NORTHCOAST
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Post by NORTHCOAST on Sept 27, 2005 21:13:45 GMT -5
Curious to think what song you think will be the next #1 song on Hot AC. Lifehouse and Kelly Clarkson are both losing spins. Rob Thomas and Gwen Stefani are slowly ticking upward. Nickleback are coming on strong. What do you think?
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Sept 27, 2005 22:06:02 GMT -5
It'll most likely be Nickelback :( but Green Day may prevent them from being there for long :)
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No Brake$
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Post by No Brake$ on Sept 27, 2005 22:34:32 GMT -5
Nickelback, than Rob Thomas (Ever The Same), Green Day will hold at #2 and #3 until Christmas.
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Sept 27, 2005 22:49:00 GMT -5
Nickelback, than Rob Thomas (Ever The Same), Green Day will hold at #2 and #3 until Christmas. I somehow feel that Green Day's song has enough of a "cheese" factor to hit #1 on Hot AC... |
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Mega248
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Post by Mega248 on Sept 27, 2005 23:02:46 GMT -5
Rob Thomas will get it for a couple weeks, then Green Day. Green Day is currently on pace to jump over Nickelback before Nickelback will have a chance to grab #1.
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MusicMan88
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Post by MusicMan88 on Sept 28, 2005 0:36:21 GMT -5
In a perfect world, it would be Kate Bush's King Of The Mountain hehe.
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No Brake$
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Post by No Brake$ on Sept 28, 2005 8:47:37 GMT -5
Could we be forgetting Lifehouse-Blind? I don't think Santana\Branch have the power to even go Top 4, but you never know. However, their could always be a dark horse like Better Days....or something else. I don't think ANY of us would have thought Give A Little Bit would do what it did, then again, I thought it sounded like a Christmas Song...I swear Annie Lennox sang it as one once or something.
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MinusName
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Post by MinusName on Sept 28, 2005 14:05:17 GMT -5
Looks like Rob Thomas may get a few weeks, then it's a toss up between Nickelback and Green Day, I think Nickelback will have the longer staying power though. I think the Green Day hype will die down in a few months as their album comes to an end (on Hot AC probably anyway). Looking towards January-February (who know's how long it could be with Hot AC) best chances are "Because of You," I think "Better Days" will go top 5, but not #1.
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agon666
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Post by agon666 on Sept 28, 2005 16:44:07 GMT -5
Not for a little bit here, but I think CS will eventually go #1 w/ "How Do You Love?" It just need more stations to jump on it... it's already +200, and that doesn't happen for nothing on HAC.
Also, if Trapt releases "Waiting" this winter, I think that's a smash waiting (no pun intended) to happen. A good dark horse bet.
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Sept 28, 2005 16:52:24 GMT -5
Another thing to keep in mind is Alanis is a darkhorse contender with "Crazy." I know you're all thinking "Alanis, in 2006, no way!" But keep this in mind: the holiday season of the past two years has a remake by a semi-written off act top the charts. No one thought Goo Goo Dolls would go to #1 with "Give A Little Bit," but they did. The previous year it was Sheryl Crow with "The First Cut Is The Deepest." So that's why I won't completely rule out Alanis with this particular song. Granted it wouldn't be the next #1, but come late December/January she just might sneak in there.
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jdcfan
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Post by jdcfan on Sept 28, 2005 17:34:05 GMT -5
Rob Thomas then Green Day
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Sept 28, 2005 21:19:34 GMT -5
Another thing to keep in mind is Alanis is a darkhorse contender with "Crazy." I know you're all thinking "Alanis, in 2006, no way!" But keep this in mind: the holiday season of the past two years has a remake by a semi-written off act top the charts. No one thought Goo Goo Dolls would go to #1 with "Give A Little Bit," but they did. The previous year it was Sheryl Crow with "The First Cut Is The Deepest." So that's why I won't completely rule out Alanis with this particular song. Granted it wouldn't be the next #1, but come late December/January she just might sneak in there. The First Cut Is The Deepest did not hit #1 on HAC. In the winter of 2003-2004, Santana's Why Don't You & I and 3 Doors Down's Here Without You were atop the chart... |
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Sept 28, 2005 21:20:31 GMT -5
Didn't it on Billboard's Adult Top 40 chart though?
