Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Jul 17, 2013 17:31:53 GMT -5
Gaga isn't not debuting at #1 due to "Blurred Lines" chart denomination. Granted it won't be as huge in 4 weeks but its likely to reach near 200 mil AI within a couple weeks and she'd have to compete with that more than anything else. Plus since BL is still selling near 400k a week it probably won't decline much lower than 200k by the time her single drops making it even HARDER. I'd say if the single is HOT and it creates a lot of buzz than I'd say she'll easily land in the top 5 which is nothing to scoff at.
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phile
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Post by phile on Jul 17, 2013 18:30:59 GMT -5
The best shot at a #1 debut is probably debuting the song and video simultaneously on a Wednesday (or Tuesday at midnight even). I think if Gaga pursues that route she could debut at #1. Really I think the key is having the video released the same day, now that YouTube plays such a major role, and considering how huge videos have been for her in the past. She definitely has lost a lot of buzz so it could fizzle fast but I think opening week, if all channels are aligned, she could debut at #1. But that would mean releasing the song on iTunes on that same Wednesday to maximize the number of days (Wednesday to Sunday) for the sales tracking week, right?
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leoapp
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Post by leoapp on Jul 17, 2013 18:35:13 GMT -5
Gaga will debut already on low Hot 100 with only 1 or 2 days of airplay, and the then the following week, it may zoom to #1 after full week airplay, sales and streaming points. Hopefully it debuts between #98-#100 Hot 100, so if it jumps to #1, it will break the record for the biggest jump to #1
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jul 17, 2013 21:36:19 GMT -5
Week Ending July 14, 2013. Songs: By Paul Grein | Chart Watch Wed. July 17, 2013
Remember when Justin Timberlake was M.I.A. as a recording artist, far more interested in breaking into film and doing guest shots on SNL? He’s back. Timberlake has two songs in the top 10 and a third further down the chart.
As noted above, “Holy Grail,” on which he is featured, debuts at #8. Timberlake’s own “Mirrors” drops from #7 to #9. This is the 14th week in the top 10 for the latter song, which ties Timberlake’s 2006 hit “My Love” (featuring T.I.) as his longest-running top 10 hit to date.
Timberlake also has the week’s third highest new entry with “Take Back the Night” at #47. This is the first single from Timberlake’s fourth solo album, The 20/20 Experience: 2 of 2, which is due Sept. 30. (That album and the first The 20/20 Experience will also be bundled as one package, The 20/20 Experience: The Complete Experience, which will be released the same day.)
“Blurred Lines” by Robin Thicke featuring T.I. and Pharrell tops the Hot 100 for the sixth week. That puts it in a tie with “Thrift Shop” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Wanz for the longest run at #1 so far this year. Bruno Mars’ “Locked Out Of Heaven” also spent six weeks on top, but its run was divided between 2012 and 2013. (Two of these three songs are strongly evocative of hits by earlier performers. “Blurred Lines” echoes Marvin Gaye’s “Got To Give It Up (Pt. I). It also borrows from Michael Jackson. “Locked Out Of Heaven” is so reminiscent of reggae-tinged songs by The Police that Sting joined Mars to perform the song on the Grammys in February.)
“Blurred Lines” sold 384K copies this week. It just missed becoming the first song in digital history to top 400K in weekly sales four times. (It remains tied with “Somebody That I Used To Know” by Gotye featuring Kimbra, which topped 400K in weekly sales three times last year.) “Blurred Lines” becomes the eighth song to top the 3 million mark in 2013.
“Blurred Lines” received 179 million all-format radio “audience impressions,” according to Nielsen BDS. That’s the greatest one-week total since Alicia Keys’ “No One” rated 192 million audience impressions in December 2007. “Blurred Lines” is also #1 on Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs for the sixth week.
“Blurred Lines” also returns to #1 on The Official U.K. Singles chart. This is its fifth week on top, which makes it the longest-running #1 of the year in the U.K. It surpasses Daft Punk’s “Get Lucky” (which also features Pharrell Williams), which logged four weeks on top. “Blurred Lines” is the first single to spend five or more weeks at #1 in both the U.S. and the U.K. since “Somebody That I Used To Know.”
