Billboard Hot 100 : 09/26/2015

[Daniel Collins]

Kworb

2015/09/09

*** = dropped or added a format

1. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 182.503 (-0.417)
2. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 152.065 (-0.246)
3. OMI - Cheerleader: 137.710 (-2.392)
4. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 133.056 (+1.000)
5. SELENA GOMEZ - Good For You f/A$AP Rocky: 125.352 (+1.258)
6. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 107.320 (+1.523)
7. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 102.997 (+2.617) ▲
8. DEMI LOVATO - Cool For The Summer: 101.825 (+0.225)
9. RACHEL PLATTEN - Fight Song: 101.240 (-1.195) ▼
10. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 99.968 (-0.241)
11. FALL OUT BOY - Uma Thurman: 92.146 (+0.353)
12. TAYLOR SWIFT - Bad Blood: 85.810 (-1.365)
13. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 71.483 (-0.588)
14. WIZ KHALIFA - See You Again f/Charlie Puth: 69.074 (-1.069)
15. SKRILLEX & DIPLO - Where Are U Now f/J. Bieber: 68.407 (-1.568)
16. THOMAS RHETT - Crash And Burn: 65.767 (+0.390)
17. DUSTIN LYNCH - Hell Of A Night: 63.370 (-1.411)
18. FETTY WAP - My Way f/Monty: 60.558 (-0.398)
19. CHRIS JANSON - Buy Me A Boat: 60.435 (+0.312)
20. KEITH URBAN - John Cougar, John Deere...: 60.098 (+0.194) ▲

21. ANDY GRAMMER - Honey, I'm Good: 59.485 (-0.435) ▼
22. MARK RONSON - Uptown Funk f/Bruno Mars: 58.475 (+0.645***)
23. KENNY CHESNEY - Save It For A Rainy Day: 57.331 (+0.773)
24. BRETT ELDREDGE - Lose My Mind: 55.390 (+0.480) ▲
25. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 54.123 (+1.702) ▲
26. SAM HUNT - House Party: 53.888 (-1.157) ▼
27. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 53.397 (+0.304***) ▼
28. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 51.739 (+2.090) ▲
29. MAROON 5 - Sugar: 50.024 (-0.865) ▼
30. CHARLIE PUTH - Marvin Gaye f/Meghan Trainor: 49.139 (+0.653)
31. RICH HOMIE QUAN - Flex: 46.466 (+0.032)
32. DAVID GUETTA - Hey Mama f/Nicki Minaj: 44.925 (-0.532)
33. ED SHEERAN - Thinking Out Loud: 44.854 (-0.209)
34. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 43.882 (+0.818) ▲
35. FIFTH HARMONY - Worth It f/Kid Ink: 43.572 (+0.009***) ▼
36. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 42.876 (+0.895) ▲
37. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 42.160 (+0.507) ▲
38. TAYLOR SWIFT - Style: 42.062 (-0.032) ▼
39. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS - Downtown: 39.622 (+1.876) ▲
40. JIDENNA - Classic Man: 39.402 (-1.071) ▼

41. FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Anything Goes: 39.010 (-0.116) ▼
42. ONE DIRECTION - Drag Me Down: 38.942 (+0.367) ▲
43. ELLIE GOULDING - Love Me Like You Do: 38.709 (-0.094) ▼
44. LUKE BRYAN - Strip It Down: 38.574 (+1.104) ▲
45. MADDIE & TAE - Fly: 38.511 (+0.050) ▼
46. JEREMIH - Planes f/J. Cole: 38.221 (-0.141) ▼
47. ERIC CHURCH - Like A Wrecking Ball: 38.142 (-0.591) ▼
48. CHASE RICE - Gonna Wanna Tonight: 38.067 (+0.646) ▲
49. MEEK MILL - All Eyes On You f/Minaj/Brown: 37.920 (+0.390) ▼
50. THE WEEKND - Earned It: 36.638 (+0.061)
51. COLE SWINDELL - Let Me See Ya Girl: 35.226 (+0.279)
52. TOVE LO - Talking Body: 34.836 (+0.074)
53. ADAM LAMBERT - Ghost Town: 33.770 (+0.469) ▲
54. DAN + SHAY - Nothin' Like You: 33.289 (+0.088) ▲
55. FRANKIE BALLARD - Young & Crazy: 32.738 (-1.474) ▼
56. OMARION - Post To Be f/Chris Brown&Jhene: 32.690 (-0.099***) ▲
57. TAYLOR SWIFT - Blank Space: 32.623 (-0.051) ▲
58. HAILEE STEINFELD - Love Myself: 32.435 (+1.500***) ▲
59. SILENTO - Watch Me: 32.124 (-1.352) ▼
60. BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 31.233 (+0.221)

61. CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Smoke Break: 31.029 (+0.658) ▲
62. NICKY JAM - El Perdon: 30.998 (+0.280) ▲
63. FETTY WAP - Trap Queen: 30.958 (-0.180) ▼
64. JAKE OWEN - Real Life: 30.855 (-0.031) ▼
65. OLD DOMINION - Break Up With Him: 30.471 (+0.613) ▲
66. LADY ANTEBELLUM - Long Stretch Of Love: 30.389 (+0.149) ▼
67. 5 SECONDS OF SUMMER - She's Kinda Hot: 28.831 (-0.309)
68. TREY SONGZ - About You: 28.687 (+0.176)
69. KIP MOORE - I'm To Blame: 27.476 (-0.067) ▲
70. ZEDD - Beautiful Now f/Jon Bellion: 27.118 (-0.692) ▼
71. K CAMP - Comfortable: 26.888 (+0.341) ▲
72. MICHAEL RAY - Kiss You In The Morning: 26.840 (-0.292)
73. RIHANNA - Bitch Better Have My Money: 26.741 (-0.480) ▼
74. DJ SNAKE & ALUNAGEORGE - You Know You Like It: 26.671 (+0.282***) ▲
75. ZAC BROWN BAND - Loving You Easy: 26.282 (-0.482) ▼

96. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 19.278 (+1.102)

[Deleted]

Call me crazy, but I feel like The Weeknd will in fact return to #1 this week, either with CFMF or The Hills.

[Deleted]

Sept 9, 2015 14:11:49 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Call me crazy, but I feel like The Weeknd will in fact return to #1 this week, either with CFMF or The Hills.

Too early to tell, but I hope The Hills can eventually get at least a week at the top soon.

[Deleted]

Sept 9, 2015 15:51:06 GMT -5 @jakelmmrs44 said:

Sept 9, 2015 14:11:49 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Call me crazy, but I feel like The Weeknd will in fact return to #1 this week, either with CFMF or The Hills.

Too early to tell, but I hope The Hills can eventually get at least a week at the top soon.

Same, and I know it's a bit far-fetched but I would also like The Weeknd to simultaneously occupy the top two for a week. I heard the Bieber song today, and I don't mind it, but surely I like The Hills and CFMF much more

but clearly WDYM will have a big sales drop this week - bigger than that of SYA in its second post-FF7 week. The question is will that be enough for The Weeknd to regain the throne with either of his two songs...

[Spidey]

Sept 9, 2015 18:09:50 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Sept 9, 2015 15:51:06 GMT -5 @jakelmmrs44 said:

Too early to tell, but I hope The Hills can eventually get at least a week at the top soon.

Same, and I know it's a bit far-fetched but I would also like The Weeknd to simultaneously occupy the top two for a week. I heard the Bieber song today, and I don't mind it, but surely I like The Hills and CFMF much more

but clearly WDYM will have a big sales drop this week - bigger than that of SYA in its second post-FF7 week. The question is will that be enough for The Weeknd to regain the throne with either of his two songs...

Current Kworb estimates:

What Do You Mean - 173,000 (-48%)
The Hills - 123,000 (-4%)
Can't Feel My Face - 119,000 (-26%)

[wjr15]

It's gonna be a close one this week. Justin and The Weeknd both have a good chance of being #1 this week

[Enigma.]

