weirdo
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Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Nov 29, 2019 16:30:34 GMT -5
US Spotify, week ending 11/28/19 1 ROXANNE by Arizona Zervas 11,513,910 2 Circles by Post Malone 8,384,206 3 everything i wanted by Billie Eilish 7,926,800 4 HIGHEST IN THE ROOM by Travis Scott 7,593,136 5 Bandit (with YoungBoy Never Broke Again) by Juice WRLD 6,623,802 6 Falling by Trevor Daniel 6,345,784 7 BOP by DaBaby 6,222,270 8 Vete by Bad Bunny 5,867,531 9 Lose You To Love Me by Selena Gomez 5,758,899 10 Dance Monkey by Tones and I 5,624,095 "Hot" is #5 when combined. Dance Monkey is coming! I guarantee Dance Monkey will hit #1 in January. In fact i think it will actually block ROXANNE and cause it to peak at #2. |
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chanman
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Posts: 756
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Post by chanman on Nov 29, 2019 16:40:49 GMT -5
Wish other artists could push the 80's vibe like in Blinding Lights. The song is very different to the rest of the songs on the current charts.
I hope and pray Radio doesn't blank this one.
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π‘πππππ€
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Justice for Georgia Leah Moses: https://www.georgialeahmoses.com
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Post by π‘πππππ€ on Nov 29, 2019 23:19:33 GMT -5
Currently crossing my fingers super hard for Ellie Goulding. I want βHate Meβ to reach 20 weeks but itβs looking iffy
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moonlite
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Post by moonlite on Nov 30, 2019 8:50:40 GMT -5
Wow Hearless had 14m on demand streams in 2 days. The AM numbers mustβve been insane bc he did kind of eh on Spotify
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Nov 30, 2019 10:23:35 GMT -5
Blinding Lights officially released! Gonna be honest, while I totally see why it's the fan favorite over Heartless...I kinda like Heartless more? At least for now, Idk, I feel the whole retro 80s thing is a bit predictable with Abel right now. Both of them are f**king awesome. It makes me sad though because double single releases rarely do well for one of the songs Didnβt Weeknd himself have two big hits at the same time a few years ago? Bieber had multiple hits at the same time. Rihanna too with βWhatβs My Nameβ and βOnly Girl.β |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Nov 30, 2019 10:28:58 GMT -5
Wow Hearless had 14m on demand streams in 2 days. The AM numbers mustβve been insane bc he did kind of eh on Spotify Approx. 70% of his streams come from AM, which is surprisingly strong proportion considering his big success on Spotify (6 songs over 500M) |
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tuna
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weezed to meet you
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Post by tuna on Nov 30, 2019 18:07:05 GMT -5
Both of them are f**king awesome. It makes me sad though because double single releases rarely do well for one of the songs Didnβt Weeknd himself have two big hits at the same time a few years ago? Bieber had multiple hits at the same time. Rihanna too with βWhatβs My Nameβ and βOnly Girl.β Hopefully he can juggle both of them but usually it works better if you let one build momentum and then release the second one when the first becomes big so you can focus on promoting one |
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Abbaschand
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Post by Abbaschand on Nov 30, 2019 18:23:36 GMT -5
Didnβt Weeknd himself have two big hits at the same time a few years ago? Bieber had multiple hits at the same time. Rihanna too with βWhatβs My Nameβ and βOnly Girl.β Hopefully he can juggle both of them but usually it works better if you let one build momentum and then release the second one when the first becomes big so you can focus on promoting one Could this be a Can't Feel My Face/The Hills situation, or a Shape of You/Castle on the Hill situation, or the worst, a God's Plan/Diplomatic Immunity situation? |
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lazer
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Post by lazer on Nov 30, 2019 18:40:51 GMT -5
Hopefully he can juggle both of them but usually it works better if you let one build momentum and then release the second one when the first becomes big so you can focus on promoting one Could this be a Can't Feel My Face/The Hills situation, or a Shape of You/Castle on the Hill situation, or the worst, a God's Plan/Diplomatic Immunity situation? I'm pretty sure DI flopped because of it's complex title and dull production. |
