HITS 7/23: Pop Smoke #1 90k. John Mayer #2 86k.

[areyoureadytojump]

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=327406&title=NEW-RELEASES%253A-POP-AND-ROCK

Saturday, July 17, 2021

NEW RELEASES: POP AND ROCK

Pop Smoke's second posthumous release, Faith (Victor Victor/Republic), will lead the HITS Top 50 next week. After spending the past two weeks at #1, Olivia Rodrigo may tussle with John Mayer in his debut week for the runner-up spot.

Pop Smoke (Victor Victor/Republic) 110-120k total activity, 4-6k albums
John Mayer (Columbia) 70-80k, 50-60k albums

[fridayteenage]

Hmm, not huge for pop; what's out next week that might block olivia from bouncing back to #1 again?

[phieaglesfan712]

Jul 17, 2021 14:04:45 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Hmm, not huge for pop; what's out next week that might block olivia from bouncing back to #1 again?

Yung Bleu has an album next week: 

I'm going to say that Drake feature will get a boost on the Hot 100.

[Choco]

Fine for Pop considering it's just the estate milking his last few unfinished tracks.

[recordyear]

John Mayer doing better than I thought in pure sales and SPS. Sucks that he will miss #1.

[fridayteenage]

Jul 17, 2021 21:54:16 GMT -5 recordyear said:

John Mayer doing better than I thought in pure sales and SPS. Sucks that he will miss #1.

eh he's on a #2 streak

[Enigma.]

Only 4 Pop Smoke tracks in top ten on AM any more..

[thegreatdivine]

^ I believe he peaked with 8 songs in the top 10. It's all downhill from here because more songs will be entering the top 10 soon. He'll probably end the tracking week with 2 songs in the top 10, maybe even 1.

[fengyu]

Jul 17, 2021 14:04:45 GMT -5 fridayteenage said:

Hmm, not huge for pop; what's out next week that might block olivia from bouncing back to #1 again?

think taylor's dropping another batch of folklore vinyls next week but who knows how many she'll sell considering it's not the first pressing

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

Currently at #2 in iTunes is Dee Gees' Hail Satin which is actually by the Foo Fighters. It was actually available on Friday for Record Store Day. It will interesting to see where it lands.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

TOP 20: SMOKE IS STILL FIRE

Tuesday, July 20, 2021

Pop Smoke’s second posthumous release, Faith (Victor Victor/Republic), will debut at #1. John Mayer’s Sob Rock (Columbia), which bears a nostalgic "Nice Price" sticker on its cover, lands at #2.

In other news, is it too early to go back to bed?

[Verisimilitude]

Dua still doing so well after Future Nostalgia just passed 2 million units recently

[phieaglesfan712]

Wow, that Pop Smoke number continues to go down by the day. At this point, I wouldn't be surprised if John Mayer steals the #1.

[myhouse911]

Jul 20, 2021 16:34:08 GMT -5 Verisimilitude said:

Dua still doing so well after Future Nostalgia just passed 2 million units recently

It hasn't, though, unless you meant worldwide.

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

^^ Taking into account the SPS reported for the current Billboard and Oldbloke @ UKMix RTD numbers, Future Nostalgia would be at an estimated 1.87 million in the US. It should probably get to 2 million within the next five weeks including the current one.

[Verisimilitude]

Jul 20, 2021 19:04:20 GMT -5 Baby Yoda Hot100Fan said:

^^ Taking into account the SPS reported for the current Billboard and Oldbloke @ UKMix RTD numbers, Future Nostalgia would be at an estimated 1.87 million in the US. It should probably get to 2 million within the next five weeks including the current one.

HDD literally already confirmed it yesterday:

Like Warner’s Dua Lipa, Peter Edge’s latest diva has yet to score a #1 album—but how much does that matter? These projects don’t have the typical shelf life of their peers. Dua’s “Levitating” f/DaBaby is giving Olivia Rodrigo’s “drivers license” a run for its money as the year’s biggest song, with about 3.2m in U.S. activity YTD. Ben Mawson-managed Dua’s 2017 debut set has done north of 2.5m in U.S. ATD; Future Nostalgia is over 2m.

hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=327409&title=NEAR-TRUTHS%253A-GOALLLLLLLL

And Warner confirmed Future Nostalgia was at 4 million units worldwide in May. Could be nearing 5M WW soon enough.

[areyoureadytojump]

60k in albums for John Mayer? How many special editions did he have?

[Choco]

2.5m for an album that didn't even reach top 25 on a single week. Get it Dua. Peaks are irrelevant and have always been on the BB200, aside from the bragging rights of #1.