Daft Punk’s “Get Lucky” logs its fifth week at #2. This means that Pharrell Williams is featured on the top two songs on the Hot 100 for the fifth straight week. Williams is one of only six artists in the rock era to hold down the top two spots for five or more weeks. He follows The Beatles (10 weeks in 1964), Bee Gees (five weeks in 1978), Ashanti (five weeks in 2002), OutKast (eight weeks in 2003-2004) and T.I. (six non-consecutive weeks in 2008).
While “Get Lucky” probably won’t reach #1, the members of Daft Punk have hit the top spot before. They had a co-writer credit on Kanye West’s “Stronger,” which sampled their 2001 song “Harder, Better, Faster, Stronger.”
“Get Lucky” is #1 on Dance/Electronic Songs for a ninth week, passing “Harlem Shake” for the longest reign since the chart bowed in January.
Miley Cyrus’ “We Can’t Stop” holds at #3 for the third week. The song tops the 1 million mark in digital sales this week.
Imagine Dragons’ “Radioactive” holds at #4 for the third week. It’s #1 on Rock Songs for the 17th week. The song tops the 4 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s the 17th rock song (as defined by Nielsen SoundScan) to top the 4 million mark. But we need to dig into this. Nielsen SoundScan classifies some songs as rock that many, if not most, people would call pop. For example, the top five songs on their list of the best-selling rock songs were all classified as pop in the Grammy process: “Somebody That I Used To Know” by Gotye featuring Kimbra, “We Are Young” by fun. featuring Janelle Monae, Jason Mraz’s “I’m Yours,” Train’s “Hey, Soul Sister” and Coldplay’s “Viva La Vida.” While it’s always hard categorize music, I think the Grammys made the right calls on all these songs.
Adhering to Grammy classifications (and improvising in the cases of Journey and Nickelback), “Radioactive” is the fourth best-selling rock song in digital history, following Journey’s “Don’t Stop Believin’” (5,777,000), The Fray’s “How To Save A Life” (4,363,000) and Nickelback’s “Rock Star” (4,229,000). It has pulled ahead of Kings Of Leon’s “Use Somebody” (4,068,000).
“Cruise” by Florida Georgia Line featuring Nelly dips from #5 to #6. The song tops the 5 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s only the third country song to reach that plateau, following Lady Antebellum’s “Need You Now” (6,177,000) and Taylor Swift’s “Love Story” (5,594,000).
“Cruise” is #1 on Hot Country Songs for the 20th week. It’s the first song to spend 20 weeks at #1 on this chart since Ray Price’s “Crazy Arms” in 1956. “Cruise” is the longest-running #1 by a group or duo ever.
Bruno Mars’ “Treasure” jumps from #8 to #7. The song tops the 1 million mark in digital sales.
Anna Kendrick’s “Cups (When It’s Gone From Pitch Perfect)” holds at #10 for the second week. The single runs just 2:07. That’s short, but it’s not the shortest top 10 hit of the “rock era.” That distinction is held by Hayley Mills’ “Let’s Get Together,” which she sang in movie The Parent Trap. The song, which reached #8 in October 1961, ran just 1:28.
The next three shortest running times on top 10 hits are Annette’s “Tall Paul” (1:34; #7 in 1959), The Dave Clark Five’s “I Like It Like That” (1:38, #7 in 1965) and Fess Parker’s “Ballad Of Davy Crockett” (1:39, #5 in 1955).
Here's the low-down on this week's top 10 songs.
The Top Five: “Blurred Lines” by Robin Thicke featuring T.I. and Pharrell holds at #1 for the sixth week in its 13th week on the chart. This is its seventh week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #1 (384K)…“Get Lucky” by Daft Punk featuring Pharrell Williams holds at #2 for the fifth week in its 13th week on the chart. This is its ninth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #6 (157K)… Miley Cyrus’ “We Can’t Stop” holds at #3 for the third week in its sixth week on the chart. This is its fourth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #2 (216K)…Imagine Dragons’ “Radioactive” holds at #4 for the third week in its 46th week on the chart. This is its 13th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #4 (179K)…“Can’t Hold Us” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Ray Dalton rebounds from #6 to #5 in its 23rd week on the chart. This is its 15th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #10 (113K).
