leoapp
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Post by leoapp on Jan 12, 2020 21:21:10 GMT -5
I wonder if chart watchers back in 2000 were expecting "Smooth" to be dethroned by Christina Aguilera's second single, despite Britney failing to reach the heights of "...BOMT" with her following singles. It wasn't a surprise; Christina released a physical commercial single for "WAGW" so its jump to the top was expected. Britney didn't release commercial singles for the follow-ups to "...BOMT" so they charted solely off of airplay, which wasn't her strongest metric at the time. Yeah, Xtina relaesed physical CDs for all her singles. That's why she got 3 hot 100 no. 1s (Gennie, WAGW, Come On Over) plus 1 top 3, I Turn To You. Britney only released physical CDs for the no.1 Baby One More Time and the no. 14 hit, From The Bottom. It was to increase album sales. Sometimes (no. 21) and You Drive Me Crazy (no. 10) charted with airplay points alone. I think both could hit no. 1 or at least top 3, with physical CDs. Cos Britney did better selling singles than airplay |
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dremolus - solarpunk
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Post by dremolus - solarpunk on Jan 12, 2020 21:56:56 GMT -5
Novocaine by The Unlikely Candidates has entered the top 200 on radio. I'd say look out for it- it's catchy as hell and could be our indie crossover hit of the year I think it'll either be this or Make You Mine by PUBLIC, which has been in the Top 40 Pop charts for a while |
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jenglisbe
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Post by jenglisbe on Jan 12, 2020 22:11:05 GMT -5
I wonder if chart watchers back in 2000 were expecting "Smooth" to be dethroned by Christina Aguilera's second single, despite Britney failing to reach the heights of "...BOMT" with her following singles. It wasn't a surprise; Christina released a physical commercial single for "WAGW" so its jump to the top was expected. Britney didn't release commercial singles for the follow-ups to "...BOMT" so they charted solely off of airplay, which wasn't her strongest metric at the time. It is weird how (relatively) poor Spears' airplay was considering her huge album sales and hype. Pre-"Toxic" she only had two #1s at Top 40 (BOMT and OIDIA) and five top 10s. On the whole Aguilera had more consistent airplay despite lower sales. |
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Post by Lukas on Jan 12, 2020 22:20:39 GMT -5
Billboard Hot 100 01/18/2020 Final Predictions: Radio #1: Circles - 105.9M AI
Digital Sales #1: Yummy - 43K sales
Streaming #1: The Box - 72.9M streams | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | Free Streaming | Passive Streaming | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | The Box | 11,400,000 | 14,400 | 50,800,000 | 21,200,000 | 900,000 | 72,900,000 | 63,000,000 | 46,000 | | 2 | Circles | 105,900,000 | 24,100 | 17,100,000 | 4,100,000 | 3,500,000 | 24,700,000 | 20,500,000 | 32,800 | | 3 | Yummy | 47,000,000 | 43,300 | 18,900,000 | 10,400,000 | 3,400,000 | 32,700,000 | 26,300,000 | 31,500 | | 4 | Memories | 100,100,000 | 20,200 | 11,300,000 | 3,800,000 | 3,300,000 | 18,500,000 | 15,000,000 | 27,700 | | 5 | Dance Monkey | 49,700,000 | 23,000 | 15,700,000 | 12,700,000 | 2,100,000 | 30,600,000 | 24,400,000 | 27,200 | | 6 | Roxanne | 51,500,000 | 8,100 | 17,700,000 | 10,500,000 | 2,100,000 | 30,400,000 | 24,600,000 | 25,100 | | 7 | Someone You Loved | 89,100,000 | 11,000 | 10,900,000 | 6,100,000 | 3,000,000 | 20,000,000 | 15,800,000 | 25,100 | | 8 | Good As Hell | 99,800,000 | 16,200 | 8,100,000 | 1,900,000 | 2,400,000 | 12,400,000 | 10,100,000 | 23,700 | | 9 | 10,000 Hours | 92,200,000 | 12,700 | 8,600,000 | 2,000,000 | 3,500,000 | 14,000,000 | 11,200,000 | 22,800 | | 10 | Lose You To Love Me | 86,900,000 | 10,100 | 9,800,000 | 2,400,000 | 2,200,000 | 14,400,000 | 12,000,000 | 22,100 |
