Daniel Collins
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Post by Daniel Collins on Feb 19, 2015 8:09:42 GMT -5
Mediabase (02/19/15)
1. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 233.937 (+ 1.124)
2. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 188.781 (+ 0.835)
3. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 161.772 (- 1.627)
4. HOZIER - Take Me To Church: 146.876 (- 1.690)
5. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Lips Are Movin: 120.591 (- 1.146)
6. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 116.015 (+ 3.157)
7. NICK JONAS - Jealous: 106.391 (- 1.257)
8. PITBULL - Time Of Our Lives f/Ne-Yo: 106.117 (+ 2.765) ▲
9. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 105.903 (+ 2.335)
10. SAM SMITH – I’m Not The Only One: 105.351 (- 2.261) ▼
11. USHER - I Don't Mind f/Juicy J: 92.145 (+ 0.116)
12. RIHANNA/KANYE WEST/P MCCARTNEY - FourFiveSeconds: 83.382 (+ 3.220)
13. LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ - Prayer In C: 77.058 (+ 0.886) ▲
14. NE-YO - She Knows f/Juicy J: 76.759 (+ 0.365) ▼
15. ELLA HENDERSON - Ghost: 72.425 (+ 0.063)
16. FALL OUT BOY – Centuries: 70.563 (+ 0.213)
17. THOMAS RHETT - Make Me Wanna: 66.934 (+ 0.084)
18. BLAKE SHELTON – Lonely Tonight f/ Ashley Monroe: 63.547 (+ 0.647) ▲
19. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Sun Daze: 63.295 (- 1.599) ▼
20. NICKI MINAJ - Truffle Butter f/Drake...: 62.407 (+ 1.524) ▲
LUKE BRYAN - I See You: 60.210 (- 1.453) ▼
JASON ALDEAN - Just Gettin' Started: 59.882 (+ 0.273)
RANDY HOUSER - Like A Cowboy: 59.670 (+ 0.371)
ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 57.763 (+ 1.974)
BRETT ELDREDGE - Mean To Me: 57.604 (+ 0.271)
NICKI MINAJ - Only f/Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown: 55.971 (+ 0.022)
VANCE JOY - Riptide: 55.475 (+ 0.580)
BEYONCE - 7/11: 52.466 (- 0.669)
KELLY CLARKSON - Heartbeat Song: 48.319 (+ 0.378)
CALVIN HARRIS - Outside f/Ellie Goulding: 47.367 (+ 0.797)
CHRIS BROWN & TYGA - Ayo: 45.174 (+ 1.110)
NATALIE LA ROSE - Somebody f/Jeremih: 44.749 (+ 1.191)
ZAC BROWN BAND - Homegrown: 43.187 (+ 0.511)
J. COLE - Apparently: 35.938 (+ 0.018)
SAM HUNT – Take Your Time: 35.179 (+ 1.180)
IMAGINE DRAGONS - I Bet My Life: 33.007 (+ 0.022)
ONE DIRECTION - Night Changes: 31.009 (+ 0.260)
B.O.B - Not For Long f/Trey Songz: 30.740 (+ 0.414)
NICK JONAS - Chains: 24.629 (+ 0.949)
DRAKE - How About Now: 23.910 (+ 0.282)
FLO RIDA – GDFR f/ Sage The Gemini: 22.449 (+ 0.541)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Little Red Wagon: 22.397 (+ 0.343)
RAE SREMMURD - Throw Sum Mo f/Nicki Minaj: 21.107 (+ 0.511)
THE WEEKND - Earned It: 21.488 (+ 1.014)
ARIANA GRANDE – One Last Time: 20.474 (+ 1.522)
NICKI MINAJ – Feeling Myself f/Beyoncé: 17.917 (+ 0.148)
TOVE LO - Talking Body: 15.482 (+ 0.049)
GEORGE EZRA - Budapest: 13.856 (+ 0.055)
TORI KELLY - Nobody Love: 13.186 (+ 0.571)
SAM SMITH – Lay Me Down: 12.977 (+ 0.772)
KANYE WEST - Only One f/Paul McCartney: 9.918 (- 0.085)
CIARA - I Bet: 7.762 (+ 0.279)
MADONNA – Living For Love: 7.283 (+ 1.356)
JESSIE J – Masterpiece: 6.478 (- 0.041)
ECHOSMITH - Bright: 5.096 (+ 0.187)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE - What Kind Of Man: 4.877 (+ 0.759)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Little Toy Guns: 4.219 (+ 0.316)
IGGY AZALEA – Trouble f/Jennifer Hudson: 3.145 (+ 0.108)
SIA – Elastic Heart: 2.550 (+ 0.029)
FIFTH HARMONY - Worth It f/Kid Ink: 2.519 (+ 0.074)
CHARLI XCX - Doing It: 0.699 (+ 0.027)
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born
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Post by born on Feb 19, 2015 11:47:02 GMT -5
So, what are your predictions for "Style" and "Thinking Out Loud" this week?
