Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2015 19:06:49 GMT -5
Also, Elastic Heart may be top 50 in my predictions as well. I feel like it is way too low in yours. Night Changes is a bit low on yours too.
|
|
Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 12,635
|
Post by Dylan :) on Nov 3, 2015 19:23:39 GMT -5
Also, Elastic Heart may be top 50 in my predictions as well. I feel like it is way too low in yours. Night Changes is a bit low on yours too. What do you mean you "feel it is too low"? What is this feeling based on?
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2015 19:25:20 GMT -5
Elastic Heart spent 30 weeks, and all 30 of it was in top 60
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2015 21:47:47 GMT -5
Elastic Heart spent 30 weeks, and all 30 of it was in top 60 Were you not paying attention? Broccoli said it's about points and not just longevity. I don't see "Elastic Heart" finishing in the top 50, either, it'll be in the 52-60 range.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2015 21:53:37 GMT -5
I know that, I use different techniques mixed on my predictions, and so do you. On my predictions I got Elastic Heart in top 50 seems like.
|
|
Ravi
New Member
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Nov 4, 2015 7:25:46 GMT -5
I duplicated this week's points for the bubbling under songs for the remaining 2 weeks, and this is how things ended up: 95 WAVES - MR. PROBZ (14) 96 PRAYER IN C - LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ (23) 97 EL PERDON - NICKY JAM & ENRIQUE IGLESIAS (56) 98 NIGHT CHANGES - ONE DIRECTION (31) 99 I WANT YOU TO KNOW - ZEDD F/ SELENA GOMEZ (17) 100 HERE - ALESSIA CARA (15)101 THROW SUM MO - RAE SREMMURD F/ NICKI MINAJ & YOUNG THUG (30) 102 HOW DEEP IS YOUR LOVE - CALVIN HARRIS & DISCIPLES (27) 103 WHERE YA AT - FUTURE F/ DRAKE (28)104 SANGRIA - BLAKE SHELTON (38) 105 HOMEGROWN - ZAC BROWN BAND (35) So, with some gains in weekly points these 3 could all end up making the cut. Also, there's about 20k point gap between #95 and #105 above. Here will show a big jump in points this week and next week should be as strong if not stronger, so it is definitely making the chart. I hope HDIYL makes it too. BTW, it's interesting that El Perdon looks like making the cut. I wonder how many songs which never entered Top-50 made it to the Year-End chart.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2015 9:44:47 GMT -5
^ we were discussing this awhile back. i don't recall for sure, but i think there was only one other and it peaked at #51 or something. anyone recall? i went back a ways in this thread and didn't see the discussion... maybe it was in a different thread.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2015 9:49:09 GMT -5
Im calling it right now, Adeles new album will be a huge flop. ![:dead:](http://ruadventures.com/forum/Smileys/animated/smiley_resurrect_grave.gif)
|
|
|
Post by Leaf on Nov 4, 2015 11:36:18 GMT -5
^ we were discussing this awhile back. i don't recall for sure, but i think there was only one other and it peaked at #51 or something. anyone recall? i went back a ways in this thread and didn't see the discussion... maybe it was in a different thread. Studio by ScHoolboy Q peaked at #38 and was #96 on the 2014 year-end chart
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2015 12:14:32 GMT -5
^ ok, i remember that now. so there hasn't been one outside of the top 50. or even top 40. it's obviously really close to making it - or not - so it could go either way.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 4, 2015 16:53:03 GMT -5
^ we were discussing this awhile back. i don't recall for sure, but i think there was only one other and it peaked at #51 or something. anyone recall? i went back a ways in this thread and didn't see the discussion... maybe it was in a different thread. Studio by ScHoolboy Q peaked at #38 and was #96 on the 2014 year-end chart BTW, nice top 5, Leaf!
|
|
mamooshka
Gold Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 861
|
Post by mamooshka on Nov 4, 2015 20:53:52 GMT -5
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2015 13:34:25 GMT -5
Uh oh.. I think How Deep is your Love has peaked and is now on decline mode, starting to lose some Pop spins and went from 35th to 59th in Itunes in 1 day, so its odds of reaching year end list seems to be low now.
|
|
mamooshka
Gold Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 861
|
Post by mamooshka on Nov 7, 2015 22:24:59 GMT -5
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2015 22:29:42 GMT -5
It wont make it this year.
|
|
Ravi
New Member
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Nov 8, 2015 7:29:22 GMT -5
Where will 'Sorry' land in the YE chart? It will not make it. If it had one more week, it would have.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2015 15:29:41 GMT -5
Based on what I know so far from today's Hot 100 highlights...
