vocech123
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Post by vocech123 on Sept 17, 2017 20:51:32 GMT -5
^ Look will probably return to #1 when BY stops being discounted/sales decrease then. Ofc if something else doesn't come to challenge the #1 spot. There is no chance for LWYMMD to return to #1, it's decreasing in term of streams, and sales are nothing compared to the streams. BY is a stream monster and it's literally destroying LWYMMD in that area and streams count for more than 50% for the hot 10. |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 17, 2017 21:21:59 GMT -5
^ Look will probably return to #1 when BY stops being discounted/sales decrease then. Ofc if something else doesn't come to challenge the #1 spot. There is no chance for LWYMMD to return to #1, it's decreasing in term of streams, and sales are nothing compared to the streams. BY is a stream monster and it's literally destroying LWYMMD in that area and streams count for more than 50% for the hot 10. This is a very exaggerated paragraph. There is a chance it can return to #1. Sales and streaming aren't collapsing. They're fairly steady. Airplay is increasing. If BY loses its discount, it will likely decrease in sales enough to allow Taylor to pass it again. BY also isn't a streaming monster. It's #3 on Spotify in a very weak climate. It is #1 on YouTube, but not with much more than the usual #1 gets. It's also not destroying Taylor at all. It's only being streamed about 700k more than Taylor daily on YouTube and 300k more on Spotify. In terms of totals, that's actually pretty close. Certainly low enough for a gap anywhere else to cover it (like airplay or even sales when BY loses its discount or Taylor gets one). In fact, it seems much more likely that 1-800 is the song that could block Taylor from returning, not BY. |
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vocech123
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Post by vocech123 on Sept 17, 2017 22:03:45 GMT -5
There is no chance for LWYMMD to return to #1, it's decreasing in term of streams, and sales are nothing compared to the streams. BY is a stream monster and it's literally destroying LWYMMD in that area and streams count for more than 50% for the hot 10. This is a very exaggerated paragraph. There is a chance it can return to #1. Sales and streaming aren't collapsing. They're fairly steady. Airplay is increasing. If BY loses its discount, it will likely decrease in sales enough to allow Taylor to pass it again. BY also isn't a streaming monster. It's #3 on Spotify in a very weak climate. It is #1 on YouTube, but not with much more than the usual #1 gets. It's also not destroying Taylor at all. It's only being streamed about 700k more than Taylor daily on YouTube and 300k more on Spotify. In terms of totals, that's actually pretty close. Certainly low enough for a gap anywhere else to cover it (like airplay or even sales when BY loses its discount or Taylor gets one). In fact, it seems much more likely that 1-800 is the song that could block Taylor from returning, not BY. Don't forget that youtube, spotify and AM aren't the only streaming platforms . Like i said Bodak Yellow is a stream monster for sure. It have 1M more streams this week than LWYMMD without even counting Youtube. Apple Music,TIDAL, Pandora are giving BY almost the same number of streams that she has on Spotify (+1M). & LWYMMD isn't doing that great in streams in others platforms, it is the reason why i think BY is going to have longevity and it's gonna stay above LWYMMD unless another song dethrone it. At first i thought this logic song will do it but i realized it's not doing great in others streaming platforms, sales already started decreasing and it seems like it already peaked in streams (-109,326 streams in yesterday's spotify update). Also the new youtube update (US daily views) showed that BY jumped to 3,3M daily streams (gained +620,720 streams) while LWYMMD have 2,8M daily streams (gained+104,356 streams), + i don't think BY is gonna lose it's discount for now and around that time LWYMMD's streams are gonna be weaker since BY have longevity and it's increasing everyday. |
