Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 14, 2011 7:52:26 GMT -5
I'm gonna guess about 400K for Drake, 350K for Coldplay, and 197K for Kelly. Michael Buble won't debut high, but come the middle of November, he'll be pushing 50K a week, and only going up from there. What? He's the second biggest star of those four... He might outsell Drake in the long run and definitely debut better than Kelly C.
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Gravity.
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Post by Gravity. on Sept 14, 2011 9:23:20 GMT -5
Michael is second biggest star, yes, but it's a Christmas album being released in October. It won't debut as high as the other three, but it'll definitely outsell at least one of them. Michael will do better the weeks after his debut, I believe. I'm gonna guess about 400K for Drake, 350K for Coldplay, and 197K for Kelly. Isn't that kind of low for Coldplay? Their past two albums both debuted above 700k. I didn't want to guess too high. I want to say at least over 500K, but I don't know if "Every Teardrop is a Waterfall" and "Paradise" will push an album as high as "Viva la Vida" did.
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guyl44
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Post by guyl44 on Sept 14, 2011 10:05:35 GMT -5
I second that 350K guess for Coldplay. It might get higher, but I don't think they'll top 400K this time around. Kelly could go up to 270K if her single hits, since it's her average first-week, but chances are that it will be lower given the busy release week.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Sept 14, 2011 11:17:57 GMT -5
wouldn't it be funny if Kelly Clarkson came out the lowest debut out of all of them? I kind of already expect: 1) Drake 2) Coldplay 3/4) Kelly Clarkson/Michael Buble anyway...so not really Good point. Kelly Clarkson will sell well over time like Beyonce is currently doing.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 11:58:34 GMT -5
Body & Soul #52
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 12:01:12 GMT -5
If the Tony Bennett/Amy Winehouse single does reasonably well, this could be Tony Bennett's first top 40 song since 1965
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 12:08:16 GMT -5
Gap between top 40 hits is likely a record (should the single climb higher than 52)
Another record to watch out for is time between first and last top 40 hits
This was set earlier this year when Michael Jackson charted at #39 with 'Hold My Hand' (1972-2011)
Tony Bennett was at #30 on the 9/22/58 chart, So if Body & Soul climbs a bit more, 53 years between first and last top 40s would shatter the previous record
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 14, 2011 12:46:53 GMT -5
What about Otis Redding?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 12:52:50 GMT -5
Ok, regarding Michael Jackson, I probably got that wrong since I forgot about the jay z song.
Anyway, Tony Bennett could break all sorts of records if the song charts high enough
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 12:53:49 GMT -5
I would expect "Body and Soul" to at least chart which would be his first Hot 100 hit since 1967 (44 years!!) Billboard also lists his last Top 40 hit as "If I Ruled The World" (#34) in 1965, not 1958.
As far as Otis Redding, "Otis" is his first chart entry since 1969 (42 years!!) and first Top 40 since 1968.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 13:03:13 GMT -5
I said a few posts up that 1965 was his last top 40. When I was talking about 1958 I was referring to his first appearance on the Hot 100. He had many hits predate the Hot 100 as well
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 14, 2011 17:54:12 GMT -5
Born in August 1926, the record for oldest artist to chart will fall soon too
Oldest living artist to hit the hot 100: George Burns age 84 Oldest to hit the top 40: Moms Mabley age 75
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Sept 14, 2011 21:21:12 GMT -5
"Body and Soul" up to No. 27.