Hello has another huge week with about 116k points, which added to last week's massive haul puts her in the YE top 50 as expected. Amazing. Top 40 is on lock now, and top 30 is still a possibility.
The Hills finally makes it to #12, where it might stay. Although it's getting mighty close to CFMF, so that'll be interesting next week.
Hotline Bling jumps into the top 35, and more importantly, it's gaining on Bieber's WDYM with the quickness.
Stitches goes top 40. Wildest Dreams enters the top 60.
Here looks like it's going to squeeze into the YE 100 next week even if it doesn't see an increase in weekly points, which I'm sure it will. Bad news for Throw Some Mo, on my list anyway.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2015 16:12:23 GMT -5
Looking at my predictions again, it seems like HDIYL will have more points than Where Ya At, we will see where both of them land. I feel like they both will either barely make it, or both will barely miss it.
Also, will Wildest Dreams reach top 50 or no?
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2015 16:23:38 GMT -5
^ Wildest Dreams will not make the top 50 on my list without some freakish boost in this final week already underway. As for the other two, they are basically neck and neck in terms of points, so I'll have a better idea of who to give the edge to tomorrow after I know where they stand.
|
|
Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 12,635
|
Post by Dylan :) on Nov 9, 2015 16:39:19 GMT -5
How much points will Adele need to make top 30, and what do you think the chances of her entering it are? The song is truly huge right now.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 9, 2015 16:44:07 GMT -5
How much points will Adele need to make top 30, and what do you think the chances of her entering it are? The song is truly huge right now. It's tough because there are a few strong songs already gunning for top 30 (WDYM and Hotline Bling, with GFY trying to maintain) which all up the ante and decrease Adele's chances. As it appears right now, she would actually need to get more points next week than she did this week to even stand a chance at top 30. But that's without looking at a clear picture, so I'll weigh in on this again tomorrow after updating. BTW, Good For You may surpass Worth It tomorrow it'll be super close - but for sure next week. Hotline Bling and WDYM will definitely end up in the top 30 on my final predictions, which means Worth It will for sure get downgraded to top 40, Dylan. But there's always hope that Billboard will have better news.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 9:44:21 GMT -5
Hypothetical final top 50 YE prediction if next week's Hot 100 were the same as this week's.
01 UPTOWN FUNK - MARK RONSON F/ BRUNO MARS (1) 02 THINKING OUT LOUD - ED SHEERAN (2) 03 SEE YOU AGAIN - WIZ KHALIFA F/ CHARLIE PUTH (1) 04 TRAP QUEEN - FETTY WAP (2) 05 SUGAR - MAROON 5 (2) 06 BLANK SPACE - TAYLOR SWIFT (1) 07 SHUT UP AND DANCE - WALK THE MOON (4) 08 WATCH ME - SILENTO (3) 09 EARNED IT - THE WEEKND (3) 10 CHEERLEADER - OMI (1)
