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Post by areyoureadytojump on Aug 21, 2013 12:15:49 GMT -5
This:
"Lines" and "Roar," in fact, are separated by just a 3.3% difference in overall chart points
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Aug 21, 2013 12:16:26 GMT -5
Sounds weird, but I think Applause might climb next week, with higher airplay, and a streaming boost which might outweigh her sales decrease.
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Envoirment
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Post by Envoirment on Aug 21, 2013 12:16:49 GMT -5
Katy still has her video to push her streaming up.
I wouldn't be surprised if the video drops the week of the VMAs. Her airplay should be quite high and her sales/streaming will likely be quite high too. Her team could also reduce the price or get together a remix of the song. Much like they did with some of her previous #1s. :)
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Aug 21, 2013 12:17:50 GMT -5
like I said as much as Id love BL to get most weeks at #1, I dunno how its possible that BL will even last a few more weeks at #1 considering how much gains Katy is making in airplay, streaming and not losing much ground on iTunes. The biggest question I guess will be how much of a sales decline she gets and if the mega increase daily radio updates continue and if BL starts to plummet. Most likely the only way BL could stay at #1 is if he somehow stays in or around where he's at and Katys sales and airplay slow down (again unlikely).
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Pikachu.
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Post by Pikachu. on Aug 21, 2013 12:19:04 GMT -5
I feel like Katy will do 300k+ next week judging by the lead she has managed to maintain throughout the week. Not to mention the VMAs are this week, should help keep sales up for the following week as well.
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 21, 2013 12:19:05 GMT -5
Would be AWESOMELY CHEAP if she sold 557k/week and then releases a random remix to get the #1. Talk about being obsessed LOL
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 21, 2013 12:20:09 GMT -5
She should have released a Katy Perremix feat. Sara Braless for that #1.
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SPRΞΞ
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Post by SPRΞΞ on Aug 21, 2013 12:20:53 GMT -5
I don't think BL is safe for another week at all!
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ss8
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Post by ss8 on Aug 21, 2013 12:21:30 GMT -5
no doubt some kind of remix coming. Theres no way this is not hitting #1. Just a matter of when. I also wouldnt be surprised if within 3-4 weeks Avicii is battling for #1 with Katy w/ Robin already out of the top 2 lol.
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Aug 21, 2013 12:21:45 GMT -5
This is a nice little bright spot as a song has finally been able to dethrone "Get Lucky" on that chart.
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spongebob
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Post by spongebob on Aug 21, 2013 12:22:03 GMT -5
CONGRATSSSS!!! for Katy :)  big jumb :) :) |
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Duca
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Post by Duca on Aug 21, 2013 12:23:00 GMT -5
Well BL is safe for several more weeks. It's certain that Roar will drop significantly in sales this week, while BL's airplay will still have a huge advantage over Roar. Oh, well. Only one more week is safe, really. Who knows how the VMAs will shake things up. Robin's performing Blurred Lines at the VMAs and he's recreating the video for the show so I think he'll get 13 weeks on top unless Katy releases the music video next week. |
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Aug 21, 2013 12:23:24 GMT -5
Gaga missed a few numbers with "..#3", but still a nice debut.
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Post by josh on Aug 21, 2013 12:23:44 GMT -5
I feel like Katy will do 300k+ next week judging the lead she has managed to maintain throughout the week. Definitely. 400k+ is quite possible. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 21, 2013 12:25:11 GMT -5
So close!! Yet so far away :( Still amazing for Katy! She put up a good fight, and I'm sure she'll get the #1 eventually :)
O and GaGa @ #6 is good too.
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Post by surreallife on Aug 21, 2013 12:27:58 GMT -5
By my estimations BL had about 83,800 points while Roar had around 81,800 so the race was very close. BL sales were a bit stronger than I expected and Roar's streaming numbers a bit weaker. I think Katy Perry has a good shot at #1 in two weeks.
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Post by Rocky on Aug 21, 2013 12:30:30 GMT -5
She should have released a Katy Perremix feat. Sara Braless for that #1. Lulz. I prefer Katy Braless.  |
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moore746
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Post by moore746 on Aug 21, 2013 12:30:56 GMT -5
I bet Katy would have gotten that #1 if Gaga hadn't rush released.
