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Post by purplefebruary on Oct 23, 2015 6:58:35 GMT -5
I'm a total noob, but seeing as the new Adele song was just released today and the Hot 100 charts are every Mon/Tues, would it be too late to make a top 10 debut or is it still entirely possible? I wouldn't put it past it given how big of a deal that release is.
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lyhom
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Post by lyhom on Oct 23, 2015 7:12:25 GMT -5
Yeah, it would debut next week since the sales are from friday to thursday
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aser94
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Post by aser94 on Oct 23, 2015 7:14:07 GMT -5
The sales/streaming tracking week starting today and ending Thursday corresponds to the 11/14 chart, so it'll most likely debut then. But because the airplay tracking week (Monday-Sunday) is out of whack with sales/streaming, Adele will actually get three days' worth of Hot 100 points from airplay for the 11/7 chart, but we'll have to see whether that's enough to debut on the Hot 100. (I think she'll probably bubble under.)
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Clauss
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Post by Clauss on Oct 23, 2015 7:57:06 GMT -5
Lol at the top 3 on iTunes and their basics names. Feels like learning English
Hello, Sorry, Home
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2015 9:40:22 GMT -5
I know digital track sales have declined in recent years... but I think Adele will far exceed 300k first week. The hype, the broadness of her audience... it's unparalleled right now. Maybe it'll be stifled by a pre-order instant gratification situation with the album going up for pre-orders tomorrow... but that would be the only reason it doesn't do HUGE numbers, imo. But instant grats are still counted as single sales and not subtracted until the album release, so this shouldn't be a problem for her, should it? That policy changed last year. Effective Friday, October 10th, 2014, iTunes sales reported to Nielsen SoundScan will no longer include instant gratification tracks delivered prior to the release of an album when the consumer purchases the entire album. The purchase of the album, as an individual transaction, will be counted when the complete project has been delivered upon album release. Individual tracks purchases will still be counted at the time of purchase and returned at the time the consumer decides to “Complete My Album”.www.thatericalper.com/2014/09/18/itunes-reporting-methodology-change-impacting-nielsen-soundscan-u-s-canada/ |
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Post by erjentaps on Oct 23, 2015 9:48:01 GMT -5
Mediabase 10/23/2015
TOP 10
1. THE WEEKND - The Hills: 181.103 (- 0.212)
2. TAYLOR SWIFT - Wildest Dreams: 174.253 (+ 1.650)
3. JUSTIN BIEBER - What Do You Mean?: 154.768 (- 0.046)
4. DRAKE - Hotline Bling: 137.557 (+ 2.259) ▲
5. R. CITY - Locked Away f/Adam Levine: 134.480 (- 2.793) ▼
6. SHAWN MENDES - Stitches: 123.118 (+ 1.727)
7. THE WEEKND - Can't Feel My Face: 108.482 (- 2.858)
8. X AMBASSADORS - Renegades: 107.346 (+ 1.247)
9. ED SHEERAN - Photograph: 99.918 (- 2.943)
10. ELLE KING - Ex's and Oh's: 94.652 (+ 1.647) ▲
FILA
11. SELENA GOMEZ - Good For You f/A$AP Rocky: 91.548 (- 1.736) ▼
12. MAJOR LAZER - Lean On f/MØ & DJ Snake: 82.911 (- 0.990)
13. FETTY WAP - 679 f/Remy Boyz...: 81.601 (+ 1.561)
14. WALK THE MOON - Shut Up And Dance: 78.244 (- 0.970)
15. ALESSIA CARA - Here: 65.417 (+ 2.300) ▲
16. MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS - Downtown: 65.084 (- 0.560) ▼
17. JASON DERULO - Want To Want Me: 64.888 (- 0.115)
18. LUKE BRYAN - Strip It Down: 64.650 (- 0.501) ▼
19. MEGHAN TRAINOR - Like I'm Gonna Lose You: 64.043 (+ 2.205) ▲
20. ONE DIRECTION - Drag Me Down: 62.831 (+ 0.156) ▼
CURIOSIDADES
FLORIDA-GEORGIA LINE - Anything Goes: 61.007 (+ 0.451)
ELLIE GOULDING - On My Mind: 60.292 (+ 0.961)
COLE SWINDELL - Let Me See Ya Girl: 58.164 (+ 0.771)
CARRIE UNDERWOOD - Smoke Break: 56.502 (+ 0.905)
CALVIN HARRIS + DISCIPLES - How Deep Is Your Love: 52.479 (+ 0.669)