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Post by Your Faves Fave. on Sept 17, 2017 23:12:49 GMT -5
#BardiGang needs to hold a Bodak Yellow streaming party lol
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Someone
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Posts: 226
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Post by Someone on Sept 19, 2017 6:12:48 GMT -5
simmnfierzig‘s Predictions
1 Bodak Yellow 401 (+1)
2 Look What You Made Me Do 384 (-1)
3 Rockstar 334 (debut)
4 1-800-273-8255 308 (-1)
5 Despacito 292 (-1)
6 Unforgettable 258 (+1)
7 Believer 248 (+2)
8 Rake It Up 241 (+8)
9 Attention 239 (-1)
10 Too Good At Goodbyes 229 (-5)
11 Feel It Still 222 (+3)
12 Wild Thoughts 220 (-6)
13 Slow Hands 216 (-2)
14 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back 214 (-4)
15 Strip That Down 208 (-3)
16 Sorry Not Sorry 202 (-3) (also hurt by the iTunes layout change. Yes it can still go top 10)
17 Bank Account 196 (-2)
18 Shape Of You 185 (-1)
19 That's What I Like 177 (-1)
20 Mi Gente 175 (-1)
21 What Lover Do 164 (+8)
26 Praying 148 (-1)
31 Ready For It 143 (-10)
47 New Rules 99 (+9)
54 Too Much To Ask 90 (debut)
60 Havana 83 (+4)
67 Dusk Till Dawn 70 (-23)
83 Homemade Dynamite 51 (debut)
84 Love So Soft 48 (-22)
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Sept 19, 2017 8:12:30 GMT -5
kworb.net/airadio/*** = Dropped or added a format Overall AI (Top 20) - 09/19/20171. (=) CHARLIE PUTH - Attention (175.573) (-0.665) 2. (=) SHAWN MENDES - There's Nothing Holdin' Me Back (164.847) (-0.945) 3. (=) NIALL HORAN - Slow Hands (148.350) (+1.209) 4. (=) DJ KHALED F/RIHANNA/B. TILLER - Wild Thoughts (141.941) (-4.050) 5. (=) IMAGINE DRAGONS - Believer (131.516) (-2.213) 6. (=) LIAM PAYNE - Strip That Down f/Quavo (120.980) (+0.676) 7. (=) FRENCH MONTANA - Unforgettable f/Swae Lee (116.751) (+0.897) 8. (=) ED SHEERAN - Shape Of You (112.656) (+0.294) 9. (=) PORTUGAL. THE MAN - Feel It Still (111.618) (+2.891) *** 10. (=) TAYLOR SWIFT - Look What You Made Me Do (110.890) (+0.517) 11. (=) BRUNO MARS - That's What I Like (103.243) (-0.628) 12. (=) THE CHAINSMOKERS & COLDPLAY - Something Just Like This (95.526) (-0.884) 13. (=) ZEDD & ALESSIA CARA - Stay (90.794) (-1.490) 14. (=) LUIS FONSI - Despacito f/Daddy Yankee (90.399) (-1.320) 15. (=) SAM HUNT - Body Like A Back Road (81.634) (-0.869) 16. (=) CARDI B - Bodak Yellow (78.505) (+0.774) 17. (=) P!NK - What About Us (76.199) (+0.981) 18. (+1) CHEAT CODES - No Promises f/Demi Lovato (69.977) (+0.101) *** 19. (+2) MAROON 5 - What Lovers Do f/SZA (69.559) (+1.765) 20. (-2) JAMES ARTHUR - Say You Won't Let Go (69.344) (-0.908) Others: 24. (+2) LOGIC - 1-800-273-8255 f/A.Cara/Khalid (62.701) (+1.717) 34. (+4) SAM SMITH - Too Good At Goodbyes (49.742) (+2.514)
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Sept 19, 2017 8:15:08 GMT -5
Um, guys... BTS is in the iTunes Top 5 right now.
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Sept 19, 2017 8:24:37 GMT -5
I'm calling it now, I think we might have our first Asian pop song in the top 20 for the first time in years, since PSY's Gangnam Style and Gentleman. Unless there's another artists from the far east that I'm forgetting hit the top 20.
