Billboard Hot 100 4/2/11

[nighttime]

1. ENRIQUE IGLESIAS - Tonight f/Ludacris: 114.009 (- 1.347)
2. CEE LO GREEN - F**k You (Forget You): 113.061 (+ 0.088)
3. BRUNO MARS - Grenade: 109.875 (- 1.679)
4. LADY GAGA - Born This Way: 109.672 (+ 0.606)
5. PINK - F**kin' Perfect (Perfect): 106.253 (+ 0.381)
6. RIHANNA - S&M: 85.447 (+ 2.572) ▲
7. NICKI MINAJ - Moment 4 Life f/Drake: 84.864 (+ 0.596)
8. KATY PERRY - Firework: 83.858 (- 0.814) ▼
9. JEREMIH - Down On Me f/50 Cent: 82.040 (+ 1.098)
10. PITBULL - Hey Baby (Drop It To The...: 77.126 (- 0.289)

11. BRUNO MARS - Just The Way You Are: 64.490 (- 0.434)
12. USHER - More: 62.326 (- 0.124)
13. TAYLOR SWIFT - Back To December: 55.790 (- 1.962)
14. CHRIS BROWN - Yeah 3x: 54.739 (- 0.824) ▲
15. FAR EAST MOVEMENT - Rocketeer f/Ryan Tedder: 54.632 (- 1.564) ▼
16. JASON ALDEAN/KELLY CLARKSON - Don't You Wanna Stay: 53.904 (- 0.463) ▲
17. LIL WAYNE - 6 Foot 7 Foot f/Cory Gunz: 53.257 (- 0.667) ▲
18. DIDDY-DIRTY MONEY - Coming Home: 53.115 (- 0.034) ▲
19. CHRIS BROWN - Look At Me Now: 52.836 (+ 0.994) ▲
20. RIHANNA - What's My Name? f/Drake: 52.551 (- 1.846) ▼

BILLY CURRINGTON - Let Me Down Easy: 52.031 (+ 0.534)
PINK - Raise Your Glass: 51.268 (- 1.211)
KERI HILSON - Pretty Girl Rock: 51.154 (- 0.555)
THOMPSON SQUARE - Are You Gonna Kiss Me Or Not: 50.886 (+ 0.320)
KATY PERRY - E.T.: 50.053 (+ 1.425)
BRITNEY SPEARS - Hold It Against Me: 48.650 (- 2.264)
KE$HA - Blow: 45.521 (+ 0.596)
CHRISTINA PERRI - Jar Of Hearts: 43.236 (+ 0.078)
KANYE WEST - All Of The Lights: 41.150 (+ 0.659)
ZAC BROWN BAND - Colder Weather: 39.027 (0.485)
LADY ANTEBELLUM - Hello World: 38.741 (+ 0.340)
TRAIN - Marry Me: 36.985 (+ 0.452)
AVRIL LAVIGNE - What The Hell: 35.919 (+ 0.618)
TREY SONGZ - Love Faces: 35.486 (+ 0.139)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Heart Like Mine: 32.645 (+ 0.683)
THE SCRIPT - For The First Time: 31.608 (+ 0.070)
BLACK EYED PEAS - Just Can't Get Enough: 31.486 (+ 0.359)
SUGARLAND - Little Miss: 29.968 (+ 0.528)
BRITNEY SPEARS - Till The World Ends: 29.825 (+ 1.548)
KENNY CHESNEY - Live A Little: 29.214 (+ 1.017)
TINIE TEMPAH - Written In The Stars f/ETurner: 27.819 (+ 0.536)
NEW BOYZ - Back Seat f/Cataracs & Dev: 23.028 (+ 0.082)
KEITH URBAN - Without You: 22.925 (+ 0.428)
THE BAND PERRY - You Lie: 21.782 (+ 0.315)
JENNIFER LOPEZ f/ PITBULL - On The Floor: 20.345 (+ 1.005)
DR. DRE - I Need A Doctor f/ Eminem: 20.043 (+ 0.685)
ADELE - Rolling In The Deep: 18.257 (+ 0.312)
FOO FIGHTERS - Rope: 18.162 (+ 0.042)
JENNIFER HUDSON - Where You At: 17.677 (- 0.064)
JESSIE J - Price Tag f/B.O.B: 15.170 (+ 0.488)
BRUNO MARS - Lazy Song: 14.865 (+ 1.057)
MY CHEMICAL ROMANCE - Sing: 14.257 (- 0.396)
JAY SEAN - Hit The Lights f/Lil Wayne: 13.129 (+ 0.416)
KEYSHIA COLE - Take Me Away: 10.690 (+ 0.107)
MIKE POSNER F/LIL WAYNE - Bow Chicka Wow Wow: 8.988 (+ 0.035)
BLACK KEYS - Howlin' For You: 6.766 (+ 0.050)
NELLY - Gone f/Kelly Rowland: 6.617 (- 0.266)
TAYLOR SWIFT - Mean: 6.025 (+ 0.912)
COLBIE CAILLAT - I Do: 5.125 (+ 0.071)
STROKES - Under Cover Of Darkness: 3.960 (- 0.081)
PANIC AT THE DISCO - The Ballad Of Mona Lisa: 1.822 (+ 0.028)
SELENA GOMEZ & THE SCENE - Who Says: 0.272 (- 0.007)


