Billboard Hot 100: 03/25/2017

[jayhawk1117]

Jesus Shape of You is nearly double the only real threat at number one, That's What I Like. This is some Closer level domination. Well we were due for another 10 week number one, it's been a whole 3 number ones since the last one.

(I'm not saying that it'll come near the all time record, but if it does happen, I was the first to say it.)

[fhas]

Mar 10, 2017 8:42:18 GMT -5 @holden said:

Mar 8, 2017 10:24:46 GMT -5 fhas said:

simmnfierzig uses sales/750, airplay/900000, streaming/160000. It's like George's formula/(aproximately) 102. I don't remember exactly the formula George used.

Has anyone tested it? Is it fairly accurate? I think I saw someone wrote sales/750, streaming/180000 weeks ago somewhere that I don't remember 

I've never tested, but the formula seems accurate. When it fails, it's for underestimating or overestimating the streamings.



Before last month's change simmnfierzig used streaming/120000. In the first weeks after that he used streaming/150000.

[Harx]

I have an unpleasant feeling that "Tunnel Vision" is heading straight into the billion views club on YouTube... The video will keep this song in the top 10 for a long time.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

A couple of things that could affect the Hot 100 in a couple of weeks are that Million Reasons is no longer on sale on iTunes, while I Don't Wanna Live Forever is back on sale.

[areyoureadytojump]

I wouldn't expect any Hot 100 predictions to be too accurate. It's so hard to "guesstimate" streaming.

[MTSChart21]

Credit to: www.kworb.net/airadio

Songs with *** dropped or added a format so their updates are completely incorrect

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Mar 10, 2017 10:19:41 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

I wouldn't expect any Hot 100 predictions to be too accurate. It's so hard to "guesstimate" streaming.

The inclusion of Pandora made things cloudier. What's worse about their chart is that they are even more arbitrary than Billboard and decide to stop having songs appear in their Top 100. Plus, I doubt anybody predicting can really know what their weekly positions correspond to in terms of numerical streams.

[imperialmarch]

No, Lorde! 😭😭😭😭😭😭
Why did the eighth day hit you that hard!

[Harx]

There's an interesting article on Billboard website, listing most common titles of songs that have charted on Hot 100. Here's the list:

10, "Call Me"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (six weeks), Blondie, 1980


10, "I Love You"
Highest-charting: No. 12, Climax Blues Band, 1981


10, "I Want You"
Highest-charting: No. 4, Savage Garden, 1997


10, "One"
Highest-charting: No. 5, Three Dog Night, 1969


10, "Smile"
Highest-charting: No. 12, Scarface featuring 2Pac & Johnny B, 1997


11, "Crazy"
Highest-charting: No. 2, Gnarls Barkley, 2006


11, "I Need You"
Highest-charting: No. 9, America, 1972


11, "Without You"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (four weeks), Nilsson, 1972


12, "Forever"
Highest-charting: No. 2, Chris Brown, 2008


13, "Stay"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (one week), Maurice Williams & the Zodiacs, 1960. Zedd and Cara's composition ups the count of songs called "Stay" to a lucky 13 in the Hot 100's history.


13, "You"
Highest-charting: No. 9, Lloyd featuring Lil Wayne, 2007


14, "Angel"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (one week), Shaggy featuring Rayvon, 2001


14, "Happy"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (10 weeks), Pharrell Williams, 2014


14, "Runaway"
Highest-charting: No. 1 (four weeks), Del Shannon, 1961


16, "Hold On"
Beyond Wilson Phillips' and En Vogue's No. 1 and 2-peaking hits, respectively, other top 40 hits titled "Hold On" include those by Santana (No. 15, 1982), Jamie Walters (former lead singer of the Heights; No. 16, 1995), Ian Gomm (No. 18, 1979), Triumph (No. 38, 1979) and Kansas (No. 40, 1980).

[kcdawg13]

Mar 10, 2017 10:22:08 GMT -5 @greento said:

How successful do you all think Waterfall will be on the Hit 100?