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vocech123
Charting
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Posts: 100
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Post by vocech123 on Sept 19, 2017 8:33:54 GMT -5
I'm calling it now, I think we might have our first Asian pop song in the top 20 for the first time in years, since PSY's Gangnam Style and Gentleman. Unless there's another artists from the far east that I'm forgetting hit the top 20. Simmnierzig was asked about BTS and he doesn't even think it will debut on the Hot 100 because no radio and no streams. (more than 75% of the Hot 100) Here are his early predictions : Early predictions 1 Bodak Yellow 401 (+1) 2 Look What You Made Me Do 384 (-1) 3 Rockstar 334 (debut) 4 1-800-273-8255 308 (-1) 5 Despacito 292 (-1) 6 Unforgettable 258 (+1) 7 Believer 248 (+2) 8 Rake It Up 241 (+8) 9 Attention 239 (-1) 10 Too Good At Goodbyes 229 (-5) 11 Feel It Still 222 (+3) 12 Wild Thoughts 220 (-6) 13 Slow Hands 216 (-2) 14 There's Nothing Holdin Me Back 214 (-4) 15 Strip That Down 208 (-3) 16 Sorry Not Sorry 202 (-3) (also hurt by the iTunes layout change. Yes it can still go top 10) 17 Bank Account 196 (-2) 18 Shape Of You 185 (-1) 19 That's What I Like 177 (-1) 20 Mi Gente 175 (-1) 21 What Lover Do 164 (+8) 26 Praying 148 (-1) 31 Ready For It 143 (-10) 47 New Rules 99 (+9) 54 Too Much To Ask 90 (debut) 60 Havana 83 (+4) 67 Dusk Till Dawn 70 (-23) 83 Homemade Dynamite 51 (debut) 84 Love So Soft 48 (-22) |
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Sept 19, 2017 8:33:56 GMT -5
What if Mi Gente goes top 10 while Despacito is still there, would that be the first time that two "Spanish" songs were in top 10?
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Sept 19, 2017 10:41:25 GMT -5
vocech123 "16 Sorry Not Sorry 202 (-3) (also hurt by the iTunes layout change. Yes it can still go top 10)" What does that note mean? How is SNS the only song impacted by any iTunes format change?
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Sept 19, 2017 10:58:35 GMT -5
Spotify: 2.6m for Rockstar yesterday. Can it be #1 even?
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Sept 19, 2017 11:00:52 GMT -5
I'm calling it now, I think we might have our first Asian pop song in the top 20 for the first time in years, since PSY's Gangnam Style and Gentleman. Unless there's another artists from the far east that I'm forgetting hit the top 20. Simmnierzig was asked about BTS and he doesn't even think it will debut on the Hot 100 because no radio and no streams. (more than 75% of the Hot 100) Here are his early predictions : Early predictions 83 Homemade Dynamite 51 (debut) FUCK YES! |
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Post by .It'sGriffin on Sept 19, 2017 11:04:40 GMT -5
I think that Feel It Still may peak on #1 on the radio.
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chartfreak
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Post by chartfreak on Sept 19, 2017 11:37:21 GMT -5
What is this Itunes change I keep hearing or reading in tidbits but no real info? Will discounted songs not be on the main list?
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Post by kcdawg13 on Sept 19, 2017 11:52:24 GMT -5
I think that Feel It Still may peak on #1 on the radio. Definitely. It's huge on radio right now and I see it getting to #1 in no time. I never imagined Portugal. The Man, an unknown indie band that's been around for 10+ years, getting a hit in 2017. I'm not complaining, it's a great song and they are a great band that deserves the success. I've been waiting forever for them to break through, and seeing it finally happen is amazing. |
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Post by cassiuscasanova on Sept 19, 2017 12:37:05 GMT -5
I think that Feel It Still may peak on #1 on the radio. Definitely. It's huge on radio right now and I see it getting to #1 in no time. I never imagined Portugal. The Man, an unknown indie band that's been around for 10+ years, getting a hit in 2017. I'm not complaining, it's a great song and they are a great band that deserves the success. I've been waiting forever for them to break through, and seeing it finally happen is amazing. I love that song |
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aapursi
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Post by aapursi on Sept 19, 2017 12:58:43 GMT -5
I'm calling it now, I think we might have our first Asian pop song in the top 20 for the first time in years, since PSY's Gangnam Style and Gentleman. Unless there's another artists from the far east that I'm forgetting hit the top 20. Lets just keep it real, it will not even debut in hot100. |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 19, 2017 13:10:17 GMT -5
What is this Itunes change I keep hearing or reading in tidbits but no real info? Will discounted songs not be on the main list? I would like to know this too. I even use iTunes and haven't noticed any change. |
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vocech123
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Post by vocech123 on Sept 19, 2017 13:11:13 GMT -5
vocech123 "16 Sorry Not Sorry 202 (-3) (also hurt by the iTunes layout change. Yes it can still go top 10)" What does that note mean? How is SNS the only song impacted by any iTunes format change? Because it's sales were great before the iTunes layout change and the points were very close between the #10 and the #15 position, so anything decreasing would affect it. But i don't think iTunes will have an impact on SNS going top 10 for now. I think SNS will eventually hit the top 10 when the radio is going to peak and when the streams are going to be pushed by the album release so i guess the top 10 is coming..Unless some big artists decide to release a new song and in that case, i'll just call Demi cursed.. |
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inverse
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Post by inverse on Sept 19, 2017 13:57:38 GMT -5
hey Heart Attack hit number 10.
