willapted33
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Post by willapted33 on Oct 4, 2019 3:51:10 GMT -5
that logic ad makes me want to die
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Post by mariabarbie on Oct 4, 2019 11:54:46 GMT -5
Question - who do you think is the likely winner of Pop Duo/Group? It's such a competitive category this year.
Old Town Road is the longest #1 in Billboard History but Señorita is breaking global #1 records in the streaming services. Sunflower was also a big hit. - I see it being between these 3.
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Oct 4, 2019 15:36:55 GMT -5
I'd give the edge to Señorita if only because both acts got some love last year but didn't actually earn an award. OTR might be seen as more of a novelty song while Post is always a divisive act for the Recording Academy because of the way he pulls from multiple genres.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 4, 2019 15:58:52 GMT -5
Question - who do you think is the likely winner of Pop Duo/Group? It's such a competitive category this year. Old Town Road is the longest #1 in Billboard History but Señorita is breaking global #1 records in the streaming services. Sunflower was also a big hit. - I see it being between these 3. Old Town Road being moved to the category throws things off some for me. Before I had Dancing With A Stranger I Don't Care Senorita Sucker Sunflower/Goodbyes as the likely nominees. Barring a tie, one of those songs is almost surely going to get pushed out to make room for OTR, probably either Sucker or DWAS. Standard logic in my head is telling me JoBros will be the odd ones out, since they have almost zero history with this show. But DWAS is the 'smallest' hit of all the collaborative hits this year (i.e. the only one to not reach the Hot 100 top 5) so that puts it at risk of being left out as well. It was a 2-week #1 on Mediabase pop so the Hot 100 peak may be a negligible difference, but I dunno. That said, in all but one or two years since this category has existed, this award has gone to one of the less "overexposed" songs which unfortunately means I Don't Care is actually the probable strongest bet here, plus pop voters really seem to like Ed in general. He has more consistent winning history than any of the other potential nominees. Even combined, I don't see Shawn and Camila edging by the voter strength that Ed will have behind him. OTR will get the Despacito/Girls Like You treatment (too big to not nominate, but listener fatigue and/or perceived novelty hit status costs it the win). Post should have put Sunflower in rap/sung but this might have been another case of him trying and getting moved out by the rap committee and that hurts him a lot. I doubt he's built up any more voter support in pop than what he had last year and thus I don't see him as a strong contender beyond a nomination. |
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born
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Post by born on Oct 4, 2019 17:20:35 GMT -5
"Nothing Breaks Like A Heart" deserves nominations/wins in all ROTY, SOTY & Pop Duo in my opinion but it's getting nothing. A Dance Recording nod at best.
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Post by collegedropout on Oct 4, 2019 20:17:05 GMT -5
OTR is NOT winning Pop Duo/Group. We ALL thought Despacito was winning the same category yet it lost. OTR will as well.