Is there a chance for Style to enter the top 5?
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born
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Post by born on Feb 19, 2015 12:02:49 GMT -5
Kworb's predictions for this week (I will post an update of the sales predictions tomorrow and then Tuesday)
1)Love Me Like You Do (254k) [Greatest Gainer]
2)Uptown Funk (243k)
3)Thinking Out Loud (220k)
4)Fourfiveseconds (192k)
5)Sugar (166k)
6)Earned It (143k)
7)Style (110k)
8)Take Me To Church (104k)
-- Wonderland (104k)
10)Energy (83k)
PS: The green font colour indicates: sales increase (over 15%), the red: decrease (over 15%), the blue: increase or decrease (0-15%) and the purple: new release.
Btw, is there a problem with me posting the updates? If you don't like it tell me and I'm stopping it.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 12:17:25 GMT -5
So, what are your predictions for "Style" and "Thinking Out Loud" this week? Is there a chance for Style to enter the top 5? Thinking Out Loud is now below Uptown Funk in sales according to Kworb's predictions, so it will surely stay at #2 this week. Style will continue to grow in airplay so given that it stays steady in sales and streaming it has a good chance of reaching the top 5 once Take Me To Church and FourFiveSeconds die down. my prediction for next week: 1. Uptown Funk (15% lead) 2. Thinking Out Loud 3. Love Me Like You Do 4. Sugar 5. FourFiveSeconds 6. Take Me To Church 7. Style 8. Blank Space 9. Earned It 10. Time Of Our Lives |
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icefire9
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Post by icefire9 on Feb 19, 2015 12:27:39 GMT -5
So, what are your predictions for "Style" and "Thinking Out Loud" this week? Is there a chance for Style to enter the top 5? Thinking Out Loud will remain at #2. Its below Uptown Funk on iTunes, radio, and presumably streaming, there is essentially zero chance of it getting #1 this week. There's no way that Style enters the top 5 on the Hot 100 this week, there's actually a fairly good chance it'll fall out of the top 10 (though if it does, there's also a good chance it will re-enter at some point). The video release gave it a huge boost in streaming last week that'll largely disappear now, so its just a matter of if airplay can increase enough to make up for that loss. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 12:37:17 GMT -5
So, what are your predictions for "Style" and "Thinking Out Loud" this week? Is there a chance for Style to enter the top 5? Thinking Out Loud will remain at #2. Its below Uptown Funk on iTunes, radio, and presumably streaming, there is essentially zero chance of it getting #1 this week. There's no way that Style enters the top 5 on the Hot 100 this week, there's actually a fairly good chance it'll fall out of the top 10 (though if it does, there's also a good chance it will re-enter at some point). The video release gave it a huge boost in streaming last week that'll largely disappear now, so its just a matter of if airplay can increase enough to make up for that loss. Not really...it only got three days of streaming last week vs. a full seven days this week. It'll probably get a bit more streaming this week. I think it will go up to #7 or #8 this week. It's stead in sales and rapidly climbing in airplay. |
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Feb 19, 2015 13:19:38 GMT -5
My prediction for next week:
1. / 2. Uptown Funk or Love Me Like You Do (I think it is too close to call yet, all depends on how radio plays out, I think)
3. Thinking Out Loud
4. FourFiveSeconds
5. Take Me To Church
6. Sugar
7. Style
8. Blank Space
9. / 10. Earned It or Time Of Our Lives
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 13:38:47 GMT -5