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renfield75
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Post by renfield75 on Jan 12, 2020 22:22:25 GMT -5
It wasn't a surprise; Christina released a physical commercial single for "WAGW" so its jump to the top was expected. Britney didn't release commercial singles for the follow-ups to "...BOMT" so they charted solely off of airplay, which wasn't her strongest metric at the time. It is weird how (relatively) poor Spears' airplay was considering her huge album sales and hype. Pre-"Toxic" she only had two #1s at Top 40 (BOMT and OIDIA) and five top 10s. On the whole Aguilera had more consistent airplay despite lower sales. It was sort of like a magnified version of BTS...ravenous fanbase, #1 albums, but relatively poor showing on the Hot 100. The factors are different of course, and BTS has yet to have a "...Baby One More Time" crossover single. |
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thebops
Charting
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Post by thebops on Jan 13, 2020 0:20:39 GMT -5
Billboard Top 10 from 60, 55, 50, 45, and 40 years ago: 07 11 Daddy Don't Cry - Elvis Presley The title is actually "Don't Cry Daddy". Probably in my personal top 5-7 of all of Elvis' top 10s. |
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dynamac
Charting
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Posts: 338 
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Post by dynamac on Jan 13, 2020 0:25:40 GMT -5
Another unofficial upload of "Blueberry Fuego" by Lil Mosey is in the Spotify top 200. This song is huge on TikTok; I’m surprised he hasn’t released it officially. It could probably be his biggest hit with promotion and stuff. Apparently somebody else bought the beat before Mosey could use it, so it’s either gonna remain unreleased or drop with a different beat |
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insen_13
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Post by insen_13 on Jan 13, 2020 1:47:03 GMT -5
Billboard Hot 100 01/18/2020 Final Predictions: Radio #1: Circles - 105.9M AI
Digital Sales #1: Yummy - 43K sales
Streaming #1: The Box - 72.9M streams | Rank | Song | Radio | Sales | On-Demand Streaming | Free Streaming | Passive Streaming | Total Streaming | Weighted Streaming | Total Points | | 1 | The Box | 11,400,000 | 14,400 | 50,800,000 | 21,200,000 | 900,000 | 72,900,000 | 63,000,000 | 46,000 | | 2 | Circles | 105,900,000 | 24,100 | 17,100,000 | 4,100,000 | 3,500,000 | 24,700,000 | 20,500,000 | 32,800 | | 3 | Yummy | 47,000,000 | 43,300 | 18,900,000 | 10,400,000 | 3,400,000 | 32,700,000 | 26,300,000 | 31,500 | | 4 | Memories | 100,100,000 | 20,200 | 11,300,000 | 3,800,000 | 3,300,000 | 18,500,000 | 15,000,000 | 27,700 | | 5 | Dance Monkey | 49,700,000 | 23,000 | 15,700,000 | 12,700,000 | 2,100,000 | 30,600,000 | 24,400,000 | 27,200 | | 6 | Roxanne | 51,500,000 | 8,100 | 17,700,000 | 10,500,000 | 2,100,000 | 30,400,000 | 24,600,000 | 25,100 | | 7 | Someone You Loved | 89,100,000 | 11,000 | 10,900,000 | 6,100,000 | 3,000,000 | 20,000,000 | 15,800,000 | 25,100 | | 8 | Good As Hell | 99,800,000 | 16,200 | 8,100,000 | 1,900,000 | 2,400,000 | 12,400,000 | 10,100,000 | 23,700 | | 9 | 10,000 Hours | 92,200,000 | 12,700 | 8,600,000 | 2,000,000 | 3,500,000 | 14,000,000 | 11,200,000 | 22,800 | | 10 | Lose You To Love Me | 86,900,000 | 10,100 | 9,800,000 | 2,400,000 | 2,200,000 | 14,400,000 | 12,000,000 | 22,100 |
I hope Yummy peaks at #3. I don't want this to be a #1 for Bieber. Maybe a better 2nd single? |
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Enigma.
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Post by Enigma. on Jan 13, 2020 2:29:20 GMT -5
#1 is out of the question (unless there are like 150k units sold) but #2 is likely, or it'll just miss and be #3.
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Post by Mayman on Jan 13, 2020 10:31:35 GMT -5
Can't wait for the mess that will ensue this afternoon.
