mamooshka
Gold Member
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 863 
|
Post by mamooshka on Mar 16, 2016 22:49:02 GMT -5
'Ibiza' might have a remote shot as well.  |
|
renfield75
Platinum Member
Joined: February 2009
Posts: 1,644
|
Post by renfield75 on Mar 16, 2016 23:35:43 GMT -5
Its pop airplay gains have slowed quicker than OOTW's did. I've said this before (in her thread maybe) but I think this song is going to have a similar fate as OOTW. It is my opinion that she's suffering from a bit of radio fatigue with these 6th and 7th singles. Hopefully the video and some promo will be enough to propel it in to the top 20 on H100 - but I'm not holding my breath. If that's the case, I really wish they'd made it the sixth single to close the era out. I mean, fatigue was already setting in by the end of 2015 but releasing a bonus track that casual pop fans may not have already heard or bought would've balanced it out a bit. (Maybe it would've performed only marginally better than "OOTW" but still.) I love "OOTW" but it was always just a really great album track for me, whereas "NR" was screaming to be a single. If this single does have some longevity (say 3 or 4 months) I wonder if that will disrupt her "fall every other year" new album strategy. Even if "New Romantics" doesn't do that well I still think this fall will be too soon for a new single/album. Of course the lead single would do well but I think people will be getting a bit burned out by then. Although I guess that never seemed to affect Rihanna... |
|
wjr15
9x Platinum Member
Joined: October 2013
Posts: 9,178
|
Post by wjr15 on Mar 16, 2016 23:45:37 GMT -5
If that's the case, I really wish they'd made it the sixth single to close the era out. I mean, fatigue was already setting in by the end of 2015 but releasing a bonus track that casual pop fans may not have already heard or bought would've balanced it out a bit. (Maybe it would've performed only marginally better than "OOTW" but still.) I love "OOTW" but it was always just a really great album track for me, whereas "NR" was screaming to be a single. If this single does have some longevity (say 3 or 4 months) I wonder if that will disrupt her "fall every other year" new album strategy. Even if "New Romantics" doesn't do that well I still think this fall will be too soon for a new single/album. Of course the lead single would do well but I think people will be getting a bit burned out by then. Although I guess that never seemed to affect Rihanna... Taylor needs to wait until 2017 to release a new album. 1989 saturated her in pop culture and radio. She became the it girl of music. It would be best for her to stay out of the light for at least a year. I believe OOTW and NR struggled in part of everyone being tired of her and people have been listening to 1989 since fall 2014. Rihanna was able to do yearly fall releases because she never had an era as massive as 1989. Rihanna has always been huge but was never 'everywhere' like Taylor is. |
|
Libra
Diamond Member
The One Who Knows Where All the Bodies Are Buried
:)
Joined: September 2003
Posts: 14,376
My Charts
|
Post by Libra on Mar 16, 2016 23:50:22 GMT -5
She's already said she has no plans for a new release in 2016 if I'm not mistaken...
|
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 0:02:06 GMT -5
'Ibiza' might have a remote shot as well. I don't really know about that. I REALLY hope it does have a shot at #1, but I don't see it happening. I don't even see it happening for 7 Years. (We can thank Rihanna and Meghan Trainor for that) |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 0:04:01 GMT -5
If my prediction serves me almost correct, we are in store for a pretty stable top 15 this week (Even with Ariana's possible #12 debut.)