My prediction for next week: 1. / 2. Uptown Funk or Love Me Like You Do (I think it is too close to call yet, all depends on how radio plays out, I think) 3. Thinking Out Loud 4. FourFiveSeconds 5. Take Me To Church 6. Sugar 7. Style 8. Blank Space 9. / 10. Earned It or Time Of Our Lives wtf...LMLYD is way too far behind TOL and UF in airplay and even in streaming. It's barely even ahead of UF in sales (maybe by 10k maxby the end of this week). There's no way it will be in the top 2 this week. #3 is reachable and perhaps eventually it will go higher but definitely won't be above UF or TOL this week. |
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icefire9
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Post by icefire9 on Feb 19, 2015 13:57:51 GMT -5
At the rate its going, Love Me Like You Do will be top 10 in Airplay in about 3 weeks, at which point its possible that it could challenge UF/TOL for #1. Even then though, UF would be at or above double its airplay, which is a lot of points to make up in streaming and sales.
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ILLUSION
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Post by ILLUSION on Feb 19, 2015 14:00:54 GMT -5
Wow, Ellie could be getting her first #1 on the Hot 100!? Go her!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 14:58:59 GMT -5
I still wish Lights would've been her first #1 :(
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born
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Post by born on Feb 19, 2015 15:04:10 GMT -5
Yeah.. Lights was so good but my all time favorite songs are Figure 8, My Blood and probably LMLYD! The first 2 won't ever hit #1, hoping the 3rd will :)
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Taylor.
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Post by Taylor. on Feb 19, 2015 15:11:03 GMT -5
Goodness Gracious should have been her first #1. Forever bitter they scrapped that in favour of Beating Heart. >:(
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 15:16:47 GMT -5
I remember seeing the video for GG in early 2014 and thinking it was gonna be her next single lol. Disappointed was I to find out it was not.
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jebsib
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Post by jebsib on Feb 19, 2015 18:25:28 GMT -5
Is "Wonderland" eligible to chart?
I've frankly lost track of all these type of rules.
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brady47
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Post by brady47 on Feb 19, 2015 18:36:39 GMT -5
It's so weird how Lights flopped in the UK (where she was well known at the time), but became a huge breakthrough hit for her in North America.
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icefire9
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Post by icefire9 on Feb 19, 2015 18:39:31 GMT -5
Goodness Gracious should have been her first #1. Forever bitter they scrapped that in favour of Beating Heart. >:( Goodness Gracious is such a masterpiece. I'm still not over it getting scrapped. |
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Dylan :)
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smth 'bout youu
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Post by Dylan :) on Feb 19, 2015 18:40:13 GMT -5
I loved Beating Heart </3
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 19, 2015 18:57:41 GMT -5
It's so weird how Lights flopped in the UK (where she was well known at the time), but became a huge breakthrough hit for her in North America. I know right lol my exact thought when I looked at the 2012 year-end charts at the end of 2012. The true definition of irony  |
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Feb 19, 2015 19:53:46 GMT -5
My prediction for next week: 1. / 2. Uptown Funk or Love Me Like You Do (I think it is too close to call yet, all depends on how radio plays out, I think) 3. Thinking Out Loud 4. FourFiveSeconds 5. Take Me To Church 6. Sugar 7. Style 8. Blank Space 9. / 10. Earned It or Time Of Our Lives woah Woah Woah. Ellie is no where close to the airplay of Ed and Bruno, top 3 is likely but top two won't happen until it's airplay reaches the top 2. |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 19, 2015 20:48:48 GMT -5
Why wouldn't "Wonderland" be eligible?