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tanooki
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Post by tanooki on Jan 13, 2020 10:32:47 GMT -5
If Yummy does somehow go #1, the backlash will be incredible. I almost hope it does just to see it
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lurker2
Gold Member
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Posts: 691
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Post by lurker2 on Jan 13, 2020 10:48:51 GMT -5
If Yummy does somehow go #1, the backlash will be incredible. I almost hope it does just to see it Girls Like You 3.0 |
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tanooki
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Post by tanooki on Jan 13, 2020 10:51:57 GMT -5
If Yummy does somehow go #1, the backlash will be incredible. I almost hope it does just to see it Girls Like You 3.0 Nah, it'll be much bigger. GLY was just annoying since it spent #1 with half of its points coming from radio, Yummy will be #1 from streams and sales not even in the US, with Bieber literally promoting it |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 13, 2020 10:52:45 GMT -5
If Yummy does somehow go #1, the backlash will be incredible. I almost hope it does just to see it Girls Like You 3.0 Except significantly worse |
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Post by Baby Yoda Hot100Fan on Jan 13, 2020 11:03:12 GMT -5
kworb's Billboard Radio Songs Estimates 2020/01/13
1(=) Post Malone - Circles 139.62(+0.24)
2(+1) Maroon 5 - Memories 131.64(+0.84)
3(-1) Lizzo - Good as Hell 130.69(-0.93)
4(=) Dan + Shay & Justin Bieber - 10,000 Hours 121.36(+0.01)
5(=) Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved 117.48(+0.23) 6(=) Selena Gomez - Lose You to Love Me 116.34(+1.42)
7(=) SHAED - Trampoline 83.05(-0.73)
8(+1) Chris Brown - No Guidance (feat. Drake) 73.24(-0.68)
9(-1) Jonas Brothers - Only Human 72.91(-1.62)
10(+10) Justin Bieber - Yummy 2.31(+9.78)
11(+2) Arizona Zervas - ROXANNE 68.47(+1.83) 15(+1) Mustard - Ballin’ (feat. Roddy Ricch) 65.25(+2.03)
18(-1) Dua Lipa - Don't Start Now 64.71(+1.65) 34(=) DaBaby - BOP 43.83(+1.14)
62(+3) Lil Baby - Woah 26.35(+0.92)
-(-) Camila Cabello - My Oh My (feat. DaBaby) 15.43(+1.64)
-(-) Roddy Ricch - The Box 15.17(+1.59)
-(-) Morgan Wallen - Chasin' You 13.05(+0.90)
-(-) The Weeknd - Blinding Lights 12.38(+1.92)
-(-) Halsey - You should be sad 4.89(+1.18)
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kierz7
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Joined: June 2018
Posts: 2,642
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Post by kierz7 on Jan 13, 2020 11:07:42 GMT -5
“YUMMY” is going number one.
Just watch!
🤭🤭🤭
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Post by thegreatdivine on Jan 13, 2020 11:15:54 GMT -5
“YUMMY” is going number one. Just watch! 🤭🤭🤭 I'm here for the mess that'll ensue if that happens. |
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Deleted
Joined: January 1970
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jan 13, 2020 11:20:38 GMT -5
This is probably the most exciting week we've had since the week Mariah finally got her #1 for AIWFCIY. I don't think "Yummy" will manage to debut at #1 this week, but it might as well go there if radio keeps going strong like this.
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tuna
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Post by tuna on Jan 13, 2020 11:20:53 GMT -5
some predictions:
SUGAR debut in bottom 20
pathetic and tiny debut for Sum 2 Prove
Good debut for Good News but that might be next week
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kierz7
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Posts: 2,642
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Post by kierz7 on Jan 13, 2020 12:10:35 GMT -5
This is probably the most exciting week we've had since the week Mariah finally got her #1 for AIWFCIY. I don't think "Yummy" will manage to debut at #1 this week, but it might as well go there if radio keeps going strong like this. “Probably”? I mean... That was literally less than a month ago and we’re only just over two weeks into the new year. Not exactly a lot has happened between then and now. LMAO. |
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tuna
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Post by tuna on Jan 13, 2020 12:34:25 GMT -5
Novocaine by The Unlikely Candidates has entered the top 200 on radio. I'd say look out for it- it's catchy as hell and could be our indie crossover hit of the year I think it'll either be this or Make You Mine by PUBLIC, which has been in the Top 40 Pop charts for a while Make You Mine is great, it reminds me of scene kidz bop rock from but in a good way |
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ddlz
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Post by ddlz on Jan 13, 2020 12:39:42 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. POP:20 12 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 8238 3725 4513 41.668 +1016 Spins +312 Bullet +5.283 Audience HOT AC:29 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2139 527 1612 11.072 +311 Spins +192 Bullet +1.898 Audience RHYTHMIC:28 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2647 937 1710 11.656 +326 Spins +219 Bullet +1.553 Audience URBAN:87 35 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 946 155 791 4.756 +154 Spins +125 Bullet +0.606 Audience |
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iggyamo