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Sept 28, 2005 21:24:52 GMT -5
Didn't it on Billboard's Adult Top 40 chart though? No clue, but since we were talking about the HAC chart, I assumed you meant that chart... |
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Sept 28, 2005 21:27:14 GMT -5
Didn't it on Billboard's Adult Top 40 chart though? No clue, but since you're talking about the HAC chart in the subject of this topic, I was just pointing out that it was not a #1 song. Well regardless, Sheryl was definitely within striking distance, which brings us back to my point... Alanis could be too, with this year's token remake. |
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JCMF3
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Post by JCMF3 on Sept 28, 2005 21:31:05 GMT -5
No clue, but since you're talking about the HAC chart in the subject of this topic, I was just pointing out that it was not a #1 song. Well regardless, Sheryl was definitely within striking distance, which brings us back to my point... Alanis could be too, with this year's token remake. Does anyone remember where Sheryl peaked on the HAC chart? I know she peaked at #2 on AC, but on HAC, I can't remember... |
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Matt4319
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Post by Matt4319 on Sept 28, 2005 21:32:48 GMT -5
No clue, but since you're talking about the HAC chart in the subject of this topic, I was just pointing out that it was not a #1 song. Well regardless, Sheryl was definitely within striking distance, which brings us back to my point... Alanis could be too, with this year's token remake. "Crazy"... remake... is she covering Seal? |
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allow that
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Post by allow that on Sept 28, 2005 21:35:03 GMT -5
Yeah, she is covering Seal.
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Matt4319
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Post by Matt4319 on Sept 28, 2005 21:35:49 GMT -5
But keep this in mind: the holiday season of the past two years has a remake by a semi-written off act top the charts. I think Alanis has been more written-off at this point than the Goo Goo Dolls or Sheryl were last year and 2 years ago. (Sorry, I meant to modify onto my other post.) |
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No Brake$
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Post by No Brake$ on Sept 28, 2005 22:53:16 GMT -5
I'm pretty sure First Cut went to #3, and at one point was #2 but didn't make it by the update.
As far as Alanis, yeah, I don't know, it's a real hit or miss, it really depends on her marketing.
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agon666
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Post by agon666 on Sept 29, 2005 7:51:43 GMT -5
First cut peaked at #2.
Alanis... gee, it'd be great to see her do it, but she is definatly worse off then Sheryl or GGD ever were.
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Topay
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Post by Topay on Sept 29, 2005 8:48:08 GMT -5
Yes, "First Cut" peaked at #1 on Billboard ("Adult Top 40" and "Hot AC" are the same thing), as did Nickelback's "Someday". Each song spent 1 week at #1 in the following order:
Here Without You [final week]
First Cut Is The Deepest
Someday
My Immortal
And "First Cut" also peaked at #1 on Billboard's AC chart.
Back to the topic, I have a feeling Rob will jump Nickelback and Santana/Branch at the last possible moment, making it ultra-tough for either of those to wait out Rob.
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No Brake$
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Post by No Brake$ on Sept 29, 2005 9:03:29 GMT -5
Yes, "First Cut" peaked at #1 on Billboard ("Adult Top 40" and "Hot AC" are the same thing), as did Nickelback's "Someday". Each song spent 1 week at #1 in the following order: Here Without You [final week] First Cut Is The Deepest
SomedayMy Immortal And "First Cut" also peaked at #1 on Billboard's AC chart. Back to the topic, I have a feeling Rob will jump Nickelback and Santana/Branch at the last possible moment, making it ultra-tough for either of those to wait out Rob. Do you mean Ever The Same, or This Is How A Heart Breaks, I think This Is How A Heart Breaks is about done, and by mid-October, Ever The Same will easily have an adds date, probably slated for the first week of November. The video is shot and thier has yet to be a rock-ballad for this coming late fall\early winter. |
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jmason
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Post by jmason on Sept 29, 2005 12:25:27 GMT -5
The First Cut Is The Deepest peaked at #2, though I was hoping for #1.
"Cool" could take one week, but it's looking like it won't, so I'll say Green Day.
To bad Sheryl's new song is going no where!!!!!
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Topay
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Post by Topay on Sept 29, 2005 14:36:48 GMT -5
Yes, "First Cut" peaked at #1 on Billboard ("Adult Top 40" and "Hot AC" are the same thing), as did Nickelback's "Someday". Each song spent 1 week at #1 in the following order: Here Without You [final week] First Cut Is The Deepest
SomedayMy Immortal And "First Cut" also peaked at #1 on Billboard's AC chart. Back to the topic, I have a feeling Rob will jump Nickelback and Santana/Branch at the last possible moment, making it ultra-tough for either of those to wait out Rob. Do you mean Ever The Same, or This Is How A Heart Breaks, I think This Is How A Heart Breaks is about done, and by mid-October, Ever The Same will easily have an adds date, probably slated for the first week of November. The video is shot and thier has yet to be a rock-ballad for this coming late fall\early winter. Oops...that's what I get for not specifying. I meant "Ever The Same" will be #1 for a while, but I can't see that being the next #1. I'd have to go with Green Day on that one. |
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MinusName
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Post by MinusName on Sept 29, 2005 14:57:59 GMT -5
Now it looks like it will definitely be Green Day (+588) - almost sounds like a record high bullet on Hot AC, how common is a song to have a bullet that high?
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