Cool for the summer got screwed though, went to 11 and then got stuck at 11 the next week because that garbage Photograph song went back up
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rainie
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Post by rainie on Sept 19, 2017 15:48:26 GMT -5
Still can't believe that Demi's biggest hit in technical terms is This Is Me, basically every non flop she's released since then feels a lot bigger then that.
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Post by Deleted on Sept 19, 2017 15:59:10 GMT -5
I'm unsure if Rockstar will debut in the top 3, but if it does, it will be the best day in a long time.
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MilesW1998
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Post by MilesW1998 on Sept 19, 2017 16:02:36 GMT -5
Am I the only one who feels that rockstar has a chance at #1? It's #1 on iTunes, Apple Exclusive and Spotify, if it holds with stable/increasing numbers I see it as the song to dethrone LWYMMD.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 19, 2017 16:07:34 GMT -5
Am I the only one who feels that rockstar has a chance at #1? It's #1 on iTunes, Apple Exclusive and Spotify, if it holds with stable/increasing numbers I see it as the song to dethrone LWYMMD. I still think I'm the only one who thinks Bodak Yellow has the best chance to hit #1. It's been soaring in iTunes after the discount, and has only one song in front of it. Plus, it's only 8k points behind. |
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tanooki
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Post by tanooki on Sept 19, 2017 17:10:42 GMT -5
Any chance the new Linkin Park single will enter the Hot 100?
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scrohr424
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Post by scrohr424 on Sept 19, 2017 17:19:59 GMT -5
One More Light? The title track? I would like it to, but I don't know. It was high up on the Bubbling Under in the wake of the suicide, but that'll only do so much good for it. =(
And why exactly are people saying that 1-800 might be the next #1 if it has only 75% the points of the predicted #1? It's peaked in sales from what I've heard.
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Post by KeepDeanWeird on Sept 19, 2017 17:22:11 GMT -5
vocech123 "16 Sorry Not Sorry 202 (-3) (also hurt by the iTunes layout change. Yes it can still go top 10)" What does that note mean? How is SNS the only song impacted by any iTunes format change? Because it's sales were great before the iTunes layout change and the points were very close between the #10 and the #15 position, so anything decreasing would affect it. But i don't think iTunes will have an impact on SNS going top 10 for now. I think SNS will eventually hit the top 10 when the radio is going to peak and when the streams are going to be pushed by the album release so i guess the top 10 is coming..Unless some big artists decide to release a new song and in that case, i'll just call Demi cursed.. The only change I see on iTunes app is that 69 cent songs aren't being pushed. Is that the big change? If so, that's a smart business call by Apple - they don't want people to buy music - they want them to sign up for streaming. Plus SNS isn't the only song impacted BY, which is discounted to get to #1 H100 has the most to lose. |
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Au$tin
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Post by Au$tin on Sept 19, 2017 20:16:41 GMT -5
Am I the only one who feels that rockstar has a chance at #1? It's #1 on iTunes, Apple Exclusive and Spotify, if it holds with stable/increasing numbers I see it as the song to dethrone LWYMMD. I still think I'm the only one who thinks Bodak Yellow has the best chance to hit #1 Uh, no you're not. That's pretty much guaranteed at this point, and most here are in agreement. |
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forg
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Post by forg on Sept 19, 2017 20:36:23 GMT -5
Wow at rockstar! I didn't expect it to keep that iTunes #1 for so long
BTS is already declining on iTunes. Typical for an act with passionate fanbase, frontloaded then drops fast
But I do think they have a good shot on the Billboard 200 to chart high
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