Billboard Hot 100: 08/24/2013

[Au$tin]

"Burn" actually hasn't been released to radio here in the US yet, which is very strange.

[Enigma.]

What are they waiting for?

That said, it hasn't really sold loads since the release which guaranteed #53 debut iirc

[pnobelysk]

^ they might be waiting for I need your love to die down a bit

[crystalphnx]

Robin Thicke Leads Hot 100 For 10th Week, Katy Perry's 'Roar' Debuts

Robin Thicke claims an elite 10th week at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with "Blurred Lines" (featuring T.I. and Pharrell). Meanwhile, Katy Perry provides a sneak peek at the battle expected next week when "Roar," which debuts this week at No. 85, and Lady Gaga's "Applause," which will bow next week, will challenge Thicke for the summit.

"Lines" leads Radio Songs for a sixth week, gaining by 3% to a record-extending 227.5 million all-format audience impressions, according to Nielsen BDS. Last week, with 219.8 million in audience, the song passed Mariah Carey's "We Belong Together" (212.2 million, July 9, 2005) for top weekly sum in the chart's 22-year history. (Despite its continued gain, the record streak of 10 consecutive weeks of being the Hot 100's top Airplay Gainer ends this week for "Lines," as Lana Del Rey's "Summertime Sadness" (23-16) claims the award with a 43% increase to 43 million impressions.)

On Digital Songs, "Lines" logs a 10th week at No. 1 with 346,000 downloads sold (down 14%) in the Nielsen SoundScan tracking week. With its latest frame on top, "Lines" ties three other songs for the second-most weeks at No. 1 in the Digital Songs chart's history: Macklemore & Ryan Lewis' "Thrift Shop" (featuring Wanz) earlier this year and two Black Eyed Peas tracks, "Boom Boom Pow" and "I Gotta Feeling" (both 2009). Flo Rida's "Low" (featuring T-Pain) (2008) has racked the most weeks atop Digital Songs (13).

"Lines" posts a sixth week atop the subscription services-based On-Demand Songs chart (2 million U.S. streams, down 7%, according to BDS). It holds at No. 2 on Streaming Songs (7.6 million, down 7%), while tallying a 10th week at No. 1 on Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs and a 13th frame atop R&B Songs.

"Lines" is the first song to top the Hot 100 for at least 10 weeks since Rihanna's "We Found Love" (featuring Calvin Harris) racked 10 frames on top beginning the week of Nov. 12, 2011. It's one of just eight songs by lead solo males to rule for 10 weeks or more in the Hot 100's 55-year history and the first such song to do so since Flo Rida's "Low" likewise led for 10 weeks beginning on Jan. 5, 2008.

Ahead of next week's likely shakeup thanks to Perry and Gaga (keep reading for details), the Hot 100's entire top 10 remains in place from last week, with "Lines" boasting a two-to-one overall chart points lead over Miley Cyrus' "We Can't Stop," which banks a third nonconsecutive week at No. 2. ("Lines" loses 10% of its points total from last week, while "Stop" declines by 6%.)

"Stop" scores an eighth week atop Streaming Songs (7.7 million, down 7%). It slips 2-3 on Digital Songs (158,000, down 9%) but advances 25-22 on Radio Songs (48 million, up 5%).

Imagine Dragons' "Radioactive" stays at No. 3 on the Hot 100, while topping Hot Rock Songs for a record-setting 21st week. It bests the 20-week reign of Foo Fighters' "Rope" in 2011 (when the chart was solely airplay-based; the list now encompasses airplay, sales and streaming). Although it decreases by 3% to 121 million, "Radioactive" reaches a new peak (3-2) on Radio Songs.

Daft Punk's "Get Lucky" (featuring Pharrell) holds at No. 4 on the Hot 100 after peaking at No. 2 for five weeks. It dominates Dance/Electronic Songs for a record-extending 13th week (dating to the survey's origin earlier this year).

Jay Z's "Holy Grail" (featuring Justin Timberlake) maintains its No. 5 rank on the Hot 100, pushing 20-14 on Radio Songs (60 million, up 25%) and 3-2 on Digital Songs (166,000, up 2%). It lifts 10-8 on Streaming Songs, although with a 1% drop to 2.8 million. It tops Rap Songs for a third week.