There I said it.
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The Upper Hand
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Post by The Upper Hand on Aug 21, 2013 12:31:38 GMT -5
"It posts a seventh week atop the subscription services-based On-Demand Songs chart (1.8 million U.S. streams, down 13%, according to BDS), while holding at No. 2 on Streaming Songs (6.6 million, down 13%)."
So do we need to consider 6.6 million or 8.4 million for stream numbers?
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dbhmr
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Post by dbhmr on Aug 21, 2013 12:32:02 GMT -5
I really like Roar, but as I said a week or so ago, I just want Blurred Lines to continue to smash records left and right just for the sake of experiencing such a monster hit to the fullest. I'd like to see Roar hit the top spot eventually, though, and I don't think it will take much longer. I think Robin has one or two more weeks, at most.
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Adonia
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Post by Adonia on Aug 21, 2013 12:32:56 GMT -5
"It posts a seventh week atop the subscription services-based On-Demand Songs chart (1.8 million U.S. streams, down 13%, according to BDS), while holding at No. 2 on Streaming Songs (6.6 million, down 13%)." So do we need to consider 6.6 million or 8.4 million for stream numbers? 6.6 million. On-demand Songs chart is part of the Streaming Songs chart. |
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Aug 21, 2013 12:33:13 GMT -5
I bet Katy would have gotten that #1 if Gaga hadn't rush released. There I said it. It depends. I remember with the 50 Cent vs. Kanye West week, people were saying the whole media attention around their chart battle increased both of their sales. Might have been similar with this situation. |
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C.Ro
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Post by C.Ro on Aug 21, 2013 12:40:46 GMT -5
Shocked at Gaga's debut!... I was hoping for a top5...
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Aug 21, 2013 12:41:06 GMT -5
Not sure why Billboard even mentions On-Demand numbers when they're part of Streaming Songs. I guess it may be of interest to some, though.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 21, 2013 12:42:08 GMT -5
By my estimations BL had about 83,800 points while Roar had around 81,800 so the race was very close. BL sales were a bit stronger than I expected and Roar's streaming numbers a bit weaker. I think Katy Perry has a good shot at #1 in two weeks. What formula did you use? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 21, 2013 12:43:39 GMT -5
I don't see why people think "Roar" needs a remix/discount to hit #1 in the future lol. The sales have shown that they will be remaining steady; unlike "Last Friday Night" which peaked in sales early on. Really the person who needs to be doing discounts and such is Thicke. 12th week at #1 next week. VMA performance + new music video to hold a 13th week. Then discount it for 14th-17th weeks please. :kii:
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Aug 21, 2013 12:44:41 GMT -5
Exact Katy numbers: 557,000
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 21, 2013 12:46:40 GMT -5
Robin is #1 for yet another week breaking Rihanna's record for this decade. What are the odds of Katy maintaining the #2 spot on the chart since #1 seems like it could still be out of reach next week if it didn't get it this week.
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The Upper Hand
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Post by The Upper Hand on Aug 21, 2013 12:51:52 GMT -5
Testing our formula once again:
Points = Sales/12 + Airplay/7,500 + Stream/450
"Blurred Lines" = 291,000/12 + 228,900,000/7,500 + 6,600,000/450 = 69,436.6
"Roar" = 557,000/12 + 63,000,000/7,500 + 3,800,000/450 = 63,261.4
It didn't match this time: the difference is by 8,8%
However,
Last week = 346,000/12 + 227,500,000/7,500 + 7,600,000/450 = 76,057
This week = 291,000/12 + 228,900,000/7,500 + 6,600,000/450 = 69,436.6
The difference is actually by 9%.
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Post by Adonis the DemiGod! on Aug 21, 2013 12:52:06 GMT -5
I don't think BL is safe for another week at all! Not with only a 3.3% difference but Katy's sales may drop some. So I would guess Katy will probably stay put in overall points and Robin if he does fall from #1 next week will just fall harder than Katy but both will lose in points is my guess. |
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