The Second Five: “Cruise” by Florida Georgia Line featuring Nelly dips from #5 to #6 in its 41st week on the chart. This is its 12th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #5 (158K)… Bruno Mars’ “Treasure” jumps from #8 to #7 in its ninth week on the chart. This is its fourth week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #7 (131K)…“Holy Grail” by Jay-Z featuring Justin Timberlake debuts at #8. It’s Jay-Z’s 20th top 10 hit; Timberlake’s 14th (since leaving *NYNC). Digital sales rank: #3 (196K)…Justin Timberlake’s “Mirrors” drops from #7 to #9 in its 22nd week on the chart. This is its 14th week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #16 (72K)… Anna Kendrick’s “Cups (Pitch Perfect’s When I’m Gone)” holds at #10 for the second week in its 29th week on the chart. This is its second week in the top 10. Digital sales rank: #8 (121K).
Selena Gomez’s “Come & Get It” drops from #9 to #12, ending a nine-week run in the top 10.
“Same Love” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Mary Lambert jumps from #14 to #11 in its 18th week. It’s vying to become the third top 10 hit for Macklemore & Ryan Lewis; the first for Lambert. Digital sales rank: #9 (118K)…“I Need Your Love” by Calvin Harris featuring Ellie Goulding jumps from #20 to #17 in its 13th week…Capital Cities’ “Safe And Sound” jumps from #31 to #19 in its 11th week.
Jason Derulo lands his sixth top 20 hit as “The Other Side” inches up from #21 to #20 in its 13th week. This surpasses Derulo’s girlfriend Jordin Sparks, who has had five top 20 hits.
Ciara’s “Body Party” jumps from #25 to #22 in its 12th week. It’s from her Ciara album, which enters The Billboard 200 at #2 this week. A second single from the album, “I’m Out” (featuring Nicki Minaj) jumps from #50 to #44 in its second week….Florida Georgia Line’s “Round Here” jumps from #54 to #40 in its fifth week… “Crazy Kids” by Ke$ha featuring will.i.a.m or Juicy J jumps from #49 to #41 in its seventh week.
“Right Now” by Rihanna featuring David Guetta jumps from #63 to #52 in its fourth week… “Ooh La La” by Britney Spears featuring G.R.L. vaults from #94 to #54 in its fourth week…J. Dash’s “Wop” jumps from #87 to #55 in its sixth week…Avicii’s “Wake Me Up!” jumps from #68 to #59 in its third week…OneRepublic’s “Counting Stars” jumps from #80 to #71 in its fourth week. The song has climbed as high as #32.
Lana Del Rey’s “Summertime Sadness” debuts at #72. It’s the week’s highest new entry that isn’t by Jay-Z and/or Justin Timberlake. The timely track is from Born To Die, which has sold 681K copies since its release in January 2012. Del Rey is also moving up with “Young And Beautiful” from The Great Gatsby soundtrack. That song jumps from #93 to #89 in its 12th week. The song has climbed as high as #22…Lorde’s “Royals” jumps from #90 to #74 in its second week.
Sara Bareilles’ “Brave” jumps from #91 to #82 in its fifth week. It’s from her Blessed Unrest album, which will enter The Billboard 200 next week at #2 or #3…The Finatticz’s “Don’t Drop That Thun Thun!” debuts at #88. The act is signed to Knockout Entertainment, along with Ray J and Willie Norwood, among others…Jason Aldean’s “Night Train” re-enters the chart at #90…Karmin’s “Acapella” debuts at #98. It’s from the duo’s first studio album, Pulses, which is due this fall. The pair’s “Brokenhearted” reached #16 on the Hot 100.
“Hall Of Fame” by The Script featuring will.i.am tops the 2 million mark in digital sales this week. It’s The Script’s second song to reach this plateau. “Breakeven” is up to 2,709,000.
The Lumineers’ “Ho Hey” becomes the 15th song to top the 2 million mark in 2013 sales. The smash also topped 2 million in 2012 sales (2,369,000, to be precise).