Also repeating their Hot 100 ranks from last week at Nos. 6-10, in order: Anna Kendrick's "Cups (Pitch Perfect's When I'm Gone)"; Bruno Mars' "Treasure"; Zedd's "Clarity" (featuring Foxes); Capital Cities' "Safe and Sound"; and Maroon 5's "Love Somebody."

In addition to Del Rey's "Sadness" winning top Airplay Gainer honors outside the top 10, Drake's "Hold On, We're Going Home" (featuring Majid Jordan) is the Hot 100's top debut at No. 21. It enters Digital Songs at No. 8 with 109,000. Lorde's "Royals," meanwhile, boasts top Digital Gainer kudos (39-24), up by 35% to 77,000. As previously reported, "Royals" this week becomes the first Alternative Songs No. 1 by a lead female soloist since 1996.

As for Perry and Gaga: the former's "Roar" dents the Hot 100 at No. 85 thanks solely to almost four days of airplay. (As previously noted, its expected lofty first-week sales, as well as streaming, will count toward next week's Hot 100.) "Roar" bounds on to Radio Songs at No. 29 with 40 million impressions from 258 stations. It's the highest debut since Rihanna's "Diamonds" opened at No. 28 on the radio tally the week of Oct. 13, 2012. ("Diamonds" went on to crown the Hot 100 and Radio Songs for three weeks each). "Roar" represents Perry's highest start on Radio Songs, despite its midweek arrival; she previously began best with "California Gurls" (featuring Snoop Dogg) (No. 31) in 2010. "Gurls" was the lead single from "Teenage Dream," which yielded five Hot 100 No. 1s (tying Michael Jackson's "Bad" in 1987-88 for the most leaders from a set). "Roar" introduces Perry's "Prism," due Oct. 22.

Lady Gaga's "Applause" misses the Hot 100, although even with just two days of airplay it comes oh-so-close to the 75-position Radio Songs ranking with 16 million impressions via 210 stations. Still, it storms onto Dance/Electronic Songs at No. 16. "Applause" previews Gaga's "ARTPOP," due Nov. 11.

Keep checking Billboard.com for updates on the building progress of "Roar" and "Applause" leading up to their major Hot 100 moves next week, to be revealed next Wednesday (Aug. 21).

[Enigma.]

All static top ten!

[Deleted]

Are you kidding me...

[Au$tin]

omg @ the entire top ten remaining the same

[Kris]

I'm not surprised at the top 10 seeing this week's airplay updates. Radioactive 21 weeks at Rock, I wonder if Crash My Party will overtake Cruise this week for #1 on Hot Country.

[The Upper Hand]

Testing the formula once again:

Ahead of next week's likely shakeup thanks to Perry and Gaga (keep reading for details), the Hot 100's entire top 10 remains in place from last week, with "Lines" boasting a two-to-one overall chart points lead over Miley Cyrus' "We Can't Stop," which banks a third nonconsecutive week at No. 2.

Points = Sales/12 + Airplay/7,500 + Stream/450

"Blurred Lines":

346,000/12 + 227,500,000/7,500 + 7,600,000/450 = 76,057

"We Can't Stop":

158,000/12 + 48,000/7,500 + 7,700,000/450 = 36,679

76,057/36,679 = 2,073

[when the pawn...]

Aug 14, 2013 12:53:51 GMT -5 moore746 said:

Aug 14, 2013 12:07:28 GMT -5 The Upper Hand said:

Kworb ‏on Twitter:
Looks like Roar will sell about 500k first week and Applause a little north of 200k (in the US)

OUCH for Gaga if true.

Does that make sense if Best Song Ever sold 321k?

[Au$tin]

So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers:

Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389

Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750

Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556

We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800

So next week:
1. Blurred Lines
2. Roar
3. We Can't Stop
4. Applause

Possibly?

[Deleted]

So... Thicke has now beaten Mariah's record by 15.3 million? :o

And 10th week at #1 on digital... Roar and Applause will likely go ahead of it, but could it reclaim it in 2 weeks? Doubt it'll get 13 though.

Also RIP Same Love, no chance in hell now.

[Deleted]

Aug 14, 2013 14:36:54 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers:

Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389

Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750

Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556

We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800

So next week:
1. Blurred Lines
2. Roar
3. We Can't Stop
4. Applause

Possibly?