11 THE HILLS - THE WEEKND (1) 12 CAN'T FEEL MY FACE - THE WEEKND (1) 13 TAKE ME TO CHURCH - HOZIER (2) 14 LOVE ME LIKE YOU DO - ELLIE GOULDING (3) 15 BAD BLOOD - TAYLOR SWIFT (1) 16 LEAN ON - MAJOR LAZER X DJ SNAKE F/ M0 (4) 17 SHAKE IT OFF - TAYLOR SWIFT (1)* 18 WANT TO WANT ME - JASON DERULO (5) 19 LIPS ARE MOVIN' - MEGHAN TRAINOR (4) 20 I'M NOT THE ONLY ONE - SAM SMITH (5)
21 WHERE ARE U NOW - SKRILLEX & DIPLO F/ JUSTIN BIEBER (8) 22 FIGHT SONG - RACHEL PLATTEN (6) 23 ALL ABOUT THAT BASS - MEGHAN TRAINOR (1)* 24 679 - FETTY WAP F/ REMY BOYZ (4) 25 STYLE - TAYLOR SWIFT (6) 26 WHAT DO YOU MEAN? - JUSTIN BIEBER (1) 27 POST TO BE - OMARION F/ CHRIS BROWN & JHENE AIKO (13) 28 HONEY, I'M GOOD. - ANDY GRAMMER (9) 29 GOOD FOR YOU - SELENA GOMEZ F/ A$AP ROCKY (5) 30 HOTLINE BLING - DRAKE (2)
31 G.D.F.R. - FLO RIDA F/ SAGE THE GEMINI & LOOKAS (8) 32 WORTH IT - FIFTH HARMONY F/ KID INK (12) 33 HELLO - ADELE (1) 34 HEY MAMA - DAVID GUETTA F/ NICKI MINAJ & AFROJACK (8) 35 JEALOUS - NICK JONAS (7) 36 STITCHES - SHAWN MENDES (4) 37 PHOTOGRAPH - ED SHEERAN (10) 38 TIME OF OUR LIVES - PITBULL & NE-YO (9) 39 LOCKED AWAY - R. CITY F/ ADAM LEVINE (6) 40 FOURFIVESECONDS - RIHANNA & KANYE WEST & PAUL MCCARTNEY (4)
41 TALKING BODY - TOVE LO (12) 42 SOMEBODY - NATALIE LA ROSE F/ JEREMIH (10) 43 ANIMALS - MAROON 5 (3)* 44 CENTURIES - FALL OUT BOY (10) 45 I DON'T f**k WITH YOU - BIG SEAN F/ E-40 (11) 46 TAKE YOUR TIME - SAM HUNT (20) 47 MY WAY - FETTY WAP (7) 48 LOVE ME HARDER - ARIANA GRANDE F/ THE WEEKND (7)* 49 I DON'T MIND - USHER F/ JUICY J (11) 50 ONLY - NICKI MINAJ F/ DRAKE, LIL WAYNE & CHRIS BROWN (12)
Colored pairs are SUPER close to each other in points, so they could swap places. The only new entry in the top 100 would be Here, which sneaks in at #99.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 10:01:53 GMT -5
what about the bottom 50?
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 10:06:26 GMT -5
HYPOTHETICAL as above
51 BITCH BETTER HAVE MY MONEY - RIHANNA (15) 52 WILDEST DREAMS - TAYLOR SWIFT (5) 53 NASTY FREESTYLE - T-WAYNE (9) 54 STAY WITH ME - SAM SMITH (2)* 55 ELASTIC HEART - SIA (17) 56 FLEX (OOH OOH OOH) - RICH HOMIE QUAN (26) 57 THE HEART WANTS WHAT IT WANTS - SELENA GOMEZ (6) 58 RENEGADES - X AMBASSADORS (17) 59 COOL FOR THE SUMMER - DEMI LOVATO (11) 60 TRUFFLE BUTTER - NICKI MINAJ F/ DRAKE & LIL WAYNE (14)
61 7/11 - BEYONCE (13) 62 YOU KNOW YOU LIKE IT - DJ SNAKE & ALUNAGEORGE (13) 63 ONE LAST TIME - ARIANA GRANDE (13) 64 CHAINS - NICK JONAS (13) 65 HABITS (STAY HIGH) - TOVE LO (3)* 66 GIRL CRUSH - LITTLE BIG TOWN (18) 67 UMA THURMAN - FALL OUT BOY (22) 68 DRAG ME DOWN - ONE DIRECTION (3) 69 SLOW MOTION - TREY SONGZ (26) 70 NO TYPE - RAE SREMMURD (16)
71 RIPTIDE - VANCE JOY (30) 72 DEAR FUTURE HUSBAND - MEGHAN TRAINOR (14) 73 ALL EYES ON YOU - MEEK MILL F/ CHRIS BROWN & NICKI MINAJ (21) 74 LAY ME DOWN - SAM SMITH (8) 75 THE HANGING TREE - JAMES NEWTON HOWARD F/ JENNIFER LAWRENCE (12) 76 CLASSIC MAN - JIDENNA F/ ROMAN GIANARTHUR (22) 77 EX'S & OH'S - ELLE KING (12) 78 COCO - O.T. GENASIS (20) 79 AYO - CHRIS BROWN & TYGA (21) 80 BANG BANG - JESSIE J F/ ARIANA GRANDE & NICKI MINAJ (3)*