BLAKE SHELTON - Gonna: 48.089 (+ 0.436)
SELENA GOMEZ - Same Old Love: 40.283 (+ 0.903)
DEMI LOVATO - Confident: 28.412 (+ 1.154)
RUDIMENTAL - Lay It All On Me f/Ed Sheeran: 27.907 (+ 1.145)
THOMAS RHETT - Die A Happy Man: 22.056 (+ 0.754)
RACHEL PLATTEN - Stand By You: 15.811 (+ 0.224)
CHRIS BROWN - Zero: 10.240 (+ 0.522)
ONE DIRECTION - Perfect: 9.239 (+ 1.270)
JUSTIN BIEBER - Sorry: 6.756
FALL OUT BOY - Irresistible f/Demi Lovato: 3.318 (+ 0.652)
GWEN STEFANI - Used To Love You: 2.623 (+ 0.608)
TOVE LO - Moments: 2.614 (+ 0.321)
ADELE - Hello: 0.075
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Post by Mikel Echarri on Oct 23, 2015 10:21:23 GMT -5
Tomorrow its audience will slay |
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 10:55:43 GMT -5
Why??? Why does Adele have to have such instant grat thingy going on? If there's no pre-order thwart then this song is almost hopeful to break Flo Rida's record.. not impossible to get 700k digital first week..
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2015 10:59:51 GMT -5
At the end of the day, it's about album sales for both the artists and their labels. Hit singles are obviously a goal as well - who doesn't want a #1 song? But ultimately it's the album sales that trump everything.
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Kworb
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Post by Kworb on Oct 23, 2015 11:09:19 GMT -5
Sales estimates 1. Hotline Bling 152,000 2. Perfect 131,000 3. The Hills 109,000 4. Wildest Dreams 89,000 5. Stitches 79,000 6. What Do You Mean? 72,000 7. Downtown 71,000 8. Ex's & Oh's 67,000 9. Same Old Love 65,000 10. Like I'm Gonna Lose You 63,000 11. Die A Happy Man 62,000 12. 679 54,000 13. Confident 51,000 14. On My Mind 49,000 15. Locked Away 48,000 16. Used To Love You Sober 41,000 17. Drag Me Down 41,000 18. Can't Feel My Face 40,000 19. Here 39,000 20. Levels 37,000 Used To Love You 32,000 kworb.net/cc |
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Oct 23, 2015 11:11:16 GMT -5
Ariana betting be releasing the video with the song and radio release on Friday lol
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DJ General
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Post by DJ General on Oct 23, 2015 12:11:01 GMT -5
Adele expected to sell 700,000 downloads in the first week. Is this true?
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Oct 23, 2015 12:21:50 GMT -5
Adele expected to sell 700,000 downloads in the first week. Is this true? I can't find any articles stating a 700k debut in the USA. |
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Post by wavey. on Oct 23, 2015 12:28:49 GMT -5
Supposedly she is at 200k right now...
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 12:31:04 GMT -5
I got so excited over the drama of next week that I don't even like Hello but bought it anyway because it's so exciting to see a potential 700k seller slayin'! I just LOVE the drama of the upcoming weeks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2015 12:43:47 GMT -5
it's going to be a very speculative, rumor-filled, random numbers out of the woodwork kind of week, folks. don't believe a lick of it until Billboard or HitsDD report on it.
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 12:49:45 GMT -5
Refresh my memory: when was the last time #5 on iTunes is below 0.100000000? (Even Shake It Off at most made the #11 below 0.10...)
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 12:56:59 GMT -5
Oops.. I found that Out Of The Woods made #3 on iTunes below 0.10 last October... But thanks to preorder it only sold 190k that week.
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velaxti
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Post by velaxti on Oct 23, 2015 12:58:45 GMT -5
Refresh my memory: when was the last time #5 on iTunes is below 0.100000000? (Even Shake It Off at most made the #11 below 0.10...) It might have never happened before! I think if Adele holds up relatively well for the rest of the week she'll easily debut at #1. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2015 13:06:52 GMT -5
I don't even think its a question of "if"... i think she's got #1 in the bag.