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Post by Rocky on Jul 17, 2013 21:41:53 GMT -5
Selena Gomez’s “Come & Get It” drops from #9 to #12, ending a nine-week run in the top 10. “Same Love” by Macklemore & Ryan Lewis featuring Mary Lambert jumps from #14 to #11 in its 18th week. It’s vying to become the third top 10 hit for Macklemore & Ryan Lewis; the first for Lambert. Digital sales rank: #9 (118K)… “I Need Your Love” by Calvin Harris featuring Ellie Goulding jumps from #20 to #17 in its 13th week… Capital Cities’ “Safe And Sound” jumps from #31 to #19 in its 11th week. Jason Derulo lands his sixth top 20 hit as “The Other Side” inches up from #21 to #20 in its 13th week. This surpasses Derulo’s girlfriend Jordin Sparks, who has had five top 20 hits. Ciara’s “Body Party” jumps from #25 to #22 in its 12th week. It’s from her Ciara album, which enters The Billboard 200 at #2 this week. A second single from the album, “I’m Out” (featuring Nicki Minaj) jumps from #50 to #44 in its second week…. Jay-Z also has the week’s second highest new entry with “Tom Ford,” which debuts at #39. Tom Ford, 51, gained fame for his turnaround of the Gucci fashion house and the creation of the Tom Ford label. He also directed the 2009 film, A Single Man, which starred Colin Firth. Five other songs from the album enter the chart: “F*ckWithMeYouKnowIGotIt” (featuring Rick Ross) at #64, “Part II On The Run” (featuring Beyonce) at #81, “Oceans” (featuring Frank Ocean) at #83, “Picasso Baby” at #91 and “Crown” at #100. Florida Georgia Line’s “Round Here” jumps from #54 to #40 in its fifth week… “Crazy Kids” by Ke$ha featuring will.i.a.m or Juicy J jumps from #49 to #41 in its seventh week. “Right Now” by Rihanna featuring David Guetta jumps from #63 to #52 in its fourth week… “Ooh La La” by Britney Spears featuring G.R.L. vaults from #94 to #54 in its fourth week… J. Dash’s “Wop” jumps from #87 to #55 in its sixth week… Avicii’s “Wake Me Up!” jumps from #68 to #59 in its third week… OneRepublic’s “Counting Stars” jumps from #80 to #71 in its fourth week. The song has climbed as high as #32. Lana Del Rey’s “Summertime Sadness” debuts at #72. It’s the week’s highest new entry that isn’t by Jay-Z and/or Justin Timberlake. The timely track is from Born To Die, which has sold 681K copies since its release in January 2012. Del Rey is also moving up with “Young And Beautiful” from The Great Gatsby soundtrack. That song jumps from #93 to #89 in its 12th week. The song has climbed as high as #22… Lorde’s “Royals” jumps from #90 to #74 in its second week. Sara Bareilles’ “Brave” jumps from #91 to #82 in its fifth week. It’s from her Blessed Unrest album, which will enter The Billboard 200 next week at #2 or #3… The Finatticz’s “Don’t Drop That Thun Thun!” debuts at #88. The act is signed to Knockout Entertainment, along with Ray J and Willie Norwood, among others… Jason Aldean’s “Night Train” re-enters the chart at #90… Karmin’s “Acapella” debuts at #98. It’s from the duo’s first studio album, Pulses, which is due this fall. The pair’s “Brokenhearted” reached #16 on the Hot 100. We know:#11 - “Same Love” #12 - “Come & Get It” #17 - “I Need Your Love” #19 - “Safe And Sound” #20 - “The Other Side” #22 - “Body Party” #39 - “Tom Ford” #40 - “Round Here” #41 - “Crazy Kids” #44 - “I’m Out” #47 - "Take Back The Night" #52 - “Right Now” #54 - “Ooh La La” #55 - “Wop” #59 - “Wake Me Up!” #64 - “F*ckWithMeYouKnowIGotIt” #71 - “Counting Stars” #72 - “Summertime Sadness” #74 - “Royals” #81 - “Part II On The Run” #82 - “Brave” #83 - “Oceans” #88 - “Don’t Drop That Thun Thun!” #89 - “Young And Beautiful” #90 - “Night Train” #91 - “Picasso Baby” #98 - “Acapella” #100 - “Crown” I worked like 6-7 minutes with typing this and it's 5 AM already. Enjoy it! ... ^^ Well, f**k.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Jul 17, 2013 22:06:08 GMT -5
^We also know No. 47- "Take Back the Night." :)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2013 22:08:49 GMT -5
Gaga will debut already on low Hot 100 with only 1 or 2 days of airplay, and the then the following week, it may zoom to #1 after full week airplay, sales and streaming points. Hopefully it debuts between #98-#100 Hot 100, so if it jumps to #1, it will break the record for the biggest jump to #1 #1 debuts for any song will be somewhat rare unless it is a youtube phenomenon like Harlem Shake
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Post by Rocky on Jul 17, 2013 22:09:58 GMT -5
^We also know No. 47- "Take Back the Night." :) Okay, edited. I didn't know it cause I started to type those well before your post.