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Oct 4, 2019 20:39:59 GMT -5
OTR is NOT winning Pop Duo/Group. We ALL thought Despacito was winning the same category yet it lost. OTR will as well. Granted it was over 20 years ago, but "One Sweet Day" also lost Pop Collaboration. Kinda crazy. |
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shayonce
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Post by shayonce on Oct 5, 2019 2:20:27 GMT -5
MEMBERSHIP HAS ITS PRIVILEGES? Some members of the publishing A&R community are expressing frustration over their inability to vote for Song of the Year and other songwriter-focused Grammys. Many of these A&R execs haven't yet been able to qualify for Grammy membership, as they lack the credits required for eligibility—even though their contribution is often fundamental to a song's creation. Why, for example, does a Grammy voter who gained membership with art and packaging credits get to vote on Song of the Year, but not those frequently closest to the songwriters and producers? Some publishers are trying to organize and lobby the Recording Academy, to gain voting membership for future years. The Academy's site states that the membership process is evolving, and details several paths to voting membership, including the new concept that existing members can now recommend two new prospective members each year. Several insiders who've spoken with the new leadership at the Academy, meanwhile, have expressed the hope that change is nigh. hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=318228&title=MEMBERSHIP-HAS-ITS-PRIVILEGES%3F |
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tinawina
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Post by tinawina on Oct 5, 2019 10:08:58 GMT -5
I'd give the edge to Señorita if only because both acts got some love last year but didn't actually earn an award. OTR might be seen as more of a novelty song while Post is always a divisive act for the Recording Academy because of the way he pulls from multiple genres. I really think it's Senorita's to lose. Maybe Ed/Justin are competition too if they get nominated but I don't see how Senorita loses this. I guess it will just depend on what else gets nominated. |
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Post by mariabarbie on Oct 5, 2019 12:25:16 GMT -5
I'd give the edge to Señorita if only because both acts got some love last year but didn't actually earn an award. OTR might be seen as more of a novelty song while Post is always a divisive act for the Recording Academy because of the way he pulls from multiple genres. I really think it's Senorita's to lose. Maybe Ed/Justin are competition too if they get nominated but I don't see how Senorita loses this. I guess it will just depend on what else gets nominated. I've seen other prediction boards saying Señorita has no chance and that it will be Sunflower or High Hopes (Live) - pop is so strong this year I think it's pretty much anyone's game. |
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gabe
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Post by gabe on Oct 6, 2019 8:25:41 GMT -5
alessia cara.. pop SMASH out of love? i dont htink so
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2019 12:33:09 GMT -5
alessia cara.. pop SMASH out of love? i dont htink so Well what are they supposed to say? It's an FYC ad, the entire point is to be hyperbolic lol |
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Post by pmorecabellobp on Oct 6, 2019 13:11:59 GMT -5
Question - who do you think is the likely winner of Pop Duo/Group? It's such a competitive category this year. Old Town Road is the longest #1 in Billboard History but Señorita is breaking global #1 records in the streaming services. Sunflower was also a big hit. - I see it being between these 3.
Hmm, I think this category is going to be very competitive: Sucker, Sunflower, I Don't Care, Señorita, DWAS, OTR...
As a fan, I hope Señorita can win, but I think DWAS or Sunflower can do.
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Post by mariabarbie on Oct 7, 2019 2:14:04 GMT -5
Question - who do you think is the likely winner of Pop Duo/Group? It's such a competitive category this year. Old Town Road is the longest #1 in Billboard History but Señorita is breaking global #1 records in the streaming services. Sunflower was also a big hit. - I see it being between these 3.
Hmm, I think this category is going to be very competitive: Sucker, Sunflower, I Don't Care, Señorita, DWAS, OTR...
As a fan, I hope Señorita can win, but I think DWAS or Sunflower can do.
If I'm honest, I never realized DWAS was a big hit - I think I only heard it a couple times. How I managed to avoid it I have no idea? |
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shayonce
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Post by shayonce on Oct 7, 2019 4:05:38 GMT -5
 Gary Clark JR  Jhene Aiko |
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Oct 7, 2019 9:29:07 GMT -5
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14887fan
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Post by 14887fan on Oct 7, 2019 10:26:37 GMT -5
Aerosmith is MusiCares Person of the Year for 2020.