|
|
carreramd
Charting
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 406
|
Post by carreramd on Mar 17, 2016 0:17:53 GMT -5
If this single does have some longevity (say 3 or 4 months) I wonder if that will disrupt her "fall every other year" new album strategy. Even if "New Romantics" doesn't do that well I still think this fall will be too soon for a new single/album. Of course the lead single would do well but I think people will be getting a bit burned out by then. Although I guess that never seemed to affect Rihanna... Taylor needs to wait until 2017 to release a new album. 1989 saturated her in pop culture and radio. She became the it girl of music. It would be best for her to stay out of the light for at least a year. I believe OOTW and NR struggled in part of everyone being tired of her and people have been listening to 1989 since fall 2014. Rihanna was able to do yearly fall releases because she never had an era as massive as 1989. Rihanna has always been huge but was never 'everywhere' like Taylor is. Exactly. |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 0:41:07 GMT -5
I'll be surprised if 7 Years doesn't go to #1. Well then be prepared for a surprise. Because Ms. No, I mean Meghan Trainor, is coming to take that top spot right before 7 Years passes Work. Resulting in a #2 peak |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 1:15:07 GMT -5
I honestly don't think Meghan will get to #1 lol
|
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 17, 2016 1:31:41 GMT -5
I honestly don't think Meghan will get to #1 lol Honestly I'd rather her to take that spot and keep the ridiculous Seven Years from number one Seven Years is the first song ever I purchased and then willingly got rid of. It's just... painful, especially the lead singer's voice lol. Just found my computer keyboard can't type out numbers... |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 1:40:51 GMT -5
I honestly don't think Meghan will get to #1 lol Honestly I'd rather her to take that spot and keep the ridiculous Seven Years from number one Seven Years is the first song ever I purchased and then willingly got rid of. It's just... painful, especially the lead singer's voice lol. Just found my computer keyboard can't type out numbers... why would you buy it if you don't like it lol |
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 17, 2016 1:40:53 GMT -5
So far, it looks very very close for the #3 spot between Stressed Out, My House and 7 Years. Many other chart positions are looking close as well. But I think it is safe to say that no new songs will be entering Top-10 this week. Early predictions: 1. Work 2. Love Yourself 3-5 Stressed Out 3-5 My House 3-5 7 Years 6-7 PILLOWTALK 6-7 Me, Myself & I 8-9 Sorry 8-9 Cake By The Ocean 10 I Took A Pill in Ibiza 11-12 NO 11-12 Dangerous Woman Number eleven and twelve precisely summarized out the whole top ten: No dangerous woman |
|
THINKIN BOUT YOU
Platinum Member
a good-looking gay man
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 1,364
|
Post by THINKIN BOUT YOU on Mar 17, 2016 1:42:06 GMT -5
Honestly I'd rather her to take that spot and keep the ridiculous Seven Years from number one Seven Years is the first song ever I purchased and then willingly got rid of. It's just... painful, especially the lead singer's voice lol. Just found my computer keyboard can't type out numbers... why would you buy it if you don't like it lol Upon first listen I did Then I lost hope... |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 2:39:30 GMT -5
I feel like Cake By The Ocean is having a similar run to Where Are U Now last year. It's having some pretty bizarre longevity for a song that barely scrapes the top 10 and it's currently still gaining in airplay and somehow in sales too. Even though I don't think it'll reach the top 5 due to the stiff competition up there (Pillowtalk and others still gaining in airplay), it seems like the type of song to stick around a while (could even make a year on the chart at this rate). I would be really happy if it also made the year-end top 20 as WAUN did. It's looking like a strong contender for top 5 on my personal year-end chart...I thought the song's appeal to me would have worn off by now but I guess not.