The acoustic video helps Justin a lot

[SPRΞΞ]

Sept 10, 2015 8:59:56 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

The acoustic video helps Justin a lot

Is that why he just got a huge green update?

[Enigma.]

Could be, even though the performance has been on Youtube for 2 days already. I was mainly thinking of streaming

[kanimal]

Sept 10, 2015 11:39:26 GMT -5 SPRΞΞ said:

Sept 10, 2015 8:59:56 GMT -5 Enigma. said:

The acoustic video helps Justin a lot

Is that why he just got a huge green update?

That's more likely due to the Today Show performance.

[Dylan :)]

Ariana better get the same amount of promo/hype from Scooter as Justin did!

[yuh yuh]

Sept 10, 2015 13:33:10 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

Ariana better get the same amount of promo/hype from Scooter as Justin did!

Definitely agree! I hope Focus will also debut at No. 1 (as I think it'll be good as her My Everything era singles)

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

What happened to Bitch Better Have My Money? It returned on iTunes chart and went as high as #27 sf!! Where's the viral video?

[cause_for_celebration]

Sept 10, 2015 19:29:26 GMT -5 THINKIN BOUT YOU said:

What happened to Bitch Better Have My Money? It returned on iTunes chart and went as high as #27 sf!! Where's the viral video?

www.eonline.com/news/694349/ellen-degeneres-sings-bitch-better-have-my-money-and-jimmy-fallon-does-the-nae-nae-watch-their-lip-sync-battle

[85la]

I know this was last week's chart, but did Billboard get rid of the CMA/Pre-Order sales deduction rule, because it seems like with how well the Weeknd's songs placed, they did.

[YourFaveIsAFlop]

Sept 10, 2015 23:47:05 GMT -5 85la said:

I know this was last week's chart, but did Billboard get rid of the CMA/Pre-Order sales deduction rule, because it seems like with how well the Weeknd's songs placed, they did.

No. That is how well that did. Plus he had 60 million streams

[kanimal]

Sept 10, 2015 23:47:05 GMT -5 85la said:

I know this was last week's chart, but did Billboard get rid of the CMA/Pre-Order sales deduction rule, because it seems like with how well the Weeknd's songs placed, they did.

CMA wouldn't really apply too dramatically to anything that wasn't purchased ahead of time.  And the pre-order absolutely wouldn't affect anything that wasn't issued as an instant grat.

Remember, the Complete My Album adjustment also has no bearing on Hot 100 position.  It only affects the song's placement on Digital Songs and historical sales total.

That said, we do know that there was a CMA adjustment applied to the singles.  Kworb, which nailed it with many singles last week, reported 162K for Can't Feel My face, but Billboard/Nielsen only said 126K.

What I still can't figure out is why there was such a dramatic effect LAST WEEK (before you could even purchase the album).

[Dylan :)]

It is unfortunate BBHMM gets this big boost in sales the week after it falls of the chart. I've probably asked this more times than I should, but is there a chance it could re enter?

[brady47]

Sept 11, 2015 11:06:29 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

It is unfortunate BBHMM gets this big boost in sales the week after it falls of the chart. I've probably asked this more times than I should, but is there a chance it could re enter?

Yeah, if it managed to stay one more week, it'll probably would be able to squeeze 3-4 more weeks on the Hot 100. It's longevity was amazing.

[Kworb]

Sales estimates

1. What Do You Mean? 173,000
2. The Hills 122,000
3. Can't Feel My Face 116,000
4. Locked Away 95,000
5. Wildest Dreams 89,000
6. Watch Me 88,000
7. Stitches 84,000
8. Downtown 70,000
9. Hotline Bling 67,000
10. 679 66,000
11. Marvin Gaye 59,000
12. Fight Song 59,000
13. Cheerleader 58,000
14. Good For You 54,000
15. Drag Me Down 50,000
16. Cool For The Summer 49,000
17. Where Are Ü Now 48,000
18. Love Myself 45,000
19. Lean On 44,000
20. Ex's & Oh's 43,000

kworb.net/cc

[handydandy]

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

[Dylan :)]

Sept 11, 2015 13:22:05 GMT -5 handydandy said:

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

I think similar to Fight Song, maybe not as well

[renfield75]

Sept 11, 2015 13:22:05 GMT -5 handydandy said:

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

For some reason, it seems a lot of songs are getting hung up at #s 12 and 13 this year. Maybe there?