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shayonce
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Post by shayonce on Oct 9, 2019 4:48:33 GMT -5
 Maggie Rogers  YK Osiris |
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Oct 9, 2019 15:58:22 GMT -5
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Post by mariabarbie on Oct 9, 2019 16:19:34 GMT -5
Rolling Stone was on crack when they wrote that - they don't even realize GF has more than 5 nominees
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Oct 9, 2019 16:25:40 GMT -5
GRAMMY CHEW: RECORD OF THE YEAR
THE FAVORITESLewis Capaldi, “Someone You Loved”: The Brit crossover of the year and the little ballad that could came out of left field and conquered the world with pure emotion. “Someone” is a strong contender for SOTY as well, and Capaldi a fave for a BNA nod. He could have a huge night. Billie Eilish, “bad guy”: An odds-on favorite, this envelope-pushing track is the breakthrough from the phenom’s monster album, and her innovative SNL performance strengthened her case with Grammy voters. Billie, too, looks to be on track for a batch of noms—and possibly a spectacular Grammy night. Jonas Brothers, “Sucker”: This supremely well-made record is pure pop pleasure, and has reignited the brothers’ group brand—as well as lighting the fuse for their mega-tour. It combines a killer performance, lingering affection for the trio’s legacy and a hook that lodges in your brain like a meat cleaver. Khalid, “Talk”: This disarming soul-pop charmer seems as close to a sure shot as you’ll get in our uncertain world. Packed with solid hooks and sweetened by Khalid’s emotive falsetto, it just works—and marks the completion of Khalid’s trajectory from wunderkind to superstar. Lil Nas X, “Old Town Road”: We’ve probably spilled enough ink by now about the record-breaking “Road”—inarguably the biggest single of the year—to convey its significance. Crossing just about every genre boundary, this is the Energizer Bunny of pop tracks. Not including it in this category would be a miscarriage of justice. Lizzo, “Truth Hurts”: Like Billie’s “guy,” this is the breakout song from a breakthrough artist. Lizzo has rocked every music metric but also moved the culture. She has the potential, depending on how things go, to collect a stack of noms—and even to rule the roost on Music’s Biggest Night. Post Malone f/Swae Lee, “Sunflower”: Post is beyond big, and this breezy cut (which first appeared on the Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse ST) underscores how he’s reshaped the pop mainstream in his own face-tatted image. He’s overdue for some serious Grammy love. Respect. Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello, “Señorita”: This Latin-pop-hybrid is a juggernaut; having scored a Top 40 radio #1, it sits at #1 on Spotify’s Global chart. The duo’s chemistry is smoking-hot—demonstrating, for those who didn’t already know, that these are two of the new generation’s superstars. Will it go all the way? Panic! At the Disco, “High Hopes”: This is the year’s biggest cut by a rock band. With a killer vocal and ridiculously strong hooks, it’s a celebration of classic pop virtues in contemporary drag—and its vaulting optimism washes over you like an ocean wave. In a less crowded field, “Hopes” would feel like a sure thing; even in this group, it can reasonably hope for a nom. Sam Smith and Normani, “Dancing With a Stranger”: Melancholy but funky, this finely crafted duet is an instant classic. It’s fair to assume that there’s still a lot of love in Grammyland for Sam; could “Stranger” dance into the winner’s circle? Don’t bet against it. TOP CONTENDERSAriana Grande, “7 rings”: Ariana’s had a stellar year, and this hip-hop take on “My Favorite Things” (which previously inspired Julie Andrews, among others) was a colossal smash. Interestingly, Team Ari submitted this for ROTY and “thank u, next” for SOTY. In any case, Grammy may decide to atone for past slights of the absurdly talented megadiva with a nod. H alsey, “Without Me”: This was the year Halsey became ubiquitous in pop culture, and this sleek, darkly emotional cut is what took her already-buzzing career to critical mass. One of pop’s least predictable stars, she’s forged her own path; does it lead to a ROTY nom this time out?