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Jul 18, 2013 1:01:36 GMT -5
Part of Me by Katy Perry had airplay the week before release, but it didn't quite make the Hot 100. Instead it made #1 on the Bubbling-Under chart, which meant it still debuted at #1 the following week. I was slightly gutted it didn't get a tiny bit more airplay to debut at #100. And Don’t Drop That Thun Thun at #88!!! YES! I hope it can be higher next week.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2013 5:25:43 GMT -5
Just look at avicii's "wake me up" it's gonna be a super hit worldwide.It has sold 153000 copies in UK in just 3 days. Maybe it can be the next surprising song that goes #1
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 18, 2013 5:59:48 GMT -5
This Week Last Week Two Weeks Ago Weeks Title, Artist Peak 1 1 1 13 #1 6 wks AG Blurred Lines, Robin Thicke Featuring T.I. + Pharrell 1 2 2 2 13 Get Lucky, Daft Punk Featuring Pharrell Williams 2 3 3 3 6 We Can't Stop, Miley Cyrus 3 4 4 4 46 Radioactive, Imagine Dragons 3 5 6 5 23 Can't Hold Us, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Ray Dalton 1 6 5 6 41 Cruise, Florida Georgia Line Featuring Nelly 4 7 8 8 9 Treasure, Bruno Mars 7 8 0 Hot Shot Debut 1 Holy Grail, Jay Z Featuring Justin Timberlake 8 9 7 7 22 Mirrors, Justin Timberlake 2 10 10 13 29 Cups (Pitch Perfect's When I'm Gone), Anna Kendrick 10 11 14 16 18 Same Love, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Mary Lambert 11 12 9 9 14 Come & Get It, Selena Gomez 6 13 13 14 17 Clarity, Zedd Featuring Foxes 13 14 15 18 8 Love Somebody, Maroon 5 14 15 12 10 16 The Way, Ariana Grande Featuring Mac Miller 9 16 11 11 22 Just Give Me A Reason, P!nk Featuring Nate Ruess 1 17 20 23 13 I Need Your Love, Calvin Harris Featuring Ellie Goulding 17 18 16 12 24 I Love It, Icona Pop Featuring Charli XCX 7 19 31 32 11 Safe And Sound, Capital Cities 19 20 21 22 13 The Other Side, Jason Derulo 20 21 19 21 22 Power Trip, J. Cole Featuring Miguel 19 22 25 34 12 Body Party, Ciara 22 23 17 17 10 #Beautiful, Mariah Carey Featuring Miguel 15 24 18 15 23 My Songs Know What You Did In The Dark (Light Em Up), Fall Out Boy 13 25 26 25 14 I Want Crazy, Hunter Hayes 19 26 28 27 14 Crash My Party, Luke Bryan 18 27 23 19 23 Stay, Rihanna Featuring Mikky Ekko 3 28 24 24 41 Thrift Shop, Macklemore & Ryan Lewis Featuring Wanz 1 29 27 30 14 U.O.E.N.O., Rocko Featuring Future & Rick Ross 27 30 22 20 16 Boys 'Round Here, Blake Shelton Featuring Pistol Annies & Friends 12 31 29 26 30 When I Was Your Man, Bruno Mars 1 32 33 31 19 Gone, Gone, Gone, Phillip Phillips 31 33 30 28 22 Bad, Wale Featuring Tiara Thomas Or Rihanna 21 34 34 37 10 Runnin' Outta Moonlight, Randy Houser 34 35 32 29 23 Wagon Wheel, Darius Rucker 15 36 35 36 45 Sail, AWOLNATION 30 37 39 45 8 Don't Ya, Brett Eldredge 37 38 36 41 58 Ho Hey, The Lumineers 3 39 0 New 1 Tom Ford, Jay Z 39 40 54 60 5 Round Here, Florida Georgia Line 40 41 49 53 7 Crazy Kids, Ke$ha Featuring will.i.am Or Juicy J 41 42 46 51 17 Hey Pretty Girl, Kip Moore 42 43 38 40 17 Rich As F**k, Lil Wayne Featuring 2 Chainz 38 44 50 – 2 I'm Out, Ciara Featuring Nicki Minaj 44 45 43 48 18 DONE., The Band Perry 43 46 51 52 11 See You Again, Carrie Underwood 46 47 0 New 1 Take Back