iTunes Popularity Bars

Pos	Artist and Title	Popularity
1	Glee Cast - Loser Like Me (Glee Cast Version)	100.000
2	Glee Cast - Get It Right (Glee Cast Version)	78.811
3	Katy Perry - E.T. (feat. Kanye West)	56.373
4	Glee Cast - Raise Your Glass (Glee Cast Version)	51.963
5	Glee Cast - Blackbird (Glee Cast Version)	50.314
6	Rihanna - S&M	44.259
7	Glee Cast - Misery (Glee Cast Version)	40.147
8	Lady GaGa - Born This Way	39.862
9	Glee Cast - Hell to the No (Glee Cast Version)	39.019
10	Jennifer Lopez - On the Floor (feat. Pitbull)	36.138
11	The Black Eyed Peas - Just Can't Get Enough	30.360
12	Chris Brown - Look At Me Now (feat. Lil Wayne & Bu...	30.460
13	Ke$ha - Blow	28.253
14	Selena Gomez & The Scene - Who Says	27.071
15	Diddy - Dirty Money & Skylar Grey - Coming Home	24.673
16	Jeremih & 50 Cent - Down On Me (feat. 50 Cent)	23.851
17	Christina Perri - Jar of Hearts	23.855
18	Dr. Dre - I Need a Doctor (feat. Eminem & Skylar G...	23.628
19	Adele - Rolling In the Deep	23.582
20	Britney Spears - Till the World Ends	22.388
21	Glee Cast - Candles (Glee Cast Version)	21.867
22	P!nk - F**kin' Perfect	21.342
23	Avril Lavigne - What the Hell	19.925
24	Bruno Mars - Grenade	18.222
25	Cee Lo Green - Forget You	17.478
26	Katy Perry - Firework	17.259
27	Lupe Fiasco - The Show Goes On	16.978
28	Train - Marry Me	16.767
29	Kanye West - All of the Lights	16.346
30	Pitbull - Hey Baby (Drop It to the Floor) [feat. T...	16.342
31	Thompson Square - Are You Gonna Kiss Me or Not	14.912
32	Usher - More	14.887
33	Lil Wayne - 6 Foot 7 Foot (feat. Cory Gunz)	14.507
34	Jessie J - Price Tag (feat. B.o.B.)	14.122
35	Cee Lo Green - F**k You	13.535
36	Keri Hilson - Pretty Girl Rock	13.391
37	Nicki Minaj & Drake - Moment 4 Life	13.291
38	Glee Cast - Loser Like Me (Glee Cast Version)	12.903
39	P!nk - Raise Your Glass	12.614
40	Zac Brown Band - Colder Weather	12.531

[jink]

I like the iTunes pop bar table idea.