|
|
Dylan :)
Diamond Member
smth 'bout youu
Joined: October 2014
Posts: 13,033
|
Post by Dylan :) on Mar 17, 2016 4:50:58 GMT -5
I feel like Cake By The Ocean is having a similar run to Where Are U Now last year. It's having some pretty bizarre longevity for a song that barely scrapes the top 10 and it's currently still gaining in airplay and somehow in sales too. Even though I don't think it'll reach the top 5 due to the stiff competition up there (Pillowtalk and others still gaining in airplay), it seems like the type of song to stick around a while (could even make a year on the chart at this rate). I would be really happy if it also made the year-end top 20 as WAUN did. It's looking like a strong contender for top 5 on my personal year-end chart...I thought the song's appeal to me would have worn off by now but I guess not. Similar to LIGLY, Chandelier, LMH, Jealous, etc. Those songs all went top 10, but at the same time were so low in the top 10 it didn't feel ground breaking. They all had great longevity too, minus LMH |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 4:56:23 GMT -5
I feel like Cake By The Ocean is having a similar run to Where Are U Now last year. It's having some pretty bizarre longevity for a song that barely scrapes the top 10 and it's currently still gaining in airplay and somehow in sales too. Even though I don't think it'll reach the top 5 due to the stiff competition up there (Pillowtalk and others still gaining in airplay), it seems like the type of song to stick around a while (could even make a year on the chart at this rate). I would be really happy if it also made the year-end top 20 as WAUN did. It's looking like a strong contender for top 5 on my personal year-end chart...I thought the song's appeal to me would have worn off by now but I guess not. Similar to LIGLY, Chandelier, LMH, Jealous, etc. Those songs all went top 10, but at the same time were so low in the top 10 it didn't feel ground breaking. They all had great longevity too, minus LMH the thing with hose songs was that their run was split between two years hence why they couldn't get a very high year-end position. CBTO is however peaking in March/April which is basically spring so it has a better chance to get a similar year-end position to WAUN. I was quite shocked when Worth It got year-end top 25 last year without even reaching the top ten on the weekly chart :O |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 6:43:59 GMT -5
I honestly don't think Meghan will get to #1 lol I thought so too until I saw the airplay |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 6:47:09 GMT -5
I honestly don't think Meghan will get to #1 lol I thought so too until I saw the airplay its sales are wearing off though. I mean maybe it'll get one or two weeks at #1 if the video blows up but I highly doubt it'll get more than that |
|
Glove Slap
Administrator
Sweetheart
Downloading ༺༒༻ Possibilities
Joined: January 2007
Posts: 29,516
Staff
|
Post by Glove Slap on Mar 17, 2016 6:47:41 GMT -5
Meghan's got a really good shot at hitting the top within the next few weeks once Work's streaming gets low enough and her video's released. It may take a performance to give it the final kick. By then, airplay will be high and she'll be getting a lot of points from all 3 components.
|
|
imbondz
2x Platinum Member
Joined: January 2006
Posts: 2,613
|
Post by imbondz on Mar 17, 2016 8:03:01 GMT -5
I feel like Cake By The Ocean is having a similar run to Where Are U Now last year. It's having some pretty bizarre longevity for a song that barely scrapes the top 10 and it's currently still gaining in airplay and somehow in sales too. Even though I don't think it'll reach the top 5 due to the stiff competition up there (Pillowtalk and others still gaining in airplay), it seems like the type of song to stick around a while (could even make a year on the chart at this rate). I would be really happy if it also made the year-end top 20 as WAUN did. It's looking like a strong contender for top 5 on my personal year-end chart...I thought the song's appeal to me would have worn off by now but I guess not. I think it's run is odd too but I still love the song. I think it should have went top 3, even #1. It's such a great summer song maybe they released it too early. |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 8:05:22 GMT -5
I feel like Cake By The Ocean is having a similar run to Where Are U Now last year. It's having some pretty bizarre longevity for a song that barely scrapes the top 10 and it's currently still gaining in airplay and somehow in sales too. Even though I don't think it'll reach the top 5 due to the stiff competition up there (Pillowtalk and others still gaining in airplay), it seems like the type of song to stick around a while (could even make a year on the chart at this rate). I would be really happy if it also made the year-end top 20 as WAUN did. It's looking like a strong contender for top 5 on my personal year-end chart...I thought the song's appeal to me would have worn off by now but I guess not. I think it's run is odd too but I still love the song. I think it should have went top 3, even #1. It's such a great summer song maybe they released it too early. I agree, I think it would've been a top 5 at least for sure if it were peaking in summer time. It sounds like a summer song (and the video is summer-themed too) |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 8:12:00 GMT -5
I think it's run is odd too but I still love the song. I think it should have went top 3, even #1. It's such a great summer song maybe they released it too early. I agree, I think it would've been a top 5 at least for sure if it were peaking in summer time. It sounds like a summer song (and the video is summer-themed too) Very true |
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 17, 2016 13:47:44 GMT -5
Well..... I'm gonna predict that neither "7 Years" nor "NO" will reach #1. Work will be #1 for at least 5 more weeks..... and the next #1 will be something that isn't in the Top-10 yet.