[Ravi]

This week's top-3 are gonna be very close. Predictions:

1. WDYM - 173-55-18.0 = 40,000
2. CFMF - 116-145-14.0 = 39,700
3. TH - 122-95-16.0 = 37,500

So not much difference between these songs..... WDYM/CFMF should be competing for #1, but TH may also pull a surprise. Streaming will once again decide which song wins.

[Dylan :)]

Sept 11, 2015 13:40:30 GMT -5 renfield75 said:

Sept 11, 2015 13:22:05 GMT -5 handydandy said:

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

For some reason, it seems a lot of songs are getting hung up at #s 12 and 13 this year. Maybe there?

Worth It, One Last Time, Chains, Post To Be, Talking Body, Dear Future Husband, possibly Photograph  :'( (although I don't care for PTB, DFH or P)

[Deleted]

Sept 11, 2015 13:22:05 GMT -5 handydandy said:

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

Its streaming is quite weak if I'm not mistaken, but I think it might scrape the top 10 (I'm gonna say a #9 peak). And I predict it will be on the chart until around Christmas/New Years time.

[House Lannister]

Sept 11, 2015 13:22:05 GMT -5 handydandy said:

What do you guys predict "Stitches" will do on the HOT 100?

Call me an optimist, but I think Stitches could go as high as #7.  Sales are solid and radio is catching on.  For him to go higher, I think he needs something to happen with streaming, though.

[Deleted]

Sept 11, 2015 13:52:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

This week's top-3 are gonna be very close. Predictions:

1. WDYM - 173-55-18.0 = 40,000
2. CFMF - 116-145-14.0 = 39,700
3. TH - 122-95-16.0 = 37,500

So not much difference between these songs..... WDYM/CFMF should be competing for #1, but TH may also pull a surprise. Streaming will once again decide which song wins.

That is indeed very close! Although I'm surprised TH is still behind CFMF, since it seemed the former is ahead in both sales and streaming and not too far behind in airplay. Well I would be ok with either one being #1, but I do hope TH eventually reaches #1. I'm really glad that this song is working out well with pop radio (will be top ten tomorrow)!

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Sept 11, 2015 14:08:27 GMT -5 Dylan :) said:

Sept 11, 2015 13:40:30 GMT -5 renfield75 said:

For some reason, it seems a lot of songs are getting hung up at #s 12 and 13 this year. Maybe there?

Worth It, One Last Time, Chains, Post To Be, Talking Body, Dear Future Husband, possibly Photograph  :'( (although I don't care for PTB, DFH or P)

You know you like it but peak 13 drives you insane, what ye want, what ye gonna do?

[THINKIN BOUT YOU]

Sept 11, 2015 16:40:52 GMT -5 @markg94 said:

Sept 11, 2015 13:52:27 GMT -5 Ravi said:

This week's top-3 are gonna be very close. Predictions:

1. WDYM - 173-55-18.0 = 40,000
2. CFMF - 116-145-14.0 = 39,700
3. TH - 122-95-16.0 = 37,500

So not much difference between these songs..... WDYM/CFMF should be competing for #1, but TH may also pull a surprise. Streaming will once again decide which song wins.

That is indeed very close! Although I'm surprised TH is still behind CFMF, since it seemed the former is ahead in both sales and streaming and not too far behind in airplay. Well I would be ok with either one being #1, but I do hope TH eventually reaches #1. I'm really glad that this song is working out well with pop radio (will be top ten tomorrow)!

When The Hills first released, I would cross my fingers to see this wonderful song entering top 10, but right now it almost has no.1 in the bag (if there's no Justin' )
How did it get such a solid streaming considering his "face" was like no one to be seen... on YouTube!