The Night, Justin Timberlake 47 48 45 50 10 Tapout, Rich Gang Featuring Lil Wayne, Birdman, Future, Mack Maine, Nicki Minaj 45 49 40 42 12 No New Friends (SFTB Remix), DJ Khaled Featuring Drake, Rick Ross & Lil Wayne 37 50 37 33 21 Bitch, Don't Kill My Vibe, Kendrick Lamar 32 51 53 56 7 Redneck Crazy, Tyler Farr 51 52 63 68 4 Right Now, Rihanna Featuring David Guetta 52 53 56 58 12 Jump Right In, Zac Brown Band 53 54 94 92 4 Ooh La La, Britney Spears 54 55 87 94 6 DG Wop, J. Dash 52 56 47 43 20 Highway Don't Care, Tim McGraw With Taylor Swift 22 57 60 61 10 All Over The Road, Easton Corbin 57 58 52 55 12 Beat It, Sean Kingston Featuring Chris Brown & Wiz Khalifa 52 59 68 81 3 Wake Me Up!, Avicii 59 60 48 38 20 Heart Attack, Demi Lovato 10 61 58 66 4 Crooked Smile, J. Cole Featuring TLC 58 62 62 62 8 Little Bit Of Everything, Keith Urban 62 63 64 63 17 Demons, Imagine Dragons 63 64 0 New 1 F*ckwithmeyouknowigotit, Jay Z Featuring Rick Ross 64 65 55 49 20 22, Taylor Swift 20 66 66 72 8 Hey Girl, Billy Currington 66 67 71 93 3 Parking Lot Party, Lee Brice 67 68 61 54 17 Anywhere With You, Jake Owen 46 69 72 78 5 Bubble Butt, Major Lazer Featuring Bruno Mars, Tyga & Mystic 69 70 57 46 18 Beat This Summer, Brad Paisley 46 71 80 69 4 Counting Stars, OneRepublic 32 72 0 New 1 Summertime Sadness, Lana Del Rey 72 73 77 76 5 What About Love, Austin Mahone 73 74 90 – 2 Royals, Lorde 74 75 79 82 5 It Goes Like This, Thomas Rhett 75 76 76 83 4 Ain't Worried About Nothin, French Montana 76 77 70 65 9 People Like Us, Kelly Clarkson 65 78 59 35 14 Here's To Never Growing Up, Avril Lavigne 20 79 69 77 13 How Many Drinks?, Miguel 69 80 82 84 7 Point At You, Justin Moore 80 81 0 New 1 Part II (On The Run), Jay Z Featuring Beyonce 81 82 91 91 5 Brave, Sara Bareilles 61 83 0 New 1 Oceans, Jay Z Featuring Frank Ocean 83 84 73 59 16 Lego House, Ed Sheeran 42 85 67 – 2 Feds Watching, 2 Chainz Featuring Pharrell 67 86 88 99 7 Play Hard, David Guetta Featuring Ne-Yo & Akon 64 87 75 67 15 Fine China, Chris Brown 31 88 0 New 1 Don't Drop That Thun Thun!, The FiNATTiCZ 88 89 93 88 12 Young And Beautiful, Lana Del Rey 22 90 – – 2 Night Train, Jason Aldean 90 91 0 New 1 Picasso Baby, Jay Z 91 92 97 86 4 Black Skinhead, Kanye West 69 93 95 98 3 Goodbye Town, Lady Antebellum 93 94 83 80 14 Gentleman, PSY 5 95 89 – 2 LoveHate Thing, Wale Featuring Sam Dew 89 96 92 95 5 Beneath Your Beautiful, Labrinth Featuring Emeli Sande 88 97 96 96 5 Sweater Weather, The Neighbourhood 95 98 0 New 1 Acapella, Karmin 98 99 98 – 5 HeadBand, B.o.B Featuring 2 Chainz 65 100 0 New 1 Crown, Jay Z 100
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Jul 18, 2013 6:12:23 GMT -5
Just look at avicii's "wake me up" it's gonna be a super hit worldwide.It has sold 153000 copies in UK in just 3 days. Maybe it can be the next surprising song that goes #1 It's not gonna be a massive hit, it already is! I can't see it going to #1 in the US. But I think it's a definite top 10. I think Get Lucky will remain the biggest dance hit of 2013. That said, I can't understand how the song has sold so much in the UK. Although it has been repressed, meaning it's getting all the sales it would've got over the past 2-3 weeks all at once, but it's still extremely impressive.