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tanooki
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2019 Breakthrough
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Post by tanooki on Nov 30, 2019 18:47:22 GMT -5
Could this be a Can't Feel My Face/The Hills situation, or a Shape of You/Castle on the Hill situation, or the worst, a God's Plan/Diplomatic Immunity situation? I'm pretty sure DI flopped because of it's complex title and dull production. Iirc it was never pushed as a legitimate single like Gods Plan was |
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gabe
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Post by gabe on Nov 30, 2019 18:54:41 GMT -5
Could this be a Can't Feel My Face/The Hills situation, or a Shape of You/Castle on the Hill situation, or the worst, a God's Plan/Diplomatic Immunity situation? I'm pretty sure DI flopped because of it's complex title and dull production. just another one of drake's singles that flops!! |
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weirdo
Gold Member
Joined: November 2019
Posts: 640
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Post by weirdo on Nov 30, 2019 18:56:52 GMT -5
Hopefully he can juggle both of them but usually it works better if you let one build momentum and then release the second one when the first becomes big so you can focus on promoting one Could this be a Can't Feel My Face/The Hills situation, or a Shape of You/Castle on the Hill situation, or the worst, a God's Plan/Diplomatic Immunity situation? I think it will be option 2. Heartless & Blinding Lights will both have success at first, but Heartless will keep more radio support and stay in the upper level od the charts for awhile while Blinding Lights will have a HITR-type run and fall pretty fast, omly to stabilize due to streaming |
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Sambalada
8x Platinum Member
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Mmmmmmmm....
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Post by Sambalada on Nov 30, 2019 20:04:42 GMT -5
Say Say Say being named Michael Jackson's biggest hit is the most random thing ever.
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lazer
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Post by lazer on Nov 30, 2019 20:08:02 GMT -5
There is a pattern with The Weeknd when he has two big singles. One has a dark, bassy, and urban sound (The Hills, Starboy, Heartless) and the other one has an 80s style throwback sound (Can't Feel My Face, I Feel It Coming, Blinding Lights).
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Post by Mayman on Nov 30, 2019 21:33:56 GMT -5
Off topic but Party Monster should've been way bigger than it was.
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dovahduck
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Kavinsky finally dropped! :)
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Post by dovahduck on Nov 30, 2019 23:38:36 GMT -5
Off topic but Party Monster should've been way bigger than it was. PREACH, it and "In the Night" should have easily been top ten hits in my opinion. Abel screwed up both of those singles with "weird" music videos that didn't resonate with the public well (which sucked because both videos were great). I remember at one point the former was doing better than "IFIC" too. However the singles from him that he did wrong the most were "Secrets" and "Die for You", with the first only being released internationally and the second having its pop radio release cancelled. |
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Post by violentdreams on Dec 1, 2019 0:15:19 GMT -5
Die For You is definitely the hit that got away in Weeknd's discography. It has served more longevity any other Starboy single aside from the title track and IFIC.
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candypaint
Charting
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Posts: 183
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Post by candypaint on Dec 1, 2019 0:52:30 GMT -5
Finally get to post after weeks of stalking lmao.
Rooting for Blinding Lights to pull through with a #1, but Heartless seems to be overshadowing it.
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gs
Charting
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Posts: 452
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Post by gs on Dec 1, 2019 2:18:00 GMT -5
The YouTube chart for this week is wild - if UGC increases linearly with chart numbers, Dance Monkey will be #7(!!!) since it increased 98% from last week.
I'm going to post two scenarios for my final predictions tonight since I have no idea what will happen.
