Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Aug 20, 2017 13:23:50 GMT -5
Top 20 would be brilliant for Kesha
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 13:24:48 GMT -5
^I hope so, it's one of the best songs of the entire year.
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Aug 20, 2017 13:27:05 GMT -5
Well, I think that I was wrong about Friends.
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 13:29:02 GMT -5
All hope now relies on Taylor to release something on Monday now.
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Normi
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Original Pop Flop Stan
probably high right now
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Post by Normi on Aug 20, 2017 13:49:33 GMT -5
If Praying peaks at #21 uuuh
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Aug 20, 2017 15:28:20 GMT -5
I think it's time to accept the fact that Despacito is gonna tie the OSD record
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Aug 20, 2017 15:33:16 GMT -5
No current songs are headed to #1, so unless a new Taylor Swift song comes soon(and does what everyone here says it will do), 17 looks good too
If this were any other song, a song, admittedly on the decline but holding a big lead over #2 (as of last week a 46% lead) has probably at least 3 weeks left in it
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2017 15:33:55 GMT -5
What has been the highest sales week of the year? Taylor has to have the song available on Spotify Apple Music etc to have a shot. She can delay the rest of the songs when album comes though, but put the lead single there
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Aug 20, 2017 15:58:51 GMT -5
What has been the highest sales week of the year? Taylor has to have the song available on Spotify Apple Music etc to have a shot. She can delay the rest of the songs when album comes though, but put the lead single there Its Shape Of You with 240k followed by Shape of You with 200k followed by I'm The One with 171k. So Taylor "only" has to sell 241k for the highest sales week of the year and I think it's possible. I can't imagine her not putting the lead single on the streaming sites when she knows damn well how important it is. I think J Cole nearly out debuting her earlier this year because of streaming alone was a wake up call. |
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Normi
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Original Pop Flop Stan
probably high right now
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Post by Normi on Aug 20, 2017 16:01:11 GMT -5
Taylor's lead single might actually end the trend of #1s being men
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 16:01:13 GMT -5
What has been the highest sales week of the year? Taylor has to have the song available on Spotify Apple Music etc to have a shot. She can delay the rest of the songs when album comes though, but put the lead single there followed by I'm The One with 171k. So Taylor "only" has to sell 241k for the highest sales week of the year and I think it's possible. I can't imagine her not putting the lead single on the streaming sites when she knows damn well how important it is. I think J Cole nearly out debuting her earlier this year because of streaming alone was a wake up call. ??? |
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Aug 20, 2017 16:04:40 GMT -5
Its Shape Of You with 240k followed by Shape of You with 200k followed by I'm The One with 171k. So Taylor "only" has to sell 241k for the highest sales week of the year and I think it's possible. I can't imagine her not putting the lead single on the streaming sites when she knows damn well how important it is. I think J Cole nearly out debuting her earlier this year because of streaming alone was a wake up call. ??? yes that is correct. no typo. Shape of You had two big weeks |
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inverse
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Your mind is in disturbia...
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Post by inverse on Aug 20, 2017 16:16:39 GMT -5
Taylor's lead single might actually end the trend of #1s being men Actually if you look at the "Top 10 in 2016" post that shows up here ever week this week last year Closer replaced Cheap Thrills and so this week is the anniversary of no females at the lead artist at number 1. And if somehow we get past the weeks where Closer was #1 (12 weeks later) and no woman hit number 1 then it will be a year with no women at number 1 at all, even as featured. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2017 16:33:25 GMT -5
Taylor's lead single might actually end the trend of #1s being men What was the last female #1? I can't go back past this year lol. |
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 16:34:29 GMT -5
Taylor's lead single might actually end the trend of #1s being men What was the last female #1? I can't go back past this year lol. Cheap Thrills for a lead female, or Closer if we included features. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2017 16:36:13 GMT -5
What was the last female #1? I can't go back past this year lol. Cheap Thrills for a lead female, or Closer if we included features. Whoa, okay. That's like a year lol. I think this male thing might be an effect of more popular Urban on the charts, so we'll have to wait until that ends (which I hope it doesn't) |
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 16:37:05 GMT -5
Cheap Thrills for a lead female, or Closer if we included features. Whoa, okay. That's like a year lol. I think this male thing might be an effect of more popular Urban on the charts, so we'll have to wait until that ends (which I hope it does) |
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Normi
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Original Pop Flop Stan
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Post by Normi on Aug 20, 2017 16:38:27 GMT -5
Well Cheap Thrills featured Sean Paul
The last song that was solely female was 'Hello'...