So, Katy needs to sell around 680k to have a chance?    Damn Robin. His airplay numbers alone are equal to selling 360-370k a week. Then factor in his sales... Incredible.

[Daniel Collins]

Aug 14, 2013 14:36:54 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers:

Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389

Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750

Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556

We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800

So next week:
1. Blurred Lines
2. Roar
3. We Can't Stop
4. Applause

Possibly?

Gaga's streaming points could be bigger than 1M (Audio + Lyric Video) . #3 for 'Applause' and #4 for 'We Can't Stop'

[Enigma.]

Aug 14, 2013 14:36:54 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

So, using that formula and hypothetical numbers:

Blurred Lines = (290,000/12) + (230,000,000/7,500) + (7,000,000/450) = 70,389

Roar = (525,000/12) + (55,000,000/7,500) + (3,000,000/450) = 57,750

Applause = (320,000/12) + (35,000,000/7,500) + (1,000,000/450) = 33,556

We Can't Stop = (144,000/12) + (51,000,000/7,500) + (7,200,000/450) = 34,800

So next week:
1. Blurred Lines
2. Roar
3. We Can't Stop
4. Applause

Possibly?

I think you're underestimating Gaga's power in Youtube but that's not probably enough to beat Roar under any circumstances anyway.

[Au$tin]

Well, Katy is doing remakably well at 3 million worldwide views in just a few days for a lyric video. I don't know how well a Gaga lyric video will do, so I'm not sure what either artist's streaming points will be like since it's strictly lyric/audio videos for both. Next week will be interesting, though, with "Applause"'s video.

[Enigma.]

I checked Applause has 6 million views WW now. But must remember that she's more global superstar than Katy whose hits have done better than Gaga's in the US recently.

[jj99$ - - LeLe]

Eminem Looks to be joining the party.

Next weeks chart should be very interesting.

[brady47]

Aug 14, 2013 7:36:32 GMT -5 popstop said:

1 3 Whistle - Flo Rida (1st week of 2 @ #1)
2 2 Lights - Ellie Goulding

I am still bitter about this.

It's so sad when a song repeats a week at #2, when the previous #1 song tumbles past it, and another song jumps past it. :(

[brady47]

I thought Katy was going to take a long break. Only a 1 year gap between her debut single and the last single from Teenage Dream?

[SPRΞΞ]

Aug 14, 2013 14:49:59 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Well, Katy is doing remakably well at 3 million worldwide views in just a few days for a lyric video.

it's actually at 5.4M

[Au$tin]

Aug 14, 2013 15:18:44 GMT -5 brady47 said:

I thought Katy was going to take a long break. Only a 1 year gap between her debut single and the last single from Teenage Dream?

That's pretty long in the pop world. Definitely long enough to be completely forgotten/replaced. I think it was the perfect amount of time. It was longer than the gap between "Waking Up In Vegas" and "Califorina Gurls" too.

[Deleted]

So unless she sells considerably more than even Flo rida's record of 636K, Katy isn't necessarily a shoe in for #1 next week?

Interesting.

[RadioBeatz]

Come on, the top 10 stays the same?

Next week will be for sure interesting. I wonder if amidst the Katy-Gaga storm will "Summertime Sadness" enter the top 10.

Oh and poor "Same Love" >:( deserved top 10 but like Codex said there's almost no chance now.

[nivekwriter1]

If 'Roar' manages to sell 600k, she'II have 70.667 points which could possibly defeat Robin and make her (EDIT:) jump to #1.
17.02% of the people on Pulse think that 'Roar' could sell 600k+ (link: pulsemusic.proboards.com/thread/133709/roar-first-week-sales).
There's a possible chance that it ebuts at #1, but that chance is very small and I think it won't make it.
I don't think Gaga has a chance of debuting at #1, but I'm pretty sure it will be a top 5 entry.

I didn't read the Billboard article, so I didn't know 'Roar' already debuted.

[Deleted]

there's a 0% chance it'll debut at #1 since it already debuted at #85

[HolidayGuy]

EDIT; What ^he said. :)

[Lozzy]

Aug 14, 2013 15:53:21 GMT -5 @gagalicious said:

there's a 0% chance it'll debut at #1 since it already debuted at #85

they could change their formula and redo this week's chart

[#Joseph.T]

first time ever to see top 10 songs remain the same ><

[imbondz]

Once in a blue moon it happens