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Arabella21
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Post by Arabella21 on Sept 15, 2011 6:54:29 GMT -5
Live iTunes Popularity Bars | Last update: 2011-09-15 07:40:00 EDT
1 Maroon 5 - Moves Like Jagger (Studio Recording from "Th... 1.0000 2 ADELE - Someone Like You 0.9881 3 Foster the People - Pumped Up Kicks 0.8510 4 Coldplay - Paradise 0.7262 5 Gym Class Heroes - Stereo Hearts (feat. Adam Levine) 0.6656 6 Cobra Starship - You Make Me Feel...(feat. Sabi) 0.6119 7 Lady GaGa - Yoü and I 0.5732 8 LMFAO - Party Rock Anthem (feat. Lauren Bennett & GoonR... 0.5579 9 Rihanna - Cheers (Drink to That) 0.5525 10 David Guetta & Usher - Without You (feat. Usher) 0.5156
11 Dev - In the Dark 0.3328 12 Bad Meets Evil - Lighters (feat. Bruno Mars) 0.3152 13 OneRepublic - Good Life 0.3134 14 LMFAO - Sexy and I Know It 0.2998 15 Blake Shelton - God Gave Me You 0.2732 16 Lil Wayne - How to Love 0.2693 17 ADELE - Rolling in the Deep 0.2615 18 Nicki Minaj - Super Bass 0.2569 19 Hot Chelle Rae - Tonight Tonight 0.2551 20 Jason Derulo - It Girl 0.2540
21 The Band Perry - If I Die Young 0.2496 22 Kelly Clarkson - Mr. Know It All 0.2488 23 Lady Antebellum - Just a Kiss 0.2351 24 Tony Bennett & Amy Winehouse - Body and Soul 0.2334 25 Pitbull - Give Me Everything (feat. Ne-Yo, Afrojack & N... 0.2324 26 Drake - Headlines 0.2175 27 Brad Paisley - Remind Me (Duet with Carrie Underwood) 0.2090 28 Britney Spears - I Wanna Go 0.1989 29 Alexandra Stan - Mr. Saxobeat (Radio Edit) 0.1937 30 Lil Wayne - She Will (feat. Drake) 0.1906
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popstop
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Post by popstop on Sept 15, 2011 13:58:05 GMT -5
I would expect "Body and Soul" to at least chart which would be his first Hot 100 hit since 1967 (44 years!!) Billboard also lists his last Top 40 hit as "If I Ruled The World" (#34) in 1965, not 1958. As far as Otis Redding, "Otis" is his first chart entry since 1969 (42 years!!) and first Top 40 since 1968. Bennett's record would seem more legitimate to me since it's actually him on a new recording, not an old song being sampled, as is the case of "Otis." Looks like he and Amy are up to #19!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 15, 2011 19:42:04 GMT -5
Body & Soul has apparently peaked - so it may not chart that high - if it goes top 40 then
Oldest person to chart Longest span between 1st and last top 40 hits Longest gap between top 40 hits
all records that will fall next week.
If not, there is still oldest to chart on the Hot 100
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Sept 15, 2011 23:57:03 GMT -5
^Yah- it doesn't look like it will debut in the top 40 (or top 50), but a Hot 100 appearance should occur, at the least.
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Keelzit
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Post by Keelzit on Sept 16, 2011 12:15:19 GMT -5
Is Criminal charting yet?
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fridayteenage
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Post by fridayteenage on Sept 17, 2011 1:28:02 GMT -5
LMFAO or Dev could slide into the T10 if Coldplay falls faster. Both of those songs suck. And I actually like Party Rock Anthem, and Shots. And Like a G6.
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Post by singingsparrow on Sept 17, 2011 1:43:59 GMT -5
LMFAO or Dev could slide into the T10 if Coldplay falls faster. Both of those songs suck. And I actually like Party Rock Anthem, and Shots. And Like a G6. I actually like the production of "In The Dark". The thudding percussion and jazz house flavors make it stand out compared to most other Top 40 dance-leaning cuts at the moment. Dev's lyrics by no means worthy of annotating and consist of some lame pick-ups, but even there it's not that bad compared to what she trotted out on "Like A G6" or "Bass Down Low" (which I have to admit the latter is a guilty pleasure of mine when dancing in public). "Sexy And I Know It" is overall disposable, but the beat is without a doubt infectious. Incidentally, it'll probably be enough to elevate it to hit status, much like "Party Rock Anthem". Namaste, lisping HIBISCUS
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Post by Push The Button on Sept 17, 2011 19:38:25 GMT -5
The Lion King soundtrack has jumped to #73, thanks to a massive opening of the 3D re-release.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 17, 2011 19:53:05 GMT -5
Adele's song is making major gains in airplay but it's also losing ground in sales against MLJ.
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guyl44
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Post by guyl44 on Sept 18, 2011 5:31:36 GMT -5
^ Good, as long as that means more album sales for Adele, the single fulfilled its purpose (It already got to #1 on the Hot 100, so whatevs ).
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Sept 18, 2011 10:33:30 GMT -5
It's crazy to me how not that much airplay can bring a song near the top 10 on Itunes. I am speaking of LMFAO with their new single?? Also, Kelly Clarkson already down to #45? Hmm.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 18, 2011 10:39:25 GMT -5
Tonight, Tonight all the way back up to #12 on iTunes. I wish radio wasn't so quick to let go of it. Why can't it stay in high rotation forever like everything else. :'(
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Sept 18, 2011 13:45:02 GMT -5
A note about "Party Rock Anthem"- that car commercial featuring the track probably is helping keep sales going.
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Post by Push The Button on Sept 18, 2011 14:07:14 GMT -5
The Lion King is up to #57.
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Mark
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Post by Mark on Sept 18, 2011 14:09:32 GMT -5
"Without You" is in the top 10 now at #9. :)
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Post by megaphone1 on Sept 20, 2011 1:36:20 GMT -5
^Up to #7 now. I get a kick out of watching both MLJ and SLY race to keep the #1, when SLY starts to catch up there goes MLJ up lol.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Sept 20, 2011 3:10:26 GMT -5
Wow! Usher has another song taking off. WOW!
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