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tanooki
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2019 Breakthrough
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Post by tanooki on Dec 1, 2019 2:24:07 GMT -5
The YouTube chart for this week is wild - if UGC increases linearly with chart numbers, Dance Monkey will be #7(!!!) since it increased 98% from last week. I'm going to post two scenarios for my final predictions tonight since I have no idea what will happen. I wonder what the fuck happened with the algorithm because holy shit, all those gains. Also, the new Epic Rap Battles of History appearing on the chart is kinda odd, I've never seen ERB on the YouTube chart. It would be funny if they charted on the Hot 100 or Bubbling Under, since they've only charted on Comedy Albums and Comedy Digital Track Sales |
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Dec 1, 2019 9:43:54 GMT -5
If we're talking about Weeknd singles that should've performed better, Secrets and Reminder should've at least been moderate hits, and 'Shameless' should've been pushed as a single off of BBTM instead of Acquainted
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fhas
3x Platinum Member
Three-time World Champions: 1992 - 2-1 vs. Barcelona, 1993 - 3-2 vs. Milan, 2005 - 1-0 vs. Liverpool
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Post by fhas on Dec 1, 2019 10:06:16 GMT -5
There is a pattern with The Weeknd when he has two big singles. One has a dark, bassy, and urban sound (The Hills, Starboy, Heartless) and the other one has an 80s style throwback sound (Can't Feel My Face, I Feel It Coming, Blinding Lights). ...and (IMO) for the third time dark/urban The Weeknd >>>> throwback The Weeknd.
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Post by οΌ³ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½ο½π€ο½ο½ on Dec 1, 2019 10:22:56 GMT -5
My picks are Can't Feel My Face, Starboy and Blinding Lights. Heartless is the only one I dislike here.
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gs
Charting
Joined: October 2019
Posts: 452
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Post by gs on Dec 1, 2019 10:35:36 GMT -5
Early predictions  I only have Dance Monkey around 17,700 points π€ Final predictions I'm pretty sure both of these will be hilariously off so  Scenario 1 Real YT changes with only modest UGC changes I have Truth Hurts at 19,500 and Dance Monkey at 18,800 in this scenario 
Scenario 2
Linearly scaled UGC changes  |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 1, 2019 11:00:11 GMT -5
Bop repeated as #1 in YouTube with a safe lead over OTR, which also surprising managed to rise.
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Post by areyoureadytojump on Dec 1, 2019 11:03:38 GMT -5
That December 1983 chart is everything. The Fall of 1983 is when I first got into the Billboard charts.
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 1, 2019 11:06:42 GMT -5
The YouTube chart for this week is wild - if UGC increases linearly with chart numbers, Dance Monkey will be #7(!!!) since it increased 98% from last week. I'm going to post two scenarios for my final predictions tonight since I have no idea what will happen. I wonder what the f**k happened with the algorithm because holy s**t, all those gains. Also, the new Epic Rap Battles of History appearing on the chart is kinda odd, I've never seen ERB on the YouTube chart. It would be funny if they charted on the Hot 100 or Bubbling Under, since they've only charted on Comedy Albums and Comedy Digital Track Sales I'm guessing Thanksgiving eating and shopping hangovers ... |
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mms82
Platinum Member
...
Joined: January 2019
Posts: 1,282
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Post by mms82 on Dec 1, 2019 11:18:39 GMT -5
Bop repeated as #1 in YouTube with a safe lead over OTR, which also surprising managed to rise. OTR probably rose cause kids have off for Thanksgiving break and played OTR on YouTube more cause they were freee all day |
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Post by Golden Bluebird on Dec 1, 2019 11:28:05 GMT -5
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Dec 1, 2019 11:29:14 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2019/12/01
1(=) Lizzo - Good as Hell 128.22(+0.86)
2(=) Post Malone - Circles 122.16( 0.32)
3 (=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 118.39(-0.32)
4(+2) Maroon 5 - Memories 95.27(+1.38)
5(-1) SHAED - Trampoline 94.84(-0.32)
6(-1) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 93.71(-1.09)
7(=) Lizzo - Truth Hurts 91.65(-1.63)
8(=) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 89.23(+0.50)
9(=) Shawn Mendes & Camila Cabello - SeΓ±orita 83.54(-3.66)
10(+1) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 79.84(+2.08)
40(+1) Tones and I - Dance Monkey 36.79(+0.81)
41(+2) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 36.28(+0.83)
58(+9) The Weeknd - Heartless 26.37(+3.24) 80(+11) blackbear - hot girl bummer 20.12(+0.90)
82(+12) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 19.90(+1.25)
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