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Gary
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Post by Gary on Aug 20, 2017 16:41:28 GMT -5
#1 Debuts
DATE WKS TITLE ARTIST
9/2/1995 1 YOU ARE NOT ALONE MICHAEL JACKSON
9/30/1995 8 FANTASY MARIAH CAREY
11/25/1995 1 EXHALE(SHOOP SHOOP) HOUSTON, WHITNEY
12/2/1995 16 ONE SWEET DAY MARIAH CAREY/BOYZ II MEN
6/14/1997 11 I'LL BE MISSING YOU PUFF DADDY & FAITH EVANS(FEAURING 112))
9/13/1997 3 HONEY MARIAH CAREY
10/11/1997 14 CANDLE IN THE WIND 1997/ ELTON JOHN
2/28/1998 2 MY HEART WILL GO ON CELINE DION
9/5/1998 4 I DON'T WANT TO MISS A THANG AEROSMITH
11/14/1998 2 DOO WOP(THAT THING) LAURYN HILL
6/28/2003 2 THIS IS THE NIGHT CLAY AIKEN
7/10/2004 1 I BELIEVE FANTASIA
7/2/2005 1 INSIDE YOUR HEAVAN CARRIE UNDERWOOS
7/1/2006 1 DO I MAKE YOU PROUD TAYLOR HICKS
10/24/2009 1 3 SPEARS, BRITNEY
5/22/2010 1 NOT AFRAID EMINEM
11/13/2010 1 WE R WHO WE R KE$HA
1/29/2011 1 HOLD IT AGAINST ME BRITNEY SPEARS
2/26/2011 6 BORN THIS WAY LADY GAGA
3/3/2012 1 PART OF ME KATY PERRY
3/2/2013 5 HARLEM SHAKE BAAUER
9/6/2014 4 SHAKE IT OFF TAYLOR SWIFT
9/19/2015 1 WHAT DO YOU MEAN? JUSTIN BIEBER
11/14/2015 10 HELLO ADELE
2/20/2016 1 PILLOWTALK ZAYN
5/28/2016 1 CAN'T STOP THE FEELING JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE
1/28/2017 12 SHAPE OF YOU ED SHEERAN
5/20/2017 1 I'M THE ONE DJ KHALED FEATURING JUSTIN BIEBER, QUAVO, CHANCE THE RAPPER & LIL WAYNE
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Aug 20, 2017 16:43:53 GMT -5
^What this tells me is that we need a #1 debut, and fast. I do somewhat still believe that maybe a T-Swift release will come tomorrow, but that could very well not happen.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Aug 20, 2017 17:28:13 GMT -5
It's not a US-only thing. Dua Lipa's New Rules is the first UK #1 hit for a lead female since Hello as well.
Friday release on all the major outlets (yes, including Spotify, otherwise she's not gonna do it) is Taylor's best chance. 200K downloads should be doable for her.
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Aug 20, 2017 17:46:41 GMT -5
If Taylor is stupid enough to not put her shit on Spotify, it won't crack top 5
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jebsib
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Post by jebsib on Aug 20, 2017 18:08:52 GMT -5
^ (Ahem) - I'm Your Angel - R. Kelly & Celine Dion (just kidding :)) )
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85la
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Post by 85la on Aug 20, 2017 18:28:41 GMT -5
If Taylor is stupid enough to not put her s**t on Spotify, it won't crack top 5 This might be more for albums, but her label is also not stupid enough to not realize that when her stuff isn't on streaming, boatloads of people buy her records. Her last 3 albums didn't open with 1 million sales weeks, and her last 2 lead singles with 500k plus for no reason. Yes, times were different then with record sales being bigger and streaming not as much, but sometimes labels are more interested if much bigger profits can be made, and in Taylor's case the songs/albums all went to #1 anyway. |
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dajross6
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Post by dajross6 on Aug 20, 2017 18:39:28 GMT -5
In general, I honestly don't think labels care about whether a song debuts at #1 or even gets there altogether as long as it makes a ton of money. It's good for marketing, sure, but us chart watchers seem to care a lot more about charts than most artists do.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Aug 20, 2017 19:58:46 GMT -5
Well maybe she can debut at #1 with just the video counting as streams (at least 20m?), as long she get decent amount of sales since Despacito is not as strong in points like few weeks ago
I'll probably die if she flops
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Dylan :)
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Post by Dylan :) on Aug 20, 2017 20:01:31 GMT -5
I'm sure I made a relatively detailed post about the current (current to whenever I made it, a few weeks ago) situation with female artists at #1. I will try and dig it up ETA: To add to the lack of women in the top 10 last week, we haven't had a woman at #1 since November. If you ignore features, the last female #1 was last August with Cheap Thrills! As I pointed out in that post about women in the top 10, 2014 was quite the opposite. Everything until March was female (including features), and everything from June to the end of the year, bar Rude for six weeks in the summer, was by a female. It will be interesting to see what female act will get the next #1, seeing as both Katy and Gaga failed (and I don't mean fail in the sense that they flopped or anything, or that they were expected to debut at the top). Maybe Alessia or Selena? Although that would still continue the featured streak. Bon Appétit? Surprise Ariana release? Taylor later in the year? Gaga jump with The Cure? It will be interesting to see ETA: To add to that, it has been 24 weeks since there has been a female #1. The longest I could find since then (some got close with around 20 but usually with two songs with long runs) was 30 weeks from December 2005 to July 2006! |
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jarhys
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Post by jarhys on Aug 20, 2017 21:46:12 GMT -5
It's not a US-only thing. Dua Lipa's New Rules is the first UK #1 hit for a lead female since Hello as well. Friday release on all the major outlets (yes, including Spotify, otherwise she's not gonna do it) is Taylor's best chance. 200K downloads should be doable for her. Did 'New Rules' benefit from the new rules of cutting streaming points? If they didn't cut Despacito's streaming points, maybe Despacito is still #1 at this point. |
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Aug 21, 2017 7:58:00 GMT -5
People would call me mad if I'd write that I think that Feel It Still would be a top 10 hit. But now? The chances are really high, tbh.
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jayhawk1117
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Post by jayhawk1117 on Aug 21, 2017 8:06:12 GMT -5
People would call me mad if I'd write that I think that Feel It Still would be a top 10 hit. But now? The chances are really high, tbh. Thank You David Dobrik for showcasing this Bop to the world |
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