Regarding CBTO..... it will hang around in the lower part of Top-10 for a few more weeks..... as new songs e.g. NO/WFM etc. enter Top-10, old ones e.g. Sorry/SO/LY will keep exiting the Top-10.
|
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 13:52:27 GMT -5
Well..... I'm gonna predict that neither "7 Years" nor "NO" will reach #1. Work will be #1 for at least 5 more weeks..... and the next #1 will be something that isn't in the Top-10 yet. Regarding CBTO..... it will hang around in the lower part of Top-10 for a few more weeks..... as new songs e.g. NO/WFM etc. enter Top-10, old ones e.g. Sorry/SO/LY will keep exiting the Top-10. I think NO will get at least 2 weeks at #1, 7 Years will peak at #2, and I think you could be right about Work (especially with that streaming). |
|
Ravi
Charting
Joined: February 2015
Posts: 420
|
Post by Ravi on Mar 17, 2016 13:56:37 GMT -5
Well..... I'm gonna predict that neither "7 Years" nor "NO" will reach #1. Work will be #1 for at least 5 more weeks..... and the next #1 will be something that isn't in the Top-10 yet. Regarding CBTO..... it will hang around in the lower part of Top-10 for a few more weeks..... as new songs e.g. NO/WFM etc. enter Top-10, old ones e.g. Sorry/SO/LY will keep exiting the Top-10. I think NO will get at least 2 weeks at #1, 7 Years will peak at #2, and I think you could be right about Work (especially with that streaming). "NO" is rising much slower on Spotify than a typical #1 contender should. So on-demand streaming isn't gonna be high...... I guess it will come down to the appeal of the video and the timing of its release..... they need to wait at least 3 more weeks before releasing the video (but not too long either). |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 13:59:59 GMT -5
I think NO will get at least 2 weeks at #1, 7 Years will peak at #2, and I think you could be right about Work (especially with that streaming). "NO" is rising much slower on Spotify than a typical #1 contender should. So on-demand streaming isn't gonna be high...... I guess it will come down to the appeal of the video and the timing of its release..... they need to wait at least 3 more weeks before releasing the video (but not too long either). I guess you could be right on that. Just watch the video be underwhelming and still get NO to #1. |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 14:10:32 GMT -5
Well..... I'm gonna predict that neither "7 Years" nor "NO" will reach #1. Work will be #1 for at least 5 more weeks..... and the next #1 will be something that isn't in the Top-10 yet. Regarding CBTO..... it will hang around in the lower part of Top-10 for a few more weeks..... as new songs e.g. NO/WFM etc. enter Top-10, old ones e.g. Sorry/SO/LY will keep exiting the Top-10. you don't think even ITAPII will get there? |
|
MTSChart21
4x Platinum Member
"My Name's Blurryface"
If I can't be close to you, I'll settle for the ghost of you
Joined: October 2015
Posts: 4,347
|
Post by MTSChart21 on Mar 17, 2016 14:23:07 GMT -5
Well..... I'm gonna predict that neither "7 Years" nor "NO" will reach #1. Work will be #1 for at least 5 more weeks..... and the next #1 will be something that isn't in the Top-10 yet. Regarding CBTO..... it will hang around in the lower part of Top-10 for a few more weeks..... as new songs e.g. NO/WFM etc. enter Top-10, old ones e.g. Sorry/SO/LY will keep exiting the Top-10. you don't think even ITAPII will get there? How in the world will ITAPII even get a shot at #1? Explain. |
|
Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 17, 2016 15:17:45 GMT -5
you don't think even ITAPII will get there? How in the world will ITAPII even get a shot at #1? Explain. It's gaining in all three metrics, and if I'm not mistaken it hasn't had an official video clip released yet and is already top ten in spite of that. |
|
jtd Thee Stallion
6x Platinum Member
Meet Me @ The Altar Fan Account
Joined: September 2015
Posts: 6,895
|
Post by jtd Thee Stallion on Mar 17, 2016 15:24:10 GMT -5
ITAPII has a video and is slowing down at radio, I don't think it even has a chance at Top 5 tbh.
|
|