Hard to tell. Stargate, Sia, and Pink have been very successful on the Hot 100, but I'm not sure how well Waterfall will do. I guess we'll have to see.

[Au$tin]

Mar 10, 2017 11:50:19 GMT -5 imperialmarch said:

No, Lorde! 😭😭😭😭😭😭
Why did the eighth day hit you that hard!

That's actually not a bad 8th day. Tomorrow will be worse since its 8th day is actually half a day since the song came out at 1pm.

[kcdawg13]

The Weeknd just dropped a video for "I Feel It Coming," prepare for Top 10 rebound on April 1st.

[areyoureadytojump]

^And it's discounted at iTunes. #11 right now.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

I Feel It Coming is already #10 in iTunes, while Million Reasons has already dropped to #17, as one would have expected.

[85la]

Wow at those Million Reasons airplay gains! Maybe one of these days people will actually start streaming it.

[Old-school 72]

Too bad people in America don't have they same taste as the UK. I would love to see the Top 20 with all 16 ed Sheeran songs make it.

[jebsib]

So what Streaming - and the UK charts - have illustrated - it that is only a matter of time before an artist / album combo dominates the U.S. Hot 100 like Ed Sheehan did in the UK this week.

In the past Airplay has always been the factor that may have prevented such a play, but clearly if streaming's cultural influence keeps magnifying over the next 2 or 3 years… the Beatles' unique top 5 monopoly will be in jeopardy.

[Harx]

Any early predictions for Nicki Minaj songs debuts?

[Au$tin]

The UK chart doesn't include airplay. It's much easier for an artist to do what Ed Sheeran just did there because of that. It'll still be a long time before that happens in the US.

[mrchartknowitall]

What are the chances of Katy CTTR going back to the top 10
On Monday ?

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago:

March 24, 1962

01 01 Hey! Baby - Bruce Channel (3rd and final week at #1)
02 03 Don't Break The Heart That Loves You - Connie Francis
03 02 Midnight In Moscow - Kenny Ball & His Jazzmen
04 04 Let Me In - The Sensations
05 05 Duke Of Earl - Gene Chandler
06 18 Dream Baby - Roy Orbison
07 14 Slow Twistin' - Chubby Checker w/Dee Dee Sharp
08 07 What's Your Name - Don & Juan
09 13 Twistin' The Night Away - Sam Cooke
10 06 Her Royal Majesty - James Darren


March 25, 1967

01 02 Happy Together - Turtles (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 06 Dedicated To The One I Love - The Mamas & The Papas
03 01 Penny Lane - The Beatles
04 08 There's a Kind Of Hush - Herman's Hermits
05 03 Baby I Need Your Lovin' - Johnny Rivers
06 07 Sock It To Me Baby - Mitch Ryder & The Detroit Wheels
07 12 For What It's Worth (Stop, Hey What's That Sound) - Buffalo Springfield
08 09 My Cup Runneth Over - Ed Ames
09 04 Love Is Here And Now You're Gone - The Supremes
10 05 Ruby Tuesday - The Rolling Stones


March 25, 1972

01 02 A Horse With No Name - America (1st of 3 weeks at #1)
02 01 Heart Of Gold - Neil Young
03 03 The Lion Sleeps Tonight (Wimoweh) - Robert John
04 09 Puppy Love - Donny Osmond
05 06 Mother And Child Reunion - Paul Simon
06 04 Without You - Nilsson
07 08 The Way Of Love - Cher
08 11 Jungle Fever - The Chakachas
09 05 Everything I Own - Bread
10 14 I Gotcha - Joe Tex


March 26, 1977

01 03 Rich Girl - Daryl Hall & John Oates (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 01 Love Theme From A Star Is Born (Evergreen) - Barbra Streisand
03 05 Dancing Queen - ABBA
04 08 Don't Give Up On Us - David Soul
05 09 Don't Leave Me This Way - Thelma Houston
06 02 Fly Like An Eagle - The Steve Miller Band
07 04 Night Moves - Bob Seger
08 11 The Things We Do For Love - 10cc
09 06 I Like Dreamin' - Kenny Nolan
10 07 Torn Between Two Lovers - Mary MacGregor

[ry4n]

Maybe Taylor could do it if she returns to Spotify.