[Troublemaker]

Jul 20, 2021 20:26:05 GMT -5 areyoureadytojump said:

60k in albums for John Mayer? How many special editions did he have?

Just a target exclusive clear vinyl 

[Eloqueen™]

Agreed that peaks are irrelevant to the overall success of an album and always have been, but it's also worth noting that the configuration of the Billboard 200 today is completely different than it was before and really these days an album can be relatively unsuccessful as a whole and still "appear" to be successful in certification off the back of hit singles alone. Look at Romance by Camila Cabello, an album that performed relatively terribly and due to the huge success of "Havanna" and moderate success of "My Oh My" still "sold" or was certified as shifting one million units (which I personally feel makes it look far more successful than it actually was). lol I think, particularly these days, an album's true success (as a whole project) is hard to be measured by certification or SPS figures, but I suppose that is a matter of opinion. I understand sales are dead and streaming is the new way, just wish they had better formulas at play to separate album and single success. It almost feels as if the lines are blurred now. Before, a hit single didn't mean your album would be successful. These days it feels as if it almost guarantees it. Like the modern Billboard 200 is the old single sales chart reformulated. Lol I realize that is an exaggeration, just feels that way sometimes. Oh well. Is what it is. lol

[thegreatdivine]

Rolling Stone just updated their charts for the last time before the final numbers are posted on Monday and they have John Mayer ahead of Pop Smoke on their album chart 👀

[strongerq]

Jul 23, 2021 10:11:49 GMT -5 thegreatdivine said:

Rolling Stone just updated their charts for the last time before the final numbers are posted on Monday and they have John Mayer ahead of Pop Smoke on their album chart 👀

That is only because they have weird formula for physicals. Vinyls count twice.

The same RS chart without the double counting:

Sob Rock has 49.3k Album sales

8.4k Track sales (/10 = 840)

24.4M audio streams (/1200 = 20.3k) - i will put every streams as paid so he gets the most units

So he has 70.4k units (without Vinyls counting twice). With that formula RS uses he is at 88.4k.

[strongerq]

hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming

LW	TW	Artist	Title	Label	Total	Change	Albums	TEA	SEA
--	1	POP SMOKE	FAITH	VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC	90,744	--	3,984	1,323	85,437
--	2	JOHN MAYER	SOB ROCK	COLUMBIA	86,703	--	62,537	1,137	23,029
1	3	OLIVIA RODRIGO	SOUR	GEFFEN	76,755	-7%	9,398	1,975	65,382
2	4	DOJA CAT	PLANET HER	KEMOSABE/RCA	57,922	-4%	625	1,103	56,194
3	5	MORGAN WALLEN	DANGEROUS: THE DOUBLE ALBUM	BIG LOUD/REPUBLIC	42,370	-1%	1,716	773	39,881
4	6	LIL BABY & LIL DURK	THE VOICE OF THE HEROES	ALAMO/GEFFEN/INTERSCOPE/WOLFPACK/QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN	35,974	-12%	1,048	519	34,407
5	7	POLO G	HALL OF FAME	COLUMBIA	32,556	-8%	371	444	31,742
8	8	DUA LIPA	FUTURE NOSTALGIA	WARNER	27,930	-1%	1,974	1,414	24,542
12	9	POP SMOKE	SHOOT FOR THE STARS AIM FOR THE MOON	VICTOR VICTOR/REPUBLIC	26,677	4%	304	416	25,958
11	10	MONEYBAGG YO	A GANGSTA'S PAIN	CMG/N-LESS/INTERSCOPE	24,704	-7%	392	578	23,734
9	11	BO BURNHAM	INSIDE (THE SONGS)	IMPERIAL/REPUBLIC	24,492	-12%	1,348	414	22,731
7	12	THE WEEKND	AFTER HOURS	XO/REPUBLIC	23,765	-17%	2,904	772	20,089
13	13	LUKE COMBS	WHAT YOU SEE IS WHAT YOU GET	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	23,636	-2%	1,461	888	21,287
16	14	J. COLE	THE OFF-SEASON	DREAMVILLE/ROC NATION/INTERSCOPE	22,160	7%	3,896	181	18,084
14	15	JUSTIN BIEBER	JUSTICE	RBMG/DEF JAM	21,412	-9%	2,042	687	18,683
6	16	TYLER, THE CREATOR	CALL ME IF YOU GET LOST	COLUMBIA	21,109	-30%	279	94	20,736
10	17	MIGOS	CULTURE III	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN	20,833	-22%	270	223	20,341
18	18	LIL BABY	MY TURN	QUALITY CONTROL/MOTOWN/CAPITOL	20,274	0%	319	290	19,666
17	19	POST MALONE	HOLLYWOOD'S BLEEDING	REPUBLIC	20,164	-1%	298	366	19,500
19	20	QUEEN	GREATEST HITS 1	HOLLYWOOD	18,754	-7%	3,655	792	14,307
21	21	JUICE WRLD	LEGENDS NEVER DIE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	18,409	-3%	425	189	17,795
23	22	JUICE WRLD	GOODBYE & GOOD RIDDANCE	GRADE A/INTERSCOPE	17,702	-1%	447	146	17,108
27	23	LUKE COMBS	THIS ONE'S FOR YOU	RIVER HOUSE/COLUMBIA NASHVILLE	17,046	5%	1,062	363	15,621
26	24	THE WEEKND	THE HIGHLIGHTS	XO/REPUBLIC	17,017	2%	847	617	15,553
25	25	THE KID LAROI	F*CK LOVE	COLUMBIA	16,649	-2%	82	337	16,230
29	26	ROD WAVE	SOULFLY	ALAMO/GEFFEN/INTERSCOPE	16,488	7%	36	78	16,374
24	27	MACHINE GUN KELLY	TICKETS TO MY DOWNFALL	BAD BOY/INTERSCOPE	16,378	-5%	3,437	306	12,635
28	28	DJ KHALED	KHALED KHALED	WE THE BEST/EPIC	15,648	-2%	216	374	15,058
--	29	CLAIRO	SLING	FADER/REPUBLIC	15,498	--	8,803	56	6,640
15	30	G HERBO	25	MACHINE LABEL GROUP/IMPERIAL/REPUBLIC	15,295	-34%	81	47	15,168
32	31	ARIANA GRANDE	POSITIONS	REPUBLIC	15,267	5%	1,276	241	13,750
35	32	POOH SHIESTY	SHIESTY SEASON	ATLANTIC	15,017	6%	44	259	14,713
30	33	HARRY STYLES	FINE LINE	COLUMBIA	15,001	1%	2,776	426	11,799
31	34	HAMILTON	ORIGINAL BROADWAY CAST	UPTOWN/ATLANTIC	14,776	1%	844	128	13,805
36	35	MORGAN WALLEN	IF I KNOW ME	BIG LOUD	14,705	5%	517	264	13,925
39	36	CREEDENCE CLEARWATER REVIVAL	CHRONICLE: THE 20 GREATEST HITS	FANTASY	14,449	5%	3,606	501	10,342
37	37	POLO G	THE GOAT	COLUMBIA	14,323	3%	177	159	13,987
--	38	ILLENIUM	FALLEN EMBERS	12TONE/WARNER	14,299	--	2,167	526	11,607
34	39	FLEETWOOD MAC	RUMOURS	WARNER	14,239	0%	2,515	378	11,345
38	40	BAD BUNNY	YHLQMDLG	RIMAS	14,163	2%	57	96	14,009
41	41	ELTON JOHN	DIAMONDS	ISLAND	13,975	3%	1,681	595	11,699
33	42	H.E.R.	BACK OF MY MIND	RCA	13,888	-3%	496	431	12,961
40	43	RAUW ALEJANDRO	VICE VERSA	SONY MUSIC LATIN	13,760	0%	36	180	13,544
--	44	WILLOW	LATELY I FEEL EVERYTHING	MSFTS/ROC NATION	13,696	--	2,889	198	10,609
42	45	GIVEON	WHEN IT'S ALL SAID AND DONE... TAKE TIME	NOT SO FAST/EPIC	13,676	1%	579	202	12,895
46	46	EMINEM	CURTAIN CALL	SHADY/AFTERMATH/INTERSCOPE	13,369	2%	783	467	12,119
44	47	BAD BUNNY	EL ULTIMO TOUR DEL MUNDO	RIMAS	13,188	-1%	34	118	13,036
50	48	POST MALONE	BEERBONGS & BENTLEYS	REPUBLIC	13,122	2%	207	168	12,748
48	49	TRAVIS SCOTT	ASTROWORLD	CACTUS JACK/GRAND HUSTLE/EPIC	13,103	1%	1,133	79	11,891
49	50	BILLIE EILISH	WHEN WE ALL FALL ASLEEP, WHERE DO WE GO?	DARKROOM/INTERSCOPE	13,094	1%	2,049	225	10,820

[Baby Yoda Hot100Fan]

If somehow Bo Burnham's album manages to get #10 in the Billboard 200, this mentions a small boost to a couple of the songs included in it due to a certain event that happened this week:

Bo Burnham's Jeff Bezos-Themed Songs Leap 21% in Streams After Space Flight