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jdanton2
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Post by jdanton2 on Feb 20, 2015 2:23:33 GMT -5
My prediction for next week: 1. / 2. Uptown Funk or Love Me Like You Do (I think it is too close to call yet, all depends on how radio plays out, I think) 3. Thinking Out Loud 4. FourFiveSeconds 5. Take Me To Church 6. Sugar 7. Style 8. Blank Space 9. / 10. Earned It or Time Of Our Lives woah Woah Woah. Ellie is no where close to the airplay of Ed and Bruno, top 3 is likely but top two won't happen until it's airplay reaches the top 2. Uptown Funk has 2 versions on itunes so overall it has been close or ahead of Ella through out the week. by the way both Uptown Funk , Thinking Out Loud and Lips Are Movin will be performed next week on American Idol by contestants. Take Me To Church was performed this week. |
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jebsib
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Post by jebsib on Feb 20, 2015 9:01:23 GMT -5
HG, you're right, it's not a Grat Single, correct -- good. It bangs.
Chances of Madonna debuting this week?
#108 last week, but that was with the Grammy effect in full bloom.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 20, 2015 9:30:46 GMT -5
^I don't think "Living For Love' will graduate from BU on this coming week's chart. Sales- while not hue last week- will drop some. Airplay should see a gain, but probably not enough to compensate. So that leaves streaming, which, with increased airplay, could pick up some.
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Feb 20, 2015 9:55:23 GMT -5
Why is "UF" still increasing in airplay? Wow.
Why isn't radio jumping on Ellie's song more when people are clearly liking it?
Why is Madonna's song suddenly gaining?
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HolidayGuy
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Posts: 33,918
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 20, 2015 10:04:23 GMT -5
^The original plan, per Madonna in December, was to start pushing "Living For Love" at radio around Valentine's Day. Even though the release has been a bit unorthodox (making it available in December, and as part of the pre-order), it looks like they stuck with those initial plans.
Looking at Spotify numbers (which supposedly are worldwide counts), the plays for the song are up some 200K since yesterday, so maybe airplay is having an impact.
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icefire9
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Post by icefire9 on Feb 20, 2015 10:05:45 GMT -5
Why isn't radio jumping on Ellie's song more when people are clearly liking it? Love Me Like You Do is actually increasing very quickly for an Ellie Goulding song. |
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Feb 20, 2015 10:20:07 GMT -5
Anyone know ho the Spotify charts work? Like, I know "Living For Love" is up 200K or so plays since I checked yesterday, yet I don't see it on the daily most-played global chart.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2015 10:49:37 GMT -5
Goodness Gracious should have been her first #1. Forever bitter they scrapped that in favour of Beating Heart. >:( Goodness Gracious is such a masterpiece. I'm still not over it getting scrapped. Wait but wasn't it scrapped because of Burn still not having peaked yet at the time? I'm pretty sure Burn was still climbing in airplay when GG came out if I'm not mistaken... |