[kcdawg13]

Mar 11, 2017 11:06:08 GMT -5 mrchartknowitall said:

What are the chances of Katy CTTR going back to the top 10
On Monday ?

Probably slim. It has airplay traction, but sales and streaming aren't the best. Closer and Bounce Back are weakening consistently, and will probably make way for Katy and The Weeknd on April 1st.

[kcdawg13]

Mar 11, 2017 9:21:44 GMT -5 Harx said:

Any early predictions for Nicki Minaj songs debuts?

Top 10 is likely for No Frauds. 

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 from 35, 30, 25, and 20 years ago:

March 27, 1982

01 01 I Love Rock & Roll - Joan Jett & The Blackhearts (2nd of 7 weeks at #1)
02 02 Open Arms - Journey
03 06 We Got The Beat - The Go-Go's
04 04 That Girl - Stevie Wonder
05 05 Sweet Dreams - Air Supply
06 07 Make a Move On Me - Olivia Newton-John
07 03 Centerfold - The J. Geils Band
08 14 Chariots Of Fire - Vangelis
09 10 Pac-Man Fever - Buckner & Garcia
10 18 Freeze Frame / Flamethrower - The J. Geils Band


March 28, 1987

01 01 Lean On Me - Club Nouveau (2nd and final week at #1)
02 03 Nothing's Gonna Stop Us Now - Starship
03 02 Let's Wait Awhile - Janet Jackson
04 06 Tonight, Tonight, Tonight - Genesis
05 04 Mandolin Rain - Bruce Hornsby & The Range
06 05 Somewhere Out There - Linda Ronstadt & James Ingram
07 09 Come Go With Me - Expose
08 11 The Final Countdown - Europe
09 14 Don't Dream It's Over - Crowded House
10 17 I Knew You Were Waiting (For Me) - Aretha Franklin & George Michael


March 28, 1992

01 01 Save The Best For Last - Vanessa Williams (2nd of 5 weeks at #1)
02 03 Tears In Heaven - Eric Clapton
03 04 Remember The Time - Michael Jackson
04 02 To Be With You - Mr. Big
05 05 I'm Too Sexy - Right Said Fred
06 06 Masterpiece - Atlantic Starr
07 10 Breakin' My Heart (Pretty Brown Eyes) - Mint Condition
08 09 I Can't Dance - Genesis
09 07 I Love Your Smile - Shanice
10 13 Make It Happen - Mariah Carey


March 22, 1997

01 02 Can't Nobody Hold Me Down - Puff Daddy feat. Mase (1st of 6 weeks at #1)
02 01 Wannabe - The Spice Girls
03 04 You Were Meant For Me - Jewel
04 03 Un-Break My Heart - Toni Braxton
05 05 In My Bed - Dru Hill
06 07 Every Time I Close My Eyes - Babyface
07 06 I Believe I Can Fly - R. Kelly
08 08 Don't Let Go (Love) - En Vogue
09 09 For You I Will - Monica
10 12 Get It Together - 702

16 77 I'll Be - Foxy Brown feat. Jay-Z
22 NE Ghetto Love - Da Brat feat. T-Boz

[Au$tin]

Mar 11, 2017 11:41:28 GMT -5 ry4n said:

Maybe Taylor could do it if she returns to Spotify.

She really needs to. Spotify just continues to grow and grow. Her being off of it has not done anything but create a joke on her behalf.

[ry4n]

Mar 11, 2017 12:17:08 GMT -5 Au$tin said:

Mar 11, 2017 11:41:28 GMT -5 ry4n said:

Maybe Taylor could do it if she returns to Spotify.

She really needs to. Spotify just continues to grow and grow. Her being off of it has not done anything but create a joke on her behalf.

Indeed. Especially if she wants to maintain her profile worldwide. She can do ok in the US because of YouTube, but she'll chart poorly in Europe since audio streaming has really monopolized the charts over there. I think she already realized this with "I Don't Wanna Live Forever", though.