Lady Gaga, “Always Remember Us This Way” (from A Star Is Born): This tearjerking coda to Gaga’s box-office giant is a straightforward blast of feeling from one of the strongest singers we have. Did it come out too long ago? The album probably has a better shot at Grammy glory than this cut, which is a long shot. Taylor Swift, “You Need to Calm Down”: The second single from Tay’s Lover, an infectious pop treat in its own right, was turbocharged by its pointedly pro-LGBTQ lyrics. This combo of winsome melody and woke message could be just the right formula to win Swift a spot on the short list. WILD CARDS Beyoncé, “Spirit”: This Lion King cut deserves consideration, but Bey’s best Grammy shot this year is probably for her dazzling live set Homecoming in the Album category. That said, the Afrocentric, soulful “Spirit” surely resonates. Andrea and Matteo Bocelli, “Fall on Me”: A powerful father-son vocal pairing on a great song (with the additional kick of a Disney ST connection, for The Nutcracker and the Four Realms), this could be a surprise runner in the final round. Will this dynastic duo make the cut? DaBaby, “Suge”: The rapper’s streaming behemoth—paying tribute to a badass of the biz—looks to be one of the strongest hip-hop contenders for ROTY. DaBaby was dissed in the Best New Artist category, so his inclusion here would be a (well-deserved) make-up. Dan + Shay, “Speechless”: This Nashville pair had the biggest Country-to-Pop crossover of the year on the heels of the unstoppable “Tequila,” which they performed, unforgettably, on last year’s show. A ROTY nom would be a good way to get them back onstage. Just sayin’. J. Cole, “Middle Child”: Another enormous hip-hop record, which emphasized not only Cole’s ongoing viability in the brutally competitive streaming sweepstakes but also his continuing cred and gravitas. The clarity and seriousness of its lyrics could well propel it to glory. Lil Tecca, “Ransom”: This late-breaking streaming monster is another new-school rap smash with a fleet groove and an insinuating melody (and at 2:11, it’s rivaled only by the original “Old Town Road” for brevity). That said, teenage Tecca is probably a long shot this year. Maren Morris, “GIRL”: A bona fide country star who got a huge pop look thanks to Zedd/Grey collab “The Middle,” Maren is a fierce presence and already beloved by Grammy. The female-empowerment blast “GIRL” may be an outlier nod. Maggie Rogers, “Light On”: Rogers’ haunting love letter to fans may be a dark-horse winner. Ever since she knocked Pharrell’s socks off during his NYU masterclass, Rogers has impressed with both craft and feeling. As writer, performer and producer, she’s the complete creative package. Tyler, The Creator, “Earfquake”: AOTY is probably more likely, but this compelling alterna-soul cut shouldn’t be counted out, particularly given the artist’s undeniable cool factor. If Grammy wants an arty outlier among the expected pop frontrunners, Tyler fits the bill. Carrie Underwood, “Love Wins”: This is one Nashville record that may resonate more with Blue State sensibilities than Red, wading as it does into the troubled waters of the gun-control divide. This being heavyweight-champ Underwood, of course, the soaring melody and positive vibes far outweigh the politics. hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=318179
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born
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Post by born on Oct 9, 2019 17:13:18 GMT -5
This is one of the best and most realistic set of predictions I’ve seen in a while. I expect one or two of the nominated songs to be left field and unpredictable but HDD did well with this one.
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Oct 9, 2019 18:12:09 GMT -5
Yep, solid predictions from HDD. Getting rid of Paul Grein is already making a difference.
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Caviar
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Post by Caviar on Oct 9, 2019 20:03:34 GMT -5
I guess critics will be shoving Beyonce up our asses this year. When will they learn?
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Post by Mayman on Oct 9, 2019 21:02:25 GMT -5
Hopefully Billie gets a nom in all four categories.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 9, 2019 21:06:59 GMT -5
I guess critics will be shoving Beyonce up our asses this year. When will they learn? When she stops getting nominated. |
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Post by Rose "Payola" Nylund on Oct 9, 2019 22:08:43 GMT -5
I see Maren and Gaga getting a lot of attention. Lizzo won’t get as much as she should. :( lil Nas X will only get 2 :( Shawn Mendes will get too many.
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willapted33
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Post by willapted33 on Oct 10, 2019 4:00:15 GMT -5
hahahahahahah the big day getting an AOTY nomination
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ampersand
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Post by ampersand on Oct 10, 2019 10:11:03 GMT -5
Lana for AOTY!
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tinawina
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Post by tinawina on Oct 10, 2019 11:56:31 GMT -5
I guess critics will be shoving Beyonce up our asses this year. When will they learn? Learn what? There are no negative consequences for nominating Beyonce. Hopefully Billie gets a nom in all four categories. I would be shocked if she doesn't. |
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