[badrobot]

Cee-Lo would be #11 with his combined on iTunes. And he looks likely to end the week at #1 in airplay.

I think we'll have a three-way fight for #1 between Cee-Lo, Gaga, and Katy. I wouldn't be surprised at any of them at the top.

Unless Glee defies all expectations and sells over 350k (extremely unlikely).

[musik...]

Wow, it looks like Rihanna is heading for a third 100M+ AI single from Loud.

btw, what's the highest charting Glee single on the Hot 100?

[Deleted]

Don't Stop beleiving was #4, Teenage Dream was #8 and Forget you was #11 (?)

[Deleted]

Mar 17, 2011 12:23:57 GMT -5 badrobot said:

Cee-Lo would be #11 with his combined on iTunes. And he looks likely to end the week at #1 in airplay.

I think we'll have a three-way fight for #1 between Cee-Lo, Gaga, and Katy. I wouldn't be surprised at any of them at the top.

Unless Glee defies all expectations and sells over 350k (extremely unlikely).

This week the #1 song had around 290 points, and Glees pop bars are x2.8 as big as S&M, which sold 170k last week. I don't think it's that unlikely unless its popbar plumets in the next few days.

[nighttime]

Glee has many times had popbars multiple times greater than non-event songs and then had them shrink by Friday. While it's definitely looking possible for, at the very least, a top 10 placement, talks of #1 is a bit premature imo

[Deleted]

Mar 17, 2011 13:11:16 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Glee has many times had popbars multiple times greater than non-event songs and then had them shrink by Friday. While it's definitely looking possible for, at the very least, a top 10 placement, talks of #1 is a bit premature imo

How big was the Teenage Dream pop bar?

[badrobot]

Mar 17, 2011 13:11:16 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Glee has many times had popbars multiple times greater than non-event songs and then had them shrink by Friday. While it's definitely looking possible for, at the very least, a top 10 placement, talks of #1 is a bit premature imo

^This.

[Black Jesus]

Mar 17, 2011 12:23:57 GMT -5 badrobot said:

Cee-Lo would be #11 with his combined on iTunes. And he looks likely to end the week at #1 in airplay.

I think we'll have a three-way fight for #1 between Cee-Lo, Gaga, and Katy. I wouldn't be surprised at any of them at the top.

Unless Glee defies all expectations and sells over 350k (extremely unlikely).

I think the chances for #1 are between GaGa and Perry, with Cee-Lo significantly below. I don't think his sales will be enough to overcome GaGa/Perry's even though his airplay is a bit better, which is slowing down significantly

[felipe]

I hope S&M doesn't make it to #1. It doesn't deserve to be the song with the most points...

[nighttime]

Not to turn this into the iTunes thread but as we can see Glee is following it's typical downward shift as we reach closer to Friday.