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Posts: 582
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Post by iggyamo on Jan 13, 2020 12:46:33 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. POP:20 12 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 8238 3725 4513 41.668 +1016 Spins +312 Bullet +5.283 Audience HOT AC:29 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2139 527 1612 11.072 +311 Spins +192 Bullet +1.898 Audience RHYTHMIC:28 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2647 937 1710 11.656 +326 Spins +219 Bullet +1.553 Audience URBAN:87 35 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 946 155 791 4.756 +154 Spins +125 Bullet +0.606 Audience My only theory for why Yummy exists is that it is Justin’s attempt to kill radio, by making the radio so unlistenable that everyone has to switch to streaming |
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Post by Lukas on Jan 13, 2020 12:48:40 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. My only theory for why Yummy exists is that it is Justin’s attempt to kill radio, by making the radio so unlistenable that everyone has to switch to streaming Lol how is one song supposed to completely kill radio? |
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atg
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Post by atg on Jan 13, 2020 13:03:31 GMT -5
I have a feeling billboard will just give yummy to #1 cuz they were either at gunpoint or just to finish the headache
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chanman
Gold Member
Joined: March 2018
Posts: 756
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Post by chanman on Jan 13, 2020 13:06:02 GMT -5
I have a feeling billboard will just give yummy to #1 cuz they were either at gunpoint or just to finish the headache Ah hahahaha.... |
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kierz7
2x Platinum Member
Joined: June 2018
Posts: 2,642
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Post by kierz7 on Jan 13, 2020 13:18:18 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. POP:20 12 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 8238 3725 4513 41.668 +1016 Spins +312 Bullet +5.283 Audience HOT AC:29 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2139 527 1612 11.072 +311 Spins +192 Bullet +1.898 Audience RHYTHMIC:28 16 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 2647 937 1710 11.656 +326 Spins +219 Bullet +1.553 Audience URBAN:87 35 JUSTIN BIEBER Yummy 946 155 791 4.756 +154 Spins +125 Bullet +0.606 Audience Why are we surprised though? We’ve been seeing “updates” like these since the early-to-middle 2000’s. It’s nothing new with radio, so I’m not quite sure why everyone is so “shocked”. Moreover... Radio listener impressions have decreased drastically since 2017 and continue too. It’s not exactly surprising, again, that such songs are SOARING among all the formats especially when it’s a lead single by a major act. I’m almost certain that Rihanna (the biggest airplay artist of the last decade) and Bruno Mars will see similar numbers with their leads. |
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Choco
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Post by Choco on Jan 13, 2020 13:31:45 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. Why are we surprised though? We’ve been seeing “updates” like these since the early-to-middle 2000’s. It’s nothing new with radio, so I’m not quite sure why everyone is so “shocked”. Moreover... Radio listener impressions have decreased drastically since 2017 and continue too. It’s not exactly surprising, again, that such songs are SOARING among all the formats especially when it’s a lead single by a major act. I’m almost certain that Rihanna (the biggest airplay artist of the last decade) and Bruno Mars will see similar numbers with their leads. Those are first week radio deal numbers during it's second week. It's abnormal and suspicious. |
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Post by mikeymonster on Jan 13, 2020 13:34:23 GMT -5
I feel like "Yummy" is getting crazy radio updates for sure, but I do think it's gonna have a super fast radio downfall in a few weeks kinda like "Look What You Made Me Do"
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Post by Lukas on Jan 13, 2020 13:36:08 GMT -5
This is the most blunt radio payola I have seen in a long time, or possibly ever. Between this and endless bundles gimmicks, Billboard charts have almost zero meaning. Why are we surprised though? We’ve been seeing “updates” like these since the early-to-middle 2000’s. It’s nothing new with radio, so I’m not quite sure why everyone is so “shocked”. Moreover... Radio listener impressions have decreased drastically since 2017 and continue too. It’s not exactly surprising, again, that such songs are SOARING among all the formats especially when it’s a lead single by a major act. I’m almost certain that Rihanna (the biggest airplay artist of the last decade) and Bruno Mars will see similar numbers with their leads. These huge increases are representative of what occurs during its first week, because it didn't have any radio airplay from 7 days ago then because it wasn't out. According to Kworb, Yummy got 5.78 AI last Monday, and this Monday it increased by 9.78. That's a total of 15.56 AI. You really think it's normal for songs to manage 15.56 AI a day this early in the chart run (first day excluded of course)? Yeah, no. |
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