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 13:17:48 GMT -5
Refresh my memory: when was the last time #5 on iTunes is below 0.100000000? (Even Shake It Off at most made the #11 below 0.10...) It might have never happened before! I think if Adele holds up relatively well for the rest of the week she'll easily debut at #1. It DID happen before. I just found Out Of The Woods did a even better job.. |
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musicrocks
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Post by musicrocks on Oct 23, 2015 13:38:56 GMT -5
I don't even think its a question of "if"... i think she's got #1 in the bag. It's easy to say that but unless she keeps this lead for a majority of the week, it's not a given, especially with The Hills and Hotline Bling being so big right now. But I'm rooting for Adele, as most of us are! |
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Oct 23, 2015 14:11:32 GMT -5
Can we just say that ADELE is the true iTunes queen? She's Justin Beiber at less than 30%, thats pretty fantastic. But um where did 700k come from?
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Oct 23, 2015 14:22:39 GMT -5
I don't even think its a question of "if"... i think she's got #1 in the bag. It's easy to say that but unless she keeps this lead for a majrity of the week, it's not a given, especially with The Hills and Hotline Bling being so big right now. But I'm rooting for Adele, as most of us are! She has it the week after. Drake has it this Monday. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 23, 2015 14:53:44 GMT -5
It's easy to say that but unless she keeps this lead for a majrity of the week, it's not a given, especially with The Hills and Hotline Bling being so big right now. But I'm rooting for Adele, as most of us are! She has it the week after. Drake has it this Monday. Thank you. It's totally not even a question at this point, mathematically speaking. Not to sound whatever, but I'm a chart nerd who tracks weekly Hot 100 point totals. I have many points of reference. There's no way Hotline Bling will have more points than Adele in the tracking week that started today. Not with the massive multi-format airplay it's going to have, massive sales... and then add in streaming for good measure. Slam dunk. |
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Verisimilitude
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Post by Verisimilitude on Oct 23, 2015 14:54:57 GMT -5
Spotify US Weekly Top 20 Streams
10/17/2015 - 10/23/2015
1. Hotline Bling 8,085,778
2. The Hills 5,936,822
3. Jumpman 5,671,832
4. What Do You Mean? 5,129,972
5. Can't Feel My Face 4,086,186
6. Perfect 3,947,368
7. Stitches 3,870,156
8. 679 3,805,491
9. Same Old Love 3,087,608
10. On My Mind 2,988,837
11. Again 2,978,778
12. Good For You 2,974,770
13. Trap Queen 2,969,141
14. Here 2,732,146
15. Back To Back 2,726,863
16. Lean On 2,716,461
17. Locked Away 2,546,204
18. White Iverson 2,503,006
19. Downtown 2,472,104
20. Big Rings 2,375,205
Bubbling Under
21. Love Myself 2,317,955
Hope Adele tops 10 million next week.
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HolidayGuy
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Post by HolidayGuy on Oct 23, 2015 15:02:04 GMT -5
Because, as mentioned, Adele's single is tied to the album pre-order, it will be tough to gauge what its actual reported sales tally will be, unless a media outlet posts an actual projection, excluding instant grats.
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wavey.
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Post by wavey. on Oct 23, 2015 15:09:04 GMT -5
She has it the week after. Drake has it this Monday. Thank you. It's totally not even a question at this point, mathematically speaking. Not to sound whatever, but I'm a chart nerd who tracks weekly Hot 100 point totals. I have many points of reference. There's no way Hotline Bling will have more points than Adele in the tracking week that started today. Not with the massive multi-format airplay it's going to have, massive sales... and then add in streaming for good measure. Slam dunk. Yep. Adele will have the full airplay, digital sales, and streams(streams won't even matter cause the digital/airplay will be massive) for next week domination. |
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THINKIN BOUT YOU
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Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Oct 23, 2015 15:13:14 GMT -5
Can we just say that ADELE is the true iTunes queen? She's Justin Beiber at less than 30%, thats pretty fantastic. But um where did 700k come from? I invented 700k, and you are frigging welcome! |
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Post by josh on Oct 23, 2015 15:17:08 GMT -5
I thought iTunes stopped showing the effect of instant grats on the pop bars, only sales from purchasing just the song affects the pop bars? I could be wrong, or it could just be a rumor, I'm not sure.
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