81 TUESDAY - I LOVE MAKONNEN F/ DRAKE (12)* 82 LIKE I'M GONNA LOSE YOU - MEGHAN TRAINOR F/ JOHN LEGEND (10) 83 DOWNTOWN - MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS F/ ERIC NALLY, MELLE MEL, KOOL MOE DEE & GRANDMASTER CAZ (12) 84 MARVIN GAYE - CHARLIE PUTH F/ MEGHAN TRAINOR (21) 85 BLESSINGS - BIG SEAN F/ DRAKE (28) 86 HIT THE QUAN - @iheartmemphis (15) 87 CHANDELIER - SIA (8)* 88 BUDAPEST - GEORGE EZRA (32) 89 HEARTBEAT SONG - KELLY CLARKSON (21) 90 DON'T - ED SHEERAN (9)*
91 SHE KNOWS - NE-YO F/ JUICY J (19) 92 GHOST - ELLA HENDERSON (21) 93 HOUSE PARTY - SAM HUNT (26) 94 KICK THE DUST UP - LUKE BRYAN (26) 95 WAVES - MR. PROBZ (14) 96 PRAYER IN C - LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ (23) 97 EL PERDON - NICKY JAM & ENRIQUE IGLESIAS (56) 98 NIGHT CHANGES - ONE DIRECTION (31) 99 HERE - ALESSIA CARA (13) 100 I WANT YOU TO KNOW - ZEDD F/ SELENA GOMEZ (17)
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 13:48:02 GMT -5
if there's one song in that bottom 50 list I'd say won't make it to the official list, it would be "I Want You To Know", and beneath it, I would say "How Deep Is Your Love" will probably be the one to get in, mostly because it's stayed grounded throughout its entire run, only once charting lower than the 60's, and peaking at 27 with 10 weeks on the top 50 and 17 weeks, I think it'll get in at 100. I no longer think "Back To Back" will make the list because of how it went down this week, and with 15 weeks, it'll fall just short. I actually think "El Perdon" will make the list just on those 30 weeks alone and its points. It'll be interesting.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 15:05:20 GMT -5
I don't really know what to expect on the official list compared to mine. Should be interesting, especially with the bottom 10 and what makes the cut. The top 10 or 12 seems pretty much set with some potential rank changes, but nothing too major I hope.
|
|
Kris
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2013
Posts: 2,222
|
Post by Kris on Nov 10, 2015 16:15:15 GMT -5
Congrats to Mark Ronson and Walk the Moon for not only staying the entire chart year, but also for staying for a whole year on the chart! Would like to see how long they'd last if they are still here for the Christmas season gift cards.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 16:23:41 GMT -5
Actually, Shut Up and Dances is not actually the full 52 weeks. I believe it entered first in 2014 charts then dropped then like 4 weeks later, it ended up re entering, I think re entered 3rd week of 2015 charts.
|
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 10, 2015 16:29:18 GMT -5
Shut Up and Dance has been on the entire year, that is why. And for the last 20 or so weeks it has been ahead of Sugar in rank. Too funny that you're correcting him when you're the one that said entire year to me just last week. ![:sip:](//storage.proboards.com/1258812/images/WfP77sf444N0bFhVzFU1.gif) You're incorrect on both attempts my friend. SUAD only missed the 1st week of this chart year, dated Dec 6 2014... so it'll be 51 out of 52 weeks.
|
|
|
Post by leredlum on Nov 10, 2015 18:42:46 GMT -5
Thinking Out Loud has charted for the entire year, along with Uptown Funk.
|
|