
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Dec 25, 2010 11:01:44 GMT -5
AIWFCIY performed as well as ever, but OS just limped this holiday season. Ah, well- when you have one holiday classic, can't expect too much for a newbie, especially if the act is 40+ when it's released. OS' audience would have been higher, too, if it garnered more play at its primary format, AC- but, the bulk of AC play goes to the older holiday tracks (they get played loads and loads of times at their peak). 4 weeks at #1 on the AC chart is not "limping" and it outpeaked all of her previous underperforming singles in terms of AI. |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Dec 25, 2010 11:03:03 GMT -5
I think AIWFCIY did a little better this year than the last one. I think Oh Santa also did decently, but I never had big expectations for that one considering most stations might prefer the classic instead of a new song.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 25, 2010 11:13:15 GMT -5
"Limping" in overall radio play; surely you knew that's what I meant. :) But even at AC, its airplay wasn't as high as the play for the most-played recurrent holiday tracks. It did as well as a new holiday track at AC could have done, though.
True, Choco- though I thought OS could, at the least, flirt with charting on Hot 100 Airplay (which would require 15m-20m, depending on the week).
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Dec 25, 2010 11:18:17 GMT -5
But even at AC, its airplay wasn't as high as the play for the most-played recurrent holiday tracks. It did as well as a new holiday track at AC could have done, though. So it's not because radio didn't want to play it, it's because of recurrents. It has been #1 at the format for a whole month. There's also nothing that suggests 'Oh Santa!' won't get any recurrent airplay next year, so we cannot judge its entire performance yet. The song served its purpose this year, exposing the album to the audience that buys Christmas music. It was successful for what it did. |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Dec 25, 2010 11:23:24 GMT -5
^I don't disagree that it served a purpose for the album. AC gives recurrent holiday tracks the highest airplay in weeks leading up to Christmas, but not other formats. Formats like pop don't spin holiday tracks at their highest levels until Christmas week, usually- but formats like pop probably didn't go gung-ho for OS for reasons discussed (Mimi's recent performance at the format, being 40+, etc.) A format like AC doesn't adhere to the ageism that other formats do.
As for recurrent play, OS probably can get close to where it's peaked this year in future years, possibly a little higher. But I doubt we'll see it get 20m+ at its peak.
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#LisaRinna
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Post by #LisaRinna on Dec 25, 2010 11:27:29 GMT -5
^ We'll see :)
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