Pos	Artist and Title	Popularity
1	Glee Cast - Loser Like Me (Glee Cast Version)	100.000
2	Glee Cast - Get It Right (Glee Cast Version)	77.484
3	Katy Perry - E.T. (feat. Kanye West)	69.384
4	Rihanna - S&M	55.611
5	Glee Cast - Raise Your Glass (Glee Cast Version)	52.214
6	Lady GaGa - Born This Way	48.551
7	Glee Cast - Blackbird (Glee Cast Version)	49.949
8	Jennifer Lopez - On the Floor (feat. Pitbull)	44.777
9	The Black Eyed Peas - Just Can't Get Enough	37.900
10	Chris Brown - Look At Me Now (feat. Lil Wayne & Bu...	38.013
11	Glee Cast - Misery (Glee Cast Version)	39.706
12	Glee Cast - Hell to the No (Glee Cast Version)	38.859
13	Ke$ha - Blow	34.391
14	Selena Gomez & The Scene - Who Says	30.065
15	Jeremih & 50 Cent - Down On Me (feat. 50 Cent)	29.922
16	Diddy - Dirty Money & Skylar Grey - Coming Home	29.780
17	Britney Spears - Till the World Ends	28.912
18	Dr. Dre - I Need a Doctor (feat. Eminem & Skylar G...	28.933
19	Christina Perri - Jar of Hearts	28.708
20	Adele - Rolling In the Deep	28.872
21	P!nk - F**kin' Perfect	26.770
22	Avril Lavigne - What the Hell	24.077
23	Bruno Mars - Grenade	21.904
24	Cee Lo Green - Forget You	21.434
25	Katy Perry - Firework	20.679
26	Lupe Fiasco - The Show Goes On	19.822
27	Kanye West - All of the Lights	19.822
28	Pitbull - Hey Baby (Drop It to the Floor) [feat. T...	19.567
29	Glee Cast - Candles (Glee Cast Version)	21.179
30	Train - Marry Me	20.312
31	Thompson Square - Are You Gonna Kiss Me or Not	18.721
32	Usher - More	18.119
33	Lil Wayne - 6 Foot 7 Foot (feat. Cory Gunz)	18.017
34	Cee Lo Green - F**k You	16.956
35	Keri Hilson - Pretty Girl Rock	16.313
36	Jessie J - Price Tag (feat. B.o.B.)	16.762
37	Nicki Minaj & Drake - Moment 4 Life	16.425
38	Wiz Khalifa - Roll Up	15.242
39	Enrique Iglesias - Tonight (I'm Lovin' You) [feat....	15.354
40	Zac Brown Band - Colder Weather	15.619

[SPRΞΞ]

How is this precisely being calculated? I like it.

[nighttime]

It's a script that kworb created that pulls the data directly from iTunes. It's the same values that your iTunes reads and then displays in bar format.

[seanblain]

Mar 17, 2011 15:30:51 GMT -5 felipe said:

I hope S&M doesn't make it to #1. It doesn't deserve to be the song with the most points...

No song "deserves" to be #1 over another.

[Black Jesus]

Mar 17, 2011 15:30:51 GMT -5 felipe said:

I hope S&M doesn't make it to #1. It doesn't deserve to be the song with the most points...

Doesn't look like it's gonna happen. I certainly don't see it getting to #1 on the Hot Digital Songs chart and Urban isn't behind this song yet like they have been with her others, so her airplay won't be as high.

[Rodze]

Mar 17, 2011 16:13:08 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Not to turn this into the iTunes thread but as we can see Glee is following it's typical downward shift as we reach closer to Friday.

This conversation can easily be taken to the iTunes thread.

[nighttime]

Mar 17, 2011 18:08:31 GMT -5 Rodze said:

Mar 17, 2011 16:13:08 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Not to turn this into the iTunes thread but as we can see Glee is following it's typical downward shift as we reach closer to Friday.

This conversation can easily be taken to the iTunes thread.

I wasn't planning to continue updating this thread with iTunes positions however, I felt with the discussion regarding Glee's possibility of hitting #1 on the HOT 100, that the notable decline in it's popularity was relevant to the discussion at hand.

[Heartless Angel]

Mar 17, 2011 17:56:30 GMT -5 Black Jesus said:

Mar 17, 2011 15:30:51 GMT -5 felipe said:

I hope S&M doesn't make it to #1. It doesn't deserve to be the song with the most points...

Doesn't look like it's gonna happen. I certainly don't see it getting to #1 on the Hot Digital Songs chart and Urban isn't behind this song yet like they have been with her others, so her airplay won't be as high.

I think Rihanna has a very decent shot at getting #1. She's gaining on Katy's sales, and her airplay is much higher. Plus a lot of songs get #1 without Urban Airplay. Only Girl did, not to mention the other songs that are solely played on Pop/Rhythmic formats.

[Black Jesus]

Mar 17, 2011 18:28:23 GMT -5 Heartless Angel said:

Mar 17, 2011 17:56:30 GMT -5 Black Jesus said:

Doesn't look like it's gonna happen. I certainly don't see it getting to #1 on the Hot Digital Songs chart and Urban isn't behind this song yet like they have been with her others, so her airplay won't be as high.