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Kris
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Post by Kris on Feb 20, 2015 11:24:56 GMT -5
UPDATE 02/20/2015
TOP 10
1. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 235.624 (+ 1.687)
2. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 189.714 (+ 0.933)
3. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 159.746 (- 2.026)
4. HOZIER - Take Me To Church: 144.745 (- 2.131)
5. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Lips Are Movin: 119.473 (- 1.118)
6. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 119.393 (+ 3.378)
7. PITBULL - Time Of Our Lives f/Ne-Yo: 108.314 (+ 2.197) ▲
8. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 107.986 (+ 2.083) ▲
9. NICK JONAS - Jealous: 105.099 (- 1.292) ▼
10. SAM SMITH – I’m Not The Only One: 102.590 (- 2.761)
11. USHER - I Don't Mind f/Juicy J: 91.721 (- 0.424)
12. RIHANNA/KANYE WEST/P MCCARTNEY - FourFiveSeconds: 85.650 (+ 2.268)
13. NE-YO - She Knows f/Juicy J: 78.028 (+ 1.269) ▲
14. LILLYWOOD & ROBIN SCHULZ - Prayer In C: 77.954 (+ 0.896) ▼
15. ELLA HENDERSON - Ghost: 72.666 (+ 0.241)
16. FALL OUT BOY – Centuries: 71.611 (+ 1.048)
17. THOMAS RHETT - Make Me Wanna: 66.961 (+ 0.027)
18. BLAKE SHELTON – Lonely Tonight f/ Ashley Monroe: 63.573 (+ 0.026)
19. NICKI MINAJ - Truffle Butter f/Drake...: 63.499 (+ 1.092) ▲
20. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Sun Daze: 61.647 (- 1.648) ▼
CURIOSIDADES
JASON ALDEAN - Just Gettin' Started: 59.947 (+ 0.065)
RANDY HOUSER - Like A Cowboy: 59.507 (- 0.163)
ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 59.380 (+ 1.617)
BRETT ELDREDGE - Mean To Me: 57.980 (+ 0.376)
NICKI MINAJ - Only f/Drake, Lil Wayne, Chris Brown: 55.762 (- 0.209)
VANCE JOY - Riptide: 55.414 (- 0.061)
BEYONCE - 7/11: 52.694 (+ 0.228)
KELLY CLARKSON - Heartbeat Song: 8.791 (+ 0.472)
CALVIN HARRIS - Outside f/Ellie Goulding: 47.608 (+ 0.241)
CHRIS BROWN & TYGA - Ayo: 46.966 (+ 1.792)
NATALIE LA ROSE - Somebody f/Jeremih: 45.91 (+ 1.222)
ZAC BROWN BAND - Homegrown: 43.240 (+ 0.053)
SAM HUNT – Take Your Time: 36.091 (+ 0.912)
J. COLE - Apparently: 35.938 (- 0.047)
IMAGINE DRAGONS - I Bet My Life: 33.013 (+ 0.006)
ONE DIRECTION - Night Changes: 31.162 (+ 0.153)
B.O.B - Not For Long f/Trey Songz: 31.367 (+ 0.627)
NICK JONAS - Chains: 25.488 (+ 0.859)
DRAKE - How About Now: 23.880 (- 0.030)
FLO RIDA – GDFR f/ Sage The Gemini: 23.528 (+ 1.079)
MIRANDA LAMBERT - Little Red Wagon: 22.597 (+ 0.200)
ARIANA GRANDE – One Last Time: 22.384 (+ 1.910)
THE WEEKND - Earned It: 22.021 (+ 0.533)
RAE SREMMURD - Throw Sum Mo f/Nicki Minaj: 21.828 (+ 0.721)
NICKI MINAJ – Feeling Myself f/Beyoncé: 18.134 (+ 0.217)
TOVE LO - Talking Body: 15.538 (+ 0.056)
GEORGE EZRA - Budapest: 14.273 (+ 0.417
SAM SMITH – Lay Me Down: 13.920 (+ 0.943)
TORI KELLY - Nobody Love: 13.442 (+ 0.256)
KANYE WEST - Only One f/Paul McCartney: 9.950 (+ 0.032)
MADONNA – Living For Love: 8.588 (+ 1.305)
CIARA - I Bet: 7.984 (+ 0.222)
JESSIE J – Masterpiece: 6.379 (- 0.099
ECHOSMITH - Bright: 5.428 (+ 0.332)
FLORENCE + THE MACHINE - What Kind Of Man: 4.741 (- 0.136)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD – Little Toy Guns: 4.585 (+ 0.366)
IGGY AZALEA – Trouble f/Jennifer Hudson: 3.132 (- 0.013)
SIA – Elastic Heart: 2.587 (+ 0.037)
FIFTH HARMONY - Worth It f/Kid Ink: 2.756 (+ 0.237)
CHARLI XCX - Doing It: 0.732 (+ 0.033)
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