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badrobot
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Post by badrobot on Jul 18, 2013 9:41:37 GMT -5
The best shot at a #1 debut is probably debuting the song and video simultaneously on a Wednesday (or Tuesday at midnight even). I think if Gaga pursues that route she could debut at #1. Really I think the key is having the video released the same day, now that YouTube plays such a major role, and considering how huge videos have been for her in the past. She definitely has lost a lot of buzz so it could fizzle fast but I think opening week, if all channels are aligned, she could debut at #1. But that would mean releasing the song on iTunes on that same Wednesday to maximize the number of days (Wednesday to Sunday) for the sales tracking week, right? Yes. So, it would be 7 days of airplay, 5 days of sales, and then I'm not sure what the YouTube/streaming tracking week is for days there. Note I was just listing out all the things she'd have to do to get the most points out the gate -- I'm not saying this is their strategy or what I think will happen, merely what they'd have to do if a #1 debut is what they cared about the most. Normally I don't think that's very important, but I think she has more to prove in terms of a "comeback" than most artists do at this point and it would make sense for them to try for that huge impact out of the gate. To the other comment about longevity -- I'd say that's determined by the quality of the song, not the release schedule. You can stretch out a release schedule but if no one likes the song, it's not gonna stick around.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jul 18, 2013 13:55:11 GMT -5
^Welcome back, BR!
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Jul 18, 2013 13:56:24 GMT -5
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lugus15
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Post by lugus15 on Jul 18, 2013 22:22:40 GMT -5
The week before GaGa debuts, Blurred Lines will be in it's 11th week @ #1, and thus it's sales will be a lot down that what it's now. It's airplay will have peaked a couple of weeks before.
So I say, if her debut it's massive, then she will be #1.
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Post by Deleted on Jul 19, 2013 6:58:29 GMT -5
I don't know if Gaga will debut at #1 or not. Who knows Gaga's single, may be big or it may not be. Either way, I don't see a debut at #1 happening unless there are 30 million you tube views that accompany the debut
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 19, 2013 11:56:23 GMT -5
Gaga won't debut at #1. She can't. There will be too much hype when it's released, so she'll end up debuting somewhere between 70-100 because of two strong days of airplay. She might be able to jump to #1, but she won't debut at number one. Just like Taylor Swift's "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together."
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jul 19, 2013 13:34:59 GMT -5
Does it matter when a song reaches #1 if it's going to reach it anyway?
Not saying Gaga's will. But for example WANEGBT was always going to be #1 at some point.
I'd rather take steady climb and 4 weeks at #1 than a chart run a la Harlem Shake.
But for Gaga (again, only an example) steady climb is pretty much impossible as it's such an anticipated release.
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Au$tin
Diamond Member
Pop Culture Guru
Grrrrrrrrrr. Fuckity fuck why don't you watch my film before you judge it? FURY.
Joined: August 2008
Posts: 54,623
My Charts
Pronouns: He/his/him
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Post by Au$tin on Jul 19, 2013 13:37:56 GMT -5
Does it matter when a song reaches #1 if it's going to reach it anyway? It's unique to debut at #1, so yes, to people who follow charts, it is. But to the general public, no, it doesn't.
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Enyasurvivor
Platinum Member
"We're not meant to be perfect. It took me a long time to learn that."
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Post by Enyasurvivor on Jul 19, 2013 16:38:39 GMT -5
Does it matter when a song reaches #1 if it's going to reach it anyway? It's unique to debut at #1, so yes, to people who follow charts, it is. But to the general public, no, it doesn't. I'd actually rather have her jump from #100 to #1 than to debut. She's already done that, might as well go for another record that can never be broken (unless they add more spots on the chart...)
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