I think Rihanna has a very decent shot at getting #1. She's gaining on Katy's sales, and her airplay is much higher. Plus a lot of songs get #1 without Urban Airplay. Only Girl did, not to mention the other songs that are solely played on Pop/Rhythmic formats.

I think she has a shot to chart high but I don't think she'll get #1. Her airplay is climbing but there is still a considerable gap between Katy and Rihanna on iTunes (livepopbars.com). Basically, Katy has more airplay/sales than her right now so she will definitely chart higher than her this/next week. What happens in the future is to remain unseen. Because S&M is selling so well right now, it's doubtful that it will be able to maintain it once the airplay builds past 110 million AI. We'll see what happens.

[Heartless Angel]

Mar 17, 2011 18:36:20 GMT -5 Black Jesus said:

Mar 17, 2011 18:28:23 GMT -5 Heartless Angel said:

I think Rihanna has a very decent shot at getting #1. She's gaining on Katy's sales, and her airplay is much higher. Plus a lot of songs get #1 without Urban Airplay. Only Girl did, not to mention the other songs that are solely played on Pop/Rhythmic formats.

I think she has a shot to chart high but I don't think she'll get #1. Her airplay is climbing but there is still a considerable gap between Katy and Rihanna on iTunes (livepopbars.com). Basically, Katy has more airplay/sales than her right now so she will definitely chart higher than her this/next week. What happens in the future is to remain unseen. Because S&M is selling so well right now, it's doubtful that it will be able to maintain it once the airplay builds past 110 million AI. We'll see what happens.

Oh yeah, I wasn't talking about this week. I meant coming weeks. I hope she can pull through.

[RockaByeBaby]

I really hope Katy gets this #1! :(

[d.t.m]

I keep feeling Rihanna's chances of hitting number 1 will rest on one or a few performances of S&M. If she does one on the last week of March she'll be in a better position than ever. It will be tough without it.

[Rodze]

Mar 17, 2011 18:18:52 GMT -5 nighttime said:

Mar 17, 2011 18:08:31 GMT -5 Rodze said:

This conversation can easily be taken to the iTunes thread.

I wasn't planning to continue updating this thread with iTunes positions however, I felt with the discussion regarding Glee's possibility of hitting #1 on the HOT 100, that the notable decline in it's popularity was relevant to the discussion at hand.

It was just the big table that annoyed me.

[Deleted]

Mar 17, 2011 20:05:25 GMT -5 RockaByeBaby said:

I really hope Katy gets this #1! :(

[musik...]

I think Gaga may stay one more week at number one, but Katy is very likely to reach the summit - if not next week - the following week. Remember, she's at number 3 (Kanye version) and 57 (album version) on iTunes and she has been receiving more spins on rhythmic and urban stations than her previous two number ones. Four number ones from one album is incredible. It'll be interesting to see if these chart successes become more common as album sales continue to fall.

[SPRΞΞ]

i don't think Gaga is in the running this week at all. It's between Katy and Rihanna, and it's gonna be really close. I think Gaga will fall to #3.

[badrobot]

Gaga's unclear factor is how the release of her remixes affects her.

So far she's just been relying on one version of the song, but now there's 3, plus any total sales of her remix EP that wouldn't show up in the iTunes countdown but will count toward the single.

[musicissalvation]

Mar 17, 2011 21:02:58 GMT -5 d.t.m said:

I keep feeling Rihanna's chances of hitting number 1 will rest on one or a few performances of S&M. If she does one on the last week of March she'll be in a better position than ever. It will be tough without it.

as people have mentioned in other threads, Def Jam will most likely see that opportunity to get S&M to number one once her airplay is higher and will book a couple performances and will put the song on a $.99 sale (a la Only Girl)...so i wouldn't count it out just yet

[Lockheart]

Mar 18, 2011 14:05:04 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

i don't think Gaga is in the running this week at all. It's between Katy and Rihanna, and it's gonna be really close. I think Gaga will fall to #3.

Really? GaGa has a considerable lead on airplay and iTunes position is almost the same with S&M basing on that table