[Soulsista]

Billboard Top 10 Flashback:

March 23, 2002

01 01 Ain't It Funny - Jennifer Lopez feat. Ja Rule (3rd of 6 weeks at #1)
02 02 Always On Time - Ja Rule feat. Ashanti
03 04 In The End - Linkin Park
04 03 How You Remind Me - Nickelback
05 05 Wherever You Will Go - The Calling
06 08 Blurry - Puddle Of Mudd
07 10 Can't Get You Out Of My Head - Kylie Minogue
08 12 What's Luv? - Fat Joe feat. Ashanti
09 07 What About Us? - Brandy
10 13 Oops (Oh My) - Tweet


March 24, 2007

01 08 Glamorous - Fergie feat. Ludacris (1st of 2 weeks at #1)
02 01 This Is Why I'm Hot - Mims
03 02 Don't Matter - Akon
04 03 The Sweet Escape - Gwen Stefani feat. Akon
05 07 Cupid's Chokehold - The Gym Class Heroes feat. Patrick Stump
06 06 This Ain't a Scene, It's An Arms Race - Fall Out Boy
07 11 It's Not Over - Daughtry
08 04 What Goes Around... - Justin Timberlake
09 05 Girlfriend - Avril Lavigne
10 10 Say It Right - Nelly Furtado


March 24, 2012

01 01 We Are Young - fun. feat. Janelle Monae (2nd of 6 weeks at #1)
02 02 Stronger (What Doesn't Kill You) - Kelly Clarkson
03 03 Set Fire To The Rain - Adele
04 04 Glad You Came - The Wanted
05 09 Somebody That I Used To Know - Gotye feat. Kimbra
06 08 Turn Me On - David Guetta feat. Nicki Minaj
07 11 Take Care - Drake feat. Rihanna
08 07 Young, Wild & Free - Snoop Dogg & Wiz Khalifa feat. Bruno Mars
09 06 Starships - Nicki Minaj
10 05 Part Of Me - Katy Perry


March 26, 2016

01 01 Work - Rihanna feat. Drake (4th of 9 weeks at #1)
02 02 Love Yourself - Justin Bieber
03 03 Stressed Out - Twenty One Pilots
04 04 My House - Flo Rida
05 09 7 Years - Lukas Graham
06 06 Pillowtalk - Zayn
07 07 Me, Myself & I - G-Eazy & Bebe Rexha
08 05 Sorry - Justin Bieber
09 10 Cake By The Ocean - DNCE
10 14 I Took a Pill In Ibiza - Mike Posner

11 NE No - Meghan Trainor

[jayhawk1117]

Mar 11, 2017 8:34:21 GMT -5 jebsib said:

So what Streaming - and the UK charts - have illustrated - it that is only a matter of time before an artist / album combo dominates the U.S. Hot 100 like Ed Sheehan did in the UK this week.

In the past Airplay has always been the factor that may have prevented such a play, but clearly if streaming's cultural influence keeps magnifying over the next 2 or 3 years… the Beatles' unique top 5 monopoly will be in jeopardy.

I mean just look at J Cole. Every song debuted in the top 50 iirc. Just imagine what a big artist like, Rihanna, Taylor, Justin can do in the future.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Mar 11, 2017 19:52:53 GMT -5 jayhawk1117 said:

Mar 11, 2017 8:34:21 GMT -5 jebsib said:

So what Streaming - and the UK charts - have illustrated - it that is only a matter of time before an artist / album combo dominates the U.S. Hot 100 like Ed Sheehan did in the UK this week.

In the past Airplay has always been the factor that may have prevented such a play, but clearly if streaming's cultural influence keeps magnifying over the next 2 or 3 years… the Beatles' unique top 5 monopoly will be in jeopardy.

I mean just look at J Cole. Every song debuted in the top 50 iirc. Just imagine what a big artist like, Rihanna, Taylor, Justin can do in the future.

Ed Sheeran's album and in two weeks Drake's More Life album will show if the Hot 100 formula was changed enough to prevent such things from happening, especially when tracks from the album are heavily streamed as they were for J Cole's during its first week.